Snow Advisory 2, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS42 KGSP 220909
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
409 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

.MUCH COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE MOUNTAINS BEHIND
THE DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM. SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS WILL MOVE
THROUGH...EMBEDDED IN THE STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW...AND WILL RESULT
IN PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION.

NCZ033-048>052-058-221715-
/O.CON.KGSP.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051123T1100Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE
409 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

FOR COUNTIES ALONG THE TENNESSEE STATE LINE FROM AVERY SOUTHWEST
TO GRAHAM...A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY.

SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL TODAY...BUT COVERAGE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE
SCATTERED. BY TONIGHT...MORE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIER NORTHWEST FLOW
SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 6 INCHES
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY AT HIGH ELEVATIONS NEAR THE STATE LINE. THE
SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF BY MORNING.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NCZ053-059-062>065-221715-
/O.EXT.KGSP.SN.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051123T1100Z/
BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
409 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

FOR BUNCOMBE...HENDERSON...JACKSON...TRANSYLVANIA...AND MACON COUNTIES...THE
SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER SOMEWHAT TODAY...BUT SNOW SHOWERS WILL
STILL BE SCATTERED IN MOST VALLEY AREAS. AN INCH OR SO OF
SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING...BUT SOME
BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW COULD CONTINUE. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS
THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE
PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE
CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$
JONES

000 
WWUS42 KGSP 221651
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1150 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

.COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO INVADE THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BEHIND
THE STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVING UP THE EAST COAST. SEVERAL UPPER
DISTURBANCES WILL COMBINE WITH A MOIST...LOW LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW
TO MAINTAIN SNOW CHANCES IN THE HIGH TERRAIN THROUGH TONIGHT.

NCZ033-048>052-058-230100-
/O.CON.KGSP.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051123T1100Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE
1150 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY
FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAIN COUNTIES ALONG THE TENNESSEE
BORDER.

NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS WILL SPREAD BACK INTO THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. NEW SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS REACHING 4 TO 6
INCHES OVERNIGHT. THE SNOWFALL SHOULD TAPER OFF AROUND DAYBREAK
WEDNESDAY.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. BEFORE SETTING OUT ON HOLIDAY
TRAVEL...BE AWARE OF THE LATEST CONDITIONS AND USE EXTREME
CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL.

$$

NCZ053-059-062>065-230100-
/O.CON.KGSP.SN.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051123T1100Z/
BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
1150 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS WILL AFFECT LOCATIONS FROM
FRANKLIN TO ASHEVILLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MOST OF THE
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...BUT SOME SNOW MAY
ALSO ADHERE TO SURFACES IN THE LOWER MOUNTAIN VALLEYS. ACCUMULATIONS
AROUND AN INCH ARE EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON...WITH TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT SNOWFALL WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL
DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SOME SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

GERAPETRITIS

000 
WWUS42 KGSP 222039
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
339 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

.NORTHWEST FLOW MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH COLD AIR AND A PASSING
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO ALLOW SNOW SHOWERS TO CONTINUE ACROSS
THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT.

NCZ033-048>052-058-230500-
/O.CON.KGSP.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051123T1100Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE
339 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY
FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAIN COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE TENNESSEE
BORDER.

SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD ALONG THE SPINE OF THE
APPALACHIANS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY IN THE WARNING AREA. THE HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL
MAINLY AFFECT LOCATIONS IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE TENNESSEE
BORDER...AND ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET. ALTHOUGH LOWER MOUNTAIN
VALLEYS MAY SEE LESS ACCUMULATION...ROAD SURFACES WILL LIKELY
BECOME VERY TREACHEROUS THIS EVENING AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW
FREEZING THROUGHOUT. BLOWING SNOW MAY ALSO BRIEFLY RESTRICT
VISIBILITY.

THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER BACK TOWARD THE TENNESSEE
BORDER LATE TONIGHT...ENDING AS FLURRIES AFTER DAYBREAK. SOME
SLIPPERY ROAD SURFACES WILL LIKELY LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. BEFORE SETTING OUT ON HOLIDAY
TRAVEL...BE AWARE OF THE LATEST CONDITIONS AND USE EXTREME
CAUTION IF DRIVING.

$$

NCZ053-059-062>065-230500-
/O.CON.KGSP.SN.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051123T1100Z/
BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
339 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY FROM
FRANKLIN TO ASHEVILLE...AND POINTS SOUTH...IN THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN TAPER
OFF RAPIDLY THROUGH DAYBREAK. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS AROUND AN INCH WILL
MAINLY AFFECT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000 FEET...BUT SOME ROADWAYS IN
THE LOWER MOUNTAINS COULD BECOME SLIPPERY AND SNOW COVERED AS
WELL AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW THE FREEZING MARK THIS EVENING.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT SNOWFALL WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL
DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SOME SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

HG

000 
WWUS42 KGSP 230140
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
840 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

.NORTHWEST FLOW MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH COLD AIR AND A PASSING
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO ALLOW SNOW SHOWERS TO CONTINUE ACROSS
THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT.

