Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 167, NWS Bismarck, ND

July 1, 2005Dunn County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 1, 2005, 6:12 PM MDT for Dunn County, North Dakota. It was in force for 63 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 1, 2005, 6:12 PM MDT (00:12 UTC)
Expired: Jul 1, 2005, 7:15 PM MDT
In force: 63 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Dunn County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 149 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 1, 7:00 PM MDT	HAIL 0.88	Halliday, ND	NICKEL SIZE HAIL 754 PM TO 806 PM CENTRAL TIME

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 1, 5:20 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 153 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 301 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1700 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 117 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: -0.0
Supercell composite: -0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KBIS 020014
SVRBIS
NDC025-020115-
/O.NEW.KBIS.SV.W.0167.050702T0012Z-050702T0115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
612 PM MDT FRI JUL 1 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS REISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL DUNN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA

* UNTIL 715 PM MDT

* AT 607 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO 
  TENNIS BALL SIZE.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED JUST EAST OF KILDEER     
  ...OR ABOUT 33 MILES NORTH OF DICKINSON...AND MOVING EAST AT 15    
  MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HALLIDAY AROUND 640 PM MDT
  DODGE AROUND 655 PM MDT

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 4748 10272 4722 10272 4719 10220 4748 10222

$$

JENSEN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 1, 2:20 PM MDT, 3 hours 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 2:20 PM MDT, 3 hours 52 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
320 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2005

.SHORT TERM...
00Z 4KM NSP WRF MODEL PROJECTS CONVECTION ENTERING OUR FAR WEST
AFTER 22Z...REACHING BIS/MOT BY 03Z AND THEN DYING OFF WITH THE LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING. ON THE OTHER HAND THE 12Z ETA TAKES THE CURRENT
CONVECTION ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER AND TURNS IS SOUTHWARD
INTO OUR NORTHEASTERN ZONES. THE MONTANA ACTIVITY IS HELD UP BY MID
LEVEL RIDGING SOUTH OF THE CANADIAN BORDER ONLY BECOMES A FACTOR ON
SATURDAY. HOWEVER ON SATURDAY THE ETA PUSHES THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE
TROUGH EAST OF BISMARCK BEFORE THE AFTERNOON CONVECTION FIRES UP.
THIS MAY LESSEN CHANCES FOR CONVECTION IN MY WESTERN ZONES SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.LONG TERM...KEPT IN LOW POPS 12Z TUES THROUGH 12Z WED AS A WEAK
SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. GFS80 AND OTHER LONG
RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING
OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS. NORTHERN PLAINS REMAINS UNDER NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED.
EXPECT THIS PERIOD TO BE DRY AND TEMPERATURES TO SLOWLY INCREASE
EACH DAY...WITH THE WARMEST BEING FRIDAY AND INTO THE EARLY PART OF
THE WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE CREST MOVES OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

RSL/NH

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 1, 3:47 AM MDT, 14 hours 25 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
447 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2005

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-020946-
ADAMS-BILLINGS-BOTTINEAU-BOWMAN-BURKE-BURLEIGH-DICKEY-DIVIDE-DUNN-
EMMONS-FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-GRANT-HETTINGER-KIDDER-LA MOURE-LOGAN-
MCHENRY-MCINTOSH-MCKENZIE-MCLEAN-MERCER-MORTON-MOUNTRAIL-OLIVER-
PIERCE-RENVILLE-ROLETTE-SHERIDAN-SIOUX-SLOPE-STARK-STUTSMAN-WARD-
WELLS-WILLIAMS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLISTON...MINOT...JAMESTOWN...
DICKINSON...CROSBY...BOWMAN...BOTTINEAU...BISMARCK...MANDAN...
WATFORD CITY...WASHBURN...STANLEY...RUGBY...MOTT...MEDORA...LINTON...
HETTINGER...HARVEY...ELLENDALE...CARRINGTON...BEULAH...BELCOURT...
BEACH AND ASHLEY
447 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE LATE
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY LATE SATURDAY.

JP MARTIN

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 1, 5:42 PM MDT, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
642 PM CDT FRI JUL 01 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0639 PM     HAIL             KILLDEER                47.37N 102.75W
07/01/2005  0.75 INCH        DUNN               ND   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

VROLLER

Local storm report, Jul 1, 5:50 PM MDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
650 PM CDT FRI JUL 01 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     HAIL             KILLDEER                47.37N 102.75W
07/01/2005  1.75 INCH        DUNN               ND   NWS EMPLOYEE

            NWS EMPLOYEE FROM SIOUX FALLS IN KILLDEER REPORTS 5 TO 10
            MINS OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL

&&

VROLLER

Local storm report, Jul 1, 5:56 PM MDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
656 PM CDT FRI JUL 01 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0651 PM     HAIL             KILLDEER                47.37N 102.75W
07/01/2005  2.50 INCH        DUNN               ND   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

VROLLER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 1, 6:05 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McKenzie, McLean, Mountrail	55 min
Jul 1, 6:19 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Williams	41 min
Jul 1, 7:04 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McLean	61 min
Jul 1, 7:04 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burke, Mountrail	61 min
Jul 1, 7:13 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Morton	27 min
Jul 1, 7:20 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau, Renville	64 min
Jul 1, 7:22 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Mercer	53 min
Jul 1, 7:23 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	BIS	Ward	12 min
Jul 1, 8:00 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Mountrail	60 min
Jul 1, 8:19 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau	56 min
Jul 1, 8:49 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McHenry, Renville, Ward	42 min
Jul 1, 8:58 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Mountrail	30 min
Jul 1, 10:09 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Ward	53 min
Jul 1, 10:39 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McLean	51 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.