Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 159, NWS Bismarck, ND

June 28, 2005Dunn County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 28, 2005, 11:50 PM MDT for Dunn County, North Dakota. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 28, 2005, 11:50 PM MDT (05:50 UTC)
Expired: Jun 29, 2005, 12:16 AM MDT
In force: 26 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Dunn County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 28, 7:50 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 777 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -130 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 917 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 186 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 2.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KBIS 290550
SVRBIS
NDC025-290615-
/O.NEW.KBIS.SV.W.0159.050629T0550Z-050629T0615Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1150 PM MDT TUE JUN 28 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN DUNN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA

* UNTIL 1215 AM MDT(115 AM CDT)

* AT 1148 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
  EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
  FROM DUNN CENTER TO MARSHALL TO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARSHALL...OR
  ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 37 MILES NORTH OF DICKINSON TO 26 MILES
  NORTHEAST OF DICKINSON TO 18 MILES NORTHEAST OF DICKINSON...AND
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MARSHALL AND HALLIDAY AROUND 1155 PM MDT
  DODGE AROUND MIDNIGHT MDT

IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING 
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING 
CAN BE A KILLER. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE 
ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 4747 10276 4715 10244 4693 10252 4722 10215
      4739 10221 4774 10235

$$

HEINERT

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KBIS 290605
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
104 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2005

NDC025-290615-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0159.000000T0000Z-050629T0615Z/
DUNN ND-
1204 AM MDT WED JUN 29 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1215 AM MDT FOR 
EASTERN DUNN COUNTY...

AT 1202 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF DUNN CENTER TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF
DODGE TO 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MARSHALL...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 40 MILES NORTH OF DICKINSON TO 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF DICKINSON
TO 29 MILES NORTHEAST OF DICKINSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING 
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING 
CAN BE A KILLER. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE 
ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM MDT 
WEDNESDAY MORNING(600 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING) FOR NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4747 10276 4715 10244 4693 10252 4722 10215
      4739 10221 4774 10235

$$

HEINERT

000 
WWUS53 KBIS 290616
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
116 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2005

NDC025-290626-
/O.EXP.KBIS.SV.W.0159.000000T0000Z-050629T0615Z/
DUNN ND-
1216 AM MDT WED JUN 29 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN DUNN COUNTY EXPIRED AT
1215 AM MDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND NO LONGER POSES
A SIGNIFICANT THREAT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM MDT
WEDNESDAY MORNING(400 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING) FOR WESTERN NORTH
DAKOTA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500
AM MDT WEDNESDAY MORNING(600 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING) FOR NORTH
DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4747 10276 4715 10244 4693 10252 4722 10215
      4739 10221 4774 10235

$$

HEINERT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 28, 1:10 PM MDT, 10 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 28, 1:10 PM MDT, 10 hours 40 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
210 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2005

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
GFS AGAIN CONSENSUS MODEL OF CHOICE AS NAM MOVING MID LEVEL SYSTEM
TOO FAST TO NORTHERN PLAINS...GFS 6 TO 12 HOURS SLOWER. HOWEVER BOTH
MODELS INDICATE A LEAST CHANCE OF HEAVY PRECIP FOR CWA AND REMAINS
DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT LOCATION OF MCS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
EVENING AND MOVE TO DAKOTAS OVERNIGHT. WHILE GFS SLIGHTLY FARTHER
NORTH WITH QPF BULLEYES...NAM KEEPS HEAVY  PRECIP OVER STATE TONIGHT
AND GFS DEVELOPS SECOND WAVE OF CONVECTION AFTER MIDNIGHT FARTHER
SOUTH OF THIS EVENINGS SYSTEMS. WILL CONTINUE ONGOING FLOOD WATCHES
BY PUSHING BACK ONSET A FEW HOURS AND COMBINING BOTH WATCHES INTO
SINGLE PRODUCT.

IT APPEARS CONVECTION WILL BE ONGOING TOMORROW AM AND MOVE SLOWLY
NORTHEAST WITH ALL MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
NORTH CENTRAL THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. ALL INDICATIONS NOW ARE
THAT RIDGE BUILDING OVER NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTHERN PLAINS WILL
BRING SHORT TERM END TO WET PATTERN INTO BEGINNING OF HOLIDAY
WEEKEND. ONLY POP LAST 3 DAYS OF SHORT TERM IS SLIGHT CHANCE
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...
SHORTWAVE AND SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND BRINGING WITH IT A SMALL THREAT OF CONVECTION THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT. BROAD UPPER RIDGE AND WEAK SUFACE HIGH MOVES
INTO THE AREA MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING A SHORT LIVED BREAK FROM
THE ACTIVE WEATHER AS ANOTHER WEAK SYSTEM MAKE ITS WAY INTO
THE AREA ON TUESDAY AND BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH...WEST AND CENTRAL THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

&&

HW/RGT

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 28, 3:35 AM MDT, 20 hours 15 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
435 AM CDT TUE JUN 28 2005

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-290934-
ADAMS-BILLINGS-BOTTINEAU-BOWMAN-BURKE-BURLEIGH-DICKEY-DIVIDE-DUNN-
EMMONS-FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-GRANT-HETTINGER-KIDDER-LA MOURE-LOGAN-
MCHENRY-MCINTOSH-MCKENZIE-MCLEAN-MERCER-MORTON-MOUNTRAIL-OLIVER-
PIERCE-RENVILLE-ROLETTE-SHERIDAN-SIOUX-SLOPE-STARK-STUTSMAN-WARD-
WELLS-WILLIAMS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLISTON...MINOT...JAMESTOWN...
DICKINSON...CROSBY...BOWMAN...BOTTINEAU...BISMARCK...MANDAN...
WATFORD CITY...WASHBURN...STANLEY...RUGBY...MOTT...MEDORA...LINTON...
HETTINGER...HARVEY...ELLENDALE...CARRINGTON...BEULAH...BELCOURT...
BEACH AND ASHLEY
435 AM CDT TUE JUN 28 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS
AFTERNOON AND IN WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT.  SOME
THUNDERSTORMS COULD HAVE HEAVY RAIN. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND FOR
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 28, 10:22 PM MDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1122 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1111 PM     HAIL             8 SE BEACH              46.83N 103.89W
06/28/2005  0.75 INCH        GOLDEN VALLEY      ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING

&&

KAW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 28, 9:41 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Billings, Golden Valley, Slope	66 min
Jun 28, 10:05 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Dunn, Mercer	57 min
Jun 28, 10:16 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McKenzie	59 min
Jun 28, 10:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Oliver	30 min
Jun 28, 10:37 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Billings, Dunn, Slope, Stark	53 min
Jun 28, 11:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McKenzie	62 min
Jun 28, 11:27 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	BIS	McKenzie	4 hr
Jun 28, 11:44 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	BIS	Dunn	4 hr
Jun 29, 12:14 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Mercer, Oliver	36 min
Jun 29, 1:45 AM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	BIS	Ward	4 hr
Jun 29, 4:11 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Kidder, Wells	64 min
Jun 29, 10:37 AM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Sheridan	6 hr
Jun 29, 12:09 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	BIS	McHenry, Pierce	6 hr
Jun 29, 1:28 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	BIS	Kidder, Wells	6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.