Flash Flood Warning 37, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 040512
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
110 AM EDT MON JUL 4 2005

NCC027-040800-
CALDWELL NC-
110 AM EDT MON JUL 4 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 400 AM EDT FOR WESTERN
CALDWELL COUNTY...

AT 110 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE HEADWATERS 
OF WILSON CREEK...IN WESTERN CALDWELL COUNTY. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO EDGEMONT... 
MORTIMER...AND BROWN MOUNTAIN BEACH CAMPGROUND.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA THROUGH 200 AM. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WILL PUSH WILSON 
CREEK AND HARPER CREEK OUT OF THEIR BANKS. EXPECT RAPID RISES IN THE 
WILSON CREEK GORGE...RESULTING IN A SERIOUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO KNOW WHERE YOU ARE RELATIVE TO 
STREAMS...RIVERS...OR CREEKS WHICH CAN BECOME KILLERS IN HEAVY 
RAINS. CAMPERS AND HIKERS SHOULD AVOID STREAMS OR CREEKS.

LAT...LON 3596 8181 3585 8167 3604 8156 3610 8172

$$

MOORE

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 040628
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
225 AM EDT MON JUL 4 2005

NCC027-040800-
CALDWELL NC-
225 AM EDT MON JUL 4 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 400 AM EDT FOR WESTERN
CALDWELL COUNTY...

AT 200 AM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED A 
SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOOD ALONG WILSON CREEK AT EDGEMONT. NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT RAIN HAD TAPERED OFF IN 
WESTERN CALDWELL COUNTY. HOWEVER...RUNOFF FROM EARLIER HEAVY RAIN 
WILL CONTINUE TO FILL THE BASIN OF WILSON CREEK.

FLOOD WATERS ARE MOVING DOWN HARPER CREEK...AND DOWN WILSON CREEK 
FROM EDGEMONT TO BROWN MOUNTAIN BEACH CAMP GROUND. THIS IS A SERIOUS 
SITUATION. IF YOU ARE CAMPING ALONG WILSON CREEK IN WESTERN CALDWELL 
COUNTY...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY TO ESCAPE THE RISING 
FLOOD WATERS 

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. IT IS IMPORTANT TO KNOW WHERE
YOU ARE RELATIVE TO STREAMS...RIVERS...OR CREEKS WHICH CAN BECOME
KILLERS IN HEAVY RAINS. CAMPERS AND HIKERS SHOULD AVOID STREAMS OR
CREEKS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR CAR INTO AREAS WHERE WATER IS CROSSING THE ROAD. 
WATER ONLY ONE OR TWO FEET DEEP CAN BE POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP A 
VEHICLE OFF THE ROAD. TURN AROUND...DO NOT DROWN

LAT...LON 3596 8181 3585 8167 3604 8156 3610 8172

$$

MOORE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
937 PM EDT SUN JUL 3 2005

.SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
00Z KGSO SNDG SHOWS A VERY UNSTABLE AND MOIST AMOSPHERE...CAPES OF
NEARLY 3000 J/KG AND A PWAT OF 2 INCHES...150 PERCENT OF NORMAL
...WITH A FAVORABLE SE FLOW FROM THE SFC-750 MB. ALOFT...ADDITIONAL
LARGE SCALE LIFT PROVIDED BY MID-LVL S/WV WILL CONTINUE TO TREK EAST
INTO THE NIGHT. 88D LOOPS INDICATE TSTMS DECREASING ACRS THE NC MTNS
BUT ONGOING/RENEWED ACTIVITY ALONG CONVERGENCE AXIS ALONG OR JUST
NORTH OF I-85. LLVL FLOW WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO DIMINISH/VEER AND
GIVEN VERY FAVORABLE PROFILE/ANDECENT CONDITIONS FOR FLASH FLOODING
WILL EXTENT CURRENT FFA UNTIL 6 AM AND EXPAND EAST WHERE HEAVIEST
RNFL IS CURRENTLY OCCURRING.
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 327 PM EDT SUN JUL 3 2005)

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT)...
CONVERGENCE ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE COLD AIR DAMMING IS RESULTING IN
A RING OF CONVECTION FROM THE MIDLANDS TO NORTHERN GA THEN NORTH
INTO ERN TN. DEEPER INTO THE CAD THERE HAS ALSO BEEN QUITE A BIT OF
CONVECTION...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE LEE SLOPES AND ACROSS A SOMEWHAT
WEAKER TMB ACROSS THE SRN UPSTATE AND NE GA. HOWEVER...THE ACTIVITY
HAS DECREASED IN INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE THE PAST HOUR OR TWO.

