Wind Advisory 10, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 040316
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1016 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2005

.VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINA AND
GEORGIA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...

GAZ010-NCZ051-052-058-059-062>064-SCZ001-002-041045-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-051204T1700Z/
RABUN-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...
SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
1016 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT
AND EARLY SUNDAY...AND AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA. WINDS WILL INCREASE
OVERNIGHT...AND ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGEST FROM MIDNIGHT UNTIL
AROUND DAYBREAK. THE STRONG WINDS WILL MAINLY AFFECT THE HIGHER
RIDGETOPS AND PASSES...WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS COULD REACH 35 MPH IN
SOME AREAS...WITH GUSTS TO OVER 50 MPH POSSIBLE. ISOLATED STRONGER
GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TENNESSEE STATE LINE.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION TONIGHT
IF YOU ARE PLANNING A TRIP THROUGH THESE MOUNTAIN AREAS.

$$
RB

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 041017
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
517 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

.VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINA AND
GEORGIA MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING...

GAZ010-NCZ051-052-058-059-062>064-SCZ001-002-041700-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-051204T1700Z/
RABUN-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...
SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
517 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE MOUNTAINS THIS
MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL MAINLY AFFECT THE HIGHER RIDGETOPS
AND PASSES...WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS COULD REACH 35 MPH IN SOME
AREAS...WITH GUSTS TO OVER 50 MPH POSSIBLE. ISOLATED STRONGER
GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TENNESSEE STATE LINE.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION TONIGHT
IF YOU ARE PLANNING A TRIP THROUGH THESE MOUNTAIN AREAS.

$$

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 041534
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1034 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

GAZ010-NCZ051-052-058-059-062>064-SCZ001-002-041645-
/O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-051204T1700Z/
RABUN-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...
SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
1034 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS
CANCELED THE WIND ADVISORY WHICH WAS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE
MOUNTAINS. RECENT CHECKS WITH AREA OFFICIALS INDICATED NO
SIGNIFICANT PROBLEMS FROM THE WIND. THE WIND COULD STILL BE BREEZY
TO WINDY...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...AND ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

$$
JONES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
322 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...
WAA HAS BEEN A BIT SLOW TO KICK IN ACROSS THE MNTNS THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS IN THE MID AND UPPER 30S.
MEANWHILE...HIGHER ELEVATIONS HAVE WET-BULBED TO FREEZING WITH
WIDESPREAD LIGHT PRECIPITATION FALLING ACROSS THE AREA. RECENT CALL
FROM COOP OBSERVER ON FLAT TOP MNTN (BUNCOMBE COUNTY) INDICATES
-FZRA OCCURRING ABOVE ABOUT 4000 WITH ICE ACCRETING TO ELEVATED
SURFACES. AS LOW LEVEL WARM FRONT RACES ACROSS THE AREA...STRONG WAA
WILL EVENTUALLY BECOME ESTABLISHED THIS EVENING...AND HIGH ELEVATION
TEMPS SHOULD WARM RAPIDLY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. IN FACT...
EXPECT AT LEAST GRADUAL WARMING OVERNIGHT IN ALL AREAS. OTHERWISE...
FORCING FOR PRECIP WILL BE WANING AFTER THIS EVENING...AS LOW LEVEL
BAROCLINIC ZONE RETREATS INTO VIRGINIA. DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG LLJ
AFTER 00Z ENSURES THAT DECENT COVERAGE OF WAA/UPSLOPE SHOWERS SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. WILL CARRY CAT POPS ACROSS THE SW
MNTNS...WITH GENERALLY LIKELY POPS ELSEHWHERE. FINALLY...FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTAL CIRCULATION WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE MNTNS
LATE TONIGHT...SO WILL CONTINUE WITH HIGH LIKELY-CAT POPS ACROSS THE
NC MNTNS JUST PRIOR TO 12Z.

