Snow Advisory 2, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

000 
WWUS41 KBOX 032153 CCA
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
451 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2005

...SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
LIFT NORTH AND EAST TONIGHT AND MOVE OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST EARLY
SUNDAY. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MOST OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>005-008>012-026-RIZ001-040615-
/O.NEW.KBOX.SN.Y.0002.051204T1100Z-051204T2300Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...CHESTERFIELD...
BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...
WORCESTER...AYER...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD
451 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

THIS ADVISORY INCLUDES NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHWEST RHODE
ISLAND...AND MASSACHUSETTS WEST OF THE ROUTE 128 BELTWAY.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHWEST RHODE
ISLAND BY 8 AM SUNDAY MORNING...THEN SPREAD QUICKLY NORTHWARD TOWARD
NEW HAMPSHIRE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
BY EVENING.

THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR WITHIN A 6 HOUR WINDOW BETWEEN 8 AM AND
2 PM WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. SOME ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HILLIER
TERRAIN.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

$$


KAB

000 
WWUS41 KBOX 040244
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
944 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2005

...SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON
WILL LIFT NORTH AND EAST TONIGHT AND MOVE OFF THE NEW JERSEY
COAST EARLY SUNDAY. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON.

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>005-008>012-026-RIZ001-041045-
/O.CON.KBOX.SN.Y.0002.051204T1100Z-051204T2300Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...CHESTERFIELD...
BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...
WORCESTER...AYER...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD
944 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

THIS ADVISORY INCLUDES NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHWEST RHODE
ISLAND...AND MASSACHUSETTS WEST OF THE ROUTE 128 BELTWAY.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHWEST RHODE
ISLAND BY 8 AM SUNDAY MORNING...THEN SPREAD QUICKLY NORTHWARD
TOWARD NEW HAMPSHIRE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE SNOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS BY EVENING.

THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR WITHIN A 6 HOUR WINDOW BETWEEN 8 AM
AND 2 PM WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. SOME
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
HILLIER TERRAIN.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBOX 040929
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
429 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS EVENING
WILL TRACK EAST TONIGHT AND MOVE OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST EARLY
SUNDAY. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MOST OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

MAZ002>005-026-041030-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SN.Y.0002.051204T1100Z-051204T2300Z/
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE...
BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...AYER
429 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW
ADVISORY.

SNOW IS STILL EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS TODAY.
HOWEVER THE LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE A LITTLE FARTHER TO THE
SOUTH...AND TAKE THE HEAVIER SNOW WITH IT.

$$

MAZ013-016>021-RIZ002>007-041730-
/O.EXA.KBOX.SN.Y.0002.051204T1100Z-051204T2300Z/
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...QUINCY...TAUNTON...
BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...
PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...
WESTERLY...NEWPORT
429 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

THIS ADVISORY INCLUDES ALL OF RHODE ISLAND EXCEPT FOR BLOCK
ISLAND...AND SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS FROM INTERSTATE 90 TO THE CAPE
COD CANAL.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND RHODE ISLAND BY 
8 AM THIS MORNING...THEN SPREAD QUICKLY NORTH TOWARD NEW HAMPSHIRE
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BY MID
AFTERNOON.

THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR WITHIN A 6 HOUR WINDOW BETWEEN 8 AM AND
2 PM WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. SOME ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HILLIER
TERRAIN.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL PRIMARILY CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ008>012-RIZ001-041730-
/O.CON.KBOX.SN.Y.0002.051204T1100Z-051204T2300Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...
AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD
429 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

THIS ADVISORY INCLUDES NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHWEST RHODE
ISLAND... AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS TO THE SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 90.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND RHODE ISLAND BY 
8 AM THIS MORNING...THEN SPREAD QUICKLY NORTH TOWARD NEW HAMPSHIRE
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BY MID
AFTERNOON.

THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR WITHIN A 6 HOUR WINDOW BETWEEN 8 AM AND
2 PM WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. SOME ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HILLIER
TERRAIN.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL PRIMARILY CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBOX 041628
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1128 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...SNOW WILL TAPER OFF EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IN EASTERN PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
.LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND WILL CONTINUE TRACKING
EAST...PASSING SOUTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON. 

CTZ002>004-MAZ008>012-RIZ003-004-006-007-041730-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SN.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051204T2300Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...
AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...
WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
1128 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW
ADVISORY FOR MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS. 

SOME SPOTTY FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE IN SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BUT IF IT OCCURS IT SHOULD BE VERY BRIEF.

$$

MAZ013-016>021-RIZ001-002-005-042000-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SN.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051204T2000Z/
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-BRISTOL RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...QUINCY...TAUNTON...
BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...BRISTOL
1128 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

THIS ADVISORY INCLUDES NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS FROM THE BOSTON AREA TO THE CAPE COD CANAL.

LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS. UP TO AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE...BRINGING AVERAGE TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO 2 TO 3
INCHES.

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

$$
FIELD

000 
WWUS41 KBOX 042005
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
305 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...A WINTER STORM MAY IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS MONDAY...
THEN STRENGTHEN AS IT PASSES SOUTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY. THIS
WINTER STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS
TO RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PROVIDENCE
TO BOSTON CORRIDOR.

KEEP IN MIND THERE IS UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK OF THIS STORM.
IT IS STILL POSSIBLE THAT IT WILL TRACK CLOSER TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND...WHICH WOULD BRING HEAVY SNOWFALL FARTHER INLAND AND IMPACT
MORE OF THE REGION. THERE IS A LOWER CHANCE THAT THE STORM WILL TRACK
FARTHER OFFSHORE...RESULTING IN LESS SNOWFALL THAN CURRENTLY
EXPECTED.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR 6 OR MORE INCHES
IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD. SINCE THIS IS A SITUATION IN WHICH THE STORM
TRACK MAY CHANGE...WHICH WOULD HAVE AN IMPACT ON SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS...IT IS IMPORTANT TO PAY ATTENTION TO THE LATEST FORECASTS
AND STATEMENTS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR
LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

MAZ013-016>021-RIZ001-002-005-050415-
/O.EXP.KBOX.SN.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051204T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.WS.A.0001.051206T0500Z-051206T2100Z/
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-BRISTOL RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...QUINCY...TAUNTON...
BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...BRISTOL
305 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. IN THE MEANTIME...THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REACH RHODE ISLAND AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...PROBABLY AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY
BEFORE DAYBREAK AND LAST INTO TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE ENDING TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
AREA...WITH THE 8 INCH AMOUNTS MORE LIKELY FROM PROVIDENCE TO TAUNTON
AND PLYMOUTH...AND NEAR THE SOUTH COAST.

$$

MAZ015-022>024-RIZ003-004-006>008-050415-
/O.NEW.KBOX.WS.A.0001.051206T0500Z-051206T2100Z/
SUFFOLK MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOSTON...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...WEST GREENWICH...
WARWICK...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
305 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2005

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REACH RHODE ISLAND AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...PROBABLY AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY
BEFORE DAYBREAK AND LAST INTO TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE ENDING TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
AREA...WITH THE 8 INCH AMOUNTS MORE LIKELY NEAR THE SOUTH COAST.

$$

JWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
405 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
WILL BE GOING WITH A SNOW ADVISORY FOR SUNDAY FOR AN OVERALL 2 TO 4
INCH SNOWFALL. THE ADVISORY WILL BE FOR CT...NW RI...AND MASS WEST OF
BOSTON.

