Alert archive / New York / Winter Weather Advisories in 2005

Winter Weather Advisory 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

November 23, 200510 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter weather advisory at Nov 23, 2005, 1:38 PM EST for 10 counties in New York. It took effect at Nov 24, 2005, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 21 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 23, 2005, 1:38 PM EST (18:38 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 24, 2005, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Nov 25, 2005, 4:25 AM EST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Allegany County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wayne County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 72 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2005-11-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2005-11-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 53 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
532 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 231838
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
138 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL
IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE AREA THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE UPPER LAKES TONIGHT INTO EARLY
THANKSGIVING DAY WITH A GENERAL SNOWFALL EXPECTED. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
WILL BE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. HOWEVER...HEAVIER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

A WELL ALIGNED FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL THEN DEVELOP THANKSGIVING
DAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS ARCTIC AIR WILL
FLOW OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM LAKE WATERS AND PRODUCE BANDS OF
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF
BUFFALO INTO CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. HOWEVER...THE
LAKE BANDS COULD SHIFT INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS FOR AWHILE.

THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
BE FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.
A NORTHWARD SHIFT COULD ALSO OCCUR EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH THE
LAKE BANDS APPROACHING WATERTOWN.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WARNING AREAS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS...
CAUSING FREQUENT WHITEOUT TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT
TIMES...IN THE WARNING AREAS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THANKSGIVING DAY AND FRIDAY...YOU SHOULD
CONSIDER YOUR TRAVEL OPTIONS VERY CAREFULLY. BE PREPARED FOR HEAVY
SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME
VERY HAZARDOUS TO NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREAS THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE...
INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM ANGOLA TO THE PENNSYLVANIA LINE...AS
WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION... CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

NYZ012-019-020-085-240400-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0002.051124T1200Z-051125T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0001.051124T1200Z-051125T2300Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
138 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE UPPER LAKES TONIGHT INTO EARLY 
THANKSGIVING DAY WITH A GENERAL SNOWFALL EXPECTED. SNOW 
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. 

A WELL ALIGNED FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL THEN DEVELOP THANKSGIVING
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS ARCTIC AIR WILL
FLOW OVER RELATIVELY WARM LAKE ERIE WATERS AND PRODUCE BANDS OF
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS WILL FALL SOUTH OF BUFFALO INTO CHAUTAUQUA
AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. HOWEVER...THE LAKE BANDS COULD SHIFT
INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS FOR AWHILE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET...OR
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS. WINDS
COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 45 MPH. THIS COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND
VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITEOUT TO NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THANKSGIVING DAY AND FRIDAY...YOU SHOULD
CONSIDER YOUR TRAVEL OPTIONS VERY CAREFULLY. BE PREPARED FOR
HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS TO NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE. IT IS LIKELY THAT
MANY ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM
ANGOLA TO THE PENNSYLVANIA LINE.

$$

NYZ006>008-240400-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0002.051124T1800Z-051125T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0001.051124T1800Z-051125T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
138 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY.  

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE UPPER LAKES LATE TONIGHT INTO 
THANKSGIVING DAY WITH A GENERAL SNOWFALL EXPECTED. SNOW 
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES. 

A WELL ALIGNED FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL THEN DEVELOP THANKSGIVING
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS ARCTIC AIR
WILL FLOW OVER RELATIVELY WARM LAKE ONTARIO WATERS AND PRODUCE
BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. HOWEVER...THE LAKE BANDS
COULD SHIFT NORTHWARD...APPROACHING WATERTOWN FOR A TIME THURSDAY 
EVENING.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET...OR
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS.
THIS COMBINATION WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITEOUT TO NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THANKSGIVING DAY AND FRIDAY...YOU SHOULD
CONSIDER YOUR TRAVEL OPTIONS VERY CAREFULLY. BE PREPARED FOR HEAVY
SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME
VERY HAZARDOUS TO NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE. IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY ROADS
WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 AND
ROUTE 11.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION... CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-240400-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.051124T1200Z-051124T2300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA
138 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND ACCUMULATE A QUICK 1 TO 3 INCHES BEFORE ENDING BY
MID MORNING THURSDAY. WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT TO WEST AND INCREASE
RAPIDLY INTO THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE BY MIDDAY AND MAY GUST PAST 40
MPH AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON...RESULTING IN SOME BLOWING
SNOW.

ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIER LAKE SNOWS WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF BUFFALO 
AND BATAVIA...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS CAN STILL BE EXPECTED THURSDAY 
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG WINDS AND 
VERY COLD TEMPERATURES TO RESULT IN DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS 
AT TIMES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME VERY SLICK.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW, SLEET,
FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ003>005-014-240400-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.051124T1500Z-051124T2300Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
CANANDAIGUA
138 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION BEFORE DAYBREAK THURSDAY AND 
ACCUMULATE A QUICK 1 TO 3 INCHES BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY NOON. 
WEST WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE RAPIDLY TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 
PAST 40 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME BLOWING 
SNOW...AND COMBINE WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES TO CREATE SOME 
DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME VERY 
SLICK. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW, SLEET,
FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ013-021-240400-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.051124T1500Z-051124T2300Z/
LIVINGSTON-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...WELLSVILLE
138 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION BEFORE DAYBREAK THURSDAY AND 
ACCUMULATE A QUICK 1 TO 3 INCHES BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY NOON. WEST 
WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH AT 
TIMES. THIS MAY PUSH SOME HEAVIER EFFECT SNOWS FROM LAKE ERIE INTO 
THE AREA AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTIES.

THE STRONG WINDS AND ADDITIONAL SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH FALLING 
TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. UNTREATED ROADS 
WILL BECOME VERY SLICK.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

TMA/SM
6 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 240305
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1005 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL
IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE AREA THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

A FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL DEVELOP THANKSGIVING DAY AND CONTINUE 
THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS COLD AIR AND THE RELATIVELY WARM LAKE 
WATERS WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND 
SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF
BUFFALO INTO CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. HOWEVER...THE LAKE 
BANDS COULD SHIFT INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS FOR AWHILE IN THE 
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
BE FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.
A NORTHWARD SHIFT COULD ALSO OCCUR EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH THE
LAKE BANDS APPROACHING WATERTOWN.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WARNING AREAS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS...
CAUSING FREQUENT WHITEOUT TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THANKSGIVING DAY AND FRIDAY...YOU SHOULD BE 
PREPARED FOR HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. 
TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS TO NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNING AREAS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY ROADS WILL 
BECOME IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM ANGOLA TO THE 
PENNSYLVANIA LINE...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 
11 EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION... CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.


NYZ012-019-020-085-241115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.051124T1200Z-051125T2300Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1005 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO
6 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO
6 PM EST FRIDAY. 

A FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL DEVELOP THANKSGIVING DAY AND CONTINUE 
THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS COLD AIR AND THE RELATIVELY WARM LAKE 
WATERS WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND 
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF
BUFFALO INTO CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. HOWEVER...THE LAKE 
BANDS COULD SHIFT INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS FOR AWHILE IN THE 
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET...OR 
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS. WINDS
COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 45 MPH. THIS COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND
VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITEOUT TO NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THANKSGIVING DAY AND FRIDAY...BE PREPARED 
FOR HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL 
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS TO NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE. IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY 
ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM ANGOLA 
TO THE PENNSYLVANIA LINE.

$$

NYZ006>008-241115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.051124T1800Z-051125T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1005 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO
6 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO
6 PM EST FRIDAY. 

A FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL DEVELOP THANKSGIVING DAY AND CONTINUE 
THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS COLD AIR AND THE RELATIVELY WARM LAKE 
WATERS WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND 
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN SOUTHWARD 
ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. HOWEVER...THE LAKE BANDS COULD SHIFT 
NORTHWARD...APPROACHING WATERTOWN FOR A TIME THURSDAY EVENING.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET...OR
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS.
THIS COMBINATION WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITEOUT TO NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THANKSGIVING DAY AND FRIDAY...BE PREPARED 
FOR HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL 
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS TO NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE. IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY 
ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 
AND ROUTE 11.

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-241115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.051124T1200Z-051124T2300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA
1005 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM
EST THURSDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND ACCUMULATE A QUICK 1 TO 3 INCHES BEFORE ENDING BY
MID MORNING THURSDAY. WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT TO WEST AND INCREASE
RAPIDLY INTO THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE BY MIDDAY AND MAY GUST PAST
40 MPH AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON...RESULTING IN SOME BLOWING
SNOW.

ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIER LAKE SNOWS WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF BUFFALO
AND BATAVIA...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS CAN STILL BE EXPECTED
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG
WINDS AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES TO RESULT IN DIFFICULT DRIVING
CONDITIONS AT TIMES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME VERY SLICK.

$$

NYZ003>005-014-241115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.051124T1500Z-051124T2300Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
CANANDAIGUA
1005 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM
EST THURSDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM
EST THURSDAY. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION BEFORE DAYBREAK THURSDAY AND
ACCUMULATE A QUICK 1 TO 3 INCHES BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY NOON.
WEST WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE RAPIDLY TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
PAST 40 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME
BLOWING SNOW...AND COMBINE WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES TO CREATE
SOME DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME
VERY SLICK.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ013-021-241115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.051124T1500Z-051124T2300Z/
LIVINGSTON-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...WELLSVILLE
1005 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM
EST THURSDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM
EST THURSDAY. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION BEFORE DAYBREAK THURSDAY AND
ACCUMULATE A QUICK 1 TO 3 INCHES BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY NOON.
WEST WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER
40 MPH AT TIMES. THIS MAY PUSH SOME HEAVIER EFFECT SNOWS FROM
LAKE ERIE INTO THE AREA AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH
ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTIES.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 240950
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
450 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...EXTREME WINTER WEATHER WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE AREA THROUGH 
FRIDAY...

ARCTIC AIR WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS 
COLD AIR AND THE RELATIVELY WARM LAKE WATERS WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF 
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF
BUFFALO INTO CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. HOWEVER...THE LAKE 
BANDS COULD SHIFT INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS FOR AWHILE IN THE 
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
BE FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.
A NORTHWARD SHIFT COULD ALSO OCCUR EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH THE
LAKE BANDS APPROACHING WATERTOWN.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WARNING AREAS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS...
CAUSING FREQUENT WHITE OUT TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...YOU SHOULD BE 
PREPARED FOR HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. 
TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS IN THE WARNING AREAS THURSDAY AND 
FRIDAY. IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE... 
INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM ANGOLA TO THE PENNSYLVANIA LINE...AS 
WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION... CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

NYZ012-019-020-085-241800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.051124T1200Z-051125T2300Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
450 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

ARCTIC AIR WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS
COLD AIR AND THE RELATIVELY WARM LAKE WATERS WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF
BUFFALO INTO CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. HOWEVER...THE LAKE 
BANDS COULD SHIFT INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS FOR AWHILE IN THE 
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET...OR
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE...IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS. WINDS
COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 45 MPH. THIS COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND
VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITE OUT TO NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...BE PREPARED FOR HEAVY 
SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY 
HAZARDOUS AND IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE... 
INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM ANGOLA TO THE PENNSYLVANIA LINE.

$$

NYZ006>008-241800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.051124T1800Z-051125T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
450 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

ARCTIC AIR WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS 
COLD AIR AND THE RELATIVELY WARM LAKE WATERS WILL PRODUCE BANDS OF 
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN SOUTHWARD 
ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. HOWEVER...THE LAKE BANDS COULD SHIFT 
NORTHWARD...APPROACHING WATERTOWN FOR A TIME THURSDAY EVENING.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET...OR
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE...IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS.
THIS COMBINATION WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITE OUT TO NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...BE PREPARED FOR 
HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME 
VERY HAZARDOUS AND IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY ROADS WILL BECOME 
IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11.

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-241800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.051124T1200Z-051124T2300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA
450 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP 
TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE BEFORE ENDING LATER THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL 
SHIFT TO WEST AND INCREASE RAPIDLY INTO THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE BY
MIDDAY AND MAY GUST PAST 40 MPH AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON...
RESULTING IN BLOWING SNOW.

ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIER LAKE SNOWS WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF BUFFALO
AND BATAVIA...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS CAN STILL BE EXPECTED
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG
WINDS AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES TO RESULT IN DIFFICULT DRIVING 
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

$$

NYZ003>005-014-241800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.051124T1500Z-051124T2300Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
CANANDAIGUA
450 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP 
TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE BEFORE ENDING LATER THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL 
SHIFT TO WEST AND INCREASE RAPIDLY INTO THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE BY
MIDDAY AND MAY GUST PAST 40 MPH AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON.
THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME BLOWING SNOW...AND COMBINE WITH FALLING
TEMPERATURES TO CREATE SOME DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER 
WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER 
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER 
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND 
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ013-021-241800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.051124T1500Z-051124T2300Z/
LIVINGSTON-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...WELLSVILLE
450 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP 
TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE BEFORE ENDING DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON.  
WINDS WILL TO WEST AND INCREASE RAPIDLY INTO THE 25 TO 35 MPH
RANGE BY MIDDAY AND MAY GUST PAST 40 MPH AT TIMES DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME BLOWING SNOW...AND COMBINE
WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES TO CREATE SOME DIFFICULT DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

THE SHIFT TO WESTERLY WINDS MAY PUSH SOME HEAVIER EFFECT SNOWS FROM 
LAKE ERIE INTO THE AREA AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH ANOTHER 2 
TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE 
COUNTIES.

$$

LEVAN
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 241651
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1151 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...EXTREME WINTER WEATHER WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE AREA 
THROUGH FRIDAY...

ARCTIC AIR WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND 
TONIGHT. THIS COLD AIR AND THE RELATIVELY WARM LAKE WATERS WILL
PRODUCE BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

THE FLOW OFF THE LAKES THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE OUT
OF THE NORTHWEST...KEEPING THE LAKE EFFECT BANDS MORE
DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER...WITHIN ANY OF THESE LAKE BANDS THE SNOW
WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH AN HOUR.
THESE BANDS WILL NOT SIT OVER ONE PARTICULAR AREA FOR A
SIGNIFICANT LENGTH OF TIME.

THE FLOW ACROSS THE LAKES IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY BY
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. THIS SHIFT IN THE WIND DIRECTION WILL
ALLOW THE LAKE BANDS TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED SOUTH OF THE
BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN AREAS. SNOWFALL RATES WITHIN THESE BANDS
COULD BE AS MUCH AS 3 INCHES OR MORE AN HOUR.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF
BUFFALO INTO CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. 

THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
BE FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WARNING AREAS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS...
CAUSING FREQUENT WHITE OUT TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY...YOU
SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING
CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS IN THE WARNING
AREAS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY ROADS WILL
BECOME IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM ANGOLA TO THE
PENNSYLVANIA LINE...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 AND
ROUTE 11 EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

NYZ012-019-020-085-242300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051125T2300Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1151 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. 

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF
BUFFALO INTO CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. 

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET...OR
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE...IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS.
WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 45 MPH. THIS COMBINATION OF HEAVY
SNOW AND VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITE OUT TO NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY...BE
PREPARED FOR HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.
TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS AND IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY
ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM
ANGOLA TO THE PENNSYLVANIA LINE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006>008-242300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.051124T1800Z-051125T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1151 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. 

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. 

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET...OR
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE...IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS.
THIS COMBINATION WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITE OUT TO NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY...BE
PREPARED FOR HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.
TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS AND IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY
ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE
81 AND ROUTE 11.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-242300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051124T2300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA
1151 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE PERIODIC BURSTS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH AT LEAST 3 PM. AFTERWARDS...THE FLOW
ACROSS THE LAKE IN EXPECTED TO BACK MORE WESTERLY AND THIS SHOULD
CONFINE THE HEAVIER LAKE SNOWS TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA.

ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH MID AFTERNOON SHOULD BE
LIMITED TO 1 TO 2 INCHES.

THE SNOW SHOWERS COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES TO RESULT IN DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES.
UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. ALLOW
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ003>005-014-242300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051124T2300Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
CANANDAIGUA
1151 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE PERIODIC BURSTS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH AT LEAST 3 PM. AFTERWARDS...THE FLOW
ACROSS THE LAKE IN EXPECTED TO BACK MORE WESTERLY AND THIS
DIMINISH THE LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY.

ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH MID AFTERNOON SHOULD BE
LIMITED TO 1 TO 2 INCHES.

THE SNOW SHOWERS COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES TO RESULT IN DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES.
UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. ALLOW
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ013-021-242300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051124T2300Z/
LIVINGSTON-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...WELLSVILLE
1151 AM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH EARLY
TO MID AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR TWO
ARE POSSIBLE.

