Severe Thunderstorm Warning 67, NWS Dodge City, KS

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 070202
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
900 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2005

KSC175-070212-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0066.000000T0000Z-050607T0200Z/
SEWARD KS-
900 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN SEWARD COUNTY WILL 
EXPIRE AT 900 PM CDT (800 PM MDT)...

AT 900 PM CDT(800 PM MDT)...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THAT THE THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF
THE AREA. THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

AT 829 PM CDT WINDS GUSTED TO 68 MPH AT THE LIBERAL AIRPORT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT
TUESDAY MORNING(200 AM MDT TUESDAY MORNING) FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3714 10105 3700 10103 3702 10064 3732 10065

$$

GRZYWACZ

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 070216
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
915 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2005

KSC081-070225-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0067.000000T0000Z-050607T0230Z/
HASKELL KS-
915 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HASKELL COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

AT 915 PM CDT (815 PM MDT)...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THE THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF 
THE AREA. THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED.

HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE STILL POSSIBLE FROM
THE THUNDERSTORM THAT WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF MONTEZUMA...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH..

AT 850 PM CDT TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED 60 MPH WIND GUSTS IN 
SUBLETTE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT 
TUESDAY MORNING (200 AM MDT TUESDAY MORNING) FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3761 10107 3742 10106 3741 10067 3771 10068

$$

GRZYWACZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
244 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2005

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

THE CHANCES FOR CONVECTION WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY,
WITH A SFC TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER THE ROCKIES AND WESTERN PLAINS.
DEWPOINTS OVER SW KS ARE NOT AS HIGH AS THEY COULD BE, AS MOST OF
THE BEST MOISTURE HAS GONE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH OK OR WESTWARD
INTO TX PANHANDLE.  DRYLINE IS JUST WEST OF THE KS-CO BORDER,
THOUGH THERE IS NOT A LOT OF CONVERGENCE ALONG IT.  CAPES ARE
PRETTY HIGH IN THE 2000 J/KG RANGE, THOUGH THERE IS STILL SOME
CAP LEFT.  ANY DISTURBANCES COMING THROUGH THE SW FLOW ARE VERY
WEAK, AND SHEAR IS ALSO NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE. THINK THAT IF STORMS
DO FIRE THAT LARGE HAIL IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION, BUT THE
PROBLEM IS GETTING CONVECTION GOING.  THINK THAT THE BEST CHANCE
FOR WIDELY SCATTERED ACTIVITY WILL BE TO OUR SOUTHWEST WHERE
STORMS COULD COME INTO FROM CO/NM, WITH ANYTHING THAT DEVELOPS
MOVING EASTWARD DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  NOT SURE HOW FAR
EAST THE STORMS WILL GET, BUT KEPT SOME LOW POPS GOING FOR THAT
AREA, WITH AROUND 25-30 POPS IN THE SOUTHWEST.  WITH SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND MOISTURE ADVECTION CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT, WILL
KEEP LOWS FAIRLY MILD IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70.

THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINEU THROUGH TOMORROW, WITH THE
SFC TROUGH SHIFTING ONLY SLIGHTLY FURTHER EAST.  THE MODELS ARE IN
PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ON SHIFTING THE DRYLINE EASTWARD INTO OUR
CENTRAL CWA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.  NOT MUCH CONVERGENCE ALONG IT
SO FAR, AND ANY DISTURBANCES COMING THROUGH ARE AGAIN FAIRLY WEAK.
HOWEVER, THERE IS STILL THE CHANCE SOMETHING ISOLATED COULD FIRE
SO WILL CONTINUE WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS.  SHIFTED THE AREA OF
PRECIP EASTWARD IN THE GRIDS TO MATCH BETTER WITH THE POSITION OF
THE DRYLINE.  HIGHS TUESDAY WILL AGAIN BE VERY WARM, AS 850MB
TEMPS GET INTO THE UPPER 20S C, ALLOWING SFC TEMPS TO GET UP INTO
THE 90S.  A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL START TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD
INTO KANSAS BY TUESDAY NIGHT.  THE MODELS TRY TO WASH OUT THE
FRONT BY WEDNESDAY, BUT THINK THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH OF A
BOUNDARY THAT ALONG WITH THE DRYLINE, COULD PRODUCE SOME STORMS
OVER OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BY WED AFTERNOON.  HIGHS WILL BE A
BIT COOLER ON WED, MAINLY IN THE 80S TO LOW 90S.