OMEGA BLOCK OVER NORTH CENTRAL CANADA ORIENTED EAST TO WEST WITH
RIDGING OVER HUDSON BAY...AND CLOSED LOWS EITHER SIDE...ONE TO THE
SOUTH SPANNING ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA AND THE OTHER TO THE NORTH
ACROSS NORTHERN CANADA. THIS BLOCK WILL BREAK DOWN LATER ON SUNDAY
WHEN RIDGE SPLITS. EASTERN PORTION DAMPENS OVER GREENLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT AND SHIFTS EAST. WESTERN PORTION CLOSES OFF JUST WEST OF HUDSON
BAY CAUSING A REX BLOCK MONDAY WITH CLOSED LOW FORMING OVER GREAT
LAKES.

THE ORIENTATION OF THE OMEGA BLOCK WILL CAUSE SEEMINGLY ZONAL FLOW
OVER NEW ENGLAND THROUGH SUNDAY ENABLING A SOUTHERN PLAINS CLIPPER
TYPE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO SCOOT ACROSS DELMARVA PENINSULA SUNDAY.

BOTH GFS AND NAM IN OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SYSTEM AND
THERMAL PROFILES. EXPECT OVERRUNNING PCPN TO DEVELOPMENT TOWARD
SUNDAY MORNING AS SNOW THEN SPREAD FROM SW TO NE THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS. AS LOW MOVES SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND BOTH MODELS SHOW 850MB ZERO
CELSIUS LIFTING ALONG SOUTH COAST BY 18Z SO EXPECT A CHANGE TO RAIN
HERE...THEN AS SYSTEM HEADS EAST OF CAPE COD IN THE
AFTERNOON...COLDER AIR WRAPS AROUND CHANGING RAIN ALONG SOUTH COAST
TO A MIX. DO EXPECT MAINLY RAIN FROM BLOCK ISLAND TO NANTUCKET.

BUFKIT NAM SOUNDINGS SHOW GOOD SNOW GROWTH FOR SUNDAY. AND DESPITE
BEST SNOW GROWTH WITHIN 80 PERCENT RH...DENDRITIC GROWTH CAN OCCUR A
FEW DEGREES LOWER WHERE CROSS SECTIONS INDICATE AN INTERSECTION WITH 100
PERCENT RH. USING A BLEND OF GFS...NAM...AND HPC QPF WHICH OFFERS
ROUGHLY AN AVERAGE QUARTER OF AN INCH...A 2 TO 4 INCH SNOWFALL POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY INLAND AWAY FROM LOW LEVEL WARMING.

LESSER QPF EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF MASS PIKE...BUT A HIGHER SNOW
TO WATER RATIO COULD STILL YIELD A 2 TO 4 INCH SNOWFALL.

FOR TEMPS USED A BLEND OF NGM AND NAM MOS FOR TONIGHT...AND MAINLY
NAM MOS FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
CONFIDENCE IS GROWING IN A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM FOR MUCH OF SNE
LATE MON NGT INTO TUE.  SFC LOW ACRS SE US ON MON WILL LIFT NE AS IT
INTERACTS WITH UPPER TROF MOVING EWD ACRS PLAINS AND TN VLY.  THE
QUESTION IS HOW CLOSE WILL THIS STORM GET TO SNE AND RESULTING
IMPACT.

MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD A SOLUTION TAKING COASTAL STORM NEAR OR
JUST OUTSIDE THE BENCHMARK.  12Z GFS TRENDED FURTHER WEST AND DEEPER
AND IS SIMILAR TO MAJORITY OF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS WITH LOW NEAR
BENCHMARK BY 18Z TUE.  ECMWF AND EVEN NAM ALSO TRENDED FURTHER W AND
UKMET/GGEM TRACKS LOW CLOSE TO BENCHMARK BUT ARE SLOWER THAN GFS.
GIVEN PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROF FASTER GFS SOLUTION PREFERRED AND WILL
BE FOLLOWED FOR THIS FORECAST.