NCZ033-048>052-058-230945-
/O.CON.KGSP.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051123T1100Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE
840 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE SPINE OF THE APPALACHIANS
OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY IN THE WARNING AREA. THE HIGHER
AMOUNTS WILL MAINLY AFFECT LOCATIONS IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE
TENNESSEE BORDER...AND ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET. ALTHOUGH LOWER
MOUNTAIN VALLEYS MAY SEE LESS ACCUMULATION...ROAD SURFACES WILL
LIKELY BE VERY TREACHEROUS WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING
THROUGHOUT. BLOWING SNOW MAY ALSO RESTRICT VISIBILITY.

THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER BACK TOWARD THE TENNESSEE
BORDER LATE TONIGHT...ENDING AS FLURRIES AFTER DAYBREAK. SOME
SLIPPERY ROAD SURFACES WILL LIKELY LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. BEFORE SETTING OUT ON HOLIDAY
TRAVEL...BE AWARE OF THE LATEST CONDITIONS AND USE EXTREME
CAUTION IF DRIVING.

$$

NCZ053-059-062>065-230945-
/O.CON.KGSP.SN.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051123T1100Z/
BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
840 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH
CAROLINA UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN TAPER OFF RAPIDLY THROUGH DAYBREAK.
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS AROUND AN INCH WILL MAINLY AFFECT ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 3000 FEET...BUT SOME ROADWAYS AT LOWER ELEVATIONS COULD
BE SLIPPERY AND SNOW COVERED AS WELL...WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW
FREEZING.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT SNOWFALL WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL
DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SOME SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$
07

000 
WWUS42 KGSP 230836
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
336 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...SNOWFALL HAS LARGELY ENDED FOR THE TIME BEING...

.THE AREA WILL BE IN A WEATHER LULL EARLY TODAY BETWEEN WEATHER
SYSTEMS. ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS COULD DEVELOP TOWARD MID DAY
ACROSS PART OF THE AREA.

NCZ033-048>052-058-230945-
/O.CAN.KGSP.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051123T1100Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE
336 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAIN COUNTIES ALONG THE TENNESSEE STATE
LINE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS
CANCELED THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING. HOWEVER...ROADS REMAIN SLICK IN
MANY AREAS...AND TRAVEL WILL STILL BE HAZARDOUS EARLY TODAY.
ALSO...SNOW SHOWERS COULD DEVELOP AGAIN TOWARD MID DAY...AND IT IS
POSSIBLE A SNOW ADVISORY COULD BE REQUIRED FOR AT LEAST PART OF
THE AREA LATER TODAY.

$$

NCZ053-059-062>065-230945-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SN.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051123T1100Z/
BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
336 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

FOR THE MOUNTAIN AREAS FROM ASHEVILLE AND HENDERSONVILLE...TO
BREVARD...SYLVA...AND FRANKLIN...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-
SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELED THE SNOW ADVISORY. SNOWFALL HAS LARGE
ENDED ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER...SOME ROADS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
HIGH ELEVATIONS...REMAIN SLICK AND HAZARDOUS.

$$
JONES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
823 PM EST MON NOV 21 2005

.SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
UPPER LEVEL LOW CROSSING AREA AS IT ROUNDS BASE OF LONGWAVE
COMPLEX TROUGH. SURFACE SYSTEM ALSO CROSSING AREA AT THIS TIME.
EXPECT THUNDER TO DIMINSH BY LATE EVENING AS CORE OF MID LEVEL
COLD AIR MOVES BY. POPS TO DECREASE FROM SW IN WAKE OF SURFACE
SYSTEM AND RETREATING DEFORMATION ZONE...QUICKLY REPLACED BY NW
FLOW MOUNTAIN POPS. EXPECT SNOW LEVEL TO FALL TO 4000 FEET BY
DAWN...AND MIX R/S DOWN TO 3000 FEET. ALTHOUGH SOUNDINGS NOT
IMPRESSIVELY MOIST AFTER 09Z...WILL NOT TRY TO TIME IN A LULL IN
SNOWSHOWERS AS MORE ACTIVITY EXPECTED EARLY MORNING WITH LAPE
RATES INCREASING. WILL NOT CHANGE POPS AND WEATHER FORECAST
TONIGHT AS PREVIOUS FORECACST HAD SITUATION WELL IN HAND...BUT WILL
DECREASE CLOUDS COVER A BIT MORE AGRESSIVELY TOWARD DAWN PER
SATELLITE IMAGERY. SNOW ADVISORY WILL REMAIN UP ALONG TN LINE.

