Severe Thunderstorm Warning 364, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
215 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2005

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT - WED NIGHT)

AREAS OF LIGHT SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA WITH A
LINE OF STRONG TO SVR STORMS APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
TEMPERATURES TODAY RANGED GREATLY FROM NORTH TO SOUTH WITH 85 IN
TROY TO 63 IN GADSDEN...AS OF 2 PM.

NUMEROUS VORT MAXES SCHEDULED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT
THROUGH WED.  TIMING AND EXACT LOCATION OF THESE FEATURES WILL BE
A BIT DIFFICULT, BUT THEY WILL ALL BE NEAR OR OVER THE CWA, SO
LIKELY OR HIGHER POPS WILL BE ADDED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.  WILL
GO LOWER THAN GFS QPF, BUT SEVERAL INCHES STILL POSSIBLE AREA
WIDE.

BY WED, UPPER LOW BEGINS TO LIFT OUT OF THE AREA AND WILL BACK
DOWN TO CHANCE POPS.

TEMPERATURES DURING THE SHORT TERM WILL AGAIN BE HEAVILY DEPENDENT
ON CLOUDS AND RAIN.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY - SUN NIGHT)

RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL CONDITIONS BY THURSDAY WITH MAINLY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING CONVECTION EXPECTED.  UPPER PATTERN
DEVELOPS INTO DIRTY RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST.  WITH HEIGHTS RISING
MID 80S WILL BE POSSIBLE...LOWS IN THE 60S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     58  74  64  75 / 100 100  80  80
ANNISTON    60  74  65  77 / 100 100  80  80
BIRMINGHAM  63  75  65  77 / 100 100  80  80
TUSCALOOSA  65  77  67  80 / 100 100  80  80
CALERA      63  76  67  78 / 100 100  80  80
AUBURN      63  79  66  77 / 100 100  80  80
MONTGOMERY  67  82  68  81 / 100 100  80  80
TROY        67  82  69  82 / 100 100  80  80

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

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