Severe Thunderstorm Warning 50, NWS Duluth, MN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
247 PM CDT MON JUN 27 2005

.DISCUSSION...WILL BE BRIEF WITH SEVERE TSRA ALREADY UNDERWAY. SFC
COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FA WITH SEVERE
TSRA DEVELOPING RIGHT ALONG THE FRONT. THIS IS ALSO IN THE THETA-E
RIDGE AXIS WHERE BEST INSTABILITY IS LOCATED. THE FRONT WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FA THIS EVENING AND SHOULD EXIT THE WI FA
AROUND MIDNIGHT. TSRA WILL OVERSPREAD THE FA THIS EVENING AND THEN
DIMINISH FROM W TO E OVERNIGHT. THE FRONT STALLS OUT NEAR THE SE
CORNER OF THE WI FA...AND WILL LEAVE A SMALL POP THERE. A SFC HIGH
BUILDS INTO THE FA BEHIND THE FRONT TUESDAY AND LASTS THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT. NEXT ROUND OF TSRA ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT
COLD FRONT PROGGED TO MOVE TOWARD THE FA.

.AVIATION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION. THIS THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL HAVE IFR-MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS ASSOCIATED WITH
IT...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL OF DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING. BEHIND THE FRONT...CEILINGS WILL BE IFR-MVFR
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.

GSF/KFM/STEWART

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
835 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2005

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-281230-
ASHLAND-BAYFIELD-BURNETT-C. ST. LOUIS-CROW WING-DOUGLAS-IRON-
KOOCHICHING-N. AITKIN-N. CASS-N. ITASCA-N. LAKE/N. COOK-N. ST. LOUIS-
PINE-PRICE-S. AITKIN-S. CASS-S. COOK/LAKESHORE-S. ITASCA-
S. LAKE/LAKESHORE-S. ST. LOUIS/CARLTON-SAWYER-WASHBURN-
835 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEASTERN MINNESOTA AND
NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN

...A THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN THREATS EACH DAY WILL BE LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WIND. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA THURSDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ACROSS NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING URL:

HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/DLH

EOM/GSF