UPDATED WIND WITH 18Z MESOETA...WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY 850 WINDS
AND DOWNWARD MOTION SHOWN BY BOTH THE GFS AND MESOETA TIME
HEIGHTS. THIS YIELDS WINDS JUST UNDER ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL
ISSUE LAKE WIND ADVISORY ENTIRE AREA AS WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP.

TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS RUNNING ABOVE EXPECTATIONS AND 18Z MAV
GUIDANCE. INCREASED MINIMUM TEMPERATURES TWO DEGREES ALL BUT
HIHGEST ELEVATIONS NC MTS...AND UPDATED DEW POINTS FROM ADJUSTED
MAV. WITH SLOWER COOLING...INCREASED A FEW MAX TEMPERATURES NC MTS
MON TO AVOID HAVING MAX TEMPERAURES LOWER THAN OVERNIGHT MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 637 PM EST MON NOV 21 2005)

SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
UPDATING TO ADD CHACNE THUNDER UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY PER OBSERVATIONS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 315 PM EST MON NOV 21 2005)

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
STRONG TROUGH WILL CROSS SOUTHEASTERN U.S. TONIGHT AS ASSOCIATED
SURFACE LOW ALONG SOUTHEAST COAST CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AND MOVE
STEADILY TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST.  MAIN WEATHER MAKER FOR TONIGHT
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT DEFORMATION ZONE TO OUR NORTHWEST AND NORTH.
THIS FEATURE CONTAINS STRONG FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING FROM 850 MB
THROUGH 700 MB.  SIGNIFICANT UPWARD MOTION AND DEEP MOISTURE WILL
COMBINE TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH AMOUNTS POSSIBLY IN EXCESS OF
ONE INCH ACROSS MOUNTAINS INTO NORTHERN PIEDMONT COUNTIES.  ON BACK
SIDE OF PRECIPITATION... COLD AIR WILL SPREAD INTO MOUNTAINS
RESULTING IN A GRADUAL LOWERING OF SNOW LEVEL.  SNOW LEVEL WILL
LOWER TO APPROXIMATELY 4500 FT BY 06Z THEN BETWEEN 3500 AND 400 FT
BY 12Z.  EXPECT AROUND ONE INCH OF SNOW ABOVE 4000 FT BY 12Z.  AT
MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS IN MOUNTAINS... SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN IN THE MID 30S TUESDAY MORNING.  ACROSS NC PIEDMONT...
UPSTATE SC... AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA... TUESDAY MORNING
TEMPERATURES WILL BE BETWEEN 40 AND 45. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREAE
IN SPEED OVERNIGHT BUT GUSTS BY MORNING SHOULD NOT BE MUCH HIGHER
THAN 20 MPH.

AS THE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO FILL AND MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION
TOMORROW...SNOW EVENT ACROSS THE HIGH MOUNTAINS WILL TRANSITION TO
MORE OF A TRADITIONAL NORTHWEST FLOW SCENARIO. HOWEVER...THERE WILL
BE SOME SYNOPTIC SCALE SUPPORT...AS SW TROUGHS ROTATE THROUGH THE
MEAN LONG WAVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. H8 FLOW OF 30-35 KTS...A
RATHER DEEP MOISTURE PROFILE...AND EXTREMELY STEEP LAPSE RATES BELOW
800 MB SUGGEST SNOW SHOWERS PRODUCING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ARE
LIKELY ALONG THE TN BORDER TOMORROW. HOWEVER...THERMAL PROFILES ARE
NOT IDEAL FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION UNTIL LATE TOMORROW
AFTERNOON/EVENING...AT WHICH TIME SYNOPTIC SCALE SUPPORT WILL BE
WANING. WE WILL ISSUE A SNOW ADVISORY FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TOMORROW NIGHT. EXPECT TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS IN THE 2-3 RANGE...WITH
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

SNOW SHOWERS WILL END ALONG THE TENN BORDER BY EARLY WED MORNING...
AND FLOW ACTUALLY VEERS STRONGLY TO THE SOUTHWEST BY THE
AFTERNOON...IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS
THE REGION WED NIGHT/EARLY THU.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...
FROPA EARLY IN THE PERIOD SHOULD BE DRY...ALTHOUGH EXPECT ANOTHER
ROUND OF UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS IN THE POST-FRONTAL NORTHWEST FLOW
SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS EVENT IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE AS SIGNIFICANT AS THE TUESDAY EVENT. OTHERWISE... DRY
HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD REMAIN RIDGED INTO THE AREA THROUGH MOST OF THE
EXTENDED. THE GFS IS DEVELOPING SOME MOIST UPGLIDE OVER THE SURFACE
RIDGE OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT WILL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST ATTM.

