Freeze Watch 2, NWS Birmingham, AL

Autauga County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Pike County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
223 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT - THURSDAY NIGHT)

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON. BACK TO OUR WEST, INTENSE SQUALL
LINE DEVELOPING ACROSS ARKANSAS, LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. THIS
LINE SHOULD BEGIN TO PUSH INTO WEST ALABAMA AROUND 9 PM TO 12
AM...ALONG OR JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND EXIT CENTRAL
ALABAMA BETWEEN 4 AND 6 AM.

12Z MODEL RUNS BEGIN TO LIFT MOST OF THE DYNAMICS OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST AS THE LINE APPROACHES...LEAVING THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL
FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES ACROSS OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES
THEN WEAKENING AS THE LINE CONTINUES TO PUSH TO THE SOUTHEAST.
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE COULD BE AN ISSUE LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
(HWOBMX) DETAILS ALL THIS INFORMATION VERY WELL.

BEHIND THE FRONT FOLLOWS A MAJOR PUSH OF COLD WEATHER. STRONG
ADVECTION PATTERN SHOULD KEEP WEDNESDAY (AFTERNOON) HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S NORTHWEST TO MID 50S SOUTHEAST. SHOULD BE BREEZY AT
TIMES TOO, MAKING IT FEEL EVEN COLDER. AREA-WIDE FREEZE BY
THURSDAY MORNING AND A FREEZE WATCH WILL BE REQUIRED FOR THIS
AFTERNOONS PACKAGE.

THURSDAY LOOKS SIMILAR TO WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS AGAIN IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. ANOTHER AREA-WIDE FREEZE BY FRIDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY - TUESDAY)

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP CENTRAL ALABAMA IN A BELOW AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE PATTERN THROUGH THE EXTENDED. HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 50S
WITH LOWS RANGING FROM UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NO RAIN CHANCES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     46  51  25  51 / 100  40   0   0
ANNISTON    49  50  29  50 / 100  50   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  44  50  27  50 / 100  10   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  45  52  28  52 / 100  10   0   0
CALERA      47  52  29  52 / 100  10   0   0
AUBURN      55  55  30  55 /  80  50   0   0
MONTGOMERY  53  54  30  54 / 100  50   0   0
TROY        55  55  31  55 /  80  50   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY ALL AREAS THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY.
FREEZE WATCH ALL AREAS FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

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