Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS42 KGSP 050254
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
954 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS
OF NORTH CAROLINA MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...

.A FRONT WILL REMAIN STATIONARY OVER SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH
MONDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES ALONG
THE FRONT TONIGHT AND MONDAY. IN RESPONSE TO THIS...WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH
MONDAY. AS COLD AIR WRAPS INTO WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA LATE
TONIGHT...RAIN WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS AROUND SUNRISE. THE SNOW WILL LIKELY
MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
FOOTHILLS. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.
THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES MONDAY EVENING AS
THE LOW MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION.

NCZ033-049-050-051100-
/O.CON.KGSP.HS.W.0002.051205T1100Z-051206T1100Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
954 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM
EST TUESDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM
EST TUESDAY. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW...OR A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW OVER
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS MONDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL BE
HEAVY AT TIMES LATE MONDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THE TIME THE SNOW
TAPERS OFF MONDAY EVENING. ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY FOR LOCATIONS NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NCZ034-054-055-051100-
/O.CON.KGSP.WS.W.0001.051205T1100Z-051206T0500Z/
CALDWELL-MCDOWELL-BURKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARION...MORGANTON
954 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST MONDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST MONDAY NIGHT. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS MONDAY MORNING.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES LATE MONDAY MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. TOTAL SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF MONDAY EVENING.
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS
OF THE FOOTHILLS...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LENOIR...MORGANTON...
AND MARION...THE TRANSITION TO WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR
LATER IN THE DAY...THEREFORE...ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHTER IN THOSE AREAS. HOWEVER...BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY SLEET
AND POSSIBLY SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE LOCATIONS AS WELL.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NCZ048-051>053-058-051100-
/O.CON.KGSP.SN.Y.0003.051205T1100Z-051205T2300Z/
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE
954 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW MONDAY MORNING OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...INCLUDING THE
SMOKIES AND THE BALSAMS. THE PRECIPITATION WILL MIX WITH OR
CHANGE TO SLEET AT TIMES...AND MAY MIX WITH RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN
ON OCCASION. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF MONDAY
AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
ON HIGHER PEAKS. AT THIS TIME...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL
MAINLY AS RAIN IN THE MAJOR VALLEYS...ALTHOUGH SLEET AND POSSIBLY
SNOW WILL MIX IN AT TIMES.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

000 
WWUS42 KGSP 050940
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
440 AM EST MON DEC 5 2005

...A MIX OF WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE MOUNTAINS AND
FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG A FRONT OVER THE MIDLANDS 
TODAY...AND OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION
WILL INTENSIFY AS THE LOW MOVES CLOSER TO THE REGION BY LATE
MORNING...AND END FROM WEST TO EAST BY AFTERNOON...WITH SOME SNOW
LINGERING THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER.
TEMPERATURES HAVE NOT COOLED AS QUICKLY BEHIND THE FRONT AS
EXPECTED...AND WHAT ORIGINALLY LOOKED LIKE A SNOW EVENT WILL FALL
MORE AS A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION TYPES IN THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS. LOWER ELEVATIONS IN THE FOOTHILLS AND THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS NOW APPEAR THAT THEY WILL SEE MAINLY RAIN FROM
THIS EVENT.

NCZ033-049-050-051700-
/O.CAN.KGSP.HS.W.0002.051205T1100Z-051206T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.W.0002.051205T1100Z-051206T1100Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
440 AM EST MON DEC 5 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY. THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND SLEET OVER THE NORTHERN 
MOUNTAINS BY LATE MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES INTO 
THE AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES 
ARE EXPECTED BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF TO SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS LATE THIS EVENING. AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE ALSO
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE EASTERN ESCARPMENT OF BLUE RIDGE.
A FEW HIGHER SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE AT RIDGETOPS AND AT SOME
OF THE HIGHER GAPS...WHERE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS SNOW FOR A
LONGER PERIOD OF TIME.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NCZ034-054-055-051700-
/O.CAN.KGSP.WS.W.0001.051205T1100Z-051206T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0001.051205T1100Z-051206T0500Z/
CALDWELL-MCDOWELL-BURKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARION...MORGANTON
440 AM EST MON DEC 5 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO A MIXTURE OF SLEET...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN OVER 
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS LATE THIS MORNING.
SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG
THE EASTERN ESCARPMENT OF THE BLUE RIDGE BY THE TIME THE WINTRY
PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF THIS EVENING. THIS INCLUDES THE TOWNS OF
LITTLE SWITZERLAND AND JONAS RIDGE. LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE
FOOTHILLS...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LENOIR...MORGANTON...AND
MARION...WILL SEE MAINLY RAIN FROM THIS EVENT...THOUGH SNOW AND
SLEET MAY BRIEFLY MIX IN BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS THIS
EVENING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NCZ048-051>053-058-051700-
/O.EXT.KGSP.SN.Y.0003.051205T1800Z-051206T1100Z/
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE
440 AM EST MON DEC 5 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM
EST TUESDAY...

THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EST TUESDAY. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO A SNOW AND SLEET MIX BY MID AFTERNOON AT 
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4500 FEET IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS. 
LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL JUST SEE RAIN THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WIDESPREAD 
PRECIPITATION WILL END BY LATE AFTERNOON...BUT AS COLDER AIR MOVES 
IN THIS EVENING...A PERIOD OF SNOW SHOWERS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE 
TENNESSEE BORDER COUNTIES. SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE 
POSSIBLE BEFORE THE SNOW SHOWERS END LATER THIS EVENING...MAINLY
AT THE HIGHER GAPS ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER AND AT THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE BALSAMS AND SMOKIES.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$
MCAVOY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
339 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...
SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 18Z SHOWS COLD FRONT LYING ACROSS MOUNTAINS...
WHILE KGSP/KHTX RADARS SHOW EXTENSIVE CONVECTION DEVELOPING AND
MOVING ENE ALONG THE BOUNDARY. SHORT TERM CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL
NECESSITATE A HIGH PRECIP CHANCE...LIKELY OR CATEGORICAL...RIGHT OFF
THE BAT. WILL ALSO HAVE TO INCLUDE THUNDER AT LEAST INTO THE EARLY
PART OF THE EVENING...OWING TO LIGHTNING DETECTED IN THE ACTIVITY
ACROSS N GA. RADAR TRENDS OFF TO THE WEST SUGGEST OUR PRECIP MODE
WILL BE CONVECTIVE FOR THE VERY NEAR TERM...SO THAT WILL BE
REFLECTED IN THE FORECAST THROUGH MIDNIGHT...ACROSS THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA.

AFTER MIDNIGHT...AS THE SURFACE LOW ORGANIZES...ALL SORTS OF FORCING
WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE SW. THIS
SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE SO MUCH GOING FOR IT THAT A CATEGORICAL POP
SEEMS MORE THAN REASONABLE. THE BIG QUESTION IS WHEN THE COLD AIR TO
THE NORTH AND WEST WILL MAKE ITS PRESENCE FELT. THE MODELS SUGGEST
THAT TIME WILL NOT BE UNTIL SUNRISE OVER THE MOUNTAINS...WHICH SEEMS
REASONABLE AT THIS POINT. EVEN IF THE HIGHEST MOUNTAIN PEAKS OF THE
NRN MOUNTAINS MANAGE A CHANGE TO SOME MIX OF RAIN/FREEZING
RAIN/SNOW...IT SHOULD NOT OCCUR UNTIL LATE ENOUGH THAT IT DOES NOT
BEAR A MENTION IN THE ZFP. WILL GO WITH A COLD RAIN OVER THE
MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH TEMPS BEGINNING A
DRAMATIC DROP OFF AFTER 09Z.