AVIATION...
IFR CONDITIONS WILL PREDOMINATE DURING THE EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT.  LOW
CLOUDS AND WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL ACCOMPANY PASSAGE OF STRONG
TROUGH AND DEFORMATION ZONE. HEAVIER CONVECTIVE RAINFALL WILL
ACCOMPANY DEFORMATION ZONE WHERE FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING APPEARS TO
BE RATHER STRONG.  THIS FEATURE WILL CROSS AREA FROM WEST TO EAST
BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z RESULTING IN MVFR CONDITIONS AT MOST TERMINALS
AFTER 09Z.  RAIN WILL BECOME MIXED WITH SNOW VICINITY AVL BETWEEN
06Z AND 12Z.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029 UNTIL 6 AM
     TUESDAY.
NC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082 UNTIL 6
     AM TUESDAY.
  ...SNOW ADVISORY FOR NCZ033-048>052-058 FROM MIDNIGHT TUESDAY TO
     6 AM WEDNESDAY.
SC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR SCZ001>014-019 UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...JAT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
614 AM EST MON NOV 21 2005

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ034>037-054>057-066>072-082-SCZ004>014-019-
221115-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-CALDWELL-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-
MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-POLK-RUTHERFORD-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-
GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
614 AM EST MON NOV 21 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT
OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AS WELL AS WESTERN NORTH AND SOUTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH
THIS EVENING. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS...IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHEN THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL IS ANTICIPATED. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A BIT MORE
SCATTERED FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA
OVERNIGHT...BUT MOST OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA WILL CONTINUE TO
SEE RAIN DURING THE NIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE EXPERIENCED FOR MOST FOOTHILL
AND PIEDMONT LOCATIONS TUESDAY...BUT SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR
AND AT THIS TIME...NO RAIN IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS
ON TUESDAY. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER...ALBEIT COOL AND AT TIMES
BREEZY...WILL DOMINATE THE LONGER RANGES OF THE FORECAST. CLOUDS
ARE EXPECTED TO THICKEN AND LOWER AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THANKSGIVING DAY IN NORTH CAROLINA...AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE BUT ONLY VERY SMALL CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION ARE ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT ANY INFORMATION ON
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OR WIND SPEEDS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY WOULD BE
APPRECIATED.

GAZ010-017-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-SCZ001>003-221115-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
614 AM EST MON NOV 21 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF
NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RAIN WILL AFFECT THE MOUNTAINS MOST OF TODAY...BECOMING A BIT
HEAVIER TOWARD EVENING. OVERNIGHT...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO
LOWER FREEZING LEVELS...WITH PRECIPITATION GRADUALLY TRANSITIONING
TO A RAIN/SNOW MIXTURE...AND BECOMING ALL SNOW IN THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS BY TUESDAY MORNING. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF
A BRIEF RAIN/SNOW MIXTURE IN THE HIGHER GEORGIA MOUNTAINS ALSO.

BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY...SNOWFALL MAY ACCUMULATE UP TO TWO INCHES AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER. TRACE AMOUNTS MAY
REACH AS FAR INTO THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINS AS ASHEVILLE AND BREVARD.

TEMPERATURES WILL TUMBLE INTO THE 20S OVERNIGHT...WITH WIND SPEEDS
INCREASING TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH. WIND GUSTS AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS COULD APPROACH 50 MPH BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TUESDAY
MORNING...ENDING FROM THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON AS PRECIPITATION
TRANSITIONS BACK TO A RAIN/SNOW MIXTURE IN MOUNTAIN VALLEYS WITH
DAYTIME HEATING. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF ACCUMULATION MAY FALL AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS TUESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB ONLY A
BIT WITH CONTINUED NORTHWEST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO
NEAR 50 MPH POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WIND CHILLS COULD
BRIEFLY FALL BELOW ZERO TUESDAY NIGHT AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

A FAST-MOVING UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL RETURN GUSTY WINDS AND THE
CHANCE OF SNOW TO TENNESSEE BORDER AREAS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THANKSGIVING MORNING. AS OF NOW...IT APPEARS SOME LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS MAY BE OBSERVED NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER WITH THIS SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT. HOWEVER...ANY
INFORMATION TRAINED SPOTTERS CAN PROVIDE REGARDING RAINFALL OR
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...ALONG WITH WIND SPEEDS...WOULD BE GREATLY
APPRECIATED.

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