High Wind Warning 1, NWS Hastings, NE

Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Smith County, KS, Adams County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Clay County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Polk County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Valley County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

000 
WWUS73 KGID 151640
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1040 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
160045-
/O.CON.KGID.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051116T0400Z/
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO...
PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT...ORD...GREELEY...
FULLERTON...LOUP CITY...ST. PAUL...CENTRAL CITY...OSCEOLA...
LEXINGTON...KEARNEY...GRAND ISLAND...AURORA...YORK...ELWOOD...
HOLDREGE...MINDEN...HASTINGS...CLAY CENTER...GENEVA...
BEAVER CITY...ALMA...FRANKLIN...RED CLOUD...SUPERIOR...NELSON...
HEBRON
1040 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE
DAY...BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING BY MID EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS
OF 30 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH
POSSIBLE. THESE INTENSE WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

HEINLEIN

000 
WWUS73 KGID 152004
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
204 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

...STRONG WINDS CONTINUE INTO EARLY EVENING...

.SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MISSOURI VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO 
TRACK NORTHEAST EAST. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF
THIS SURFACE LOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
160100-
/O.CAN.KGID.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051116T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KGID.WI.Y.0004.051115T2004Z-051116T0100Z/
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO...
PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT...ORD...GREELEY...
FULLERTON...LOUP CITY...ST. PAUL...CENTRAL CITY...OSCEOLA...
LEXINGTON...KEARNEY...GRAND ISLAND...AURORA...YORK...ELWOOD...
HOLDREGE...MINDEN...HASTINGS...CLAY CENTER...GENEVA...
BEAVER CITY...ALMA...FRANKLIN...RED CLOUD...SUPERIOR...NELSON...
HEBRON
204 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING AS
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 3O TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED. THESE WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TO BETWEEN 10 AND 25 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. 

$$

HEINLEIN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED HEADLINE CODING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
908 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN ISSUES TONIGHT STILL SURROUND WIND AND POTENTIAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS. WINDS ARE STARTING TO CRANK UP ACROSS PARTS OF THE
STATE WITH THE KANW OBSERVATION SHOWING 30 MPH WINDS AT 0230Z. THE
LATEST 00Z NAM CONTINUES TO DRIVE THE FRONT QUICKLY ACROSS THE CWA
TONIGHT WITH AT LEAST A PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS LIKELY.

THE SNOWFALL FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE PROBLEMATIC WITH THE
00Z NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM ACROSS THE AREA STILL INDICATING A
CHANGE TO SNOW TAKING PLACE...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.  STRONG
FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING IN THE 700-600 MB LAYER SUGGESTS THAT WE
COULD GET A QUICK SHOT OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AS THE COLD AIR
ARRIVES AND DYNAMIC COOLING TAKES PLACE. WHAT IT ALL BOILS DOWN TO
IS THAT THE GOING FORECAST APPEARS REASONABLE AND WILL GENERALLY
NOT CHANGE IT TOO MUCH...THOUGH CONFIDENCE IN HOW MUCH SNOW COULD
ACCUMULATE IS STILL NOT VERY HIGH DUE TO THE WARM SURFACE
CONDITIONS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (ISSUED 329 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005)

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY. TWO MAIN CONCERNS FOR
THIS FORECAST PERIOD...A CHANCE FOR SNOW/RAIN AND WIND IN THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

AN UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AS A
SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS TO THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE NIGHT. WITH THIS
FRONT THERE WILL BE SIGNIFICANT WINDS. WINDS AT 850MB ARE EXPECTED
TO BE 50 TO 60 KTS WITH LAPSE RATES FROM 850 TO 900MB OF AROUND 9
DEGREES C SHOULD ALLOW THE WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. EXPECT
THAT WINDS WILL BE 25 TO 35 MPH AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH TONIGHT.