AS FAR AS WIND...THE 50-65KT LLJ DEPICTED BY THE SHORT-TERM MODELS
IS CERTAINLY ALARMING. ALTHOUGH WIND DAMAGE IS NOT UNHEARD OF ACROSS
THE MNTNS DURING WAA SITUATIONS...USUALLY THE WIND DIRECTION MUST BE
IN THE 190-160 RANGE TO CAUSE SIG PROBLEMS. IN THIS CASE...THE FLOW
APPEARS TO BE TOO VEERED (GENERALLY 210-230.) ANOTHER STRIKE AGAINST
WIDESPREAD WIND PROBLEMS IS THE HIGH STATIC STABILITY EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT IN THE VALLEYS. WE STILL EXPECT SOME GOOD WIND GUSTS IN
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...BUT WILL REPLACE THE HIGH WIND WATCH WITH AN
ADVISORY.

FOR SUNDAY...FRONT SAGS INTO THE PIEDMONT...WITH MODEST
DESTABILIZATION EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY. SHEAR WILL
BE QUITE IMPRESSIVE...BUT ALSO QUITE UNIDIRECTIONAL. SPC DAY2
OUTLOOK HAS SOUTHERN PIEDMONT IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE...AND THIS
IS CERTAINLY NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

VERY DIFFICULT FCST FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THRU TUE. 12Z MDL RUNS IN
DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE CHANGE IN FRONTAL POSITION AND LOW TRACK
THAT 00Z RUNS STARTED. COLD FRONT WILL BE DRAPED ACROSS SRN
PORTIONS OF THE CWFA SUNDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE CENTER
MOVING ALONG IT...REACHING GA BY MORNING. THIS ALLOWS COLD AIR
MASS TO BRIDGE THE MTNS INTO OUR NRN SECTIONS. ELY FLOW AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AS MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE
WEST AND SOUTH. THE LOW TRACK REMAINS SOUTH OF OUR AREA KEEPING
THE CWFA IN THE COLD SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM. THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM
OUR AREA MONDAY NIGHT TAKING MOST OF THE MOISTURE WITH IT. WRAP
AROUND MOISTURE AND NW FLOW DEVELOP THEN DIMINISH TUESDAY.

FCST THICKNESSES AND SOUNDINGS SHOW A BOUT OF WINTRY PRECIP LIKELY
FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS THE NC MTNS
AND I-40 CORRIDOR. GIVEN THE MOISTURE AND LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SYSTEM...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL COULD DEVELOP OVER THE MTNS...
SPECIALLY FROM MADISON COUNTY NORTH...AND THE BLUE RIDGE PORTIONS OF
THE NRN FOOTHILLS. A WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE OVER THE NW PIEDMONT...BUT
GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE WARM NOSE AND BRIEF PERIOD OF COLD LOW
LEVEL AIR...DO NOT EXPECT ANY SIGNIFICANT ACCUMS ATTM. SWRN PORTIONS
OF THE NC MTNS SHOULD ALSO ESCAPE ANY SIGNIFICANT ACCUMS AS WARM
NOSE MOVES IN THERE AS WELL. HOWEVER...THEY COULD SEE LIGHT ACCUMS
AS COLD AIR WRAPS BACK IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM. WILL ISSUE AN SPS AS AN
OUTLOOK TO THE WINTER STORM POTENTIAL.