COASTAL LOW FCST TO UNDERGO RAPID DEEPENING LATE MON NGT INTO TUE AS
IT COMES UNDER INFULENCE OF COUPLED JET STRUCTURE.  BUT SYSTEM WILL
BE A QUICK MOVER IN PROGRESSIVE FLOW SO IT SHOULD BE MOSTLY DONE BY
LATE TUE.  LOW TRACK IS EXPECTED TO BE FAR ENOUGH S TO DRAW COLDER
AIR SWD TO ALLOW FOR ALL SNOW EVENT FOR MOST OF SNE.  SOUNDINGS AND
PARTIAL THICKNESS PROFILE SUPPORT THIS.  HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL ELY
FLOW OFF WARMER OCEAN WILL LIKELY WARM BL ENOUGH FOR MIX OR EVEN CHG
TO RAIN FOR OUTER CAPE AND ISLANDS BY TUE MORNING BEFORE CHANGING
BACK TO SNOW TUE AFTN AS LOW LEVEL WINDS BACK MORE TO N.

EXPECT SNOW TO OVERSPREAD FA FROM S TO N AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH
HEAVIEST SNOW NEAR 12-18Z PERIOD.  VERY STRONG MID LEVEL FGEN
COMBINED WITH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES SUPPORTS BURST OF HEAVY
SNOW TUE MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG I-95 CORRIDOR.  GOOD MESOSCALE
CSI BANDING SIGNAL WITH -EPV ABOVE STRONG FGEN SIGNATURE AND MAX
LIFT INTERSECTING FAVORED THERMAL ZONE FOR OPTIMUM SNOW GROWTH.  IF
THIS ALL PLAYS OUT THE WAY IT IS CURRENTLY MODELED SNOWFALL RATES OF
2/HR PSBL.  NO WATCHES YET AS THIS IS STILL DAY 3 SO WILL UPDATE
SPS.

OPERATIONAL GFS SHOWING QPF 0.5-1 FROM I-95 EWD WITH MAX ON CAPE
COD.  IT IS INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT ABOUT HALF OF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS
ACTUALLY SHOW 1+ SE OF I-95.  PRELIM THINKING IS FOR 5-10 SNOWFALL
NEAR I-95 CORRIDOR...LESS ON CAPE AS WELL AS NW MA/SRN NH.  GIVEN
POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER QPF PER ENSEMBLES AND STRONG BANDING SIGNAL
THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING A FOOT OF SNOW BUT DURATION
WILL BE A LIMITING FACTOR.  WE NEED TO SEE NEXT FEW MODEL RUNS
CONTINUE HITTING THIS STORM BEFORE WE BECOME MORE CONFIDENT OF A
FOOT OF SNOW.

WIND WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY ON CAPE/ISLANDS AS STORM
INTENSIFIES AND WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA WILL LIKELY BE MET ON
TUE.

STORM LIFTS OUT TUE NIGHT WITH LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS TUE EVENING
THEN VERY COLD AIRMASS SETTLES IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AS UPPER
VORTEX SLIDES SWD ACRS NEW ENG.  COLDEST DAYS WILL LIKELY BE WED/THU
AS 850 TEMPS -14 WED AND EVEN COLDER THU.  INSTABILITY SNOW SHOWERS
PSBL DURING THIS PERIOD...ESPECIALLY THU AS CORE OF COLDEST AIR
ALOFT MOVES SWD ACRS RGN.  WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR ANOTHER PSBL
COASTAL STORM FOR LATE FRI/SAT PERIOD BUT LATEST ECMWF KEEPS ANY
DEVT WELL S AND E WITH LARGE HIGH PRES REMAINING IN CONTROL.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN INCREASING MID DECK OF
CLOUDS OVERNIGHT. BY 12Z...MVFR FOR ALL BUT MHT...BUT BY 14Z...A MIX
OF MVFR AND IFR FOR ALL TERMINALS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NW WINDS CONTINUE TO BLOW THEREFORE GALES WILL CONTINUE ON
OUTER WATERS AND WILL EXTEND THROUGH MIDNIGHT...AND ALSO CARRY SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR REMAINING WATERS EXCEPT BOS HARBOR AND NARR BAY.
A LULL IN THE ACTION ON SUNDAY EXCEPT FOR ROUGH SEAS SE OF ACK...THEN
POTENTIAL GALES AND SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS LATER SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT IN WAKE OF DEPARTING LOW.

