Lake Effect Snow Watch 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 230335
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1035 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH
FRIDAY...

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE UPPER LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY THANKSGIVING DAY WITH A GENERAL SNOWFALL EXPECTED.
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS COULD RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES.

A WELL ALIGNED FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL DEVELOP THANKSGIVING
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS ARCTIC AIR WILL
FLOW OVER RELATIVELY WARM LAKE WATERS AND PRODUCE BANDS OF HEAVY
LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE
ERIE WILL FALL SOUTH OF BUFFALO INTO NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN TIER. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL BE
SOUTH OF WATERTOWN ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. HOWEVER...THE
LAKE BANDS COULD SHIFT INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS FOR AWHILE.
THIS NORTHWARD SHIFT COULD ALSO OCCUR EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH
THE LAKE BANDS APPROACHING WATERTOWN.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WATCH AREA. 

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...CAUSING
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING FOR THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY...YOU
SHOULD CONSIDER GOING ON WEDNESDAY IF POSSIBLE.

IF YOU TRAVEL IN THE WATCH AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...BE PREPARED
FOR HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS TO NEAR IMPOSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION... CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

NYZ012-019-020-085-231130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.051124T1200Z-051125T2300Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1035 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

A FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL DEVELOP THANKSGIVING MORNING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY...AND PRODUCE BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE
EFFECT SNOW.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE
ERIE WILL FALL SOUTH OF BUFFALO INTO NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN TIER. THE LAKE BANDS COULD SHIFT INTO THE BUFFALO
SOUTHTOWNS FOR AWHILE.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WATCH AREA. 

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...CAUSING
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING FOR THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY...YOU
SHOULD CONSIDER GOING ON WEDNESDAY IF POSSIBLE.

$$

NYZ006>008-231130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.051124T1800Z-051125T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1035 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

A FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL DEVELOP THANKSGIVING MORNING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY...AND PRODUCE BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE
EFFECT SNOW.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS WILL FALL
SOUTH OF WATERTOWN ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. HOWEVER...THE LAKE
BANDS MAY SHIFT NORTH FOR AWHILE AND APPROACH THE WATERTOWN AREA.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WATCH AREA. 

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...CAUSING
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING FOR THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY...YOU
SHOULD CONSIDER ALTERNATE PLANS TO AVOID THE HEAVY SNOW.

$$


BLACKBURN

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 231021
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
521 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS MAY CAUSE SERIOUS PROBLEMS THANKSGIVING
DAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE UPPER LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY THANKSGIVING DAY WITH A GENERAL SNOWFALL EXPECTED.
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS COULD RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES.

A WELL ALIGNED FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL DEVELOP THANKSGIVING
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS ARCTIC AIR WILL
FLOW OVER RELATIVELY WARM LAKE WATERS AND PRODUCE BANDS OF HEAVY
LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE
ERIE WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF BUFFALO INTO CHAUTAUQUA AND
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
BE FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.
HOWEVER...THE LAKE BANDS COULD SHIFT INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS
FOR AWHILE. THIS NORTHWARD SHIFT COULD ALSO OCCUR EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO WITH THE LAKE BANDS APPROACHING WATERTOWN.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WATCH AREA.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...CAUSING
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING FOR THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY...YOU
SHOULD CONSIDER GOING TODAY IF POSSIBLE.

IF YOU TRAVEL IN THE WATCH AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...BE PREPARED
FOR HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL MAY
BECOME HAZARDOUS TO NEAR IMPOSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION... CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

NYZ012-019-020-085-231700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.051124T1200Z-051125T2300Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
521 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.

A FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL DEVELOP THANKSGIVING MORNING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ARE LIKELY.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE
ERIE WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF BUFFALO TO SECTIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. THE LAKE BANDS COULD SHIFT INTO THE BUFFALO
SOUTHTOWNS FOR AWHILE.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WATCH AREA.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...CAUSING
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING FOR THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY...YOU
SHOULD CONSIDER GOING TODAY IF POSSIBLE.

$$

NYZ006>008-231700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.051124T1800Z-051125T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
521 AM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.

A FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL DEVELOP THANKSGIVING MORNING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ARE LIKELY.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS WILL FALL
SOUTH OF WATERTOWN ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. HOWEVER...THE
LAKE BANDS MAY SHIFT NORTH FOR AWHILE AND APPROACH THE WATERTOWN
AREA.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WATCH AREA.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...CAUSING
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING FOR THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY...YOU
SHOULD CONSIDER ALTERNATE PLANS TO AVOID THE HEAVY SNOW.

$$

SAGE

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 231838
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
138 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL
IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE AREA THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE UPPER LAKES TONIGHT INTO EARLY
THANKSGIVING DAY WITH A GENERAL SNOWFALL EXPECTED. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
WILL BE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. HOWEVER...HEAVIER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

A WELL ALIGNED FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL THEN DEVELOP THANKSGIVING
DAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS ARCTIC AIR WILL
FLOW OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM LAKE WATERS AND PRODUCE BANDS OF
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF
BUFFALO INTO CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. HOWEVER...THE
LAKE BANDS COULD SHIFT INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS FOR AWHILE.

THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
BE FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.
A NORTHWARD SHIFT COULD ALSO OCCUR EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH THE
LAKE BANDS APPROACHING WATERTOWN.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS IN THE WARNING AREAS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS...
CAUSING FREQUENT WHITEOUT TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT
TIMES...IN THE WARNING AREAS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THANKSGIVING DAY AND FRIDAY...YOU SHOULD
CONSIDER YOUR TRAVEL OPTIONS VERY CAREFULLY. BE PREPARED FOR HEAVY
SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME
VERY HAZARDOUS TO NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREAS THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE...
INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM ANGOLA TO THE PENNSYLVANIA LINE...AS
WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION... CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

NYZ012-019-020-085-240400-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0002.051124T1200Z-051125T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0001.051124T1200Z-051125T2300Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
138 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE UPPER LAKES TONIGHT INTO EARLY 
THANKSGIVING DAY WITH A GENERAL SNOWFALL EXPECTED. SNOW 
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. 

A WELL ALIGNED FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL THEN DEVELOP THANKSGIVING
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS ARCTIC AIR WILL
FLOW OVER RELATIVELY WARM LAKE ERIE WATERS AND PRODUCE BANDS OF
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS WILL FALL SOUTH OF BUFFALO INTO CHAUTAUQUA
AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. HOWEVER...THE LAKE BANDS COULD SHIFT
INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS FOR AWHILE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET...OR
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS. WINDS
COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 45 MPH. THIS COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND
VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITEOUT TO NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THANKSGIVING DAY AND FRIDAY...YOU SHOULD
CONSIDER YOUR TRAVEL OPTIONS VERY CAREFULLY. BE PREPARED FOR
HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS TO NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE. IT IS LIKELY THAT
MANY ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 90 FROM
ANGOLA TO THE PENNSYLVANIA LINE.

$$

NYZ006>008-240400-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0002.051124T1800Z-051125T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0001.051124T1800Z-051125T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
138 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY.  

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE UPPER LAKES LATE TONIGHT INTO 
THANKSGIVING DAY WITH A GENERAL SNOWFALL EXPECTED. SNOW 
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES. 

A WELL ALIGNED FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL THEN DEVELOP THANKSGIVING
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS ARCTIC AIR
WILL FLOW OVER RELATIVELY WARM LAKE ONTARIO WATERS AND PRODUCE
BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS WILL FALL FROM SOUTH OF WATERTOWN
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. HOWEVER...THE LAKE BANDS
COULD SHIFT NORTHWARD...APPROACHING WATERTOWN FOR A TIME THURSDAY 
EVENING.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO RANGE FROM A FOOT TO 2 FEET...OR
POSSIBLY EVEN MORE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS.
THIS COMBINATION WILL CAUSE FREQUENT WHITEOUT TO NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THANKSGIVING DAY AND FRIDAY...YOU SHOULD
CONSIDER YOUR TRAVEL OPTIONS VERY CAREFULLY. BE PREPARED FOR HEAVY
SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME
VERY HAZARDOUS TO NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE. IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY ROADS
WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 AND
ROUTE 11.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION... CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-240400-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.051124T1200Z-051124T2300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA
138 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND ACCUMULATE A QUICK 1 TO 3 INCHES BEFORE ENDING BY
MID MORNING THURSDAY. WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT TO WEST AND INCREASE
RAPIDLY INTO THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE BY MIDDAY AND MAY GUST PAST 40
MPH AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON...RESULTING IN SOME BLOWING
SNOW.

ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIER LAKE SNOWS WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF BUFFALO 
AND BATAVIA...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS CAN STILL BE EXPECTED THURSDAY 
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG WINDS AND 
VERY COLD TEMPERATURES TO RESULT IN DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS 
AT TIMES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME VERY SLICK.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW, SLEET,
FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ003>005-014-240400-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.051124T1500Z-051124T2300Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
CANANDAIGUA
138 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION BEFORE DAYBREAK THURSDAY AND 
ACCUMULATE A QUICK 1 TO 3 INCHES BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY NOON. 
WEST WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE RAPIDLY TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 
PAST 40 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME BLOWING 
SNOW...AND COMBINE WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES TO CREATE SOME 
DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME VERY 
SLICK. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW, SLEET,
FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ013-021-240400-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.051124T1500Z-051124T2300Z/
LIVINGSTON-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...WELLSVILLE
138 PM EST WED NOV 23 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION BEFORE DAYBREAK THURSDAY AND 
ACCUMULATE A QUICK 1 TO 3 INCHES BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY NOON. WEST 
WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH AT 
TIMES. THIS MAY PUSH SOME HEAVIER EFFECT SNOWS FROM LAKE ERIE INTO 
THE AREA AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTIES.

THE STRONG WINDS AND ADDITIONAL SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH FALLING 
TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. UNTREATED ROADS 
WILL BECOME VERY SLICK.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

TMA/SM

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 252255
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
555 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...

.HEAVY LAKE SNOWS OF THE PAST 24 HOURS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
THIS EVENING BUT THEY WILL LIFT NORTH AS WINDS BACK TO
SOUTHWEST... AND IMPACT THE BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN AREAS FOR
AWHILE.

NYZ085-260000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051126T0500Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
555 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE LAKE SNOWS HAVE MOVED INTO NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY.

$$

NYZ010-011-260500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051126T0500Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
555 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTH ACROSS
BUFFALO AND ITS SUBURBS THIS EVENING...WEAKENING AND TAPERING OFF
AS THEY REACH GRAND ISLAND BY MIDNIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES...BUT LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 9
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS.

ALL ACTIVITY SHOULD TAPER OFF TO JUST SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY
HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY.
IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-260700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051126T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
555 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW OVER SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND CENTRAL
LEWIS COUNTIES WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD THIS
EVENING AND SETTLE IN OVER CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES. SNOW WILL FALL AT THE RATE OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER
HOUR WITHIN THE BAND...BRINGING STORM TOTALS TO OVER A FOOT IN
SOME LOCATIONS. THE BAND SHOULD CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH AND WEAKEN
AFTER MIDNIGHT.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING TONIGHT...BE PREPARED FOR HEAVY SNOW AND
VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL ON MANY ROADS WILL BE
HAZARDOUS...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 FROM ADAMS TO
WATERTOWN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND
TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 260250
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
950 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS MOVING NORTH TONIGHT...

.HEAVY LAKE SNOWS ARE MOVING NORTH TONIGHT AS WINDS BECOME
SOUTHWEST. THE HEAVY SNOW WILL END OVERNIGHT AS WARM AIR MOVES IN
ALOFT. 

NYZ011-260400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051126T0500Z/
GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BATAVIA
950 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE HEAVY SNOW HAS MOVED NORTH OUT OF GENESEE COUNTY.

$$

NYZ010-260500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051126T0500Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
950 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTH FROM THE
TONAWANDAS ACROSS GRAND ISLAND AND WEAKEN BY MIDNIGHT. TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES.

ONLY ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$

NYZ007-008-260900-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051126T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
950 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW OVER SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND CENTRAL
LEWIS COUNTIES WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTH TOWARD THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER. SNOW WILL FALL AT THE RATE OF ONE TO TWO INCHES  PER
HOUR...BRINGING STORM TOTALS TO CLOSE TO A FOOT IN SOME
LOCATIONS. 

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING TONIGHT...BE PREPARED FOR HEAVY SNOW AND
VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL ON MANY ROADS WILL BE
HAZARDOUS...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 FROM ADAMS TO
WATERTOWN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 260415
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1115 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE DRIFTING NORTH TONIGHT...

.HEAVY LAKE SNOWS ARE MOVING NORTH TONIGHT AS WINDS BECOME
SOUTHWEST. THE HEAVY SNOW WILL END OVERNIGHT AS WARM AIR MOVES IN
ALOFT.