THE NEXT ISSUE WILL BE PRECIPITATION. THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE
WITH THIS SYSTEM THAT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND
INTO TUESDAY. THE NEXT QUESTION WILL BE WHETHER IT WILL BE RAIN OR
SNOW. TEMPERATURES AT 850MB FALL BELOW ZERO DURING THE NIGHT AS
WELL AS THICKNESSES THAT WOULD ALLOW A CHANGE OVER TO SNOW. MODEL
SOUNDINGS INDICATE A SHORT PERIOD OF RAIN SHOWERS THAT QUICKLY
CHANGE OVER TO SNOW. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE A LITTLE QUESTIONABLE.
WITH THE GROUND BEING WARM AND THE SURFACE WET FROM THE RAIN...THE
SNOW WILL MELT FAIRLY RAPIDLY. SOME COULD STICK AROUND IF IT CAME
FAST ENOUGH. BETWEEN THE SNOW POTENTIAL OF UP TO 2 INCHES IN THE
SOUTHEAST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA...AND WINDS OVER 25 MPH...HAVE
LAUNCHED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE FAR SOUTHEAST PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA. THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL HAVE A WIND
ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT.

THE WIND WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONG DURING THE DAY TUESDAY BUT THE
SNOW WILL COME TO AN END. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE STRENGTH
OF THE WINDS AND AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION DURING THE DAY TOMORROW
HAVE KEPT THE HIGH WIND WATCH.

ONCE THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION...WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH
TUESDAY EVENING AND SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT. TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE A
COOL NIGHT AND THE COOLER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...BIGGEST CHALLENGE WILL BE
TEMPERATURES. LEFT THIS PERIOD DRY AS THERE APPEARS TO BE A
CONTINUED LACK OF MOISTURE AS SEVERAL SHORT WAVES TRAVERSE ACROSS
THE CWA FROM THE NORTHWEST. SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BEST MOISTURE WILL BE TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHEAST...BUT STILL EVEN IN THE NORTHEASTERN IT APPEARS TO BE
LACKING TO PRODUCE APPRECIABLE PRECIPITATION.

AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES ARE CONCERNED...BELIEVE THAT THE GOING
FORECAST WAS TOO WARM FOR MAX HIGHS WITH THE AMOUNT OF COLD AIR
ABOVE. SPECIFICALLY FOR THURSDAY WE COULD HAVE ENOUGH CLOUDS IN THE
NORTHEAST TO REALLY KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE LOWER 40S FOR
HIGHS. WE WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING UNTIL
SUNDAY WHEN WE FINALLY START TO HAVE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND IN
TURN...A WARMING TREND. ECMWF SEEMS TO BE THE MODEL OF CHOICE AS FAR
AS CONSISTENCY AND HOW BELIEVABLE IT IS.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.NE...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 PM TONIGHT UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY FOR
      NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>076-082>085.
      HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE GID NEBRASKA CWA MUCH OF TUESDAY
      INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
      WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM CST
      TUESDAY FOR NEZ077-086-087.
.
.KS...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TONIGHT UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY
      FOR KSZ005-006-017-018.
      WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TUESDAY UNTIL 8 AM TUESDAY
      FOR KSZ007-019.
      HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE GID KS CWA FOR MUCH OF
      TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

JCB/HEINLEIN/KING

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
524 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005

KSZ005-006-017-018-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>076-082>085-
151200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-ROOKS-OSBORNE-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-SHERMAN-HOWARD-
MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-GOSPER-PHELPS-
KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-WEBSTER-
524 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP TOWARDS MIDNIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH...ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TOWARDS MIDNIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES
ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. SNOW WILL ALSO BEGIN ONCE THE FRONT
PASSES. THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS AND SNOW MAY AT TIMES
REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE MILE LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON TUESDAY. WIND SPEEDS
OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

KSZ007-019-NEZ077-086-087-151200-
JEWELL-MITCHELL-FILLMORE-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
524 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A SMALL PART OF SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE
TONIGHT. SNOW WILL ALSO BEGIN TO FALL ONCE THE FRONT PASSES WITH
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE BY LATE TONIGHT. THE
COMBINATION OF THE SNOW AND STRONG WINDS MAY AT TIMES REDUCE
VISIBILITIES TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE SNOW WILL END TUESDAY MORNING...HOWEVER VERY STRONG WINDS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

KING