Flash Flood Warning 39, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 042212
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
608 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2005

GAC137-042345-
HABERSHAM GA-
612 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 745 PM EDT FOR HABERSHAM 
COUNTY...

AT 600 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A 
COUPLE OF SMALL SHOWERS DRIFTING SLOWLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF 
THE COUNTY.  ONE OF THE SHOWERS WAS OVER THE BASIN IN THE 
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE COUNTY...WHERE EARLIER FLASH FLOODING WAS 
REPORTED.  THIS WILL LIKELY KEEP SMALL STREAMS IN THAT AREA RUNNING 
HIGH WITH SOME LOCATIONS CONTINUING TO FLOOD EARLY THIS EVENING.  
SOME FLOODING WAS REPORTED AROUND CLARKESVILLE AND DEMOREST. 

DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  MOST FLOOD DEATHS ARE ASSOCIATED 
WITH VEHICLES DRIVEN INTO FLOOD WATER.

LAT...LON 3451 8364 3451 8342 3469 8342 3469 8364

$$
JONES

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 042343
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
742 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2005

GAC137-042352-
HABERSHAM GA-
742 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR HABERSHAM COUNTY EXPIRES AT 745 PM 
EDT...

AT 740 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THE RAIN HAD COME TO AN END ACROSS HABERSHAM COUNTY AND FLASH 
FLOODING REPORTED EARLIER HAD SUBSIDED. WATER LEVELS REMAIN HIGH 
THOUGH ACROSS PARTS OF THE COUNTY AND IF THUNDERSTORMS 
REDEVELOP...RENEWED FLOODING MAY OCCUR.

LAT...LON 3451 8364 3451 8342 3469 8342 3469 8364

$$

CSH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
325 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BLOSSOMING ON RADAR AT THIS HOUR APPEAR
TIED TO LOW LEVEL FORCING MECHANISMS OF SOUTHERLY UPSLOPE FLOW AND
WIND CONVERGENCE. ALTHOUGH NEITHER MECHANISM IS VERY STRONG...MOIST
SOUNDINGS EXHIBITING PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 2 INCHES
REQUIRE VERY LITTLE LIFTING TO PRODUCE SHOWERS. THE POSSIBILITY OF
TERRAIN ANCHORING EXISTS IN THE SW MTNS...AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS UNTIL INSTABILITY
AND UPSLOPE FLOW DIMINISH.

CONVECTION FORMING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...COULD ORGANIZE AND MAKE A RUN AT THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW GIVEN STEERING FLOW.
WESTERN MOUNTAIN PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL THUS INCREASE AGAIN
TOWARD DAYBREAK. HIGHEST CHANCES THEN CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW IN
WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS NEARER WEAK H5 SHORTWAVE AND MCS
DEBRIS. MID LEVEL DRYING WILL ALSO YIELD FAIRLY HIGH EQUIVALENT
POTENTIAL TEMPERATURE LAPSE RATES BY TUE AFTN...SO SEVERE WIND GUST
POTENTIAL WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED WITH SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION.

SOUNDINGS ALSO FEATURE THE POTENTIAL FOR RESTRICTED VSBY LATE
TONIGHT GIVEN ONSET OF MID LEVEL DRYING AND FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL
INCREASE IN MIXING RATIO. WILL JUST MENTION PATCHY FOG FOR NOW GIVEN
UNCERTAINTY WITH CLOUD COVER...BUT VSBY TRENDS WILL NEED MONITORING.

COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE SLOWER 12Z NAM INDICATES AN MCS TYPE SYSTEM LATE
TUESDAY EVENING ACROSS THE PIEDMONT. ETA BUFKIT SOUNDINGS FOR KCLT
HAVE CAPE MAXING OUT AT 01Z WED AROUND 1700 J/KG...WITH DECENT LOW
TO MID LEVEL LAPES RATES. HOWEVER...NOT A LOT OF UPPER DYNAMIC
SUPPORT AS WEAK RIDGING MOVES ACROSS THE AREA AND H5 DPVA LEVELS
LOOK TO REMAIN FAIRLY LOW. SO...BUMPED UP POPS ACROSS THE PIEDMONT
TO HIGH CHANCE TUESDAY EVENING. THICKNESS LEVELS MODIFY QUICKLY
WEDNESDAY AND SEE NO REASON FOR TEMPS NOT TO REACH GUIDANCE LEVELS
IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE 12Z GFS SEEMS TO BE HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME WITH THE TROPICAL
SYSTEMS AFFECTING THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE LATER PERIODS. THE MODEL
HAS THE REMNANT OF TD 3 SHOOTING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST WELL AHEAD
THE OFFICIAL NHC TRACK. ON SATURDAY...THE GFS BRINGS ANOTHER
TROPICAL STORM INTO THE SOUTHEAST. OTHER MODELS ARE HINTING AT A
TROPICAL FEATURE OVER THE WEEKEND...HOWEVER NONE ARE AS ORGANIZED OR
BOLD AS THE GFS. ANYWAY...IN THE MEANTIME WILL GO WITH DGEX AND HPC
GUIDANCE WITH THE LONG RANGE PATTERN. THE 06Z DGEX KEEPS GENERAL
UPPER TROFFINESS OVER THE EAST COAST BEGINNING FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY. MEANWHILE...A FALL LIKE SFC HIGH BUILDS ACROSS THE
TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS AND LOWERS THICKNESSES ACROSS THE CWA TO
THE LOWER 570S. MOISTURE LOOKS LIMITED THROUGH THIS TIME AS WELL AND
HAVE KEPT POPS LOW TO SLIGHT. DGEX HAS ATLANTIC MOISTURE BEING
ROBBED FROM AN OFFSHORE TROPICAL SYSTEM AND A DEEP NORTHWEST FLOW
SHOULD KEEP THINGS PRETTY DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
TWO MECHANISMS OF TSRA ACTIVITY WILL AFFECT THE TERMINAL LOCATIONS
THROUGH 00Z THIS EVENING. LIGHT UPSLOPE FLOW INTO THE SRN MTNS WILL
KEEP THE BEST CHANCES OF TSRA NEAR KAVL FROM 18Z TO 00Z...WITH VCTS
LIKELY DEVELOPING FARTHER SOUTH INTO THE UPSTATE FROM KAND TO KGSP
AT SOME POINT. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL ALSO FORCE NUMEROUS
SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED TSRA FROM NEAR KCLT TO KHKY. MID LEVELS WILL
DRY SOMEWHAT OVERNIGHT WITH A SLIGHLTY ENHANCED FOG POTENTIAL BY
DAYBREAK TUE...ESPECIALLY AT TERMINAL LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVE RAIN
TODAY. RESIDUAL SHRA FROM UPSTREAM MCS DEVELOPMENT LATE TONIGHT
COULD ALSO AFFECT KAVL BY DAYBREAK...BUT WITH LOW PROBABILITY AT
PRESENT.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR GAZ010 UNTIL MIDNIGHT TUESDAY.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NCZ051>053-058-059-062>065 UNTIL
     MIDNIGHT TUESDAY.
SC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...HG/SBK
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...HG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
600 AM EDT MON JUL 4 2005

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-
SCZ001>014-019-051015-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
600 AM EDT MON JUL 4 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
MUCH OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP TODAY. RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY BECOME
LOCALLY EXCESSIVE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1158 AM EDT MON JUL 4 2005

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-042200-
ABBEVILLE-ALEXANDER-ANDERSON-AVERY-BUNCOMBE-BURKE NC-CABARRUS-
CALDWELL-CATAWBA-CHEROKEE SC-CHESTER-CLEVELAND-DAVIE-ELBERT-
FRANKLIN GA-GASTON-GRAHAM-GREATER GREENVILLE-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREENWOOD-HABERSHAM-HART-
HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-IREDELL-LAURENS SC-LINCOLN NC-MACON NC-MADISON NC-
MCDOWELL-MECKLENBURG-MITCHELL NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-POLK NC-RABUN-ROWAN-RUTHERFORD-
SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-SPARTANBURG-STEPHENS-SWAIN-TRANSYLVANIA-UNION NC-
UNION SC-YANCEY-YORK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABBEVILLE...ANDERSON...ASHEVILLE...
BREVARD...CHARLOTTE...CHEROKEE...CHESTER...CLARKESVILLE...CLAYTON...
CONCORD...ELBERTON...FRANKLIN...GAFFNEY...GASTONIA...GREENVILLE...
GREENWOOD...HARTWELL...HENDERSONVILLE...HICKORY...LAURENS...
LINCOLNTON...MARION...MOCKSVILLE...MONROE...MORGANTON...NEWLAND...
ROCK HILL...RUTHERFORDTON...SALISBURY...SHELBY...SPARTANBURG...
SPRUCE PINE...STATESVILLE...SYLVA...TOCCOA...TRYON...UNION...
WAYNESVILLE
1158 AM EDT MON JUL 4 2005

...ISOLATED FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

A VERY MOIST AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
RESULTING. STREAMS...CREEKS...AND RIVERS CONTINUE TO RUN AT
ELEVATED LEVELS DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL...AND ANY LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN FROM THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ISOLATED FLASH
FLOODING.

ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH. IF YOU ARE ENGAGING IN
ANY OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES THIS HOLIDAY...IT WILL BE IMPERATIVE THAT
YOU KEEP AN EYE ON THE SKY. IF YOU HEAR THUNDER...THAT IS THE SIGNAL
THAT IT IS TIME TO MOVE INDOORS. IF YOU LIVE NEAR ANY STREAMS OR
CREEKS...OR ARE HIKING OR CAMPING NEAR STREAMS...BE PREPARED TO MOVE
QUICKLY TO HIGHER GROUND IF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AFFECTS YOUR
LOCATION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS...OR YOUR FAVORITE
MEDIA OUTLET...FOR THE LATEST UPDATES.

GERAPETRITIS