Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS Billings, MT

May 19, 2005Yellowstone County, Montana

NWS Billings, MT issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 19, 2005, 2:37 PM MDT for Yellowstone County, Montana. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 19, 2005, 2:37 PM MDT (20:37 UTC)
Expired: May 19, 2005, 3:00 PM MDT
In force: 23 min
Issued by: NWS Billings, MT
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Yellowstone County, MT

The radar

The Billings radar (KBLX), 27 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Billings, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 19, 8:59 AM MDT, 5 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 19, 8:59 AM MDT, 5 hours 38 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
859 AM MDT THU MAY 19 2005

.SHORT TERM...VALID FOR TDY AND FRI...

ELEVATED INSTABILITY ALONG WITH SOME JET FORCING IS HELPING SOME
SHOWERS AND EVEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.
MODELS ARE NOT DEALING WITH THE SITUATION VERY WELL.  COVERAGE IS
GREATEST ACROSS CENTRAL MONTANA AND JUST CLIPPING THE NORTHWEST
ZONES AND WILL ADJUST POPS SLIGHTLY TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT
TRENDS. CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AND SHOULD TAP
INTO BETTER INSTABILITY WITH DAY TIME HEATING. DONT EXPECT
COVERAGE TO INCREASE THAT MUCH....BUT INTENSITY OF THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE GREATER. TEMP AND WIND FORECAST FOR TODAY
LOOKS ON TRACK AND WILL LEAVE ALONE. MOORE

.LONG TERM...VALID FOR SAT...SUN...MON...TUE...WED...

A MOSTLY DRY EXTENDED PERIOD IS STILL ON TRACK THOUGH MODELS
CONTINUE TO BE VERY INCONSISTENT FROM RUN TO RUN CONCERNING AN
UPPER LOW LATE IN THE PERIOD. EARLY ON...SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
SHOULD BE DRY ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA EXCEPT THE EAST WHERE
LINGERING TROUGH ON SATURDAY AND A WEAK COLD FRONT LATE SUNDAY
WILL KEEP THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST. THERMAL RIDGE TO
BE OVER THE AREA SUNDAY THOUGH THE MODELS ARE SLIGHTLY COOLER
TONIGHT THAN THEY WERE YESTERDAY. HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES BACK
TO THE MIDDLE OF THE ENSEMBLE RANGE...WHICH IS CLOSE TO WHERE THE
ENSEMBLE MEANS WERE AT THIS TIME LAST NIGHT.

DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE SOMEWHAT SIGNIFICANT
WITH PLACEMENT OF AN UPPER LOW TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. TONIGHTS
MODEL SOLUTION HAS THE LOW OVER CENTRAL MONTANA BY TUESDAY
EVENING WHERE LAST NIGHT AND YESTERDAYS RUNS HAVE THIS LOW JUST
OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF WASHINGTON. HAVE OPTED TO LEAVE FORECAST
DRY FOR NOW SINCE EARLIER IN THE WEEK THE MODELS WERE FORECASTING
A RIDGE OVER THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AND THE IDEA OF THE LOW
BEING OVER MONTANA IS FAIRLY NEW. MACZKO

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    TDY FRI     SAT     SUN     MON     TUE     WED
-------------------------------------------------------
BIL 079 050/076 051/070 046/074 050/072 047/071 047/070
    2/T 22/T    30/B    00/B    00/B    00/B    00/B
LVM 074 043/070 049/064 041/072 044/071 042/071 042/070
    2/T 22/T    30/B    00/B    00/B    00/B    00/B
HDN 080 052/078 051/068 047/076 049/075 050/072 050/073
    2/T 22/T    30/B    00/B    00/B    00/B    00/B
MLS 081 050/080 053/071 049/077 050/074 053/073 051/073
    2/T 22/T    32/T    00/B    10/B    00/B    00/B
4BQ 080 050/082 051/073 047/076 049/076 049/070 047/069
    1/B 22/T    32/T    00/B    00/B    00/B    00/B
BHK 081 047/082 051/070 045/075 045/075 047/069 046/068
    2/T 22/T    32/T    00/B    20/B    00/B    00/B
SHR 079 046/082 049/069 043/074 042/076 043/072 042/069
    2/T 02/T    20/B    00/B    00/B    00/B    00/B

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...NONE.
WY...NONE.

&&

WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Billings, MT issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 19, 3:00 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BYZ	Big Horn, Yellowstone	39 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Montana, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.