Alert archive / Ohio / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2005
Lake Effect Snow Warning 1, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this lake effect snow warning at Nov 16, 2005, 3:37 PM EST for Crawford County, Erie County, Pennsylvania; Ashtabula County, Geauga County, Lake County, Ohio. It took effect at Nov 16, 2005, 10:08 PM EST. It was in force for 23 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 16, 2005, 3:37 PM EST (20:37 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 16, 2005, 10:08 PM EST
- Expired
- Nov 17, 2005, 9:19 PM EST
- In force
- 23 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
Counties Ashtabula County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Lake County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA
The radar
The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 649 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 76 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 118 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KCLE 162037 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 337 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005 PAZ001-002-170445- /O.UPG.KCLE.LE.A.0001.051117T0700Z-051117T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.LE.W.0001.051117T0500Z-051118T1200Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...EDINBORO 337 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. COLD AIR FLOWING ACROSS LAKE ERIE WILL CAUSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AND BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND OVERNIGHT. A BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AND BEGIN MOVING ONSHORE AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL LIKELY BE MIXED WITH RAIN AT FIRST CLOSE TO THE LAKE...BUT EVENTUALLY TURN TO ALL SNOW LATE TONIGHT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE...LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES...THROUGH THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT AS WELL. IN ADDITION...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...MAINLY ON THURSDAY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 2 TO 4 INCHES OVERNIGHT ...MAINLY IN THE INLAND LOCATIONS OF NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY. AN ADDITIONAL 6 TO 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED THURSDAY COUNTY WIDE...WITH A STORM TOTAL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES BY FRIDAY MORNING. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ011>013-170445- /O.EXB.KCLE.LE.A.0001.051117T1200Z-051118T1200Z/ CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON 337 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. COLD AIR FLOWING ACROSS LAKE ERIE WILL CAUSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAKE LATE TONIGHT. THE SNOW COULD BEGIN MOVING ONSHORE OVER LAKE COUNTY BEGINNING EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS WINDS TURN MORE NORTHWESTERLY. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXTECTED TO THEN SPREAD INLAND AND CONTINUE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT AS WELL. FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN SECTIONS OF LAKE COUNTY LATE TONIGHT. LOCAL 6 TO 8 INCH AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...MAINLY FROM NORTHEAST CUYAHOGA COUNTY...EAST INTO LAKE AND GEAUGA COUNTY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA WILL NEED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS ON THIS UPCOMING LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT. $$ OHZ014-089-PAZ003-170445- /O.EXT.KCLE.LE.A.0001.051117T1200Z-051118T1200Z/ ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...MEADVILLE 337 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. COLD AIR FLOWING ACROSS LAKE ERIE WILL CAUSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAKE LATE TONIGHT. THE SNOW COULD BEGIN MOVING ONSHORE OVER NORTHERN ASHTABULA COUNTY BEGINNING EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS THE BANDS GETS PUSHED ONSHORE. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXTECTED TO CONTINUE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT AS WELL. FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN SECTIONS OF ASHTABULA COUNTY LATE TONIGHT. LOCAL 6 TO 8 INCH AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA WILL NEED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS ON THIS UPCOMING LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT. $$
5 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KCLE 170308 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1008 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005 OHZ014-089-171115- /O.UPG.KCLE.LE.A.0001.051117T1200Z-051118T1200Z/ /O.EXA.KCLE.LE.W.0001.051117T0500Z-051118T1200Z/ ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA 1008 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. COLD AIR FLOWING ACROSS LAKE ERIE WILL CAUSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAKE LATE TONIGHT. THE SNOW COULD BEGIN MOVING ONSHORE OVER NORTHERN ASHTABULA COUNTY BEGINNING EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS THE BANDS GETS PUSHED ONSHORE. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT AS WELL. FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN SECTIONS OF ASHTABULA COUNTY LATE TONIGHT. LOCAL 4 TO 7 INCH AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA WILL NEED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS ON THIS UPCOMING LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ PAZ001-002-171115- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0001.051117T0500Z-051118T1200Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...EDINBORO 1008 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. COLD AIR FLOWING ACROSS LAKE ERIE WILL CAUSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AND BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND OVERNIGHT. A BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND LATER TONIGHT MAINLY CLOSE TO THE LAKESHORE. THE BANDS WILL EXPAND FURTHER INLAND ON THURSDAY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 2 TO 4 INCHES OVERNIGHT ...MAINLY CLOSE TO THE LAKESHORE. AN ADDITIONAL 6 TO 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED THURSDAY COUNTY WIDE...WITH A STORM TOTAL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES BY FRIDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...MAINLY ON THURSDAY. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ011>013-PAZ003-171115- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.A.0001.051117T1200Z-051118T1200Z/ CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON... MEADVILLE 1008 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. COLD AIR FLOWING ACROSS LAKE ERIE WILL CAUSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAKE LATE TONIGHT. THE SNOW COULD BEGIN MOVING ONSHORE OVER LAKE COUNTY BEGINNING EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS WINDS TURN MORE NORTHWESTERLY. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO THEN SPREAD INLAND AND CONTINUE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT AS WELL. GENERALLY AROUND AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN SECTIONS OF LAKE COUNTY LATE TONIGHT. LOCAL 4 TO 6 INCH AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...MAINLY FROM NORTHEAST CUYAHOGA COUNTY...EAST INTO LAKE AND GEAUGA COUNTY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA WILL NEED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS ON THIS UPCOMING LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT. $$
000 WWUS41 KCLE 170920 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 420 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005 OHZ012-171730- /O.UPG.KCLE.LE.A.0001.051117T1200Z-051118T1200Z/ /O.EXA.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T1200Z/ LAKE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MENTOR 420 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. COLD AIR FLOWING ACROSS LAKE ERIE HAS ALLOWED LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS TO DEVELOP NEAR THE SHORELINE. SOME OF THE SNOW...ESPECIALLY TODAY...WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. EXPECT THE SHOW SHOWERS TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES TODAY AND ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES TONIGHT. ALONG WITH THE SNOW...WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL CAUSE SOME BLOWING SNOW WHICH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ PAZ003-171730- /O.UPG.KCLE.LE.A.0001.051117T1200Z-051118T1200Z/ /O.EXA.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T1200Z/ CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MEADVILLE 420 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. EXPECT LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AND BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVY THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS WINDS BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...ESPECIALLY NORTH. ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH MAY CAUSE SOME BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ014-089-PAZ001-002-171730- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T1200Z/ ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO 420 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. COLD AIR FLOWING ACROSS LAKE ERIE WILL ALLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. EXPECT THE HEAVIEST SNOW THIS MORNING TO BE NEAR THE LAKESHORE...BUT SPREAD INLAND DURING THE DAY AS THE WINDS BECOME MORE NORTHWEST. AREAS NEAR INTERSTATE 90 CAN EXPECT 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW TO FALL TODAY...WITH ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT. AREAS FURTHER INLAND CAN EXPECT 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY AND ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME BLOWING SNOW. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ013-171730- /O.UPG.KCLE.LE.A.0001.051117T1200Z-051118T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.LE.Y.0001.051117T0920Z-051118T0500Z/ GEAUGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHARDON 420 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. EXPECT SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS SHIFT INLAND. THE NORTHERN PART OF GEAUGA COUNTY CAN EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT. AREAS OVER FAR SOUTHERN GEAUGA COUNTY CAN EXPECT LOCALLY AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW TODAY AND TONIGHT. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ011-171730- /O.UPG.KCLE.LE.A.0001.051117T1200Z-051118T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.LE.Y.0001.051117T0920Z-051118T0500Z/ CUYAHOGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CLEVELAND 420 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS JUST OFFSHORE OF CUYAHOGA COUNTY WILL MOVE ONSHORE TODAY. THIS BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN PART OF CUYAHOGA COUNTY...GENERALLY NEAR THE LAKESHORE EAST OF CLEVELAND. THIS AREA CAN EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER 1 TO LOCALLY 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT EAST OF CLEVELAND BEFORE THE SNOW SHOWERS DIMINISH AS THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND ONCE AGAIN SHIFTS OFFSHORE. WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH MAY ALSO CAUSE SOME BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. ELSEWHERE IN CUYAHOGA COUNTY...AN INCH OR LESS ACCUMULATION CAN BE EXPECTED IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES THROUGH TONIGHT. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ MRD
