Severe Thunderstorm Warning 65, NWS La Crosse, WI

000 
WWUS53 KARX 231820
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
119 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

WIC001-057-081-231930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-050723T1930Z/
ADAMS WI-JUNEAU WI-MONROE WI-
119 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR MONROE...ADAMS AND JUNEAU COUNTIES...

AT 110 PM CDT...SPOTTERS REPORTED WIND GUSTS MEASURED AT 52 MPH AT 
FOUR CORNERS.

AT 118 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A LINE OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING TORNADO LIKE WIND DAMAGE WITH WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 80 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTH OF
MEDFORD TO 8 MILES NORTH OF SPARTA. THE SEVERE STORMS WERE MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  FINLEY AND MATHER AROUND 125 PM CDT...
  NEW MINER AND OAKDALE AROUND 130 PM CDT...
  MONROE CENTER AND NEW ROME AROUND 135 PM CDT...
  HUSTLER AND NECEDAH AROUND 140 PM CDT...
  ARKDALE AND NEW LISBON AROUND 145 PM CDT...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION...AS WINDS OF 80 MPH OR HIGHER CAN BE 
EXPECTED. PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR LOCAL LAW 
ENFORCEMENT OFFICE AND TELL THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TAKE COVER IN A BASEMENT OR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 4416 9029 4415 9061 4415 9069 4414 9078
      4411 9095 4392 9060 4378 9015 4375 8988
      4374 8960 4397 8960 4424 8962 4425 9017
      4507 8961

$$

THOMPSON

000 
WWUS53 KARX 231828
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
126 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

WIC001-057-081-231930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-050723T1930Z/
ADAMS WI-JUNEAU WI-MONROE WI-
126 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR MONROE...ADAMS AND JUNEAU COUNTIES...

AT 122 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND 
GUSTS AT SPARTA. AT 124 PM CDT...A 63 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED 5 
MILES SOUTHWEST OF WARRENS.

AT 126 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A LINE OF 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 60 TO 70 MPH 
AND PENNY SIZE HAIL EXTENDING FROM 16 MILES EAST OF MEDFORD TO 5 
MILES EAST OF SPARTA. THE SEVERE STORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 60 
MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  HUSTLER AND MONROE CENTER AROUND 135 PM CDT...
  ARKDALE AND GLENDALE AROUND 140 PM CDT...
  FRIENDSHIP AND MAUSTON AROUND 145 PM CDT...
  LEMONWEIR AND WHITE CREEK AROUND 150 PM CDT...
  GRAND MARSH AND LYNDON STATION AROUND 155 PM CDT...

PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE
AND TELL THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TAKE COVER IN A BASEMENT OR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 4416 9029 4415 9061 4415 9069 4414 9078
      4385 9086 4380 9056 4375 9017 4368 8984
      4368 8961 4397 8960 4424 8962 4425 9017
      4474 8983 4507 8961

$$

THOMPSON

000 
WWUS53 KARX 231833
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
133 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

WIC001-057-081-231930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-050723T1930Z/
ADAMS WI-JUNEAU WI-MONROE WI-
133 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR MONROE...ADAMS AND JUNEAU COUNTIES...

AT 132 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A LINE OF 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH AND 
PENNY SIZE HAIL EXTENDING FROM 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF WAUSAU TO 11 
MILES SOUTHWEST OF TOMAH. THE SEVERE STORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 
60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  HUSTLER AND KENDALL AROUND 140 PM CDT...
  ARKDALE AND GLENDALE AROUND 145 PM CDT...
  FRIENDSHIP AND MAUSTON AROUND 150 PM CDT...
  GRAND MARSH AND LEMONWEIR AROUND 155 PM CDT...
  LYNDON STATION AND I 90 94 EXIT 78 AROUND 200 PM CDT...

PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE
AND TELL THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TAKE COVER IN A BASEMENT OR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 4416 9029 4415 9061 4415 9069 4414 9078
      4385 9086 4380 9056 4375 9017 4368 8984
      4368 8961 4397 8960 4424 8962 4425 9017
      4474 8983 4507 8961

$$

THOMPSON

000 
WWUS53 KARX 231839
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
139 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

WIC001-057-081-231930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-050723T1930Z/
ADAMS WI-JUNEAU WI-MONROE WI-
139 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR MONROE...ADAMS AND JUNEAU COUNTIES...

