Tornado Warning 8, NWS Duluth, MN

000 
WWUS53 KDLH 050017 RRA
SVSDLH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
716 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2005

WIC099-050026-
/O.CAN.KDLH.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-050605T0100Z/
PRICE WI-
716 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2005

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR PRICE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING IS NO LONGER SEVERE. 
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING 
FOR NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN. 

LAT...LON 4559 9025 4556 9000 4596 8984 4597 9018

$$

SCW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
325 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2005

.DISCUSSION...UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH
TOMORROW...AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND WARM/COLD FRONTS LIFT
NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST. THESE LOW AND FRONTS WILL
TAP ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...RESULTING IN NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN. IN
FACT CAPE AND SHEAR VALUES WILL BE HIGH ENOUGH TO SUPPORT
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY...
ALTHOUGH MAINLY SOUTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA. FARTHER NORTH OVER OUR
CWA...RAIN WILL CONTINUE ALONG WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. AND
SINCE OUR AREA WILL BE NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT...WE DO NOT EXPECT
THAT MUCH INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP ACROSS OUR CWA. THE EXCEPTION MAY BE
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN WI INTO EAST CENTRAL MN...WHERE ETA40 CAPE VALUES
ARE PROGGED TO RANGE UP TO 1000 J/KG LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. ON SUNDAY...CAPE VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 1500 TO 2500 J/KG BY
AFTERNOON. SHEAR WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE ACROSS OUR AREA WITH EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER. THESE SCENARIOS ARE OUTLINED
WELL IN SWODY1 AND SWODY2 WHICH INCLUDES A SLIGHT RISK FOR THIS AREA.
SPC WILL ISSUE A TORNADO WATCH FOR OUR EXTREME SERN CWA SOON FOR
STRONG CONVECTION CURRENTLY OCCURRING AND EXPECTED DEVELOP ALONG AND
TO THE SOUTH OF THIS AREA.

ON SUNDAY NIGHT...THE LOW AND FRONTS AND ASSOCIATED LIFT WILL MOVE
NORTH AND EAST OF OUR CWA...DECREASING OUR CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL STILL BE OVER OUR
FORECAST AREA SUNDAY NIGHT...SO WE WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE FCST FOR ALL OF THE AREA. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD
ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY...WHICH WILL BRING DRIER WEATHER TO
THE UPPER MIDWEST. THERE WILL STILL A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON MONDAY DUE
TO DAYTIME HEATING AND COLD AIR ALOFT. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL RETURN
BY TUESDAY WHEN ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS
PROGRESSES EAST OVER THE MIDWEST STATES.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT
WITH IFR CONDITIONS IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  ALSO
AREAS OF FOG WILL CAUSE IFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT.  CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE ON SUNDAY TO VFR WITH SOME MVFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MN...NONE.
WI...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 10 PM CDT FOR ZONE 9.

BERDES/STEWART

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
730 AM CDT SAT JUN 4 2005

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-051230-
ASHLAND-BAYFIELD-BURNETT-C. ST. LOUIS-CROW WING-DOUGLAS-IRON-
KOOCHICHING-N. AITKIN-N. CASS-N. ITASCA-N. LAKE/N. COOK-N. ST. LOUIS-
PINE-PRICE-S. AITKIN-S. CASS-S. COOK/LAKESHORE-S. ITASCA-
S. LAKE/LAKESHORE-S. ST. LOUIS/CARLTON-SAWYER-WASHBURN-
730 AM CDT SAT JUN 4 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEASTERN MINNESOTA AND
NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA...
MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.  THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE STORMS FOR THE REGION SOUTH OF... AND INCLUDING THE GRAND
RAPIDS AREA...TWIN PORTS AND THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR.  THE
MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING HAIL...ALTHOUGH SEVERE WINDS AND WEAK
TORNADOES ARE ALSO A POSSIBILITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY FOR NORTHWEST
WISCONSIN.  HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE BIGGEST THREAT WITH THESE
STORMS. OTHERWISE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... AND AGAIN TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PINE COUNTY OF
NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND ALL OF NORTHWEST WISCONSIN ON SATURDAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING URL:

HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/DLH

KFM