A SHIFT TO WESTERLY WINDS BY MID AFTERNOON COULD PUSH SOME HEAVIER
EFFECT SNOWS FROM LAKE ERIE INTO THE AREA AT TIMES DURING THE MID
TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTIES.

THE SNOW SHOWERS COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES TO RESULT IN DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES.
UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. ALLOW
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

TMA
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 242215
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
515 PM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...EXTREME WINTER WEATHER WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE AREA 
THROUGH FRIDAY...

ARCTIC AIR WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...AND PRODUCE BANDS 
OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. SNOWFALL 
RATES WITHIN THESE BANDS COULD BE AS MUCH AS 3 INCHES OR MORE AN 
HOUR.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF
BUFFALO INTO CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. 

THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
BE FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WARNING AREAS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG 
WINDS...CAUSING FREQUENT WHITEOUTS WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS 
AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED 
FOR HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. MANY ROADS 
WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM ANGOLA TO THE 
PENNSYLVANIA LINE...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 
11 EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-242315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051124T2300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
515 PM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

SNOW HAS DIMINISHED IN INTENSITY AND FREQUENCY. WHILE ANOTHER 1 TO
2 INCHES IS STILL POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT IN MANY AREAS...IT IS NOT
ENOUGH TO KEEP THE ADVISORY IN EFFECT.

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-250615-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051125T2300Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
515 PM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. 

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL BE OVER CHAUTAUQUA AND 
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES AND THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF ERIE AND WYOMING 
COUNTIES. 

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET...OR
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE...IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS.
WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 45 MPH. THIS COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW 
AND VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITEOUTS WITH NEAR 
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY...BE
PREPARED FOR HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.
TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS AND IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY ROADS 
WILL BE IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM ANGOLA TO THE 
PENNSYLVANIA LINE.

$$

NYZ006>008-250615-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051125T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
515 PM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. 

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET...OR
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE...IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS.
THIS COMBINATION WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITEOUTS WITH NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BE PREPARED FOR
HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL
BE VERY HAZARDOUS AND IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY ROADS WILL BECOME
IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ021-250615-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051125T1000Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
515 PM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COUNTY
TONIGHT...WITH PERIODIC BURSTS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.

ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT SHOULD BE 1 TO 4
INCHES.

THE SNOW SHOWERS COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY COLD 
TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN VERY POOR VISIBILITY AND DIFFICULT
DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED
SLICK AND HAZARDOUS WITH DRIFTS BLOCKING SOME ROADS.

$$

BLACKBURN
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 250344
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1044 PM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...EXTREME WINTER WEATHER WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE AREA
THROUGH FRIDAY...

ARCTIC AIR WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...AND PRODUCE
BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL FALL FROM WELL SOUTH OF
BUFFALO INTO CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
BE FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WARNING AREAS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...
CAUSING FREQUENT WHITEOUTS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...YOU SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.
SOME ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM
ANGOLA TO THE PENNSYLVANIA LINE...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

NYZ012-019-020-085-251145-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051125T2300Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1044 PM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. 

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL BE OVER CHAUTAUQUA AND
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES AND THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF ERIE AND
WYOMING COUNTIES.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET...OR
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE...IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS.
WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 45 MPH. THIS COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW
AND VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITEOUTS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BE PREPARED FOR
HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. IT IS LIKELY
THAT MANY ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM
ANGOLA TO THE PENNSYLVANIA LINE.

$$

NYZ006>008-251145-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051125T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1044 PM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. 

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE SNOW BAND SHOULD DRIFT
SOUTH OVERNIGHT INTO OSWEGO COUNTY.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET...OR
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE...IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS.
THIS COMBINATION WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITEOUTS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BE PREPARED FOR
HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. IT IS LIKELY
THAT MANY ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF
INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11.


$$

NYZ021-251000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051125T1000Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
1044 PM EST THU NOV 24 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE COUNTY TONIGHT...WITH PERIODIC BURSTS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY SNOW.

ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT SHOULD BE 1 TO
4 INCHES.

THE SNOW SHOWERS COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN VERY POOR VISIBILITY AND DIFFICULT
DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED
SLICK AND HAZARDOUS WITH DRIFTS BLOCKING SOME ROADS.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 250925
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
425 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...EXTREME WINTER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
AREA TODAY...

ARCTIC AIR CROSSING LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW TODAY. 

