Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 143, NWS Cleveland, OH

July 16, 2005Ashtabula County, Ohio

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 16, 2005, 4:59 PM EDT for Ashtabula County, Ohio. It was in force for 62 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 16, 2005, 4:59 PM EDT (20:59 UTC)
Expired: Jul 16, 2005, 6:01 PM EDT
In force: 62 min
Issued by: NWS Cleveland, OH
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Ashtabula County, OH

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 16, 5:30 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Geneva, OH	6 TO 8 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 31 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 155 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1596 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -13 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 649 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 47 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS51 KCLE 162100
SVRCLE
OHC007-162200-
/O.NEW.KCLE.SV.W.0143.050716T2059Z-050716T2200Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
459 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  ASHTABULA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OHIO

* UNTIL 600 PM EDT

* AT 458 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 12     
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF GENEVA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THERE  
  HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF TREES DOWN WITH THIS STORM IN THE CHARDON     
  AREA.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  JEFFERSON...
  ASHTABULA...
  NORTH KINGSVILLE...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME
OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN CLEVELAND.

LAT...LON 4177 8052 4172 8052 4172 8054 4170 8060
      4168 8067 4166 8073 4158 8100 4179 8099
      4194 8064

$$

MRD

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 162127
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
527 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2005

OHC007-162200-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-050716T2200Z/
ASHTABULA OH-
527 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2005


...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR
ASHTABULA COUNTY...


AT 518 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 58 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GENEVA...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  JEFFERSON...
  EDGEWOOD...
  NORTH KINGSVILLE...

LAT...LON 4177 8052 4172 8052 4172 8054 4170 8060
      4168 8067 4166 8073 4158 8100 4179 8099
      4194 8064

$$

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 162201
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
600 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2005

OHC007-162210-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-050716T2200Z/
ASHTABULA OH-
600 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2005


...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ASHTABULA COUNTY WILL EXPIRE
AT 600 PM EDT...

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE
STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 4177 8052 4172 8052 4172 8054 4170 8060
      4168 8067 4166 8073 4158 8100 4179 8099
      4194 8064

$$

BM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 16, 3:30 PM EDT, 1 hour 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 3:30 PM EDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
330 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2005

.SHORT TERM(TONIGHT THRU TUE)...
ACTIVITY SHOULD BE MOST DIURNAL AND START DECREASING AFTER DARK.
STORMS ARE MOVING FASTER THAN YDA...SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN MAY
STILL OCCUR. HOWEVER WITH THE AIRMASS MOIST AND UNSTABLE WILL KEEP
THE THREAT GOING ALL NIGHT. BEST DYNAMICS SEEMS TO BE MORE NORTH AND
WELL SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY...HOWEVER...WILL FORECAST
SCT. ACTIVITY WILL SUNDAY NIGHT AND A CHANCE MONDAY IN THE UNSTABLE
AIR. MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. NAM IS
FASTER THAN GFS...THE TYPICAL SCENARIO IS SLOWER IS BEST...WL GO
WITH THAT. GUID TEMPS IS OK.
&&

.LONG TERM(TUE NGT THRU SATURDAY)...
A WEAK FRONT TRIES TO MOVE INTO AREA THU NGT OR FRI...ECMWF KEEPS IT
NORTH AND GFSLR BRINGS IT SOUTH. FORECAST SOME PCPN AS TIMING AND
HOW FAR SOUTH IT WILL GO IS IN QUESTION. OTRW DRY. GUID AND HPC
TEMPS OK.
&&

.AVIATION (18Z-18Z)...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POPPING UP ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AS EXPECTED.  AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST OFF TO OUR
WEST WITH THE AREA STILL IN THE SAME MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS.
ACTIVITY TO DWINDLE THIS EVENING...BUT CANT RULE OUT CONTINUED
ISOLD ACTIVITY OVERNIGHT.  SCT TSRA RETURN FOR SUN AS WELL.  WITH
SOUPY LOW LEVELS AND GOOD COVERAGE OF RAINFALL BY TONIGHT...MVFR VIS
WILL LOWER INTO THE IFR CAT FOR SOME TIME.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.OH...NONE.
.PA...NONE.

SHORT TERM...KIELTYKA
LONG TERM...KIELTYKA
AVIATION...OUDEMAN

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 4:09 AM EDT, 12 hours 50 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
409 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2005

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-170808-
ASHLAND OH-ASHTABULA INLAND OH-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE OH-CRAWFORD PA-
CRAWFORD OH-CUYAHOGA OH-ERIE OH-GEAUGA OH-HANCOCK OH-HOLMES OH-
HURON OH-KNOX OH-LAKE OH-LORAIN OH-LUCAS OH-MAHONING OH-MARION OH-
MEDINA OH-MORROW OH-NORTHERN ERIE PA-OTTAWA OH-PORTAGE OH-
RICHLAND OH-SANDUSKY OH-SENECA OH-SOUTHERN ERIE PA-STARK OH-
SUMMIT OH-TRUMBULL OH-WAYNE OH-WOOD OH-WYANDOT OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AKRON...ASHLAND...ASHTABULA...
BOWLING GREEN...BUCYRUS...CANTON...CHARDON...CLEVELAND...ELYRIA...
ERIE...FINDLAY...FOSTORIA...FREMONT...JEFFERSON...LORAIN...
MANSFIELD...MARION...MEADVILLE...MEDINA...MILLERSBURG...
MOUNT GILEAD...MOUNT VERNON...NORWALK...PAINESVILLE...PORT CLINTON...
RAVENNA...SANDUSKY...TIFFIN...TOLEDO...UPPER SANDUSKY...WARREN...
WOOSTER AND YOUNGSTOWN
409 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTION OF NORTHERN OHIO AND A
PORTION OF NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA TODAY.  WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED...A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE.  HEAVY
RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE BOTH
SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 16, 4:15 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	CLE		2 hr
Jul 16, 4:38 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	CLE	Lorain	3 hr
Jul 16, 4:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Geauga, Lake	53 min
Jul 16, 5:19 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	CLE	Seneca	3 hr
Jul 16, 5:27 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	CLE		2 hr
Jul 16, 5:32 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	CLE		118 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Ohio, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.