Severe Thunderstorm Warning 69, NWS Green Bay, WI

000 
WWUS53 KGRB 241429
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
927 AM CDT FRI JUN 24 2005

WIC069-241500-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0069.000000T0000Z-050624T1500Z/
LINCOLN WI-
927 AM CDT FRI JUN 24 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR
LINCOLN COUNTY...

AT 925 AM...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 65
MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPIRIT FALLS...OR
ABOUT 37 MILES NORTHWEST OF WAUSAU...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS HAD A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE 
HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  SPIRIT FALLS BY 935 AM...
  TOMAHAWK...HEAFFORD JUNCTION AND BRADLEY BY 950 AM...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND HAIL. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. IF OUTDOORS...GO TO A STURDY SHELTER.

LAT...LON 4538 9007 4522 9006 4532 8947 4555 8946
      4555 9002

$$

BRUSKY

000 
WWUS53 KGRB 241449
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
948 AM CDT FRI JUN 24 2005

WIC069-241500-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0069.000000T0000Z-050624T1500Z/
LINCOLN WI-
948 AM CDT FRI JUN 24 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR
LINCOLN COUNTY...

AT 947 AM...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY RADAR CAPABLE OF 
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 65 MPH.  THIS 
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TOMAHAWK...OR ABOUT 23 MILES SOUTHWEST OF 
RHINELANDER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HEAFFORD JUNCTION AND BRADLEY BY 955 AM...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND HAIL. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. IF OUTDOORS...GO TO A STURDY SHELTER.

LAT...LON 4537 9007 4522 9006 4532 8947 4555 8946
      4555 9002

$$

BRUSKY

000 
WWUS53 KGRB 241459
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
958 AM CDT FRI JUN 24 2005

WIC069-241508-
/O.EXP.KGRB.SV.W.0069.000000T0000Z-050624T1500Z/
LINCOLN WI-
958 AM CDT FRI JUN 24 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LINCOLN COUNTY EXPIRES AT 1000
AM CDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OUT OF THE COUNTY BY 10 
AM CDT AND WILL NO LONGER POSES A SIGNIFICANT THREAT.

LAT...LON 4537 9007 4522 9006 4532 8947 4555 8946
      4555 9002

$$

EB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
500 AM CDT FRI JUN 24 2005

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MAIN FCST CONCERNS ARE MAX TEMPS
TODAY...AND THE THREAT OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFT/EVG.

MSAS ANALYSIS SHOWED A COLD FRONT JUST ENTERING FAR NW WI EARLY THIS
MORNING. SATL AND WIND PROFILERS DEPICTED A S/W TROF MOVG THROUGH
EASTERN SD AND NEB. CONVECTION DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THIS DISTURBANCE HAD
EVOLVED INTO AN MCS...WHICH WAS SHIFTING THROUGH SW MN EARLY THIS
MORNING.

THE COLD FRONT IS FCST TO SHIFT SE INTO GRB CWA TODAY...GRADUALLY
WEAKENING AS IT DOES. WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THIS MORNING...A VERY
MILD START TO THE DAY...AND H8 TEMPS STILL +18 TO +20 ACROSS THE FA...
EXPECT TEMPS TO QUICKLY WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 TODAY.
MODIFIED FCST SOUNDINGS FOR THIS AFTERNOON SUGGEST FAIRLY STG
INSTABILITY...WITH CAPES AROUND 3000 J/KG AND LIS -6 TO -8. ALTHOUGH
SOME ISOLD CONVECTION COULD DEVELOP NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THIS
MORNING...MOST OF THE ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE
S/W TROF THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY...SOME OF THE
STORMS SHD BECOME SVR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SO HAVE ADDED MENTION
OF THIS IN THE ZFP. SHEAR IS NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE THOUGH...SO STORMS MAY
BE OF THE PULSE VARIETY.

EXPECT THE FRONT TO CONTINUE TO SAG SLOWLY SOUTH TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
BUT PRECIP CHCS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE S 1/2 OF THE CWA DUE TO THE
PASSING RRQ OF THE UPPER JET...A COUPLE S/W TROFS AND THE CLOSE
PROXIMITY OF THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS. TEMPS WILL BE COOLER ON
SATURDAY...MOST NOTABLY ALONG THE LKSHR...WHERE NE WINDS WILL KEEP MAX
TEMPS IN THE 70-75 RANGE.

.LONG TERM...SAT NGT THRU NXT THU. MAIN FCST CHALLENGE CONTS TO BE PCPN
TRENDS AS MDLS HAVING THEIR PBLMS DEALING WITH BOUNDARIES WAVERING
AROUND THE RGN. THE LOCATION AND TIMING OF THESE BOUNDARIES WL ALSO
IMPACT POTENTIAL MAX TEMPS NXT WEEK AS WELL.