DAYS 3-7...

THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD, THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE ALL
INDICATING A MEAN LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WHILE THE
RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE ALONG THE EAST COAST.  THIS PATTERN CONTINUES
UNTIL THIS WEEKEND AFTER WHICH TIME THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN
FLATTENS OUT SOMEWHAT.  THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO BE UNDER
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.  OCCASIONAL PIECES OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY ARE
FORECAST TO LIFT OUT ACROSS THE REGION. TIMING OF THESE MINOR WAVES
BY THE MODELS IS SUSPECT AT BEST.  CURRENTLY THE GRIDS INDICATE AT
LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS EVERY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY.  NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH AT THIS TIME TO PICK A DAY WHEN THERE
WOULDNT BE A CHANCE FOR STORMS SO WILL LEAVE THAT FORECAST AS IS.
ON FRIDAY, THE MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT AT A MORE SIGNIFICANT WAVE
EJECTING OUT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. HAVE RAISED POPS TO ABOVE
CLIMATOLOGICAL LEVELS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT GIVEN THE STRONGER SIGNAL.

EARLY NEXT WEEK THE LONG RANGE GFS AS WELL AS THE CANADIAN SHOW AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE FORMING OVER THE CENTRAL.  WILL CONTINUE WITH THE
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BUT BACK OFF PRECIPITATION TO BELOW NORMAL
GIVEN THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  69  94  65  88 /  20  20  20  20
GCK  66  95  60  86 /  20  10  10  20
EHA  63  93  62  88 /  30   0   0  10
LBL  65  95  63  90 /  20  10  10  10
HYS  69  95  66  86 /  20  20  20  20
P28  70  93  71  94 /  20  20  20  30

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.KS...NONE.

&&

RITTERLING/GERARD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1130 AM CDT MON JUN 6 2005

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-071000-
BARBER-CLARK-COMANCHE-EDWARDS-ELLIS-FINNEY-FORD-GRANT-GRAY-HAMILTON-
HASKELL-HODGEMAN-KEARNY-KIOWA-LANE-MEADE-MORTON-NESS-PAWNEE-PRATT-
RUSH-SCOTT-SEWARD-STAFFORD-STANTON-STEVENS-TREGO-
1130 AM CDT (1030 AM MDT) MON JUN 6 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HIGH INSTABILITY COULD HELP SOME SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON NEAR A DRYLINE BY THE KANSAS-COLORADO
BORDER.  THE STORMS SHOULD MOVE EASTWARD FROM FAR WESTERN KANSAS
DURING THE EVENING BEFORE WEAKENING AROUND MIDNIGHT.  LARGE HAIL AND
STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS, SOME SEVERE ARE POSSIBLE, EACH LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING INTO FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING,
MAINLY WEST OF A ASHLAND TO WAKEENEY LINE.

26

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
805 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     TSTM WND GST     12 ENE RICHFIELD        37.30N 101.58W
06/06/2005  60 MPH           MORTON             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

28

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
823 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     TSTM WND GST     11 W LIBERAL            37.04N 101.13W
06/06/2005  60 MPH           STEVENS            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

28

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
826 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 PM     TSTM WND GST     9 NNW HUGOTON           37.30N 101.41W
06/06/2005  75 MPH           STEVENS            KS   PUBLIC

            LESS THAN 1 INCH TREE BRANCHES BROKEN

&&

LEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
833 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0829 PM     TSTM WND GST     LIBERAL                 37.04N 100.94W
06/06/2005  68 MPH           SEWARD             KS   AWOS

&&

28

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
836 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2005

KSZ075>078-085>088-070800-
CLARK-FORD-GRANT-GRAY-HASKELL-MEADE-SEWARD-STEVENS-
836 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CDT...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CDT FOR CLARK,
FORK, GRANT, GRAY, HASKELL, MEADE, SEWARD AND STEVENS COUNTIES.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF
LIBERAL KANSAS TO 50 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF BIG SPRING TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

JMG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
836 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2005

KSZ075>078-085>088-070800-
CLARK-FORD-GRANT-GRAY-HASKELL-MEADE-SEWARD-STEVENS-
836 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CDT...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CDT FOR CLARK,
FORD, GRANT, GRAY, HASKELL, MEADE, SEWARD AND STEVENS COUNTIES.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF
LIBERAL KANSAS TO 50 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF BIG SPRING TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

JMG