Flash Flood Warning 62, NWS Birmingham, AL

000 
WGUS74 KBMX 292144
FFSBMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
441 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2005

ALC073-300000-
JEFFERSON AL-
441 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY...

AT 436 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED
AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PINSON AND
GARDENDALE.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

FLOODING WAS REPORTED BY JEFFERSON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ON 
THE SOUTH SIDE OF BIRIMINGHAM.  LOCATIONS IN AND AROUND THE VILLAGE 
CREEK AND PINCHGUT CREEK BASINS CAN EXPECT CONTINUED RUNOFF TO CAUSE 
FLOOD WATERS TO RISE.  

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
BIRMINGHAM.

LAT...LON 3367 8653 3361 8656 3357 8656 3356 8653
      3353 8653 3352 8657 3347 8662 3348 8667
      3338 8679 3338 8682 3367 8685 3372 8654

$$

JD/81

000 
WGUS74 KBMX 292303
FFSBMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
603 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2005

ALC073-292313-
JEFFERSON AL-
603 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR EASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS ENDED. THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE
WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE COUNTY.

UP TO 2.3 INCHES OF RAINFALL FELL BETWEEN 3 AND 5 PM CDT OVER 
PORTIONS OF THE VILLAGE CREEK...SHADES CREEK...AND PINCHGUT CREEK 
BASINS.  RIVER GAUGES ALONG VILLAGE CREEK INDICATE WATER LEVELS ROSE 
IN RESPONSE TO THE RAINS...BUT HAVE REMAINED BELOW FLOOD STAGE.  
WITH NO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA...NO FURTHER 
FLOODING IS EXPECTED...AND THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED.

BASED ON RADAR ESTIMATES OF RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON...VILLAGE CREEK 
AT AVENUE W IS EXPECTED TO CREST BETWEEN 8 AND 9 FEET THIS EVENING 
AROUND 8 PM.

LAT...LON 3367 8653 3361 8656 3357 8656 3356 8653
      3353 8653 3352 8657 3347 8662 3348 8667
      3338 8679 3338 8682 3367 8685 3372 8654

$$

JD/81

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
242 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2005

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT - SUNDAY NIGHT)

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG WEAK SFC/850
BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA.  WILL BE WATCHING THE
PROGRESSION OF THIS FEATURE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT WILL SERVE
AS THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS.  AREAS TO THE NORTH
OF THE BOUNDARY WILL BE IN A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WITH LIMITED
POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION.  DAYTIME HEATING AND SEA BREEZE
INTERACTION WILL KEEP SOUTHERN COUNTIES IN ABOVE AVERAGE COVERAGE AS
WELL.

STRONG RIDGING JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST HAS ALL BUT STALLED THE
EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE BOUNDARY WITH SOME SOUTHERLY PUSH STILL
EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THROUGH LOUISIANA, MISSISSIPPI AND
NORTHWEST ALABAMA.  LOOKING AT THE GFS AND ETA 850 PROGS...PREFER
THE THE MORE NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST TREND DEPICTED BY THE GFS...THAN
THE MORE EAST TO WEST POSITIONING OF THE ETA...ALTHOUGH THEIR
DIFFERENCES REALLY ARENT THAT MUCH.  WITH THAT IN MIND...WILL KEEP
ABOVE AVERAGE POPS NEAR AND SOUTH OF WHAT EQUATES TO I-59...WITH
BELOW AVERAGE NORTH OF THAT.

EVEN WITH THE HIGHER RAIN CHANCES...TEMPERATURES APPEAR TO BE
RUNNING JUST BELOW OR RIGHT AT AVERAGE.  WILL TAKE AN UPPER 80 TO
LOWER 90 RANGE...ADJUSTING WITH EXPECTED CLOUD COVER...FOR HIGHS.
LOWS NEAR 70.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)

FOR NEXT WEEK, AREA APPEARS TO BE ENGULFED IN WEAK TROFING BETWEEN
ATLANTIC AND SOUTHWESTERN U.S. RIDGING.  TYPICAL SUMMERTIME WEATHER
PATTERN WITH HIGHS NEAR 90, LOWS NEAR 70 AND SCATTERED
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     69  87  69  87 /  40  60  20  30
ANNISTON    70  86  70  86 /  40  60  30  50
BIRMINGHAM  70  88  70  89 /  40  60  20  30
TUSCALOOSA  70  90  71  91 /  40  50  20  40
CALERA      70  89  70  89 /  40  60  40  50
AUBURN      70  89  70  87 /  40  60  40  60
MONTGOMERY  72  90  71  89 /  40  60  40  60
TROY        71  90  70  88 /  40  60  40  60

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.

&&

88

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
106 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2005

ALZ011>015-017>050-301806-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
106 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...(THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT).

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH 8 PM CDT SOUTH OF A VERNON TO DOUBLE SPRINGS LINE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SERVE AS THE FOCUS TO PRODUCE LIFT AND
CONVECTION IN A WARM MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA
THIS AFTERNOON.  SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES MAY CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS.  AREAS SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 20 MAY EXPERIENCE WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WITH THE
STRONGEST STORMS AS WELL.

MOST...IF NOT ALL...OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH
AFTER 8 PM CDT.

WET MICROBURST POTENTIAL:
BIRMINGHAM...LOW.
MONTGOMERY...MODERATE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY).

NO ORGANIZED HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MBS/91

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
242 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2005

ALZ028-292030-
CLAY-
242 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR CLAY COUNTY UNTIL
330 PM CDT...

...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE FROM AN
APPROACHING THUNDERSTORM...

...WINDS 35 TO 45 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE FROM AN
APPROACHING THUNDERSTORM...

AT 242 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM OVER LINEVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR
PYRITON...ASHLAND...AND LINEVILLE THROUGH 330 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IS FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES.  IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS IN THE VICINITY OF THESE
STORMS...TAKE SHELTER NOW.  IF LIGHTNING IS OBSERVED...WAIT AT LEAST
30 MINUTES AFTER THE LAST LIGHTNING FLASH OR THUNDER BEFORE RESUMING
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THIS STORM AS WELL.
THESE WINDS CAN BREAK OFF SMALL TREE LIMBS...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS.

MBS/91

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
343 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2005

ALZ038-292130-
CHAMBERS-
343 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR CHAMBERS COUNTY UNTIL
430 PM CDT...

...WINDS 35 TO 45 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE FROM AN
APPROACHING THUNDERSTORM...

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FROM AN
APPROACHING THUNDERSTORM...

AT 343 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM OVER LANETT...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR
LANETT...VALLEY...AND CUSSETA THROUGH 430 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IS STRONG GUSTY WINDS.
THESE WINDS CAN BREAK OFF SMALL TREE LIMBS...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS.

MINOR FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS AS WELL.  PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADWAYS... FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS...RISING WATER
ALONG CREEKS...AND UNDERPASSES WITH STANDING WATER ARE POSSIBLE.
REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE ACROSS ROADWAYS COVERED WITH WATER OF
UNKNOWN DEPTH.

MBS/91