AT 139 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A LINE OF 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH AND 
PENNY SIZE HAIL EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF WAUSAU TO 11 
MILES SOUTH OF TOMAH. THE SEVERE STORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 60 
MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  ARKDALE AND GLENDALE AROUND 145 PM CDT...
  ELROY AND FRIENDSHIP AROUND 150 PM CDT...
  GRAND MARSH AND LEMONWEIR AROUND 155 PM CDT...
  LYNDON STATION AND I 90 94 EXIT 78 AROUND 200 PM CDT...
  PLAINVILLE AND ARROWHEAD RESORT CAMPGROUND AROUND 205 PM CDT...

PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE
AND TELL THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TAKE COVER IN A BASEMENT OR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 4416 9029 4415 9056 4404 9068 4394 9076
      4385 9083 4379 9057 4373 9030 4366 9016
      4365 8983 4365 8961 4397 8960 4423 8960
      4425 9017 4425 9020 4420 9026

$$

THOMPSON

000 
WWUS53 KARX 231845
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
145 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

WIC001-057-081-231930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-050723T1930Z/
ADAMS WI-JUNEAU WI-MONROE WI-
145 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR MONROE...ADAMS AND JUNEAU COUNTIES...

AT 131 PM CDT...SPOTTERS REPORTED TREES DOWN 5 SOUTH OF 
FINLEY...WHICH IS IN THE NEDEDAH WILDLIFE REFUGE AREA. AT 141 PM 
CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED ESTIMATED 70 MPH WINDS 2 MILES WEST OF NEW 
ROME.

AT 143 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A LINE OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 70 MPH AND PENNY
SIZE HAIL EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTH OF STEVENS POINT TO 11 MILES
SOUTH OF TOMAH. THE SEVERE STORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  ELROY AND FRIENDSHIP AROUND 150 PM CDT...
  LEMONWEIR AND WHITE CREEK AROUND 155 PM CDT...
  GRAND MARSH AND BASS HOLLOW REC AREA AROUND 200 PM CDT...
  LYNDON STATION AND PLAINVILLE AROUND 205 PM CDT...
  STAND ROCK CAMPGROUND AND RIVER BAY CAMPGROUND AROUND 210 PM CDT...

PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE
AND TELL THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TAKE COVER IN A BASEMENT OR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 4416 9029 4415 9056 4404 9068 4394 9076
      4385 9083 4379 9057 4373 9030 4366 9016
      4365 8983 4365 8961 4397 8960 4423 8960
      4425 9017 4425 9020 4420 9026

$$

THOMPSON

000 
WWUS53 KARX 231856
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
155 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

WIC001-057-081-231930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-050723T1930Z/
ADAMS WI-JUNEAU WI-MONROE WI-
155 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR MONROE...ADAMS AND JUNEAU COUNTIES...

AT 155 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A LINE OF 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH 
AND PENNY SIZE HAIL EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES EAST OF WAUSAU TO 14 
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MAUSTON. THE SEVERE STORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST 
AT 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LEMONWEIR AND WHITE CREEK AROUND 200 PM CDT...
  GRAND MARSH AND I 90 94 EXIT 78 AROUND 205 PM CDT...
  LYNDON STATION AND PLAINVILLE AROUND 210 PM CDT...
  STAND ROCK CAMPGROUND AND RIVER BAY CAMPGROUND AROUND 215 PM CDT...
  BIG SPRING AROUND 220 PM CDT...

PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE
AND TELL THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TAKE COVER IN A BASEMENT OR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 4416 9031 4413 9034 4401 9038 4388 9045
      4382 9051 4379 9053 4373 9032 4365 9027
      4365 9012 4365 8985 4365 8960 4397 8960
      4424 8960 4425 9019 4425 9022 4420 9027

$$

THOMPSON

000 
WWUS53 KARX 231904
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
203 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

WIC081-231912-
/O.CAN.KARX.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-050723T1930Z/
MONROE WI-
202 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MONROE COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

IMMINENT SEVERE WEATHER IS NO LONGER A THREAT. THEREFORE...THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MONROE COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4418 9028 4415 9029 4412 9029 4406 9030
      4395 9029 4385 9030 4374 9031 4365 9031
      4365 9012 4365 8985 4365 8960 4397 8960
      4424 8960 4425 9019 4425 9022 4420 9027

$$

WIC001-057-231930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-050723T1930Z/
ADAMS WI-JUNEAU WI-
203 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR ADAMS AND JUNEAU COUNTIES...

