Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 326, NWS Bismarck, ND

August 17, 2005Stutsman County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 17, 2005, 4:16 PM CDT for Stutsman County, North Dakota. It was in force for 59 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Aug 17, 2005, 4:16 PM CDT (21:16 UTC)
Expired: Aug 17, 2005, 5:15 PM CDT
In force: 59 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Stutsman County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Aug 17, 1:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 219 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 438 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -205 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 980 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 47 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KBIS 172117
SVRBIS
NDC093-172215-
/O.NEW.KBIS.SV.W.0326.050817T2116Z-050817T2215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
416 PM CDT WED AUG 17 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN STUTSMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 411 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 14
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLEVELAND...OR ABOUT 31 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  JAMESTOWN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CLEVELAND AND 6 MILES WEST OF WINDSOR AROUND 515 PM CDT

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 4674 9945 4660 9928 4683 9881 4703 9906

$$

HEINERT

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS53 KBIS 172214
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
514 PM CDT WED AUG 17 2005

NDC093-172224-
/O.EXP.KBIS.SV.W.0326.000000T0000Z-050817T2215Z/
STUTSMAN ND-
514 PM CDT WED AUG 17 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN STUTSMAN COUNTY
EXPIRES AT 515 PM CDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND NO LONGER POSES
A SIGNIFICANT THREAT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4674 9945 4660 9928 4683 9881 4686 9887
      4703 9906

$$

HEINERT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 17, 2:36 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 17, 2:36 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
236 PM CDT WED AUG 17 2005

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
MAIN CONCERN IS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT. CURRENT RADAR PICS SHOW CONVECTION
IN UPPER TROUGH FROM WELLS COUNTY THROUGH BISMARCK TO WESTERN SIOUX
COUNTY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP IN SURFACE WARM SECTOR
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH. CAPE AND SHEAR SUGGEST LARGE
HAIL. UPPER WAVE SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE CWA BY 02Z.

LATER TONIGHT A DEEP UPPER LOW CENTERED IN SASKATCHEWAN WILL MOVE
EAST RESULTING IN SOUTHWEST FLOW WITH A SHORT WAVE FOR WESTERN ND.
THE SOUTHWEST FLOW AND SHORT WAVES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. THE
MAIN TROUGH AXIS WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT CAUSING
PRECIP TO END.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO EXTENDED FORECAST. MODELS ARE HINTING AT
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK...WHICH WOULD PUT
THE FORECAST AREA IN A FAVORABLE EVENING/NIGHTLY THUNDERSTORM
PATTERN. HOWEVER...FAILURE OF MODEL RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY AND
DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN EXTENDED MODELS WARRANTS NO CHANGES AT THIS
TIME.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL UNTIL 10 PM
CDT.

&&

LM/NH

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 17, 5:01 AM CDT, 11 hours 15 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
501 AM CDT WED AUG 17 2005

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-181001-
ADAMS-BILLINGS-BOTTINEAU-BOWMAN-BURKE-BURLEIGH-DICKEY-DIVIDE-DUNN-
EMMONS-FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-GRANT-HETTINGER-KIDDER-LA MOURE-LOGAN-
MCHENRY-MCINTOSH-MCKENZIE-MCLEAN-MERCER-MORTON-MOUNTRAIL-OLIVER-
PIERCE-RENVILLE-ROLETTE-SHERIDAN-SIOUX-SLOPE-STARK-STUTSMAN-WARD-
WELLS-WILLIAMS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLISTON...MINOT...JAMESTOWN...
DICKINSON...CROSBY...BOWMAN...BOTTINEAU...BISMARCK...MANDAN...
WATFORD CITY...WASHBURN...STANLEY...RUGBY...MOTT...MEDORA...LINTON...
HETTINGER...HARVEY...ELLENDALE...CARRINGTON...BEULAH...BELCOURT...
BEACH AND ASHLEY
501 AM CDT WED AUG 17 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SOME OF THE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING WILL LIKELY
CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...AND SMALL HAIL. IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT A COUPLE OF STORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LEVELS FOR A TIME
THIS MORNING. THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORM REDEVELOPMENT
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE REGION...WITH THE POSSIBILITY
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

VINING

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 17, 2:31 PM CDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
231 PM CDT WED AUG 17 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     HAIL             STEELE                  46.86N 99.92W
08/17/2005  1.00 INCH        KIDDER             ND   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

SWICHE

Local storm report, Aug 17, 4:08 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
408 PM CDT WED AUG 17 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     HAIL             5 S GACKLE              46.55N 99.14W
08/17/2005  0.75 INCH        LOGAN              ND   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

SWICHE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 17, 2:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Kidder	61 min
Aug 17, 2:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Stutsman	64 min
Aug 17, 3:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Logan	60 min
Aug 17, 4:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	LaMoure, Logan	36 min
Aug 17, 4:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Stutsman	64 min
Aug 17, 5:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	LaMoure	60 min
Aug 17, 5:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	BIS	Stutsman	30 min
Aug 17, 5:34 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	BIS	LaMoure	27 min
Aug 17, 5:47 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	BIS	LaMoure, Logan	3 hr
Aug 17, 5:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Emmons	24 min
Aug 17, 6:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Logan	58 min
Aug 17, 6:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Logan	61 min
Aug 17, 6:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	BIS	LaMoure	40 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.