NYZ010-260515-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051126T0500Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
1115 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE SNOW BAND OFF LAKE ERIE HAS WEAKENED AND IS MAINLY OVER GRAND
ISLAND. ONLY ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED.

$$

NYZ007-008-260900-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051126T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1115 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW OVER SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND CENTRAL
LEWIS COUNTIES WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTH TOWARD THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER. SNOW WILL FALL AT THE RATE OF ONE TO TWO INCHES  PER
HOUR...BRINGING STORM TOTALS TO CLOSE TO A FOOT IN SOME
LOCATIONS.

IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING TONIGHT...BE PREPARED FOR HEAVY SNOW AND
VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL ON MANY ROADS WILL BE
HAZARDOUS...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 81 FROM ADAMS TO
WATERTOWN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND
TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 260855
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
355 AM EST SAT NOV 26 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE ENDED...

.HEAVY LAKE SNOWS HAVE ENDED ACROSS THE AREA AS WINDS SHIFTS TO
SOUTH AND WARM AIR MOVES IN ALOFT. 

NYZ007-008-261000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051126T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
355 AM EST SAT NOV 26 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE SNOW BAND OFF LAKE ONTARIO HAS WEAKENED AND DRIFTED ACROSS
EXTREME NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY AND THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER. THE
SNOW WILL CONTINUE ITS TREND TO WEAKEN AND DRIFT FURTHER NORTH
WITH ONLY ANOTHER INCH OR TWO EXPECTED BEFORE DAYBREAK.

$$

LEVAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
348 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...

THE PCPN SHIELD THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPARTING COASTAL LOW IS
STILL AFFECTING PARTS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY. THE LIGHT SNOW WILL END
FOR AWHILE THIS EVENING AS THE LOW LIFTS OUT TO THE NORTHEAST...BUT
THE MOIST CYCLONIC FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW...COMBINED WITH THE
ADDED LIFT AHEAD OF THE 500 MB TROUGH...WILL GENERATE MORE LIGHT
SNOW OVERNIGHT. THEREFORE...WILL INDICATE ANOTHER INCH OR TWO FOR
AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO FOR TONIGHT.

THE REST OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE COLD
NORTHWEST FLOW THAT HAS SET UP BEHIND THE LOW. WEAK BANDS OF LAKE
EFFECT ARE FORMING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER AND ACROSS THE WESTERN
PORTION OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE COLD NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP THE
MULTIPLE SNOW BANDS INTACT THROUGH THE NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING...ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE THE NORTHWEST
FLOW WILL PERSIST A LITTLE LONGER. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL END BY
EARLY AFTERNOON AS A WEAK RIDGE BUILDS INTO NEW YORK STATE.

OUR ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO THE ALBERTA CLIPPER THAT IS FORECAST TO
MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
TRACKING JUST NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO THURSDAY. WARM AIR ADVECTION
AHEAD OF THE CLIPPER WILL BRING A GENERAL 1 TO 3 INCH ACCUMULATION
ACROSS THE CWA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WESTERLY FLOW OF COLD AIR
FOLLOWING THIS SYSTEM WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SOME HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOW THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. RIGHT NOW...IT APPEARS THAT THE BOUNDARY
LAYER WINDS WILL DIRECT THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACROSS THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER...INCLUDING SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTRY...AND ACROSS THE TUG
HILL PLATEAU AREA. THE BUFKIT NAM SOUNDINGS ARE FORECASTING LAKE
INDUCED CAPES AROUND 1000 J/KG WITH LAKE EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS
APPROACHING 15K FEET. THIS INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES.
THEREFORE...WE HAVE ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FOR THE COUNTIES
IDENTIFIED BELOW.

AS THE MAIN LOW LIFTS OUT ACROSS QUEBEC ON FRIDAY...THE BOUNDARY
WINDS MAY BACK A LITTLE MORE TO THE SOUTHWEST...WHICH WOULD ALLOW
THE SNOW BANDS TO MIGRATE NORTH TOWARD METRO BUFFALO. LATER MODEL
RUNS WILL BETTER DEFINE THE POTENTIAL MIGRATION OF THESE SNOW
BANDS.

A SURFACE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND
LOWER LAKES FRIDAY NIGHT. INCREASING SHEAR IN THE VICINITY OF THE
HIGH WILL CAUSE THE LAKE SNOW TO WEAKEN DURING THIS PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...