AS COLD AIR WRAPS AROUND DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AREA...SNOW LEVELS
WILL RAPIDLY LOWER ACROSS THE NORTHERN NC MNTNS...WITH MOST LOCATIONS
(WITH THE EXCEPTION OF PERHAPS THE LOWEST VALLEYS)...EXPECTED TO
TRANSITION TO A SLEET/SNOW MIX BY MID-MORNING. A MAX IN H7
FRONTOGENESIS WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED JUST NORTHWEST OF THE CWFA...
LIKELY PLACING THE RISING BRANCH OF THE ASSOCIATED AGEOSTROPHIC
CIRCULATION SQUARELY OVER THE NORTHERN MNTNS. EPV PROGS INDICATE
SOME INSTABILITY WITHIN THIS REGION OF FORCING...SO BANDED PRECIP
APPEARS TO BE A POSSIBILITY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. WILL UPGRADE THE
WATCH TO A WARNING FOR THIS AREA...WITH GENERALY 2-5 INCH AMOUNTS
EXPECTED. AS ONE MOVES LOWER IN THE ATMOSPHERE...THE DEPTH/TIMING OF
THE COLD AIR BECOMES VERY UNCERTAIN. HOWEVER...AS STRONG NORTHEAST
FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING
CYCLONE...RESULTANT UPSLOPE FLOW WILL CREATE 2 RESPONSES: AN
ADDITIONAL SOURCE OF COOLING AND MESOSCALE ENHANCEMENT TO THE STRONG
LARGE SCALE FORCING. THEREFORE...WILL ALSO UPGRADE THE NORTHERN
FOOTHILL ZONES TO A WARNING...BUT MAINLY STRESS LOCATIONS ALONG THE
BLUE RIDGE. FURTHER SOUTH...THE COLDER AIR WILL BE SOMEWHAT
DELAYED...AS THE SURFACE LOW TRANSLATES ACROSS THE MIDLANDS.
HOWEVER...ENOUGH COLD AIR SHOULD FILTER INTO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF THE NC MNTNS TO WARRANT AN ADVISORY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500
FEET. PERIODS OF SLEET AND/OR SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE VALLEYS
OF THE CENTRAL MNTNS...AS WELL AS IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE
FOOTHILLS AND THE PIEDMONT DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT CONFIDENCE
THAT ANY ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE ACHIEVED IN THESE AREAS REMAINS VERY
LOW...SO WILL SIMPLY CARRY CHANCES FOR WINTRY PRECIP ATTM.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST ATTM. DRY AND COOL HIGH
PRESSURE IS GENERALLY IN CONTROL DURING THIS PERIOD. THE GFS
CONTINUES TO INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR A SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM TO
AFFECT THE AREA DURING THE NEXT 10 DAYS OR SO. HOWEVER...AS IT HAS
BEEN APT TO DO OVER THE PAST SEVERAL RUNS...THE LATEST RUN HAS
DELAYED TIMING OF THIS POSSIBILITY TO DAY 7. WILL CONTINUE WITH A
DRY BUT COOL FORECAST THROUGH THE EXTENDED.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...RADAR/SATELLITE TRENDS SUGGEST
AN INVASION OF CONVECTIVE CLOUDS FROM THE WEST AS SURFACE FRONT LAYS
DOWN ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS. THIS SHOULD BRING MVFR CEILINGS
TO ALL TAF SITES ON A TEMPORARY BASIS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS...WITH SOME MVFR VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS...BUT TAFS
WILL KEEP ONLY VCSH. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE WATCHED AT KAND FOR
THE ADDITION OF THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL.

THE FORECAST SHOULD GO QUICKLY DOWNHILL LATER THIS EVENING AS A WAVE
DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT ALONG THE NRN GULF COAST. MVFR CEILINGS SHOULD
SPREAD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY 04Z AT THE VERY LATEST...AND
LIKELY SEVERAL HOURS PRIOR TO THAT. PRECIP SHOULD DEVELOP AS ALL
MANNER OF FORCING MOVES IN DURING THE LATE EVENING/EARLY MORNING
HOURS. WITH THAT IN MIND...EXPECT CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES TO CRASH
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES BY 12Z AT THE VERY LATEST. EXPECT SOME LOW
IFR CONDITIONS MONDAY MORNING...BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO
INCLUDE THIS IN TAFS AND I DO NOT WANT TO MUDDY THE WATER WITH
ANOTHER TEMPO GROUP IN THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. THE IFR CONDITIONS SHOULD
NOT IMPROVE UNTIL AFTER THE END OF TAF PERIOD AT 18Z...PROBABLY SOME
TIME LATE MONDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW PASSES ACROSS THE MIDLANDS.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR NCZ033-049-050 FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6
     AM TUESDAY.
  ...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR NCZ034-054-055 FROM 6 AM
     MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT TUESDAY.
  ...SNOW ADVISORY FOR NCZ048-051>053-058 FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 PM
     MONDAY.
SC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...MOORE/LANE
LONG TERM...LANE
AVIATION...MOORE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
606 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-
SCZ001>014-019-051115-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-
GREENWOOD-
606 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING IN THE
MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...THE MOUNTAINS OF THE WESTERN
UPSTATE AND THE NORTHEAST GEORGIA MOUNTAINS. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL NOON FOR THESE AREAS.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE UPSTATE AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA EARLY THIS MORNING...AND AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW OF
THE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...AS
WELL AS FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
SNOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS LATER TONIGHT AND
SPREAD INTO THE FOOTHILLS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS EARLY MONDAY.
SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...THE
NORTHERN FOOTHILLS...AND EVEN AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS. BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS...THE SNOW AND
SLEET COULD MAKE IT AS FAR SOUTHEAST AS SALISBURY...KANNAPOLIS
AND THE NORTHERN SUBURBS OF CHARLOTTE.

