Severe Thunderstorm Warning 203, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

000 
WUUS55 KBOU 012040 CCA
SVRBOU
COC001-012130-
/O.COR.KBOU.SV.W.0203.050801T2039Z-050801T2130Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
239 PM MDT MON AUG 1 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN ADAMS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO

* UNTIL 330 PM MDT

* AT 232 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF SHAMROCK...OR ABOUT 31 MILES SOUTH OF FORT MORGAN...
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SHAMROCK.

HAIL...INTENSE RAIN AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM. TAKE COVER IN A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 4000 10395 3975 10401 3975 10373 4000 10371

$$

000 
WWUS55 KBOU 012104
SVSBOU

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
304 PM MDT MON AUG 1 2005

COC001-012114-
/O.CAN.KBOU.SV.W.0203.000000T0000Z-050801T2130Z/
ADAMS CO-
304 PM MDT MON AUG 1 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN ADAMS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND IS NO
LONGER EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER.

LAT...LON 4000 10395 3975 10401 3975 10373 4000 10371

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
240 AM MDT MON AUG 1 2005

.SHORT TERM...NOT MUCH CHANGE EXPECTED TO OVERALL PATTERN AS CENTER
OF UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS OVER SRN COLORADO.  SOME MONSOON
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS AREA IN SW FLOW ALOFT AND
COMBINED WITH AFTN HEATING SHOULD LEAD TO SOME SCT CONVECTION OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND PORTIONS OF THE NERN PLAINS.  SOME TYPE OF
OUTFLOW BNDRY APPEARS TO BE OVER THE NERN PLAINS FROM NERN WELD
ACROSS MORGAN INTO WRN WASHINGTON COUNTIES WHICH WAS LEFT OVER FROM
CONVECTION LAST EVENING.  THIS BNDRY MAY ACT A FOCUS FOR STRONGER
TSTMS LATER THIS AFTN IF IT REMAINS IN PLACE AND DOES NOT WASH OUT.
TEMPS TODAY MAY BE HOTTER THAN YESTERDAY BASED ON 2 TO 3 DEGREES OF
WARMING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER.  THUS AFTN HIGHS SHOULD RISE WELL
INTO 90S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES OVER NERN CO.  RECORD HIGH AT DENVER
IS 100 WHICH COULD BE REACHED THIS AFTN.

.LONG TERM...ON TUESDAY...MODELS STILL HAVE THE UPPER RIDGE CENTER
JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.  A FAIRLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS
CANADA AND THE NORTHERN UNITED STATES THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY.
THIS USHERS IN A DECENT COLD FRONT WITH UPSLOPE FLOW BEHIND IT
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  THERE IS EVEN SOME UPWARD MOVING AIR PROGGED
IN THE SYNOPTIC SCALE ON THE QG VERTICAL VELOCITY GRIDS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.   FOR MOISTURE...CROSS SECTIONS STILL HAVE SOME
MID AND UPPED LEVEL MONSOON MOISTURE OVER US TUESDAY...TUESDAY
NIGHT...AND WEDNESDAY.  BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BOTH MODELS GET PLENTY
OF DEEP MOISTURE OVER US FROM THE SURFACE ON UPWARD.  IT LOOKS
PRETTY CLOUDY ON THURSDAY AS WELL.  MODELS STILL SHOWING A RATHER
BENIGN...BROAD THETA-E AXIS OVER THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY...
TUESDAY NIGHT...AND ON INTO WEDNESDAY.   THE LAPSE RATES ARE A TAD
STEEPER LATE WEDNESDAY OVER LATE TUESDAY.  THE POTENTIAL INSTABILITY
IS OK BOTH DAYS. THE HIGHER CAPE VALUES ARE PROGGED LATE DAY TUESDAY
...THERE IS LESS LATE DAY WEDNESDAY.  THE HIGHER PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES ARE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...LESS TUESDAY LATE.  BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING...THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE OVER 1.00
WITH THE MONSOON MOISTURE AND UPSLOPE MOISTURE IN ADDITION.  QPF
GRIDS HAVE MORE RAINFALL OVER US WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...TUESDAY
AFTERNOON ITS PRETTY SPARSE.  OVERALL BOTH AFTERNOON/EVENING
PERIODS LOOK SIMILAR TO WHAT WEVE HAD THE LAST COUPLE DAYS.  THERE
SHOULD BE AN INCREASE IN POPS FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.  FOR
TEMPERATURES...TUESDAYS HIGHS ARE VERY CLOSE TO MONDAYS READINGS
...GIVE OR TAKES 1 C.  BY WEDNESDAY...THICKNESS VALUES SHOW THE
HIGHS COOLING 1.5 TO 3.5 C.  THE BIGGER COOL DOWN IS INDICATED FOR
THURSDAY...AS MUCH AS 6 - 10 C COOLER.  WILL LOWER READINGS SOMEWHAT
THURSDAY...WITH NEXT SHIFT TENDING FURTHER IN THAT DIRECTION IF
NEEDED.   NO CHANGES FOR THE LATER DAYS.

&&

.BOU...NONE.

&&

RPK/RJK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
1115 AM MDT MON AUG 01 2005

COZ030>051-021200-
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND
COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000
FEET-SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/
SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-LARIMER AND
BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-JEFFERSON AND WEST
DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK
COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-LARIMER
COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-BOULDER AND JEFFERSON
COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-NORTH DOUGLAS
COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/
EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES
ABOVE 6000 FEET-NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD
COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS
COUNTY-
1115 AM MDT MON AUG 01 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MOIST AND UNSTABLE MONSOONAL FLOW COMBINED WITH STRONG AFTERNOON
HEATING WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND
FOOTHILLS. OTHER THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHEAST PLAINS
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON OR DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS ALONG
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES GENERATED BY THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OFF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND SMALL
HAIL ALONG WITH SOME BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. ALL THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PRODUCE DANGEROUS CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING. STORMS SHOULD END IN
MOST AREAS BY MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

BAKER/GARD...WFO BOULDER