Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS53 KGLD 300158
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
658 PM MST TUE MAR 29 2005

KSC039-300208-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-050330T0230Z/
DECATUR KS-
758 PM CST TUE MAR 29 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR DECATUR COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND IS
NO LONGER SEVERE.

LAT...LON 3976 10073 3963 10058 3988 10018 4001 10043

$$

BULLER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
230 PM MST TUE MAR 29 2005

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST CONCERNS INCLUDE WINDS TONIGHT AS WELL
AS PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND AMOUNTS OVERNIGHT AND ALSO ON
TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT TODAY WITH SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL
FEATURES INCLUDING POSITION AND FUTURE MOVEMENT OF FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT INTO TOMORROW. UPPER LEVEL
VORT MAX ALSO SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SPINNING ACROSS SOUTHERN
COLORADO MOVING EASTWARD AS WELL. MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT FOR CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA TONIGHT ENDING BY AROUND SUNRISE.
WINDS WILL BE A CHALLENGE TONIGHT AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS AS A
SURFACE LOW DEEPENS OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO. THUS HAVE ISSUED A
WIND ADVISORY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH 4 AM MST.

FOR WEDNESDAY A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER OCCURS IN THE MORNING
AS SUBSIDENCE TAKES PLACE BEHIND UPPER SYSTEM. MODELS THEN SHOW A
SURFACE LOW FORMING OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND SLIDING SLOWLY
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY.
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ALONG WITH COLD POOL AT 500 MB MOVES
THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT AGAIN PRODUCING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS FOR THE
AREA. TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPEPR 20S
EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 30S ELSEWHERE. THUS WILL CARRY A  CHANCE
FOR RAIN AND SNOW FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING
EASTERN COLORADO AND WESTERNMOST KANSAS ZONES. WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES COOL ON DUE TO CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION.

FOR THURSDAY PRECIPITATION ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY
AS UPPER SYSTEM DEPARTS REGION. THEN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK
INTO THE REGION BEGINNING THURSDAY NIGHT AND BEYOND.

AS FOR THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD DAYS 4 THROUGH 7 (SATURDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY) WILL MAKE NO CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVER REGION AND REMAINS INTO NEXT WEEK. BY
TUESDAY EXTENDED MODELS ATTEMPT TO BRING IN A SURFACE TROUGH AND
FRONT INTO THE REGION WITH STILL NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF MOISTURE.
KEPT WARM TEMPERATURES ESPECIALLY THIS WEEKEND WITH THE UPPER
RIDGING IN PLACE.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.KS...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM TUESDAY UNTIL 4 AM WEDNESDAY FOR
      KSZ003...KSZ004...KSZ015...KSZ016...KSZ029.
      WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM TUESDAY UNTIL 2 AM WEDNESDAY FOR
      KSZ001...KSZ002...KSZ013...KSZ014...KSZ027...KSZ028...
      KSZ041...KSZ042.
.NE...WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM TUESDAY UNTIL 2 AM WEDNESDAY FOR
      NEZ079...NEZ080.
      WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM TUESDAY UNTIL 4 AM WEDNESDAY FOR NEZ081.
.CO...WIND ADVISORY FROM 2 PM TUESDAY UNTIL 10 PM TUESDAY FOR COZ090...
      COZ091...COZ092.

&&

LAMMERS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1023 AM MST TUE MAR 29 2005

...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING WEST OF HIGHWAY 83...

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-301200-
CHEYENNE KS-CHEYENNE COUNTY CO-DECATUR KS-DUNDY NE-GOVE KS-GRAHAM KS-
GREELEY KS-HITCHCOCK NE-KIT CARSON COUNTY CO-LOGAN KS-NORTON KS-
RAWLINS KS-RED WILLOW NE-SHERIDAN KS-SHERMAN KS-THOMAS KS-WALLACE KS-
WICHITA KS-YUMA COUNTY CO-
1023 AM MST TUE MAR 29 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST KANSAS...EXTREME
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM MCCOOK NEBRASKA TO TRIBUNE KANSAS BY 3
PM MST (4 PM CST). WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG
THE FRONT. ALTHOUGH THE AIR MASS WILL BE ONLY MODERATELY
UNSTABLE...TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF HAIL. THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO APPROACH
SEVERE CRITERIA. THE BEST CHANCE FOR HAIL WILL BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
EAST OF LINE FROM RED WILLOW COUNTY NEBRASKA TO GREELEY COUNTY
KANSAS.

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE
FRONT. THESE WINDS WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED AREAS OF BLOWING DUST.
A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTHWEST KANSAS...SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...AND EASTERN COLORADO WEST OF
HIGHWAY 83.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO THE LIMITED AMOUNT OF
SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED.

MENTZER