Severe Thunderstorm Warning 135, NWS Des Moines, IA

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 132300
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
600 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

IAC063-132315-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0135.000000T0000Z-050613T2315Z/
EMMET IA-
600 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR EMMET COUNTY UNTIL 615
PM CDT...

AT 557 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ESTHERVILLE...OR 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SPENCER...AND MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EMMET
COUNTY...INCLUDING THE LOCATIONS OF ESTHERVILLE...ESTHERVILLE
MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AND GRUVER.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING.
ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY
AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A
BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE
HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE
TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4326 9491 4325 9445 4349 9446 4350 9491

$$

JUNGBLUTH

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 132321
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
613 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

IAC063-132323-
/O.EXP.KDMX.SV.W.0135.000000T0000Z-050613T2315Z/
EMMET IA-
613 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EMMET COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE...

AT 610 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND NO
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA...BUT SEVERE 
WEATHER IS NOT IMMINANT.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA UNTIL 11 PM.

LAT...LON 4326 9491 4325 9445 4349 9446 4350 9491

$$

JUNGBLUTH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
135 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA WITH A CLOSED UPPER
LEVEL LOW JUST TO THE WEST OVER CENTRAL NEBRASKA. DRY AIR IS
PUNCHING UP INTO SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA WITH MID TO UPPER 40 DEWPOINTS
STREAMING TOWARDS WESTERN IOWA. STRONG KINEMATIC FORCING NOW MOVING
INTO CENTRAL IOWA AND HAVE STEEPENING LAPSE RATES WITH COOLING MID
LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARRIVING. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRE BETWEEN 2-4
PM TODAY AND SOME OF THE STORMS WILL BECOME RAPIDLY SEVERE.
SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY STORM MODE WITH INCREASING
EFFECTIVE SHEARS OF 45 TO 60 KTS. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE GOLFBALL
SIZED HAIL WITH LOW FREEZING LEVELS AND STEEP LAPSE RATES...WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH ALSO POSSIBLE WITH NEAR UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW ABOVE
THE LOW LEVELS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL HOWEVER BE LIMITED DUE TO
RELATIVELY HIGH LCL VALUES. THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE OVER THE FAR
NORTHWEST NEAR THE SFC LOW AND ACROSS THE FAR EAST WHERE MORE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE IS AVAILABLE. BUNKERS RIGHT MOVER SUPERCELL MOTIONS
ARE NORTHEAST AT 40KTS SO STORMS WILL BE MOVING RAPIDLY. THE SEVERE
THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AFTER 9 PM THOUGH THUNDERSTORMS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH
WHERE SOME WEAK INSTABILITY REMAINS.

WRAP AROUND CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY HANG AROUND THROUGH TUESDAY WITH
SOME INSTABILITY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE DURING
THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA. THE CLOUDS WILL
HOLD TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 60S TO MIDS 70S FOR HIGHS. FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD A WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE WITH THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENING OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. A
STRONG THERMAL RIDGE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS AND ITS
INFLUENCE WILL SPILL OVER INTO IOWA ESPECIALLY FOR THE WEEKEND AND
INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. REMAINED SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE MEX
GUIDANCE FOR THIS PERIOD FOR HIGHS WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE EXPECTED AND
PLENTIFUL INSULATION FOR SUMMER LIKE TEMPERATURES TO ARRIVE. HAVE
REMAINED DRY FOR THE EXTENDED BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR SOME
POTENTIAL WEAKNESSES IN THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHTS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP FARTHER SOUTH
THAN CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED AND FOLLOWING THE MEAN NW FLOW INTO IA.
CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH WITH THIS SCENARIO.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

DONAVON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
345 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-034>039-046>050-059>062-072>075-
083>086-094>097-141130-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-CALHOUN-WEBSTER-
HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-GREENE-BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-
TAMA-DALLAS-POLK-JASPER-POWESHIEK-MADISON-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-
CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-DECATUR-WAYNE-APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
345 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MOST OF MID IOWA GENERALLY
ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM LAMONI TO PERRY TO POCAHONTAS.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE
ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG WITH 2 INCH HAIL AND 75 MPH STRAIGHT LINE
WIND GUSTS. THE MAIN THREAT TIME IS THROUGH 8 PM. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL IOWA
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE STORMS SHOULD MOVE EAST OF THE AREA
BY 830 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY. NO
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THROUGH 8 PM TONIGHT.

IAZ033-044-045-057-058-070-071-081-082-092-093-141130-
SAC-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-CASS-ADAIR-ADAMS-UNION-
TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-
345 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF MID IOWA
GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM LAMONI TO PERRY TO POCAHONTAS.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
IN WESTERN IOWA. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE ISOLATED
TORNADOES ALONG WITH 2 INCH HAIL AND 75 MPH STRAIGHT LINE WIND
GUSTS. THE MAIN THREAT TIME IS THROUGH 630 PM. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS IOWA LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.  THE STORMS SHOULD MOVE EAST OF I35 BY 7 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY. NO
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THROUGH 630 PM THIS EVENING.

JOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
528 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             3 NW CHURDAN            42.19N 94.52W
06/13/2005  0.88 INCH        GREENE             IA   PUBLIC

            NICKEL HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

RAD