LOW TEMPS SUN NITE WILL BE NEAR...OR EVEN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.
HIGHS SUNDAY WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL GIVEN THE FRONTAL POSITION
AND LOW TRACK. NEAR NORMAL LOWS MONDAY NIGHT WITH BELOW NORMAL HIGHS
AGAIN TUE.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
DRY FCST TUE NITE THRU SATURDAY AS MDLS GENERALLY AGREE THAT VERY
COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA...WITH MUCH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPS THRU THE PERIOD. MDLS ALSO AGREE THAT A GULF LOW WILL FORM
SOMETIME ON THURSDAY AND MOVE EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC BY LATE FRIDAY
OR SATURDAY. THEY DO NOT AGREE...WITH EACH OTHER OR FROM RUN TO
RUN...ABOUT EVENTUAL TIMING OR TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. RIGHT NOW IT
APPEARS LOW WILL REMAIN FAR ENUF SOUTH AND EAST TO KEEP US DRY. THIS
WILL BEAR WATCHING AS WE GET CLOSER TO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
AVIATION WEATHER WILL BE A BIT MESSY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AS
CIGS CONTINUE TO LOWER AS LOW LEVEL FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH
ISENTROPIC LIFT ALONG THE 295/300K SURACES PERSISTS THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. CIGS SHOULD BE REDUCED TO LOW VFR AT MOST TERMINALS
BY LATE EVENING...WITH WIDESPREAD MVFR EXPECTED BY THE PRE-DAWN.
PERIODS OF IFR WILL BE POSSIBLE TOWARD SUNRISE...BUT WILL NOT INCL
ATTM DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE. DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN TIMING OF PRECIP
CHANCES AFTER THIS EVENING. WAA/ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL WEAKEN DURING
THE EVENING...BUT STILL EXPECT SCT SHOWERS TO PERSIST FOR MUCH OF
THE NIGHT...UNTIL FORCING ASSOCIATED W/ FRONTAL CIRCULATION MOVES
INTO THE MNTNS BTW 6-12Z. WITH THIS IN MIND...HAVE LIMITED TEMPOS
FOR -RA AFTER THIS EVENING TO KAVL...BUT WILL ADVERTISE VCSH AT ALL
OTHER SITES THROUGH 18Z.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...WIND ADVISORY FOR GAZ010 UNTIL NOON SUNDAY.
NC...WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ051-052-058-059-062>064 UNTIL NOON SUNDAY.
SC...WIND ADVISORY FOR SCZ001-002 UNTIL NOON SUNDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...JDL/RWH
LONG TERM...RWH
AVIATION...JDL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
315 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2005

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-
SCZ001>014-019-041115-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-
GREENWOOD-
315 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MODERATELY STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND
IN THE MOUNTAINS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN
UPSTATE. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG SOUTHWEST
FACING SLOPES AND AT RIDGETOPS. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PARTS OF THOSE AREAS...AND A SEPARATE PRODUCT HAS BEEN ISSUED WHICH
DESCRIBES THE ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE AND MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS.

SNOW IS POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS...FOOTHILLS AND WESTERN
PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA AND THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND
GEORGIA SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. A WINTER STORM OUTLOOK HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGH
TERRAIN OF THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS IN NORTH CAROLINA FOR LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.  PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT ISSUED SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE NECESSARY
TONIGHT OR SUNDAY...BUT ANY SPOTTER REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE WOULD BE
APPRECIATED.

JONES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
317 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2005

NCZ033-034-048>050-054-055-040900-
AVERY-CALDWELL-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-MCDOWELL-BURKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...MARION...
MORGANTON
317 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2005

...HEAVY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY FOR PARTS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND
HIGHEST TERRAIN IN THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS COUNTIES...

SEVERAL WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WITH THE COMBINATION OF COLDEST AIR AND HIGHEST MOISTURE WILL MOVE ALONG
THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL SECTIONS SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY. THIS COULD ALLOW SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF
SNOW FOR PARTS OF THE HIGH COUNTRY IN NORTH CAROLINA.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF HEAVY
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION FROM AROUND HOT SPRINGS AND
MARSHALL...THROUGH THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AROUND
BURNSVILLE...BAKERSVILLE...AND NEWLAND...TO THE HIGHEST TERRAIN
ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY IN WESTERN PARTS OF
MCDOWELL...BURKE...AND CALDWELL COUNTIES. FOR OUR AREA...THE TERM
HEAVY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION GENERALLY MEANS AN AVERAGE
ACCUMULATION IN A COUNTY OF 3 INCHES OR MORE IN A 12 HOUR
PERIOD...OR 4 INCHES OR MORE IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD. MORE DETAILED
ACCUMULATION FORECASTS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

THEREFORE...A WINTER STORM OUTLOOK HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THOSE AREAS
FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED
TO TAPER OFF MONDAY NIGHT.

IF THIS THREAT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER BECOMES MORE OF A POSSIBILITY...A
WINTER STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. LISTEN
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS...OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA
SOURCE...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM.

JONES