000 WWUS41 KCLE 171515 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1015 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005 OHZ013-172315- /O.UPG.KCLE.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T0500Z/ /O.EXA.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T1200Z/ GEAUGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHARDON 1015 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. EXPECT SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS SHIFT INLAND. THE NORTHERN PART OF GEAUGA COUNTY CAN EXPECT 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES TONIGHT. AREAS OVER FAR SOUTHERN GEAUGA COUNTY CAN EXPECT AN 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY AND TONIGHT. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ014-089-PAZ001-002-172315- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T1200Z/ ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO 1015 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... COLD AIR FLOWING ACROSS LAKE ERIE WILL ALLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. EXPECT THE HEAVIEST SNOW THIS MORNING TO BE NEAR THE LAKESHORE...BUT SPREAD INLAND DURING THE DAY AS THE WINDS BECOME MORE NORTHWEST. AREAS NEAR INTERSTATE 90 CAN EXPECT 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW TO FALL TODAY...WITH ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT. AREAS FURTHER INLAND CAN EXPECT 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY AND ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME BLOWING SNOW. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ012-172315- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T1200Z/ LAKE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MENTOR 1015 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... COLD AIR FLOWING ACROSS LAKE ERIE HAS ALLOWED LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS TO DEVELOP NEAR THE SHORELINE. SOME OF THE SNOW... ESPECIALLY TODAY...WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. EXPECT THE SHOW SHOWERS TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES TODAY AND ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES TONIGHT. ALONG WITH THE SNOW...WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL CAUSE SOME BLOWING SNOW WHICH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ PAZ003-172315- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T1200Z/ CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MEADVILLE 1015 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... EXPECT LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AND BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVY THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS WINDS BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...ESPECIALLY NORTH. ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH MAY CAUSE SOME BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ011-172315- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T0500Z/ CUYAHOGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CLEVELAND 1015 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS HAS MOVED INTO CUYAHOGA COUNTY. THIS BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE EXTREME NORTH PART OF CUYAHOGA COUNTY...GENERALLY NEAR THE LAKESHORE EAST OF CLEVELAND. THIS AREA CAN EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER 1 TO LOCALLY 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT EAST OF CLEVELAND BEFORE THE SNOW SHOWERS DIMINISH AS THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND ONCE AGAIN SHIFTS OFFSHORE. WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH MAY ALSO CAUSE SOME BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. ELSEWHERE IN CUYAHOGA COUNTY...AN INCH OR LESS ACCUMULATION CAN BE EXPECTED IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES THROUGH TONIGHT. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$
000 WWUS41 KCLE 172007 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 307 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005 OHZ014-089-PAZ001-002-180415- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T1200Z/ ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO 307 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE MAIN INTENSE BAND OF SNOW OSCILLATES NORTH AND SOUTH. THE BAND OF SNOW WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY NORTH THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND THEN SHIFT BACK SOUTH LATE TONIGHT SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90. THE BAND WILL THEN MOVE BACK NORTH TO THE LAKE SHORE BY SUNRISE. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE MOST INTENSE BAND. AREAS NEAR INTERSTATE 90 CAN EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 8 INCHES TO FALL TONIGHT. AREAS FURTHER INLAND CAN EXPECT 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE LAKE SHORE...WILL LIKELY CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT FROM THE BLOWING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ012-180415- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T1200Z/ LAKE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MENTOR 307 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE MAIN INTENSE BAND OF SNOW OSCILLATES NORTH AND SOUTH. THE BAND OF SNOW WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY NORTH THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND THEN SHIFT BACK SOUTH LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE INLAND SNOW BELT AREAS. THE BAND WILL THEN SHIFT BACK NORTH TO THE LAKE SHORE TOWARD SUNRISE. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE MOST INTENSE BAND. AREAS NEAR INTERSTATE 90 CAN EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 8 INCHES TO FALL TONIGHT. AREAS FURTHER INLAND CAN EXPECT 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE LAKE SHORE...WILL LIKELY CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT FROM THE BLOWING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ013-PAZ003-180415- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T1200Z/ GEAUGA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARDON...MEADVILLE 307 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE MAIN INTENSE BAND OF SNOW OSCILLATES NORTH AND SOUTH. THE BAND OF SNOW WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY NORTH THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND THEN SHIFT BACK SOUTH LATER TONIGHT TO THE INLAND SNOW BELT AREAS OF GEAUGA AND CRAWFORD COUNTIES. THE BAND WILL THEN SHIFT BACK TO THE LAKE SHORE TOWARD SUNRISE. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE MOST INTENSE BAND. AREAS NEAR INTERSTATE 90 CAN EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES TO FALL TONIGHT. AREAS FURTHER INLAND CAN EXPECT 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE LAKE SHORE...WILL LIKELY CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT FROM THE BLOWING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ011-180415- /O.EXT.KCLE.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T1200Z/ CUYAHOGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CLEVELAND 307 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE MAIN INTENSE BAND OF SNOW OSCILLATES NORTH AND SOUTH. THE BAND OF SNOW WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY NORTH THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND THEN SHIFT BACK SOUTH LATER TONIGHT ACROSS EASTERN CUYAHOGA COUNTY. THE BAND WILL THEN SHIFT BACK TO THE LAKE SHORE TOWARD SUNRISE. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE MOST INTENSE BAND. AREAS NEAR INTERSTATE 90 IN NORTHEASTERN CUYAHOGA COUNTY CAN EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES TO FALL TONIGHT. AREAS FURTHER INLAND CAN EXPECT 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE LAKE SHORE...WILL LIKELY CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT FROM THE BLOWING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ LOMBARDY
000 WWUS41 KCLE 180219 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 919 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005 OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-180330- /O.CAN.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T1200Z/ LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE- SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON... ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE 919 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FOR NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS DIMINISHED SIGNIFICANTLY AND WILL NO LONGER POSE A THREAT. AN ADDITIONAL 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...WITH LOCALLY UP TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. $$ OHZ011-180330- /O.CAN.KCLE.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T1200Z/ CUYAHOGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CLEVELAND 919 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FOR CUYAHOGA COUNTY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS DIMINISHED SIGNIFICANTLY. AN ADDITIONAL 1-2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN EXTREME EASTERN CUYAHOGA COUNTY OVERNIGHT...WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY WILL SEE LESS THAN AN INCH. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Nov 16, 3:37 PM EST, 0 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 16, 3:37 PM EST, 0 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO 337 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005 .SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THRU FRI)... SNOW BELT AREAS (REST OF THE AREA SEE BELOW)... COLD FRONT HAS MOVED WELL EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING ALLOWING FLOW TO BECOME WELL ALIGNED FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW. BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES DROPPED QUICKLY OVER MICHIGAN ALLOWING RAIN SNOW MIX TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW. SOME LIGHT SNOW HAS BEGUN TO FALL IN NORTHERN OHIO AND AREAS TO THE WEST ALREADY. LATEST RADAR IS SHOWING PRECIPITATION STARTING TO FORM IN A FAIRLY WIDE BAND UP THE MIDDLE OF LAKE ERIE AND OVER INDIANA. ACTIVITY TO THE WEST IS IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE DIVING SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WORK STATION ETA MODEL INDICATES AN INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT WILL DEVELOP OVER LAKE ERIE AND SHOULD BE GOING STRONG BY 03Z TONIGHT. THIS BAND WILL SHIFT SLOWLY SOUTH TO THE LAKE SHORE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WE FEEL THAT THERE WILL NOT BE ENOUGH TIME OVER THE WATER FOR THE COLD AIR MASS TO BECOME MODIFIED TO KEEP THE PRECIPITATION ALL RAIN ALONG THE LAKE SHORE. THEREFORE...WE ARE EXPECTING SNOW TO BEGIN ACCUMULATING AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING WILL BE ISSUED FOR ERIE COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA FOR TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE LAKE SNOW BAND WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT FURTHER SOUTH BY SUNRISE INTO EASTERN CUYAHOGA...LAKE...GEAUGA...AND CRAWFORD PA COUNTIES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ASHTABULA COUNTY IN OHIO AND CRAWFORD COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA AND BE HOISTED FOR CUYAHOGA...LAKE AND GEAUGA COUNTIES FOR TOMORROW AND THURSDAY NIGHT. I AM EXPECTING WINDS TO BE 15 TO 25 MPH THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS SO THERE COULD BE COME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THET SNOW. THE FLOW DOES NOT REALLY SHIFT MUCH UNTIL FRIDAY WHEN IT BECOMES MORE SOUTHWEST AGAIN. THEREFORE...