AT 202 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED WINDS OF 60 
TO 70 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL EXTENDING FROM 23 MILES SOUTH OF 
ANTIGO TO 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MAUSTON. THE SEVERE STORMS WERE 
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LYNDON STATION AND PLAINVILLE AROUND 210 PM CDT...
  BIG SPRING AND STAND ROCK CAMPGROUND AROUND 215 PM CDT...

PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE
AND TELL THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TAKE COVER IN A BASEMENT OR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 4418 9028 4415 9029 4412 9029 4406 9030
      4395 9029 4385 9030 4374 9031 4365 9031
      4365 9012 4365 8985 4365 8960 4397 8960
      4424 8960 4425 9019 4425 9022 4420 9027

$$

THOMPSON

000 
WWUS53 KARX 231908
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
207 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

WIC081-231917-
/O.CAN.KARX.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-050723T1930Z/
MONROE WI-
207 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MONROE COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

IMMINENT SEVERE WEATHER IS NO LONGER A THREAT. THEREFORE...THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MONROE COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4392 9016 4390 9017 4386 9020 4382 9024
      4378 9026 4376 9027 4374 9028 4365 9031
      4365 9012 4365 8985 4365 8960 4397 8960
      4424 8960 4424 9001 4408 9008 4397 9013

$$

WIC001-057-231930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-050723T1930Z/
ADAMS WI-JUNEAU WI-
208 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR ADAMS AND JUNEAU COUNTIES...

AT 144 PM CDT...LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED TREES DOWN IN 
ROME...WHICH IS IN THE NORTHERN PART OF ADAMS COUNTY.

AT 208 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A LINE OF 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH AND 
PENNY SIZE HAIL EXTENDING FROM 25 MILES SOUTH OF ANTIGO TO 10 MILES 
NORTHWEST OF REEDSBURG. THE SEVERE STORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 60
MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  BIG SPRING AND STAND ROCK CAMPGROUND AROUND 215 PM CDT...

PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE
AND TELL THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TAKE COVER IN A BASEMENT OR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 4392 9016 4390 9017 4386 9020 4382 9024
      4378 9026 4376 9027 4374 9028 4365 9031
      4365 9012 4365 8985 4365 8960 4397 8960
      4424 8960 4424 9001 4408 9008 4397 9013

$$

THOMPSON

000 
WWUS53 KARX 231918
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
218 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

WIC081-231925-
/O.CAN.KARX.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-050723T1930Z/
MONROE WI-
218 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MONROE COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

IMMINENT SEVERE WEATHER IS NO LONGER A THREAT. THEREFORE...THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MONROE COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4386 9008 4381 9012 4377 9013 4374 9015
      4372 9017 4370 9019 4368 9021 4366 9022
      4365 9011 4365 8985 4365 8960 4397 8960
      4424 8960 4417 8988 4400 9000 4389 9007

$$

WIC001-057-231930-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-050723T1930Z/
ADAMS WI-JUNEAU WI-
218 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR ADAMS AND JUNEAU COUNTIES...

AT 205 PM CDT...AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS REPORTED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 
60 TO 70 MPH AT LAKE PETENWELL. AT 210 PM CDT...A MEASURED WIND GUST 
OF 61 MPH WAS REPORTED BY AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS NEAR CASTLE ROCK 
PARK.

AT 218 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A LINE OF 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH AND 
PENNY SIZE HAIL EXTENDING FROM 25 MILES SOUTH OF ANTIGO TO 9 MILES 
NORTHWEST OF REEDSBURG. THE SEVERE STORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 
60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  BIG SPRING AROUND 220 PM CDT...

PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE
AND TELL THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TAKE COVER IN A BASEMENT OR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 4386 9008 4381 9012 4377 9013 4374 9015
      4372 9017 4370 9019 4368 9021 4366 9022
      4365 9011 4365 8985 4365 8960 4397 8960
      4424 8960 4417 8988 4400 9000 4389 9007

$$

THOMPSON

000 
WWUS53 KARX 231930
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
230 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

WIC001-057-231938-
/O.EXP.KARX.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-050723T1930Z/
ADAMS WI-JUNEAU WI-
230 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ADAMS AND JUNEAU COUNTIES HAS
EXPIRED...

THE LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. 
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ADAMS AND JUNEAU 
COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED.

LAT...LON 4386 9008 4381 9012 4377 9013 4374 9015
      4372 9017 4370 9019 4368 9021 4366 9022
      4365 9011 4365 8985 4365 8960 4397 8960
      4424 8960 4417 8988 4400 9000 4389 9007

$$

THOMPSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
353 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH MONDAY

MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS WITH THE RAIN CHANCES THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD.

