Flash Flood Warning 21, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 270804
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
404 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2005

SCC045-271245-
GREENVILLE SC-
404 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 845 AM EDT FOR GREENVILLE
COUNTY...

AT 353 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL MOVING FROM CENTRAL 
GREENVILLE COUNTY INTO NORTHERN GREENVILLE COUNTY. ADDITIONAL 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING IN NORTHERN LAURENS 
COUNTY...AND MOVING NORTHWEST TOWARD CENTRAL GREENVILLE COUNTY. 
RAINFALL WILL RUN OFF INTO STREAMS AND CREEKS...CAUSING THEM TO RISE 
OUT OF THEIR BANKS.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO TRAVELERS 
REST...TIGERVILLE...TAYLORS...MARIETTA AND GREER. THE AREA BETWEEN 
GREENVILLE AND GREER IS EXPECTED TO SEE THE FASTEST RISE IN WATER 
LEVELS AS THE GREATEST AMOUNT OF RECENT RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED THERE.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 3458 8241 3466 8208 3476 8222 3519 8224
      3512 8258

$$

07

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 270917
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
515 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2005

SCC045-271245-
GREENVILLE SC-
515 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 845 AM EDT FOR GREENVILLE
COUNTY...

AT 509 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WERE MOVING OUT OF 
NORTHERN GREENVILLE COUNTY. RUNOFF FROM EARLIER RAIN WILL CONTINUE 
FOR SEVERAL HOURS...AND STREAMS AND CREEKS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE. 
THE AREA BETWEEN GREENVILLE AND GREER WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE
TO RISING WATER.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO TRAVELERS
REST...TIGERVILLE...TAYLORS...MARIETTA AND GREER.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3458 8241 3466 8208 3476 8222 3519 8224
      3512 8258

$$

07

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 271036
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
635 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2005

SCC045-271245-
GREENVILLE SC-
635 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 845 AM EDT FOR GREENVILLE
COUNTY...

AT 635 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THE BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL HAD MOVED 
NORTH INTO THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER 
PIEDMONT AND MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE UPSTATE.

THE LATEST STAGE ON THE REEDY RIVER IN GREENVILLE WAS 7.72 
FEET...JUST BELOW THE FLOOD STAGE OF 8.0 FEET. FLOODING WILL LIKELY 
DEVELOP THIS MORNING IN THE CLEVELAND PARK AREA IN GREENVILLE. 
BRUSHY CREEK IN THE DEL NORTE SECTION OF EAST GREENVILLE ALSO 
REPORTED VERY ELEVATED STREAM LEVELS. ISOLATED STREET FLOODING MAY 
ALSO LINGER IN TRAVELERS REST...TIGERVILLE...TAYLORS...MARIETTA AND 
GREER.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. TURN AROUND AND FIND ANOTHER ROUTE.

LAT...LON 3458 8241 3466 8208 3476 8222 3519 8224
      3512 8258

$$
HG

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 271243
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
841 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2005

SCC045-271251-
GREENVILLE SC-
841 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR GREENVILLE COUNTY EXPIRES AT 845 AM
EDT...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL AROUND THE COUNTY HAS TAPERED OFF.  THE AUTOMATED 
GAGE AT TRAVELERS REST REPORTED 2.70 INCHES OF RAIN OVERNIGHT.  SOME 
SMALL STREAMS MAY STILL BE RUNNING VERY HIGH OR OUT OF THEIR 
BANKS...BUT THE THREAT OF NEW FLASH FLOODING HAS DIMINISHED.

THE LOWER ENDS OF SOME CREEKS SUCH AS GILDER MAY CONTINUE TO 
GRADUALLY RISE FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS MORNING.

LAT...LON 3458 8241 3466 8208 3476 8222 3519 8224
      3512 8258

$$
JONES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1012 PM EDT SUN JUN 26 2005

.SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
AFTER A BRIEF BREAK IN CONVECTION...SHRA ERUPTING FROM AVL SOUTH TO
GSP/AND TO GRD. APPEARS TO HAVE A CONNECTION WITH TSRA COMPLEX THAT
DISSIPATED JUST SOUTH OF OUR CWFA. 00Z RAOBS SHOW TROPICAL AIR MASS
REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA. THIS COMBINED WITH WEAK WAVES...H85 TROF
AND SLOWLY INCREASING UPSLOPE FLOW WILL KEEP SHRA AROUND ALL NITE.
CURRENT FCST WITH HIGHER POP ALONG THE ESCARPMENT STILL LOOKS GOOD.
HAVE RAISED LOWS A DEGREE OR TWO BASED ON CURRENT TEMPS...DEW POINTS
AND CLOUDS. HAVE LOWERED WINDS A LITTLE AS WELL.
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 237 PM EDT SUN JUN 26 2005)