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS INTO FRIDAY EVENING. A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA AND THIS SHOULD CAUSE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO TAPER OFF. REST OF THE AREA... STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION TAKING PLACE IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP TO BELOW FREEZING OVERNIGHT. BRISK WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT THEN DIMINISH BY MORNING. RADAR AND OBSERVATIONS TO THE WEST INDICATE THERE ARE A FEW SNOW FLURRIES FALLING SO WILL MENTION A CHANCE OF FLURRIES THIS EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE EAST OF THE AREA IN RESPONSE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER SHOULD PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN WARM AIR WILL BEGIN TO RETURN BY FRIDAY EVENING. STAYED CLOSE TO MAV GUIDANCE THROUGH THE PERIOD. && .LONG TERM(FRI NGT THRU WED)... LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL COME TO AN END FRIDAY NIGHT AS WARM AIR ADVECTION BEGINS TO OCCUR AS HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY SATURDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT THAT TAKES ITS TIME GETTING INTO THE FORECAST AREA ON TUESDAY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD ARCTIC AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA JUST IN TIME FOR THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY. LONG RANGE GFS SHOWS POTENTIAL FOR WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT AND SLIDING SOUTHEAST WHILE DEEPENING AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BECOMES NEGATIVELY TILTED. THIS SCENARIO CAN SET THE REGION UP FOR A SIGNIFICANT SYNOPTIC SNOW EVENT. EUROPEAN MODEL APPEARS TO AGREE WITH THIS SCENARIO AS WELL AS VIGOROUS VORT MAX AND ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROTATES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE BASE OF THE DEEP TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL TAKE PLACE BEHIND THE FRONT BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. FLOW SHOULD BECOME FAVORABLE FOR EVEN MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WEDNESDAY INTO THANKSGIVING DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE PLAINS STATES ALLOWING ARCTIC BLAST TO HIT THE AREA. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS WEATHER PROBLEM TO SEE HOW IT EVOLVES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. I WILL MENTION SNOW FOR THE END OF THE PERIOD BUT ONLY A CHANCE AT THIS TIME. STAYED FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE MEX GUIDANCE THROUGH THE PERIOD. && .AVIATION(18Z-18Z)... SFC LOW NR HUDSON BAY ATTM MOVG NE WL ALLOW GRADIENT TO SLOWLY RELAX AND WINDS TO SLOWLY DIMINISH. WRAP AROUND MSTR HWVR WL CONT THRU MUCH OF THE PD ALTHOUGH XPC CIGS AFTER 06Z OR SO TO INCR TO VFR IN FM TOL TO FDY. ELSEWHERE WITH TEMPS DECREASING AND WINDS TURNING WLY TO WNWLY XPC SNOW SHOWERS DWNSTRM OF LAKE ERIE...SPCLY AFTER 06Z-08Z TIME FRAME. THIS SHOULD MAINLY AFFECT KERI AT FIRST ALTHOUGH AS WINDS TURN MORE NWLY AFTER 12Z SNOW BANDS WILL MOVE MORE INLAND AND AFFECT KCLE-KYNG-KCAK. && .CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... .OH...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH OHZ011>014-089 7 AM THU THRU 7 AM FRI. .PA...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING PAZ001-002 MID TONIGHT THRU 7 AM FRI AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH PAZ03 7 AM THU THRU 7 AM FRI. .LERI...GALE WRNG IN EFFECT. && SHORT TERM...LOMBARDY LONG TERM...LOMBARDY AVIATION...TK
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 16, 5:24 AM EST, 10 hours 13 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 524 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 OHZ003-006>011-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-171030- LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-HANCOCK-SENECA- HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND- ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX- 524 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT WIND ADVISORY THROUGH NOON...WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH...A FEW TREES...LIMBS AND POWER LINES COULD COME DOWN. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. LEZ142>149-162>169-171030- MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH- GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-GENEVA-ON- THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- 524 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT GALE WARNING TODAY AND LOW WATER POSSIBLE ON THE WEST END OF THE LAKE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-171030- LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE- SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD- 524 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT WIND ADVISORY THROUGH NOON...WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...A FEW TREES...LIMBS AND POWERLINES COULD COME DOWN. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH LATE TONIGHT EAST OF LAKE AND GEAUGA COUNTIES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH THURSDAY FOR EAST OF LAKE AND GEAUGA COUNTIES. FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES OF SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE IN THE WATCH AREA. IT WILL ALSO BE WINDY WITH SOME BLOWING SNOW LOWERING THE VISIBILITY. FOR LAKE AND GEAUGA COUNTIES 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS FORECAST. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. KIELTYKA
The office that day
Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 4:34 AM EST | Lake Effect Snow Watch | CLE | Crawford, Erie | 41 hr |
| Nov 15, 8:34 PM EST | Special Marine Warning | CLE | 41 min |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Ohio, 2005Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2005Every lake effect snow warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.