FARTHER SOUTH...ACROSS THE UPSTATE...THE SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
PIEDMONT AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED LATER
TONIGHT AND MONDAY. RAINFALL MAY BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO CAUSE ISOLATED
FLOODING PROBLEMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

MCAVOY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1100 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-
SCZ001>014-019-042100-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-
GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
HARTWELL...ELBERTON...NEWLAND...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...
SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...MARION...
MORGANTON...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...
GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...GREENVILLE...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
1100 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...ACTIVE WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY...

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS AFTERNOON. THE ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF THE
FRONT HAS BECOME UNSTABLE AND SUITABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THUNDERSTORMS. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES EAST OFF THE MOUNTAINS IT IS
EXPECTED TO STALL AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
AND ALABAMA. THE CIRCULATION AROUND THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS INTO MONDAY MORNING. IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS COULD
OCCUR OVER THE PIEDMONT...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 85...THIS
AFTERNOON.

COOLER AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OVER THE MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT AND
SHOULD CONTINUE TO COOL DURING THE DAYTIME MONDAY. THESE COOLER
TEMPERATURES WILL CHANGE THE RAIN TO SNOW OVER THE RIDGETOPS
AROUND SUNRISE MONDAY. AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO COOL...SNOW
LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY FALL. BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SNOW
IS EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS ALONG WITH THE NORTH
CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE
OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN FOOTHILLS MONDAY. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED TO
HIGHLIGHT THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF I-40 ACROSS THE
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT.

AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF I-85 FROM NORTHEAST GEORGIA TO THE CHARLOTTE
METRO AREA MAY SEE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN MONDAY. RAINFALL RATES SHOULD
STEADILY DIMINISH MONDAY EVENING AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST
ALONG THE COAST. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL EAST OF I-85 COULD RANGE
FROM AN INCH AND A HALF TO THREE INCHES. AREAS AFFECTED BY
THUNDERSTORMS COULD RECEIVE HIGHER AMOUNTS. FLOODING OF SMALL
STREAMS AND CREEKS ALONG WITH URBAN AREAS COULD RESULT MONDAY.

JONES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
242 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-
SCZ001>014-019-050400-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-
GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
HARTWELL...ELBERTON...NEWLAND...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...
SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...MARION...
MORGANTON...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...
GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...GREENVILLE...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
242 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...STORM SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE AREA INTO EARLY MONDAY NIGHT...

MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WAS PROVIDING FUEL
FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH ALABAMA...NORTH GEORGIA...INTO THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE NIGHT. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR...MAINLY
IN PIEDMONT SECTIONS...SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 85. SOME OF THE
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL REPEAT OVER THE SAME AREAS...WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL A THREAT OVER PARTS OF THE PIEDMONT AND FOOTHILLS.
TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TONIGHT ALONG AREA
INTERSTATES AS THE RAIN INCREASES IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY.
PONDING OF WATER WILL INCREASE...AND THERE COULD BE SOME LOCAL
FLOODING BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.

FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40 IN NORTH
CAROLINA...SNOW WILL BECOME THE MAJOR CONCERN. AREAS FROM WEST OF
HICKORY TO THE TENNESSEE STATE LINE COULD BE AFFECTED BY SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS. IN MANY AREAS...HIGHER ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET
OR SO COULD HAVE ACCUMULATING SNOW DURING THE DAY MONDAY. WARM
TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AFTERNOON MAY DELAY SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS
ON ROADS UNTIL WELL INTO THE DAY MONDAY. FOR THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS AND HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS
HOWEVER...HEAVY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40...SOME SNOW IS
EXPECTED...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY LIGHT
AND MAINLY AT HIGH ELEVATIONS.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA
SOURCE FOR LATEST INFORMATION.

JONES