SURFACE ANALYSIS THIS MORNING SHOWS AN AREA OF DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE OVER NORTHEAST WYOMING. WARM FRONT EXTENDS EAST/SOUTHEAST
INTO WESTERN IOWA AND THEN BECOMES MORE DIFFUSE OVER NORTHWEST
MISSOURI. A FEW SHOWERS WERE DEVELOPING NORTH OF THE 850 MB WARM
FRONT OVER SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA INTO SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN.

00Z MODELS PRESENT VERY DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS FOR TODAY. THE GFS HAS
BEEN THE MOST CONSISTENT AND AT THIS TIME IS THE PREFERRED
SOLUTION. THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WILL
MOVE EAST ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER TODAY AND TONIGHT IN THE ZONAL
FLOW ALOFT. SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO TRANSLATE EAST AS WELL AND
BE OVER EASTERN MINNESOTA OR WESTERN WISCONSIN BY LATE TONIGHT. THE
WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND THEN HALT ITS NORTHWARD ADVANCE OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS AND
STORMS CURRENTLY OVER THE AREA DEVELOPING IN RESPONSE TO THE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE 850 MB WARM FRONT AND THE RESULTING
ISENTROPIC LIFT. AS THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND SURFACE MOVE EAST TODAY
AND TONIGHT...THE BEST WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTH AND
EAST INTO NORTHERN AND EASTERN WISCONSIN. IN RESPONSE...THE GFS SHOWS
THE AREA OF 5 TO 6 UBAR/S OF UPGLIDE ON THE 310K ISENTROPIC SURFACE
ALSO SHIFTING SLOWLY NORTH AND EAST. WITH MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA
EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT TODAY...THE ISENTROPIC
FORCING WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA AND GENERATE CLOUD COVER AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX OVER THE DAKOTAS HAVE ALSO BEEN SPREADING INTO THE AREA AND
THICKENING...SO TREND IS FOR LESS SUNSHINE THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST AND
AS A RESULT LOWER TEMPERATURES.

THE BEST ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE SHIFTS OUT OF THE AREA TONIGHT...BUT
COULD CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTH AND EAST AND DID CONTINUE CHANCE POPS
ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE SURFACE LOW GOES PAST SUNDAY
ALLOWING THE WEAK COLD FRONT TO COME THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. NO SHORT WAVE TROUGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
OVER THE REGION TO PROVIDE ANY DYNAMICAL FORCING AS THE FRONT COMES
THROUGH AND WITH SURFACE BASED CINS OF 100 J/KG OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA...MAINTAINED THE DRY FORECAST FOR SUNDAY. DESPITE THE PASSAGE OF
THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES AT 850 MB ONLY COOL 1-2C DURING THE DAY ON
WEAK NORTHWEST WINDS. SO WITH MORE SUNSHINE...TEMPERATURES SUNDAY
EXPECTED TO BE WARMER THAN TODAY.

THE FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO BECOME STATIONARY JUST SOUTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SINK JUST
FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO ALLOW THE SHORT WAVE TROUGHS EMBEDDED IN THE
ZONAL FLOW TO AFFECT THE UPPER MIDWEST. ONE OF THESE SHORT WAVE
TROUGHS WILL MOVE ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
INTERACT WITH THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT TO DEVELOP CONVECTION
NORTH OF THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO
MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND RAISED POPS FROM PREVIOUS
FORECAST FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. IF CURRENT MODEL
TRENDS CONTINUE...THESE WILL HAVE TO BE RAISED MORE WITH LATER
SHIFTS.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

THE GFS SUGGESTS ANOTHER MCS WILL DEVELOP NORTH OF THE STALLED FRONT
MONDAY NIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN IOWA INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE FRONT THEN GETS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE AREA AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. RAISED POPS FOR MONDAY
NIGHT TO AGREE WITH WITH LATEST MODEL TRENDS AND SURROUNDING
OFFICES. ALSO LOWERED TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTH FOR TUESDAY WITH
PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER AND RAIN EXPECTED IN THE MORNING. REMAINDER OF
THE CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS OK AND NO CHANGES MADE.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

04

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
915 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ094>096-WIZ053>055-061-240900-
ALLAMAKEE-CHICKASAW-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE-FILLMORE-FLOYD-GRANT-
HOUSTON-HOWARD-MITCHELL-MOWER-RICHLAND-VERNON-WINNESHIEK-
915 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IOWA...
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. A MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS BEING LIFTED OVER THE FRONT WILL TRIGGER
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA...MAINLY THIS MORNING. THE MAIN THREAT
FROM ANY THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WOULD BE LARGE HAIL. ONCE THE WARM FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA...WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT SHOULD CAP THE
AIRMASS AND LIMIT THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