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL COVER SOUTHERN ERIE...
WYOMING AND NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL BE
ACROSS SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...LEWIS AND OSWEGO COUNTIES.

TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WARNING AREAS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...
CAUSING FREQUENT WHITEOUTS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING TODAY...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HEAVY
SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL ON SOME ROADS
WILL BE HAZARDOUS...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM ANGOLA TO THE
PENNSYLVANIA LINE...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE
11 EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

NYZ021-251030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051125T1000Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
425 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. WHILE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS THE
REGION...SNOW SHOWERS COULD PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO
BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS MORNING.

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-251730-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051125T2300Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
425 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL COVER SOUTHERN ERIE...
WYOMING AND NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. 

AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST
ACTIVITY TODAY. THIS WILL BRING TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2
FEET IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS. 

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS.
WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 45 MPH. THIS COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW
AND VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITEOUTS.

AS THE WINDS BACK LATER THIS AFTERNOON THE SNOWS WILL LIFT NORTH
OF THE AREA. 

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING TODAY...BE PREPARED FOR HEAVY SNOW AND
VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. IT IS LIKELY THAT TRAVEL ON
MANY ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM
ANGOLA TO THE PENNSYLVANIA LINE.

$$

NYZ006>008-251730-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051125T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
425 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...


THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
BE ACROSS SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...LEWIS AND OSWEGO COUNTIES.

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES TODAY COULD BRING TOTAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 FEET POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
LAKE BANDS. 

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS.
THIS COMBINATION WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITEOUTS.

AS THE WINDS BACK THIS EVENING...THE SNOWS WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS
THE AREA.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING TODAY...BE PREPARED FOR HEAVY SNOW AND
VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL ON MANY ROADS WILL BE
HAZARDOUS...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11.

$$

LEVAN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Nov 23, 9:50 AM EST, 3 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 23, 9:50 AM EST, 3 hours 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
950 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

.UPDATE...

A SIGNFICANT WINTER WX EVENT IS RIGHT ON THE HORIZON...BUT FIRST WE
HAVE TO DEAL WITH SOME LINGERING LAKE EFFECT SNOW. A WELL FAIRLY
WELL DEFINED BAND OF SNOW IS STILL AFFECTING OSWEGO COUNTY...AND
WEAKER MULTIPLE BANDS ARE HUGGING THE WESTERN SHORES OF LAKE
ONTARIO. THESER SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DRIFT SLOWLY
TO THE NORTH AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS BACK MORE TO THE WEST
SOUTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON. OFF LAKE ERIE...THE WEAKENING
SOUTHERN TIER SNOW BAND IS ALREADY MIGRATING TO THE NORTH WITH THE
SOUTHWEST WIND SHIFT. WILL JUST MENTION A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS FOR
THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AS THIS BAND MOVES
NORTH...BUT LITTLE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. OTHERWISE...NO BIG
CHANGES PLANNED AT THIS TIME FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST.

THE REST OF THE PREVIOUS AFD FOLLOWS.

&&

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...

AN ALBERTA CLIPPER THAT HAS BEEN ADVERTISED THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS
WILL THEN TRACK SOUTHEAST INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES BY THIS
EVENING THEN TO WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO BY THANKSGIVING MORNING. THIS
WILL BRING A GENERAL SNOWFALL FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE NIGHT
WITH ACCUMULATIONS BY MORNING IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE.

A VERY STRONG UPPER LOW WILL SWING EAST JUST TO THE NORTH OF OUR
REGION THANKSGIVING DAY AND TAKE THE ALBERTA CLIPPER WITH IT. THIS
WILL SET UP A VERY IMPRESSIVE LONG TERM WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW OF
ARCTIC AIR ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WITH A POTENTIAL FOR HUGE
AMOUNTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW FROM THANKSGIVING MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
OFF LAKE ERIE AND FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY OFF LAKE
ONTARIO. THE MOST LIKELY PLACEMENT OF HEAVY SNOW OFF LAKE ERIE STILL
APPEARS TO BE SOUTH OF BUFFALO BUT THERE IS ALWAYS A LITTLE
UNCERTAINTY WITH THE WARM LAKES THIS TIME OF YEAR. SOMETIMES THE
WINDS BACK A LITTLE MORE THAN WHAT WE WOULD THINK. THE ACTIVITY OFF
LAKE ONTARIO LOOKS FAVORABLE FOR THE TUG HILL PLATEAU BUT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT IT MIGHT BE AS FAR NORTH AS WATERTOWN AS WELL.
STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM WITH NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT TIMES ESPECIALLY THURSDAY.

