Severe Thunderstorm Warning 29, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WWUS54 KEWX 192001
SVSEWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
159 PM CST SAT MAR 19 2005

TXC385-192009-
/O.CAN.KEWX.SV.W.0029.000000T0000Z-050319T2015Z/
REAL TX-
159 PM CST SAT MAR 19 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR REAL COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

AT 200 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THE THUNDERSTORMS OVER REAL COUNTY WERE NO LONGER SEVERE. 
ALTHOUGH THE SEVERE THREAT HAS TEMPORARILY DIMINISHED...A FLASH 
FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES. EXPECT HEAVY RAIN OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF 
REAL COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3008 9997 2965 10001 2965 9964 2992 9964
      2992 9972 3007 9971

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1015 AM CST SAT MAR 19 2005

.UPDATE...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CAN BE SEEN AS STRATUS DECK ON THE VIS SAT PIX ADVECTING NW
INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL/WESTERN CWA THIS MORNING AS A S/W RACED ACROSS NRN MEXICO.
WITH DESTABLIZATION OVER THE SWRN CWA THIS MORNING WILL ADJUST POPS A LITTLE
FURTHER WEST AND SOUTHWEST FOR THIS AFTN WITH CONT SLGT RISK SVR FOR THE EASTERN
COUNTIES LATER THIS AFTN/EVENING.  ALSO RAISED MAX TEMPS OVER THE HILL COUNTRY
WHERE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ALLOWING FOR STG HEATING THIS MORNING AND ALREADY
NEAR OR EXCEEDING FORECAST HIGHS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 AM CST SAT MAR 19 2005/

DISCUSSION...
EARLY THIS MORNING A SHORT WAVE WAS MOVING RAPIDLY EASTWARD ACROSS
THE ARKLATEX TRIGGERING A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY IN ARKANSAS. THE COLD FRONT HAS DROPPED SOUTHWARD INTO
INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS BUT THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL NORTH
OF THE CWFA DUE TO THE RAPID APPROACH OF ANOTHER SHORT WAVE.

THIS NEXT SHORT WAVE WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA/NEW MEXICO.
THIS FEATURE WILL DRIVE A DRY-LINE/SFC TROF EAST ACROSS THE CWFA
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS BOUNDARY WILL INTERACT WITH THE INLAND MOVING
SEA-BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON TRIGGERING SCATTERED TSTMS ACROSS THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE CWFA. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. PLEASE REFER TO THE DAY 1
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK ISSUED BY SPC FOR ADDITIONAL INFO.

TSTMS WILL END ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN COUNTIES LATE TONIGHT WITH
THE EXIT OF THE SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE.  SUNDAY WILL BE WARM
AND DRY WITH WEAK ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. A SHORT WAVE MOVING EASTWARD
ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS ON MONDAY WILL DRIVE A PACIFIC COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE CWFA ON MONDAY. BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SOUTHWEST LIMITING MOISTURE ACROSS THE CWFA. HOWEVER A FEW STORMS
MAY MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTHEAST COUNTIES...IN
ADVANCE OF THE FROPA.

WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS UPPER TROF...ZONAL FLOW
WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE CWFA FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN A DRY FCST WITH
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS IS
FRIDAY AS ANOTHER WEST COAST STORM SYSTEM EJECTS EASTWARD ACROSS
THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.

&&

01/11

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
515 AM CST SAT MAR 19 2005

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-201100-
ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DEWITT-
DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-
KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS-
UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA-
515 AM CST SAT MAR 19 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND EAST OF A
CAMPBELLTON TO SAN ANTONIO TO BURNET LINE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A KARNES
CITY TO GONZALES TO LEXINGTON LINE. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS A SECONDARY
THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND EAST OF A
HALLETTSVILLE TO BASTROP TO LEXINGTON LINE MONDAY AND THEN ALONG
AND EAST OF A CAMPBELLTON TO HONDO TO HARPER LINE FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.