BEHIND THE WARM FRONT...HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO
CLIMB INTO THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE...MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST IOWA. PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THIS HEAT COULD CAUSE PHYSICAL
PROBLEMS...SUCH AS HEAT EXHAUSTION.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT. WITH MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE FRONT...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
MORE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THE WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT
MAY KEEP THE AIRMASS CAPPED AND LIMIT THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SHOULD ANY THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...THE SEVERE THREATS WOULD BE LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH OF THE AREA SUNDAY AS A WEAK RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. HEAT INDICES ON SUNDAY ARE
AGAIN EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE ACROSS
THE SOUTH PARTS OF THE AREA AND IN THE RIVER VALLEYS.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO WAVER BACK AND FORTH ACROSS IOWA
AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...TRIGGERING
MORE THUNDERSTORMS. THE EXACT DETAILS ON THE TIMING AND AREAL
COVERAGE OF STORMS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT REMAIN UNCERTAIN
AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND FLASH FLOOD PRODUCING RAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND LATE TONIGHT. SPOTTER
GROUPS ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO CALL IS SCHEDULED.

MNZ079-086>088-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-240900-
ADAMS-BUFFALO-CLARK-DODGE-JACKSON-JUNEAU-LA CROSSE-MONROE-OLMSTED-
TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-WABASHA-WINONA-
915 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MINNESOTA AND WEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
MINNESOTA THIS MORNING...PUSHING INTO NORTHERN WISCONSIN BY NOON.
THIS CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS. LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
MAINLY EFFECT AREAS NORTH OF A WABASHA TO BLACK RIVER FALLS LINE...
EXITING EAST OF THE AREA EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

MEANWHILE...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. A
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS BEING LIFTED OVER THE FRONT WILL LIKELY
TRIGGER MORE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WOULD AGAIN BE DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THERE IS A
MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA THEN LATE TONIGHT. WITH MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE FRONT...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR MORE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THE WARM TEMPERATURES
ALOFT MAY KEEP THE AIRMASS CAPPED AND LIMIT THE THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL. SHOULD ANY THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...THE SEVERE THREATS
WOULD BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH OF THE AREA SUNDAY AS A WEAK RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. HEAT INDICES ON SUNDAY ARE
AGAIN EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE ACROSS
THE SOUTH PARTS OF THE AREA AND IN THE RIVER VALLEYS.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO WAVER BACK AND FORTH ACROSS IOWA
AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...TRIGGERING
MORE THUNDERSTORMS. THE EXACT DETAILS ON THE TIMING AND AREAL
COVERAGE OF STORMS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT REMAIN UNCERTAIN
AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND FLASH FLOOD PRODUCING RAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT. SPOTTER
GROUPS ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO CALL IS SCHEDULED.

RIECK/RRS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1019 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

MNZ079-086>088-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-232100-
ADAMS-BUFFALO-CLARK-DODGE-JACKSON-JUNEAU-LA CROSSE-MONROE-OLMSTED-
TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-WABASHA-WINONA

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
663 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN MINNESOTA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA

DODGE                 OLMSTED               WABASHA
WINONA

IN WISCONSIN THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN

ADAMS                 CLARK                 JUNEAU

IN NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN

TAYLOR

IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN

BUFFALO               JACKSON               LA CROSSE
MONROE                TREMPEALEAU

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...DODGE CENTER...FRANKLIN...
GLENDALE...INDEPENDENCE...LA CROSSE...MAUSTON...MEDFORD...
NEILLSVILLE...ONALASKA...ROCHESTER...WABASHA AND WINONA.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1216 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     TSTM WND GST     NELSON                  44.42N 92.00W
07/23/2005  78 MPH           BUFFALO            WI   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            MEASURED WIND GUST. BOATS BLOWN OVER ON LAKE PEPIN.

&&

SCHRECK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1236 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1218 PM     TSTM WND DMG     OSSEO                   44.58N 91.22W
07/23/2005                   TREMPEALEAU        WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. TREE BLOCKING ROAD IN OSSEO.

1215 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ELEVA                   44.58N 91.47W
07/23/2005                   TREMPEALEAU        WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

SCHRECK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1257 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 W NEILLSVILLE         44.56N 90.65W
07/23/2005  55 MPH           CLARK              WI   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

SCHRECK