Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 031500
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
900 AM CST MON JAN 3 2005

TXC439-031600-
TARRANT TX-
900 AM CST MON JAN 3 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1000 AM CST FOR TARRANT
COUNTY...

AT 858 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS FROM NEAR EULESS...TO NEAR 
BENBROOK. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WAS OVER WEST AND NORTHWEST FORT WORTH. 
MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY FROM THESE 
STORMS. THE HEAVY RAIN AND RUNOFF WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF 
YOU ARE TRAVELING THIS MORNING...PROCEED WITH CAUTION.

THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED 
ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER CAN CARRY 
VEHICLES AWAY. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3261 9744 3261 9706 3298 9702 3297 9715
      3277 9748

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 031541
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
939 AM CST MON JAN 3 2005

TXC439-031600-
TARRANT TX-
939 AM CST MON JAN 3 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1000 AM CST FOR TARRANT
COUNTY...

AT 937 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SHOWERS WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN FROM NEAR 
GRAPEVINE...TO FORT WORTH...TO BENBROOK. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 
30 MPH. RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 3/4 INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY WITH 
THESE SHOWERS.

ALTHOUGH RAINFALL RATES HAVE DECREASED...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 
WILL RESULT IN RUNOFF AND THE CONTINUED THREAT OF FLOODING.

MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO 
CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON 
FOOT. 

LAT...LON 3257 9750 3279 9707 3298 9702 3298 9717
      3274 9751

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
415 AM CST MON JAN  3 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THE 10Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE COLD FRONT HAS MOVED TO THE
SOUTH OF A TULSA...TO WICHITA FALLS LINE. ONE OF THE FORECAST
HEADACHES FOR TODAY...IS HOW MUCH FARTHER WILL THE FRONT BE ABLE TO
MOVE GIVEN THE STRONG FORCING THAT SHOULD CAUSE IT TO STALL. HAVE
GONE WITH THE RUC...AND ALLOWED THE FRONT TO ONLY SINK SLIGHTLY
FARTHER SOUTH AND THEN GO STATIONARY JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF A
GAINESVILLE TO CISCO LINE. WITH BOTH GULF AND PACIFIC MOISTURE TO
WORK WITH...THE STORMS OF THE PAST 24 HOURS HAVE SHOWN THEIR
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IN SHORT PERIODS OF TIME.
GIVEN THAT THE HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE...THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE HIGH ENOUGH FOR US
TO ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS FOR TODAY.  THE WET
PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER TROUGH OFF THE
COAST OF CALIFORNIA WILL FINALLY LIFT EAST AND NORTHEAST INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS BY WEDNESDAY.  THIS WILL ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO MOVE
THROUGH ALL OF NORTH TEXAS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. COLDER...OKAY
REALLY NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN. #58

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  71  62  71  61 /  70  60  40  60
WACO, TX              72  64  72  63 /  70  50  30  40
PARIS, TX             69  62  68  62 / 100  80  60  70
DENTON, TX            70  61  69  61 /  80  60  40  60
MCKINNEY, TX          70  62  70  61 /  80  60  40  60
DALLAS, TX            71  62  71  61 /  70  60  40  60
TERRELL, TX           71  62  71  61 /  70  60  40  60
CORSICANA, TX         71  62  71  63 /  70  60  40  50
TEMPLE, TX            72  63  72  64 /  70  40  30  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 600 PM CST MONDAY FOR ZONES
TXZ091>095...TXZ100>107...TXZ115>123...TXZ129>135...TXZ141>148...TXZ1
56>162...TXZ174>175.

&&

58

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
440 AM CST MON JAN 3 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-040000-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
440 AM CST MON JAN 3 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
TODAY. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS...
AND A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR ALL OF NORTH
TEXAS. IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING AND SOME STORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE FLOOD WATCH MAY BE EXTENDED INTO MONDAY NIGHT AS DEEP TROPICAL
MOISTURE CONTINUES ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. ALTHOUGH THE CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TUESDAY...THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL DIMINISH
TUESDAY AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL FINALLY END WEDNESDAY EVENING
AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

84