PLAN TO CONTINUE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT. WITH THE
SHORT WAVE YET TO CROSS THE MTNS AND LOW 70 DWPTS AND UPSLOPE
FLOW...THERE IS PLENTY OF TIME FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE ACROSS THE CWFA. LAPS SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW
PWATS OVER 2 INCHES...AND 0-6KM BULK SHEAR IS ON THE ORDER OF 30 TO
35 KTS. THERE HAS BEEN CLEARING AND TEMPERATURE RECOVERY ACROSS THE
SRN AND SW MTNS AS WELL...AND EXPECT THAT SOME OF THE STRONGER  NEW
STORMS MAY FIRE OUT THAT WAY. WL CUT POPS BACK TO CHANCE AFTER
MIDNIGHT...BUT WITH LINGERING UPSLOPE FLOW...WL NOT REMOVE THEM
COMPLETELY.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
MID/UPPER HEIGHTS PROGGED TO RISE ON MONDAY...AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
NORTHWARD FROM THE FLORIDA COAST. ASSOCIATED WARMING MID LEVEL TEMPS
AND MID/UPPER DRYING SHOULD REDUCE COVERAGE OF CONVECTION ACROSS THE
CWFA ON MONDAY...ALTHOUGH WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR CONVECTION BECMG
SOMEWHAT ORGANIZED ALONG ANY COLD POOLS (BUT SHEAR APPEARS TO BE TOO
WEAK FOR THAT ATTM.) IN ADDITION...WEAK CAP INDICATED ON NAM
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATES CONVECTION MAY NOT REALLY GET GOING
UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. WILL RETAIN PREVIOUS FORECAST OF 40 POP MNTNS
AND 30 POP EAST. THE BETTER CHANCE FOR CONVECTION MAY ACTUALLY BE
TOMORROW EVENING...AS NAM DEPICTS SW TROUGH RIDING OVER THE UPPER
RIDGE BY LATE IN THE DAY. THIS RESULTS IN A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHEAR
AND COOLING AT CAP LEVEL...SO WILL RETAIN CHANCE POPS THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT.

FOR TUESDAY...FLOW BEGINS TO FLATTEN IN RESPONSE TO A FAIRLY
SIGNIFICANT TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE MISS VALLEY...WITH ATM LESS
CAPPED AND MORE SHEARED...ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS LESS IMPRESSIVE.
WILL FEATURE POPS SIMILAR TO THAT OF MONDAY. ONCE AGAIN...WILL
EXTEND POPS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO WED...AS SW TROUGH AND
SURFACE FRONT MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.

TYPICAL UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN THE EXTENDED...AS MUCH WILL DEPEND ON
FUTURE EVOLUTION OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. IF THE GFS VERIFIES...WE
MAY EXPERIENCE A RARE RESPITE FROM JULY CONVECTION LATE THIS
WEEK...AS THE GFS DEPICTS UNSEASONABLY DRY AIR FILTERING INTO THE
AREA. FOR NOW...WILL FEATURE POPS AROUND CLIMO...GENERALLY 20 TO 30%
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA.

