Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
352 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2005

.DISCUSSION...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL BUT THE EXTREME
EASTERN COUNTIES UNTIL 11 PM. THE 20Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED
THAT THE DRYLINE EXTENDED EAST OF A WICHITA FALLS...TO BROWNWOOD
LINE. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FIRED UP BETWEEN GAINESVILLE...AND
LAMPASAS. WITH THE UPPER LOW OVER NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...
WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD TONIGHT AND MONDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL
END ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF TONIGHT...BUT WILL LINGER INTO MONDAY
ACROSS THE EAST. BESIDES THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT...SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE.  THE GRADIENT
HAS WEAKENED ACROSS NORTH TEXAS...SO HAVE CANCELED THE WIND
ADVISORY THAT WAS SCHEDULED TO GO UNTIL 6 PM. AFTER THE UPPER
SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD...WE WILL SEE DRY WEATHER MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN FOR FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES.  #58

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  58  75  49  76 /  50  10  10   0
WACO, TX              57  77  47  78 /  50  20  10   0
PARIS, TX             59  74  48  74 /  80  40  10   0
DENTON, TX            58  74  47  76 /  50  10  10   0
MCKINNEY, TX          58  74  48  76 /  60  10  10   0
DALLAS, TX            58  76  49  76 /  50  10  10   0
TERRELL, TX           59  75  48  76 /  70  30  10   0
CORSICANA, TX         59  77  48  76 /  70  30  10   0
TEMPLE, TX            57  79  47  79 /  50  20  10   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.

&&

58/

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
330 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-111100-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
330 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF A LINE FROM
BOWIE...TO MINERAL WELLS..TO GOLDTHWAITE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
INTO TONIGHT.

A DRYLINE WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON NEAR A LINE FROM BOWIE...TO
MINERAL WELLS...TO GOLDTHWAITE.  ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THIS DRYLINE AND MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE INTERSTATE 35
CORRIDOR REGION EARLY THIS EVENING.  VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SUPERCELL
STORMS.  A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS THEN EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE AFTER
SUNSET ALONG THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR AND MOVE SLOWLY EAST
TONIGHT.  LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS COMPLEX TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER ACROSS FAR EASTERN SECTIONS OF NORTH
TEXAS...OR EAST OF A LINE FROM BONHAM...TO HEARNE...THROUGH MIDDAY
MONDAY...AS AN UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM REMAINS JUST TO THE NORTH.

ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE NEXT FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...WHEN ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT
MOVE INTO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS WEST OF I-35 SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
ACTIVATION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.  ACTIVATION
ALONG AND EAST OF I-35 WILL LIKELY TAKE PLACE AFTER 7 PM.

TR/92

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
503 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2005

TXZ130-102230-

ERATH-
503 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER UPDATE...

AT 503 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF CLAIRETTE...OR 3 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF STEPHENVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BLUFF DALE...MORGAN MILL AND
STEPHENVILLE.

PEA-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

65/DD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
520 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2005

TXZ102-117-102245-

PARKER-WISE-
520 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER UPDATE...

AT 520 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPRINGTOWN...OR 10 MILES
NORTH OF WEATHERFORD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BOYD AND SPRINGTOWN.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...PEA-SIZED
HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
532 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2005

TXZ131-102330-

HOOD-
532 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER UPDATE...

AT 532 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BLUFF DALE...OR 10 MILES
NORTHEAST OF STEPHENVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE GRANBURY AND OAK TRAIL
SHORES.

PEA-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

65/DD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
601 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST   ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0558 PM     HAIL            2 S TOLAR                32.36N  97.92W
04/10/2005  1.00 INCH       HOOD                TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTERS REPORTED QUARTER HAIL JUST SOUTH OF TOLAR

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