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
CWFA TO REMAIN WITHIN TROPICAL ATLANTIC FETCH OF MOISTURE ALONG NE
SIDE OF WELL DEFINED UPPER LOW SPINNING OFF TO OUR SW. LIFT FROM
MODERATELY DEEP ESE FLOW AND VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT WILL CONTINUE
TO PROMOTE NUMEROUS SHOWER DEVELOPMENT ALONG WITH A FEW TSTMS INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. OVERNIGHT...LOWER AND MID LEVEL FLOW WILL WEAKEN
AND TAKE ON MORE SOUTHERLY COMPONENT...AND GIVEN TIME OF DAY...WILL
TAPER POPS BACK TO SCATTERED...BUT KEEP NUMEROUS CVRG GOING ALL
NIGHT ALONG THE FAVORABLE TERRAIN OF THE MTNS/FTHLS.

THE WESTERN CAROLINAS WILL REMAIN IN THE RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
ON MONDAY WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW GRADUALLY VEERING AROUND TO A MORE
SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION. THE LATEST ETA SHOWS A TREND TOWARD
WARMER AND WETTER MID LEVELS...WHICH CUTS DOWN ON CAPE AND THETA E
LAPSE RATES. AGREE WITH LATEST DAY 2 OUTLOOK THAT SITUATION STILL
BEARS WATCHING THOUGH. FAVOR THE GENERALLY WARMER MAV GUIDANCE FOR
THE TEMPS...PARTICULARLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. THERE
SHOULD BE ENOUGH HOLES IN THE CLOUD COVER TO ALLOW TEMPS TO WARM
EFFECTIVELY AND QUICKLY.

AS LONG AS WEAK UPPER LOW REMAINS TO OUR WEST AND NORTH...AS IT DOES
IN THE PERIOD FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WE SHOULD REMAIN
FAVORABLE TO DIURNAL CONVECTION. IN SPITE OF POOR CAPE SHOWN BY
MODELS...THINK SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
ARE A PRETTY GOOD BET AND WILL BE KEPT. LITTLE CHANGE NEEDS TO BE
MADE TO TEMPS WHICH GENERALLY AGREE WITH GUIDANCE.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS REMAIN IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH LIFTING OUT
REMAINING ENERGY FROM WEAK UPPER LOW ACROSS THE SRN APPALACHIANS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE MAINLY DIURNAL
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES GOING THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK.

THE GFS SHOWS A STRONG UPPER TROF MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS CANADA LATE
IN THE WEEK...WHICH SUPPRESSES THE UPPER ANTICYCLONE A BIT FARTHER S
ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA AND NUDGES THE WESTERLIES EVER SO SLIGHTLY
SOUTH. IF THIS WORKS OUT...IT WILL ALLOW A SURFACE BOUNDARY TO FALL
DOWN ACROSS TN AND NC ON FRIDAY...AND STALL WEST TO EAST FOR THE
WEEKEND. WEAK SHORT WAVES CAUGHT IN THE FAST MOVING NEARLY ZONAL
FLOW COULD FORCE MCS DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE EAST TO WEST ORIENTED
BOUNDARY EACH DAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE KEPT IN THE CHANCE RANGE
FOR ALL THREE DAYS...WITH LESS OF A TENDENCY FOR THE LATE
NIGHT/EARLY MORNING LULL.

AVIATION...
88D CVRG AT 18 UTC INDICATES SHOWER CVRG WIDESPREAD ENUF FOR
TEMPO GROUPS AT ALL TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL CONTINUE
TO HINT AT TSTM CHANCES JUST AT KCLT WITH A VCTS MENTION FOR NOW.
MVFR CIGS CONTINUE AT KGSP/KAND THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL TREND
TO VFR WITH SOME DEGREE OF MIXING...THE SAME SHOULD HOLD TRUE FOR
KAVL...WHERE RECENT SHOWERS HAVE DROPPED THEM TO IFR. LATER THIS
EVENING...WILL CONFINE TEMPO SHOWER THREAT TO KAVL/KHKY THANKS
TO FAVORABLE TERRAIN ORIENTATION AND JUST VCSH EVERYWHERE ELSE.
12 UTC MOS GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN CONTINUING TO ADVERTISE
A PERIOD OF IFR CLDS AT ALL TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT LASTING UNTIL
MID-MORNING MONDAY.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...RWH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
553 AM EDT SUN JUN 26 2005

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-
SCZ001>014-019-271000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
553 AM EDT SUN JUN 26 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
MUCH OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION MAY PRODUCE AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM LATE TODAY. THE SHOWERS COULD BE HEAVY IN A FEW
LOCATIONS...WITH MAXIMUM RAINFALL TOTALS NEARING AN INCH IN SPOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS...AND A GREATER NUMBER OF THUNDERSTORMS...ARE
EXPECTED ON MONDAY. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING COULD BE STRONG...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. A
FEW POCKETS OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. MAINLY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN MOST
LOCATIONS THROUGH THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE NEEDED.

HG