Severe Thunderstorm Warning 106, NWS Charleston, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
906 PM EDT THU JUL 28 2005

.SHORT TERM...CONVECTION HAS JUST ABOUT ENDED ACROSS THE CWA AS SEA
BREEZE AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOWS HAVE CLEARED THE AREA. COVERAGE TODAY
WAS ACTUAL QUITE TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND LOOKS LIKE
ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION FOR FRI AFTERNOON/EVE.

BUT FOR TONIGHT WILL LOWER OR REMOVE POPS FOR ALL AREAS...KEEPING
SLIGHT CHANCE FAR INLAND OF SE GA EARLY...THEN FOR COASTAL SECTIONS
LATE TONIGHT WITHIN THE ONSHORE FLOW...AS PER 00Z SOUNDINGS FROM CHS
AND JAX AND MODEL GUIDANCE.

WILL ADD HAZE TO THE FCSTS AS MANY SITES ALREADY DOWN TO 4-5SM. NO
OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WITH THE EVE UPDATE.

&&

.MARINE...WEAK GRADIENT OVER THE WATERS WITH TROUGH TO THE W AND
HIGH PRES TO THE E TO KEEP SLY WINDS AROUND 10-15KT OR LESS ACROSS
THE MARINE AREA OVERNIGHT WITH SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. PRECIP CHANCES SEEM
SMALL SO WILL GO WITH SLGT CHC INSTEAD OF CHC. NO OTHER CHANGES TO
CURRENT CWF EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...HAZY CONDITIONS WITH MVFR VSBYS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH MINIMAL PRECIP CHANCES. DECENT SHRA/TSRA
CHANCES FRI AFTN WITH THE SEA BREEZE...BUT TOO FAR OUT TO FCST TSRA
IN THE TERMINALS SO WENT WITH CB FOR NOW. LATER FCSTS CAN ADDRESS
POSSIBLE TEMPO...WITH MOST LIKELY TIMING 18Z-22Z.

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
SC...HEAT ADVISORY FOR SCZ043>045-047>051 FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 7
     PM FRIDAY.
MARINE...NONE.
&&

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
415 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005

AMZ330-350-352-354-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-
042>045-047>051-301000-
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT
20 NM...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-JENKINS-SCREVEN-CANDLER-BULLOCH-EFFINGHAM-TATTNALL-EVANS-
INLAND BRYAN-COASTAL BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-COASTAL CHATHAM-LONG-
INLAND LIBERTY-COASTAL LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
ALLENDALE-HAMPTON-INLAND COLLETON-DORCHESTER-BERKELEY-INLAND
JASPER-BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-CHARLESTON-COASTAL JASPER-
415 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTH
SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT.
.STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. DANGEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS ARE THE MAIN HAZARDS. SLUGGISH STORM MOTIONS WILL ENSURE THAT
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE THUNDERSTORMS. MINOR TEMPORARY
FLOODING AND PONDING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH A FEW STORMS.

.RIVER FLOODING...MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE SAVANNAH
RIVER AT CLYO. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD STATEMENT FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
.STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS A CHANCE OF A FEW STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOONS AND EVENING ACROSS THE AREA. FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THESE STORMS.

.RIVER FLOODING...MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE
THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT CLYO. REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD
STATEMENT FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER NETWORK ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

JPC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
233 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005

GAZ114-137-291915-
LONG-TATTNALL-
233 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT LONG COUNTY AND TATTNALL COUNTY
THROUGH 315 PM EDT...

AT 233 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM FIVE POINTS TO 3
MILES SOUTHWEST OF DONALD...OR FROM 12 MILES SOUTH OF REIDSVILLE TO
9 MILES NORTHWEST OF LUDOWICI...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND
NOBLE...FIVE POINTS...WEFANIE...TISON...DONALD...BEARDS
CREEK...LUDOWICI...MIDWAY...MENDES AND LYNN THROUGH 315 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

MOVE INSIDE IMMEDIATELY IF STORMS APPROACH YOUR LOCATION.

33

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
236 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005

GAZ087-291915-
JENKINS-
236 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT JENKINS COUNTY THROUGH 315 PM
EDT...

AT 236 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 2 MILES NORTH OF BIRDSVILLE TO
3 MILES SOUTH OF HERNDON...OR FROM 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF MILLEN TO
11 MILES WEST OF MILLEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND
HERNDON...BUTTS...BIRDSVILLE...ROGERS...EMMALANE...MILLEN...PERKINS
AND LAWTON THROUGH 315 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

MOVE INSIDE IMMEDIATELY IF STORMS APPROACH YOUR LOCATION.

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