WE WILL CONTINUE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH WITH THIS PACKAGE BUT
CONSISTENT MODEL RUNS STRONGLY SUGGEST THAT WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED
LATER TODAY.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...

POLAR VORTEX LIFTING AWAY FROM THE AREA WILL KEEP A COLD CYCLONIC
FLOW ACROSS THE AREA AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...RESULTING IN A
CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS FOR AREAS EAST AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS LAKE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
TRENDING TOWARD A WEAKENING STATE. SURFACE RIDGING SHOULD LIMIT LAKE
EFFECT ACTIVITY...BUT 850 MB RIDGE HOLDING OFF UNTIL LATE
SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY...BEFORE LAKE EFFECT SHUTS DOWN COMPLETELY.

LONG RANGE MONDAY CONTINUING TO SUGGEST THAT THERE WILL BE A
SLOW MODERATION IN TEMPERATURE FOR EARLY IN NEXT WORK WEEK. THE HIGH
AMPLITUDE TROUGH IN THE EAST WILL BE SHUNTED TO THE EAST WHILE
RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO BUILD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO
VALLEYS...BUILDING OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKE BY TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...

A NORTHWEST FLOW OF COLD AIR CROSSING THE WARMER WATERS OF LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL CREATE MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES THIS MORNING. CIGS AND VSBYS WILL
OCCASIONALLY BE IN THE MVFR RANGE AT BUF...IAG WITH VSBYS AS LOW AS
3/4 MILE AT ROC THROUGH 10Z. CIGS AND VSYBS SHOULD BE MAINLY VFR AT
ART OCCASIONALLY LOWERING TO MVFR TIL AROUND 12Z.

AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR AT THE
TAF SITES LATER THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
LK ERIE AND TIL 16Z FOR LAKE ONTARIO AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.

THE NEXT EVENT WILL TAKE PLACE ON THURSDAY WHEN A CLIPPER TYPE STORM
WILL SWEEP ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO. THIS SYSTEM WILL GENERATE GALE FORCE
WINDS ACROSS BOTH LAKES THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH 7 AM THURSDAY THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY
      FOR NYZ012-019-020-085
      LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH 1PM THURSDAY THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY
      FOR NYZ006>008.
.MARINE...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
          NIGHT NEARSHORES OF LAKE ERIE FROM BUFFALO TO RIPLEY.
          GALE WARNING IN EFFECT LAKE ONTARIO THURSDAY AND
          THURSDAY NIGHT.

UPDATE...THJP
SHORT TERM...SAGE
LONG TERM...TMA
AVIATION/MARINE...JJP
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 23, 6:02 AM EST, 7 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
602 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-241115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-
LEWIS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
602 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK AND THE ADJOINING WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...
AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY ALTHOUGH A GENERALY LIGHT
SNOWFALL IS LIKELY TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS MAY CAUSE SERIOUS PROBLEMS THANKSGIVING
DAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY FOR SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS
COUNTIES AND FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY FOR
OSWEGO...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE UPPER LAKES TONIGHT
INTO EARLY THANKSGIVING DAY WITH A GENERAL SNOWFALL EXPECTED. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS COULD RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES.

A WELL ALIGNED FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL DEVELOP THANKSGIVING
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS ARCTIC AIR WILL
FLOW OVER RELATIVELY WARM LAKE WATERS AND PRODUCE BANDS OF HEAVY
LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE
ERIE WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF BUFFALO INTO CHAUTAUQUA AND
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
BE FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.
HOWEVER...THE LAKE BANDS COULD SHIFT INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS
FOR AWHILE. THIS NORTHWARD SHIFT COULD ALSO OCCUR EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO WITH THE LAKE BANDS APPROACHING WATERTOWN.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WATCH AREA.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...CAUSING
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SNOW SPOTTER REPORTS WOULD BE VERY HELPFUL.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-241115-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
602 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK AND THE ADJOINING WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...
AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT FOR
THE WATERS OF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER
WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE
INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SAGE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 23, 1:38 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego and 1 more49 hr

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in New York, 2005Every winter weather advisory in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.