STARTING SAT NGT...CDFNT EXPECTED TO PULL UP STNRY ALONG THE WI/IL
BORDER SAT NGT AS IT BECOMES PARALLEL WITH THE MEAN FLOW. WL NEED TO
KEEP A CHC OF SHWRS OR TSTMS THRU THE NGT ACROSS SRN SECTIONS OF THE
FCST AREA WITH THE FNT NEARBY. HI PRES OVR ONTARIO WL BE ABLE TO BRING
ENUF DRY AIR TO NRN WI TO KEEP THIS AREA PCPN-FREE WITH SKIES BECOMING
PARTLY CLDY. SHRTWV/UPR JET ENERGY EJECTING NE FROM THE WEST COAST UPR
TROF WL HELP STRENGTHEN LOW PRES OVR THE NRN PLAINS ON SUNDAY. SOUTHERLY
WNDS FCST TO INCREASE ACROSS THE PLAINS/MIDWEST AND HELP LIFT THE OLD
CDFNT NWD AS A WRMFNT. BEST DYNAMICS/INSTABILITY TO REMAIN TO OUR
WEST...HOWEVER ISEN LIFT OVR THIS WRMFNT SUFFICIENT ENUF TO KEEP MENTION
OF TSTMS IN THE FCST FOR SUNDAY. TEMPS SHOULD BE ABLE TO WARM INTO THE
LWR TO MID 80S (AWAY FROM LK MI) AS WNDS VEER MORE SOUTHERLY. WRMFNT TO
LIFT NORTH OF WI SUNDAY NGT THANKS TO PERSISTENT SOUTH OR SW WNDS. SINCE
THIS FNT STILL IN THE PROCESS OF CLEARING NRN WI...PREFER TO MENTION A
SML CHC POP FOR NRN WI SUNDAY EVENING. MILD NGT IN STORE WITH 8H TEMPS
AROUND +20C AND WNDS REMAINING UP THRU THE OVRNGT HRS.

NOT AS CLR CUT FOR EARLY NXT WEEK AS NEW GFS AND CANADIAN MDLS BRING
ANOTHER CDFNT INTO THE UPR MIDWEST ON MON AND PUSH THE FNT INTO THE WRN
GREAT LKS ON TUE. THIS TIMING IS ABT 24 HRS FASTER THAN ADVERTISED BY
PREV MDL RUNS. PCPN SHOULD REMAIN NEAR THE FNT SO WL CONT TO KEEP FCST
DRY FOR MON...BUT WITH FNT INTO WI ON TUE...WL HAVE TO INTRODUCE A CHC
OF SHWRS AND TSTMS TO NE WI FOR TUE. DUE TO MORE CLD CVR AND NEW PCPN
CHCS...HAD TO LWR MAX TEMPS FOR TUE AS WELL.

MAIN CRUX OF WEST COAST UPR TROF TO REACH THE NRN PLAINS BY WED WHICH WL
STALL CDFNT OVR WI. FNT ACTUALLY PROGGED TO START LIFTING BACK NORTH AS
WED WEARS ON SO PCPN CHCS TO CONT WITH FNT IN OUR VCNTY. SHRTWV TROF AND
SECONDARY MORE PRONOUNCED CDFNT TO PUSH INTO THE WRN GREAT LKS NXT THU.
PLENTY OF GULF MSTR TO BE AVBL TO INTERACT WITH INCREASING DYNAMICS AND
LIFT FROM FNT FOR CHC POPS.

&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

KIECKBUSCH/KALLAS
WEATHER.GOV/GREENBAY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
745 AM CDT FRI JUN 24 2005

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-251100-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-
LINCOLN-LANGLADE-MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO-SOUTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-
MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE-WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-
WINNEBAGO-CALUMET-MANITOWOC-
745 AM CDT FRI JUN 24 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL
AND NORTHEAST WISCONSIN TODAY...AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED
OVER WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS MORNING...AND ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE
THROUGH PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND FAR NORTHEAST WISCONSIN BETWEEN 9 AM
AND NOON. THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
MORE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT AS
IT SHIFTS THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY

THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST
CENTRAL WISCONSIN SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...AND ACROSS THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

MORE STORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION FROM TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TOWARD MIDWEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-564-251100-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-THE ADJOINING
WISCONSIN WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN OUT TO MID-LAKE-
745 AM CDT FRI JUN 24 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WATERS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN BAY OF GREEN BAY AND LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
TO SHEBOYGAN.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE BETWEEN NOON AND 8 PM...
WHEN DAYTIME INSTABILITY IS GREATEST. THE PRIMARY THREATS SHOULD BE
STRONG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY

THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL WISCONSIN
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...AND ACROSS THE ENTIRE MARINE AREA ON
SUNDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

MORE STORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION FROM TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TOWARD MIDWEEK.

KIECKBUSCH
WEATHER.GOV/GREENBAY