Severe Thunderstorm Warning 224, NWS Hastings, NE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
305 AM CDT FRI JUL 8 2005

.DISCUSSION...IMMEDIATE CONCERN WILL BE WHETHER OR NOT TO LEAVE
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN FOR TONIGHT.  CURRENT WX IS QUIET
ACROSS THE CWA. RADAR NETWORK HAS WEAKENING TSTMS IN THE PANHANDLE
THAT ARE MOVING SOUTH. IR IMAGERY HAS SHOWN WARMING TOPS WITH THESE
STORMS ALONG WITH A DECREASE IN CG LIGHTNING.

THE BIG MCC IS UP IN EASTERN NDAK AND HAS A NICE LINE OF STORMS
ACCOCIATED WITH IT MOVING SOUTHEAST AS SEEN ON SATELLITE AND
LIGHTNING NET. THE NAM HAD THIS SYSTEM PROJECTED TO BE ACROSS SDAK AT
THIS TIME.  IT ALSO DEVELOPS SOME WARM ADVECTION TYPE TSTMS OVER THE
CWA LATER THIS MORNING. WILL WAIT TIL LAST MINUTE BUT DOUBT
ANYTHING IS GOING TO POP UP HERE. DID NOTICE THE LOW LEVEL JET
KICKING IN ON THE KUEX VAD WIND PROFILE. THE MCCOOK PROFILER IS ON
THE FRITZ WHICH IS TOO BAD.  BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THE NOSE IS WELL
NORTH AS NOTED BY FBY, NLG, AND WDL PROFILERS.  WILL PROBABLY PULL
THE SLIGHT CHANCE OUT OF THE NORTH FOR TONIGHT AS IS LOOKS LIKE IT
WILL BE MORE TO THE EAST JUDGING THE MOVEMENT OF THE ND MCC. WILL
LEAVE THE 14 POPS IN THERE AND DAY SHIFT CAN ADD SLIGHT CHANCE BACK
IN IF NEEDED.

TEMPS TODAY SHOULD BE AROUND THE 90 MARK GIVE OR TAKE A FEW DEGREES.
WILL START OUT WITH SOME CLOUDS FROM NORTHERN STORMS FROM THIS
MORNING BUT WILL CLEAR OUT SOMEWHAT.  FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS THE
850 TEMPS WOULD SUPPORT MERCURY READINGS IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S.
WILL BE TOUGH TO HIT THE CENTURY MARK AS WE KEEP AN EASTERLY
COMPONENT TO THE SURFACE WINDS.

WILL ONLY MAKE MINOR CHANGES TO EXTENDED. WILL LEAVE MON NIGHT
THROUGH WED DRY FOR NOW AS WE CAN ALWAYS ADD CHANCE IN ONCE WE GET
A BETTER FEEL FOR THE TIMING.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.

&&

EWALD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1135 AM CDT THU JUL 7 2005

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-081200-
ADAMS NE-BUFFALO NE-CLAY NE-DAWSON NE-FILLMORE NE-FRANKLIN NE-
FURNAS NE-GOSPER NE-GREELEY NE-HALL NE-HAMILTON NE-HARLAN NE-
HOWARD NE-JEWELL KS-KEARNEY NE-MERRICK NE-MITCHELL KS-NANCE NE-
NUCKOLLS NE-OSBORNE KS-PHELPS NE-PHILLIPS KS-POLK NE-ROOKS KS-
SHERMAN NE-SMITH KS-THAYER NE-VALLEY NE-WEBSTER NE-YORK NE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND ISLAND...HASTINGS...HOLDREGE...
KEARNEY...LEXINGTON...PHILLIPSBURG AND YORK
1135 AM CDT THU JUL 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.  AN ISOLATED STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF
QUARTERS...HOWEVER WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWER CASE)

KING