Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Glasgow, MT

000 
WGUS75 KGGW 140120
FFSGGW
MTC085-140230-


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
717 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 830 PM MDT FOR CENTRAL
ROOSEVELT COUNTY...

AT 714 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SHOWERS PRODUCING MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN OVER 
THE WARNED AREA.

ALTHOUGH SHOWERS HAVE WEAKENED OVER BOXELDER CREEK AND THE 
SURROUNDING AREA...SHOWERS PRODUCING MODERATE RAIN CONTINUE TO MOVE 
VERY SLOWLY EAST OVER THE CREEK. 

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
GLASGOW.

LAT...LON 4810 10549 4809 10509 4839 10525 4839 10552

$$

VALONE

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW

000 
WGUS75 KGGW 140230
FFSGGW
MTC085-140237-


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
827 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CENTRAL ROOSEVELT COUNTY EXPIRES AT
830 PM MDT...

HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS THE FLASH FLOOD AREA. SOME LIGHT TO 
MODERATE RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED THROUGH 9 PM...HOWEVER THIS SHOULD 
NOT POSE ANY FURTHER FLASH FLOOD THREAT. 

ROOSEVELT COUNTY DES REPRESENTATIVES HAVE REPORTED AREAS OF FLOODING 
ALONG THE CHELSEA AND BOXELDER CREEKS...AS WELL AS ALONG HIGHWAY 13 
AND SOME ADJACENT FARMLAND.

LAT...LON 4810 10549 4809 10509 4839 10525 4839 10552

$$

VALONE

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
150 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2005

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
MUCH QUIETER WEATHER ON TAP FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM PERIOD AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN LATER TONIGHT BEFORE
TRANSITIONING TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. SHORT RANGE MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT SO NO PREFERENCE FOR THE FORECAST TODAY.

OVERALL...VERY FEW CHANGES MADE TO THE SHORT TERM FORECAST TODAY.
SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT PRECIPITATION TO A GOOD PORTION OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL FINISH SHIFTING EAST OUT OF THE REGION TONIGHT. SUBSIDENCE
AND DRIER AIRMASS BEGINS TO WORK IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...SO KEPT
IDEA OF CLEARING OUT LATER TONIGHT. POSSIBILITY THAT SOME FOG COULD
FORM...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT GOT THE MOST PRECIPITATION LAST
NIGHT. WILL ADD PATCHY MENTION IN SINCE IT SHOULD NOT BE ALL THAT
WIDESPREAD.

BY TUESDAY...RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TAKES CONTROL WITH IMPRESSIVE
THERMAL RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE AREA. WILL SEE BIG JUMP IN
TEMPERATURES BACK UP TO A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL...ONLY THE SECOND
OCCURRENCE SO FAR IN JUNE. MODEL SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW LOTS OF
DRYING SO CLOUDS SHOULD BE HARD TO COME BY...OTHER THAN PERHAPS A
LITTLE FLAT CU. LOTS OF SUN TO ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO QUICK WARM UP. BY
TUESDAY NIGHT...UPPER LEVEL FLOW TURNS TO THE SOUTHWEST AS RIDGE
MOVES INTO THE DAKOTAS. WARM OVERNIGHT LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT WITH
THERMAL RIDGE STAYING IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. SHORTWAVE AND
ASSOCIATED PACIFIC FRONT APPROACH THE FORECAST AREA BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. PRE-FRONTAL WARMING IN THE EAST TO BOOST TEMPS CLOSE TO
90...SO MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS TO THE TEMPERATURE GRID. POSSIBLE FOR
A THUNDERSTORM TO WORK INTO THE EXTREME WEST...BUT SHOULD PROBABLY
HOLD OFF UNTIL EVENING. WILL LEAVE SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE EXTREME WEST
IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON FOR NOW...BUT NEXT SHIFT MAY NEED TO REMOVE.
JAZ

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...
MODELS ARE SIMILAR WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN WITH ONLY SOME
DIFFERENCES IN TIMING THE SHORTWAVES IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
COULD SEE SOME THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONT. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS
STAY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE FORECAST AREA AND THERE IS LIMITED
MOISTURE WITH THIS FRONT. WILL MAINTAIN GOING SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. THERMAL RIDGE ALONG THE FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR A WARM
NIGHT... ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN ZONES. RAISED WED NIGHTS LOWS IN
THE EAST.

SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DOMINATES THE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH WEST COAST TROUGH OR UPPER LOW AND RIDGE TO THE EAST.
THERMAL RIDGE REMAINS OVER EASTERN MONTANA TO PROVIDE SUMMERLIKE
TEMPERATURES. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT A MOUNTAIN INDUCED THUNDERSTORM
COULD HOLD TOGETHER INTO THE NW PART OF THE FORECAST AREA TO ALLOW
FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE SOUTHEAST ZONES SHOULD
HAVE WARM AIR ALOFT WHICH WILL KEEP THAT AREA CAPPED. FORRESTER

&&

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER THE FORECAST AREA WITH A MIX OF
LOW AND MID CLOUDS THROUGH EARLY EVENING AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST.
SKIES SHOULD CLEAR AFTER SUNSET. MOIST ATMOSPHERE AND CLEAR SKIES
MAKES FOG A POSSIBILITY OVERNIGHT. AMONG THE TAF SITES...OLF HAS THE
BEST CHANCE OF GETTING FOG AS THEY WILL HAVE LIGHT WINDS. NORTHWEST
WINDS ELSEWHERE MAKES FOG LESS LIKELY TONIGHT. UPPER RIDGE ON
TUESDAY WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
HYDRO CONCERNS QUICKLY WANING. GAUGE ON THE MUSSELSHELL NEAR MOSBY
SHOWING RIVER STAGE ALREADY BACK ON ITS WAY DOWN THIS AFTERNOON.
OTHER GAUGES ALSO BEHAVING THIS AFTERNOON. WITH ONLY WARMING AND
DRYING TAKING PLACE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...NOT EXPECTING ANY
SIGNIFICANT ISSUES. JAZ

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
613 AM MDT MON JUN 13 2005

MTZ016>027-059>062-141200-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PHILLIPS-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VALLEY-
DANIELS-SHERIDAN-WESTERN ROOSEVELT-PETROLEUM-GARFIELD-MCCONE-
RICHLAND-DAWSON-PRAIRIE-WIBAUX-NORTHERN PHILLIPS-
SOUTHWEST PHILLIPS-NORTHERN VALLEY-EASTERN ROOSEVELT-
613 AM MDT MON JUN 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.