LONG TERM...WE WILL LIKELY NEED GALES ON COASTAL WATERS FOR TUE AS
COASTAL STORM INTENSIFIES TO THE S.  COASTAL FLOOD POTENTIAL IS VERY
LOW AS WINDS WILL BE BACKING TO MORE NORTHERLY DIRECTION ON TUE
LIMITING DURATION OF STRONG ENE FLOW AND WAVEWATCH ONLY INDICATING
POTL FOR 10 FT SEAS.  GUSTY NW WINDS WILL CONTINUE THRU MUCH OF THE
WEEK WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS LIKELY ON THE OPEN
WATERS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE CT RIVER AT MIDDLETOWN WAS CURRENTLY READING 8.1 FEET WHICH IS
STILL ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 8.0 FEET. WILL CONTINUE WITH FLOOD
STATEMENT BUT EXPECT RIVER TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 10 PM TONIGHT.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...SNOW ADVISORY FOR CTZ002>004 FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM SUNDAY.
MA...SNOW ADVISORY FOR MAZ002>005-008>012-026 FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6
     PM SUNDAY.
NH...NONE.
RI...SNOW ADVISORY FOR RIZ001 FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM SUNDAY.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ230-236 UNTIL 5 PM SATURDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ231>235-237 UNTIL MIDNIGHT SUNDAY.
  ...GALE WARNING FOR ANZ250-254-255 UNTIL MIDNIGHT SUNDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...KAB
LONG TERM...KJC
AVIATION...KAB
MARINE...KJC/KAB
HYDROLOGY...STRAUSS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
704 AM EST SAT DEC 3 2005

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-041200-
BARNSTABLE MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI-BRISTOL RI-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
CHESHIRE NH-DUKES MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
EASTERN KENT RI-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-HARTFORD CT-
NANTUCKET MA-NEWPORT RI-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SUFFOLK MA-TOLLAND CT-
WASHINGTON RI-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN KENT RI-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-WINDHAM CT-
704 AM EST SAT DEC 3 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST CONNECTICUT...
ALL OF MASSACHUSETTS EXCEPT BERKSHIRE COUNTY...SOUTHWEST NEW
HAMPSHIRE...AND ALL OF RHODE OF ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

GALE WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR ALL THE COASTAL WATERS EXCEPT BOSTON
HARBOR AND NARRAGANSETT BAY THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SUNDAY SHOULD BRING A MIX OF SNOW AND
RAIN TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH MOST OF THE SNOW ACROSS THE
INTERIOR.  LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED...AND SHOULD BE
JUST UNDER THE AMOUNTS WHICH WOULD REQUIRE A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY.  HOWEVER...UNTREATED ROADS MAY MAKE FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL
SUNDAY MORNING.

THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR A STRONG COASTAL STORM TO AFFECT THE
REGION SOMETIME MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY WITH SNOW AND RAIN.
HOWEVER...THERE IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHERE EXACTLY THIS
STORM WILL TRACK.  THIS WILL DETERMINE EXACTLY WHAT TYPE...AND HOW
MUCH OF EACH TYPE...OF PRECIPITATION WE RECEIVE.  THE TREND OF THE
LATEST MODELS IS TO PUSH THIS STORM FARTHER OUT TO SEA...RESULTING
IN LESS SNOW FOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  CONFIDENCE IN THIS IDEA
REMAINS LOW AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER AND SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
227 PM EST SAT DEC 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1235 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG LEOMINSTER              42.52N 71.77W
12/03/2005                   WORCESTER          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE LIMB AND WIRES DOWN RESULTING IN GARAGE DAMAGE

&&

AED