Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 207, NWS Goodland, KS

July 3, 2005Sheridan County, Kansas

NWS Goodland, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 3, 2005, 11:15 AM CDT for Sheridan County, Kansas. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 3, 2005, 11:15 AM CDT (16:15 UTC)
Expired: Jul 3, 2005, 12:04 PM CDT
In force: 49 min
Issued by: NWS Goodland, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Sheridan County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 3, 7:45 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 4.3 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 815 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -321 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1468 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 240 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 268 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 3, 3:25 AM CDT, 7 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 3:25 AM CDT, 7 hours 50 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
225 AM MDT SUN JUL 3 2005

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST CONCERNS ARE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS AND THE THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MONDAY NIGHT
AS THE FORECAST AREA REMAINS IN AN ACTIVE NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME.

AT 0830Z LATEST RADAR MOSAIC SHOWING PESKY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70. PERUSING
MODEL DATA SUGGESTS THAT THIS ACTIVITY IS BEING DRIVEN BY WHAT THE
RUC DEPICTS AS AN ENHANCED AREA OF 850-700 TEMPERATURE ADVECTION
AHEAD OF A 700MB SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW OVER
SOUTHEAST COLORADO. 21Z SREF FROM SPC ALSO SHOWING THIS GENERAL
AREA AS WELL...PICKING UP ON SOME ENERGY MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST PLAINS OF COLORADO. WILL POPULATE GRIDS WITH SOME
TYPE OF CONCENSUS FOR THE SHORT TERM 1ST PERIOD.

TODAY/TONIGHT...A COOL FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY BRINGING TEMPERATURES DOWN ABOUT 3-10F PER 850 FORECASTS.
THAT YIELDS HIGHS NEAR 90 NORTH AND WEST TO MID 90S EAST AND
PERHAPS SOUTH. 700-500MB HUMIDITY FORECASTS FROM THE NGM/GFS/NAM
SUGGEST ANOTHER UPPER WAVE TO MOVE INTO FAR EASTERN COLORADO VERY
LATE IN THE DAY. THIS CONVECTIVE THREAT WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE
OVER THE FAR SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WHERE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS
EXPECTED TO BE. WILL KEEP POPS CONFINED TO THESE AREAS. AFTER 00Z
CONVECTIVE THREAT LOOKS TO BE LIMITED TO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO
OUR SOUTH...MATCHING UP WELL WITH BETTER MID LEVEL MOISTURE AXIS.
700 OMEGA IS ACTUALLY DOWNWARD THROUGH MIDNIGHT SUPPORTING MODEL
QPF OF NEAR ZERO PER GFS/NGM FORECASTS. WILL DOWN THE POPS QUITE A
BIT AS A RESULT.

MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT...SURFACE HIGH SLIDES SOUTHEAST ALLOWING WINDS
TO VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST AND BEGIN SOME RETURN FLOW INTO
THE AREA. ANOTHER WAVE MOVES INTO THE NORTHWEST 1/3 OR SO OF THE
AREA LATE IN THE DAY. PREFER THE GFS HANDLING OF THE RETURN FLOW
IN ITS INSTABILITY AND QPF FORECASTS WHICH (LIKE LAST NIGHTS RUN)
FAVOR HIGHEST POPS OVER FAR EASTERN COLORADO AND ADJACENT COUNTIES
IN KANSAS. 850 TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO COOL ANOTHER 5-10F WITH
READINGS IN THE LOW TO POSSIBLY MID 80S...SIMILAR TO THE 2M/MOS
GUIDANCE NUMBERS. NAM/GFS CONTINUE TO AGREE ON POSSIBLE MCS MOVING
ACROSS HEART OF THE FORECAST AREA PER 700-500RH/500 VORT AND 250
JET DIVERGENCE PROGS. CURRENT GRIDS HAVE 40 POPS AND MAV/MET MOS
HAVE SIMILAR TO NUMBERS SO WILL TRY AND TWEAK THEM UP A BIT AS
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD DIVE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT...SOUTHERLY WINDS AGAIN BRING RETURN FLOW OF
MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. CAPE FORECASTS AGAIN FAVOR THE WESTERN 1/3
OF THE TRI-STATE AREA. PREFER THE ETA HANDLING OF THIS EVENT AS
STRONGEST CIN VALUES AND WEAKER CAPE OVER THE EAST WHERE THEIR
PROXIMITY TO SURFACE HIGH SHOULD LIMIT AMOUNT OF MOISTURE RETURN.
THIS ALSO APPEARS TO BE THE FAVORED SOLUTION BY NCEP PER ITS QPF
FORECAST. WILL ORIENT POP FORECASTS ACCORDINGLY. FOR TUESDAY NIGHT
0-6 WINDS FROM THE GFS CARRY ANY PRECIP SOUTHEAST WHILE THE ETA IS
MORE NORTHEAST. GIVEN THE BUILDING UPPER HIGH NEAR THE FOUR
CORNERS AND PRECIP BLOB OVER THE DAKOTAS MOVING SOUTHEAST THE GFS
SOLUTION SEEMS MORE REASONABLE. SO FOR TUESDAY NIGHT WILL ORIENT
POPS FOR PRECIP MOVING SOUTHEAST PER GFS SOLUTION. TEMPERATURES
APPEAR TO SHOW LITTLE CHANGE BOTH AT 850 AND 2M/MOS GUIDANCE
NUMBERS. WILL PERHAPS TREND THEM UP A FEW DEGREES CLOSER TO THE
MOS GUIDANCE INCREASE.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO CHANGES MADE AT THIS TIME.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.KS...NONE.
.NE...NONE.
.CO...NONE.

&&

DDT

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 8:35 AM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before

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In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 3, 8:37 AM CDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jul 3, 8:59 AM CDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jul 3, 9:23 AM CDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jul 3, 9:36 AM CDT, 1 hour 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
836 AM MDT SUN JUL 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 AM     HAIL             6 NNW MAX               40.19N 101.44W
07/03/2005  1.00 INCH        DUNDY              NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PFP

Local storm report, Jul 3, 10:07 AM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
907 AM MDT SUN JUL 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HAIL             COLBY                   39.39N 101.05W
07/03/2005  1.00 INCH        THOMAS             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0905 AM     HAIL             COLBY                   39.39N 101.05W
07/03/2005  0.88 INCH        THOMAS             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DDT

Local storm report, Jul 3, 10:20 AM CDT, 55 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
920 AM MDT SUN JUL 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 AM     HAIL             4 E COLBY               39.39N 100.97W
07/03/2005  1.00 INCH        THOMAS             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DDT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 2, 10:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Thomas	26 min
Jul 2, 11:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Gove	60 min
Jul 3, 6:42 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne	63 min
Jul 3, 7:02 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Rawlins	28 min
Jul 3, 7:30 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Rawlins	30 min
Jul 3, 8:00 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Rawlins	60 min
Jul 3, 8:59 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Thomas	35 min
Jul 3, 8:59 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Rawlins	54 min
Jul 3, 10:05 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Thomas	40 min
Jul 3, 10:31 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Sheridan	44 min
Jul 3, 11:45 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Decatur	25 min
Jul 3, 11:54 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Graham	51 min
Jul 3, 12:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Decatur, Norton	48 min
Jul 3, 4:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne	59 min
Jul 3, 5:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Yuma	55 min
Jul 3, 5:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Kit Carson	53 min
Jul 3, 6:24 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Yuma	46 min
Jul 3, 7:00 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Dundy, Hitchcock	54 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.