Flash Flood Warning 17, NWS Brownsville, TX

000 
WGUS74 KBRO 110235
FFSBRO

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
934 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2005

TXC427-110300-
STARR TX-
934 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
STARR COUNTY...

AT 929 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR EL SAUZ...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WITH EXCESSIVE RAIN WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER 
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE INDICATED COUNTY.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
BROWNSVILLE.

LAT...LON 2648 9885 2663 9878 2671 9894 2655 9905

$$

CASTILLO

000 
WGUS74 KBRO 110300
FFSBRO

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
959 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2005

TXC427-110308-
STARR TX-
959 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CENTRAL STARR COUNTY EXPIRES AT 1000
PM CDT...

AT 955 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THE HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING THUNDERSTORM THAT WAS OVER THE 
WARNED AREA HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED WEST. ACCORDINGLY...THE FLASH 
FLOOD WARNING EXPIRES AT 1000 PM.

LAT...LON 2648 9885 2663 9878 2671 9894 2655 9905

$$

CASTILLO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
808 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2005

.DISCUSSION...BRO 11.0000Z SOUNDING WOULD SUPPORT SCT SHRAS/TSRAS
OVRNGT...WITH PWATS AT 2.46 INCHES AND CAPES OF 3842 J/KG WITH NO
CIN. SHRTWV ENERGY STILL AVAILABLE FOR THE VLY...AND WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE OVRHD THRU MIDDAY MON...WITH MSTR ERODING BELOW H7 BY LATE
MON.

NO CHANGES NEEDED TO CURRENT ZFPBRO.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...A SURFACE TROUGH CONTINUES TO BE ALONG THE DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS COASTLINE CAUSING CONTINUED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
THE BRO SOUNDING THIS MORNING SHOWED A PRECIP WATER OF 2.44 AND A
K-INDEX OF 38. THIS TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND BY SUNDAY
DECREASING THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS.  MOST OF THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD END BY TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK AS THE LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH MOVES WEST.  A RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS
WILL BE IN STORE FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK WITH
ONLY ISOLATED SEA BREEZE TYPE DAYTIME SHOWERS EXPECTED.
&&

.MARINE...MSAS SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS EARLY THIS EVENING. SEAS
WERE NEAR 4 FEET WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS NEAR 14 KNOTS AT BUOY020.
SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGES INDICATED ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
CONVECTION OFFSHORE THE LOWER TEXAS COAST. UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS
WEST TEXAS CONTINUES TO DRAW MOISTURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO INTO SOUTH TEXAS. ONSHORE FLOW TO CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS AS BROAD LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE CONTINUES ACROSS THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. NO CHANGES TO CURRENT MARINE GRIDS/ZONES
EXPECTED.
&&

.AVIATION...SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGES INDICATE CONVECTION HAS
DIMINISHED ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX EARLY THIS EVENING. HIGH CLOUDS WERE
ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA WITH NO CEILINGS BELOW 12000FT BEING
REPORTED ACROSS THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AERODROMES. VFR
CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL TONIGHT WITH SHOWERS DEVELOPING TOWARDS
MORNING. EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS TOWARDS MORNING AS CONVECTION
DEVELOPS ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND MOVES INLAND.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  80  89  80  90  80 /  30  50  30  30  10
BROWNSVILLE          78  90  77  91  78 /  30  50  30  40  10
HARLINGEN            77  91  76  92  76 /  30  50  30  40  10
MCALLEN              77  91  77  92  77 /  30  50  30  40  10
RIO GRANDE CITY      77  91  77  92  77 /  40  40  40  40  10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   80  88  80  88  80 /  30  50  30  30  10
&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

58/61

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
910 AM CDT SAT SEP 10 2005

TXZ248>257-111100-
BROOKS-COASTAL CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-HIDALGO-INLAND CAMERON-
INLAND WILLACY-JIM HOGG-KENEDY-STARR-ZAPATA-
910 AM CDT SAT SEP 10 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH PORTIONS OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT. ANY THUNDERSTORM MAY
PRODUCE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD CAUSE MINOR STREET
FLOODING IN URBAN AND LOW LYING AREAS. WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MILES PER
HOUR AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND
THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MARTIN