POLAR VORTEX LIFTING AWAY FROM THE AREA WILL KEEP A COLD CYCLONIC
FLOW ACROSS THE AREA AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...RESULTING IN A
CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS FOR AREAS EAST AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS LAKE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
TRENDING TOWARD A WEAKENING STATE. SURFACE RIDGING SHOULD LIMIT LAKE
EFFECT ACTIVITY...BUT 850 MB RIDGE HOLDING OFF UNTIL LATE
SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY...BEFORE LAKE EFFECT SHUTS DOWN COMPLETELY.

LONG RANGE MONDAY CONTINUING TO SUGGEST THAT THERE WILL BE A
SLOW MODERATION IN TEMPERATURE FOR EARLY IN NEXT WORK WEEK. THE HIGH
AMPLITUDE TROUGH IN THE EAST WILL BE SHUNTED TO THE EAST WHILE
RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO BUILD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO
VALLEYS...BUILDING OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKE BY TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...

A DEEP STORM ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPLY WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST
SURFACE WINDS THROUGH 00Z. THE WINDS WILL DROP OFF DURING THE COURSE
OF TONIGHT.

COLDER AIR CROSSING THE LAKES WILL GENERATE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. VISIBILITIES WILL BE OCCASIONALLY REDUCED TO
5-6SM. OCCASIONAL IFR VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE FOR
ROCHESTER AND JAMESTOWN.

&&

.MARINE...

A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ON THE BACK SIDE OF A DEEP EAST COAST LOW
WILL CONTINUE CREATE STRONG WINDS ON BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO
INTO TONIGHT. THE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO SLACK LATER TONIGHT AS THE
COASTAL LOW LIFTS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN PLAY FOR ALL NEW YORK NEARSHORE WATERS
EARLY TONIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR
THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
EARLY TONIGHT WILL INCLUDE THE BUFFALO HARBOR AND THE ST LAWRENCE
RIVER.

THE NEXT EVENT WILL TAKE PLACE ON THURSDAY WHEN A CLIPPER TYPE STORM
WILL SWEEP ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY GENERATE
ANOTHER GALE FORCE WINDS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

&&

.NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH 7 AM THURSDAY THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY
      FOR NYZ012-019-020-085
      LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH 1PM THURSDAY THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY
      FOR NYZ006>008.
.MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT
          TONIGHT FOR LEZ020-040-041-SLZ022-024.
          SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT LOZ042>045.

SHORT TERM...TJP
LONG TERM/AVIATION/MARINE...TMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
326 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-232030-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-
LEWIS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
326 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK AND THE ADJOINING WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...
AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE UPPER LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY THANKSGIVING DAY WITH A GENERAL SNOWFALL EXPECTED. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS COULD RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES.

A WELL ALIGNED FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL DEVELOP THANKSGIVING MORNING
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS ARCTIC AIR WILL FLOW OVER
RELATIVELY WARM LAKE WATERS AND PRODUCE BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE
ERIE WILL FALL SOUTH OF BUFFALO INTO NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN TIER. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL BE SOUTH
OF WATERTOWN ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. HOWEVER...THERE IS SOME
INDICATION THAT THERE COULD BE A TIME PERIOD WHEN THE LAKE BANDS
WILL SHIFT NORTHWARD INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS. THIS NORTHWARD
SHIFT COULD ALSO OCCUR EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH THE LAKE BANDS
APPROACHING THE WATERTOWN AREA.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY REACH A FOOT IN THE WATCH AREA...BUT
CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST THAT IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS
AMOUNTS COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY HEAVIER...POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING
2 FEET OR MORE.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...CAUSING
SIGNIFICANT VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY.

SINCE THIS IS A SIGNIFICANT TIME OF TRAVEL DUE TO THE THANKSGIVING
HOLIDAY...TRAVEL OPTIONS SHOULD BE CONSIDERED VERY CAREFULLY.

PERSONS PLANNING ON TRAVEL IN THE WATCH AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HEAVY SNOW AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING
CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS TO NEAR IMPOSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION,
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...ALTHOUGH SNOW SPOTTERS
ARE ENCOURAGED TO FORWARD SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-232030-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
326 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK AND THE ADJOINING WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...
AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE ERIE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

TMA