AVIATION...
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN AND A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL KEEP
CIGS AND VSBYS LOW FOR A WHILE ACROSS THE UPSTATE. WL ALSO TEMP IN
SOME LOWER CIGS AND VSBYS AT KHKY AND KAVL WHERE UPSLOPE SHOULD HELP
REDEVELOP CONVECTION IN THESE AREAS THE NEXT FEW HRS. WL IMPROVE
CONDITIONS FOR A WHILE LATE THIS AFTN AND EVENING...BUT WL KEEP LGT
PREVAILING SHRA IN AS UPSLOPE SHOULD KEEP QUITE A BIT OF SHRA
ACTIVITY IN THE AREA. WL TAKE CIGS AND VSBYS DOWN TO LOW END MVFR
LATER TNGT...EXCEPT AT KAVL AND KAND WHERE I WENT IFR. WITH HIGH
DEWPOINTS...WIDESPREAD RAIN AND HIGH DEWPOINTS WE SHOULD SEE
WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND FOG.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-028 UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NCZ033>037-049-050-053>057-062>069-072
     UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SCZ001>007-010 UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...CSH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
542 AM EDT SUN JUL 3 2005

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-
SCZ001>014-019-040945-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
542 AM EDT SUN JUL 3 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
MUCH OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
UNTIL MIDNIGHT. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE
NORTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THESE STORMS COULD RESULT IN AREAS OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER
VALLEY AND UPSTATE MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
756 PM EDT SUN JUL 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 PM     TSTM WND DMG     12 SE ANDERSON          34.40N 82.50W
07/03/2005                   ANDERSON           SC   NWS STORM SURVEY

            NWS SURVEY FOUND GUSTS TO 70 MPH KNOCKED DOWN NUMEROUS
            TREES AND POWER LINES WHICH CAUSED SOME DAMAGE WHEN THEY
            FELL. ALSO...ADDITIONAL REPORTS OF SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
            NEARBY WHICH WAS NOT SURVEYED. MUCH OF THE DAMAGE ALONG
            JONES CHAPEL ROAD.

0125 PM     HAIL             12 SE ANDERSON          34.40N 82.50W
07/03/2005  2.75 INCH        ANDERSON           SC   NWS STORM SURVEY

            DURING SURVEY THERE WAS ONE REPORT FROM PUBLIC OF
            BASEBALL HAIL...TWO REPORTS OF HEN EGG HAIL...AND
            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF GOLF BALL HAIL IN THE AREA BOUNDED BY
            HIGHWAYS 28/413/284/185/20 IN SOUTHERN ANDERSON COUNTY.

0140 PM     TORNADO          5 NNW DUE WEST          34.40N 82.42W
07/03/2005                   ABBEVILLE          SC   NWS STORM SURVEY

            NWS SURVEY FOUND F0 TO F1 TORNADO TRACK OF 3/4 MILE TO 1
            MILE ALONG HIGHWAY 185 NORTH OF DUE WEST. MOST DEBRIS
            BLOWN TO THE EAST OR SOUTHEAST...BUT CONVERGING DAMAGE
            PATTERN NOTED ALONG NORTH SIDE OF TRACK WHERE DEBRIS WAS
            BLOWN BACK TO THE WEST OR NORTHWEST.

0140 PM     HAIL             5 NNW DUE WEST          34.40N 82.42W
07/03/2005  1.00 INCH        ABBEVILLE          SC   NWS STORM SURVEY

            PUBLIC RELAYED REPORT IN AREA OF TORNADO TRACK

0155 PM     HAIL             DONALDS                 34.38N 82.35W
07/03/2005  1.00 INCH        ABBEVILLE          SC   NWS STORM SURVEY

            PUBLIC RELAYED REPORT. SURVEY NOTED DENTED VEHICLES FROM
            THE HAIL.

&&

JONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1000 PM EDT SUN JUL 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CHINA GROVE             35.57N 80.58W
07/03/2005                   ROWAN              NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            COUNTY COMMS REPORTED THAT SEVERAL ROADS WERE UNDER WATER
            IN THE LANDIS AND CHINA GROVE AREAS.

0955 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LINCOLNTON              35.48N 81.25W
07/03/2005                   LINCOLN            NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            WATER KNEE TO WAIST DEEP IN SEVERE URBAN FLOODING E MAIN
            STREET AREA WITH CARS STRANDED AND CREWS DISPATCHED FOR
            RESCUE

&&

JONES