Alert archive / Michigan / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2005
Lake Effect Snow Warning 5, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this lake effect snow warning at Dec 5, 2005, 4:30 AM EST for 4 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 56 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 5, 2005, 4:30 AM EST (09:30 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 7, 2005, 12:00 PM EST
- In force
- 56 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
Counties Antrim County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Leelanau County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 219 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 591 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 99 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 143 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KAPX 050930 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 430 AM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW... .COLD WESTERLY FLOW OVER LAKE MICHIGAN WILL PRODUCE ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR ACROSS TIP OF THE MITT COUNTIES...NORTH OF M-32...AND WEST OF M-33. MIZ016-017-019-052300- /O.UPG.KAPX.LE.A.0002.051205T1700Z-051206T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.W.0005.051205T0930Z-051206T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX 430 AM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. THIS REPLACES THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY...WILL PRODUCE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 18 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE EAST OF LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY...BY TUESDAY EVENING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ020-021-052300- /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0006.051205T0930Z-051206T1100Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA 430 AM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES TODAY AND TONIGHT. LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN SUTTONS BAY AND CENTRAL LAKE. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ018-022-052300- /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0006.051205T0930Z-051206T1100Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...GAYLORD 430 AM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 9 INCHES TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS NORTH OF M-32 IN OTSEGO COUNTY...AND ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS OF PRESQUE ISLE COUNTY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$
9 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KAPX 052045 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 345 PM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW... .COLD WESTERLY FLOW OVER LAKE MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR ACROSS TIP OF THE MITT COUNTIES...NORTH OF M-32...AND WEST OF M-33. MIZ016-017-019-061045- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-051206T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX 345 PM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PRODUCE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 18 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE EAST OF LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY...BY TUESDAY EVENING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ020-021-061045- /O.EXT.KAPX.LE.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-051206T2300Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA 345 PM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN SUTTONS BAY AND CENTRAL LAKE. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ018-022-061045- /O.EXT.KAPX.LE.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-051206T2300Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...GAYLORD 345 PM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 9 INCHES TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS NORTH OF M- 32 IN OTSEGO COUNTY...AND ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS OF PRESQUE ISLE COUNTY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$
000 WWUS43 KAPX 060036 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 736 PM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY... .SOUTHWESTERLY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...WHICH WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE FROM THE LEELANAU PENINSULA NORTH THROUGH THE STRAITS OF MACKINAC. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST BY TUESDAY MORNING...WITH SNOWBANDS IMPACTING AREAS NORTH OF M-72. MIZ018-022-060145- /O.CAN.KAPX.LE.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-051206T2300Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...GAYLORD 736 PM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS OTSEGO AND PRESQUE ISLE COUNTIES TONIGHT. $$ MIZ016-017-019-061100- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-051206T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PELLSTON...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX 736 PM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PRODUCE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 18 INCHES BY TUESDAY EVENING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ015-061100- /O.EXB.KAPX.LE.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-051206T1100Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST IGNACE 736 PM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL IMPACT AREAS FROM NAUBINWAY...EAST THROUGH ST IGNACE...AND OUT TOWARD CEDARVILLE. ACCUMULATIONS FROM 4 TO AS MUCH AS 9 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ020-021-061100- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-051206T2300Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LELAND...BELLAIRE 736 PM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ JPB
000 WWUS43 KAPX 060204 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 904 PM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY... .SOUTHWESTERLY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT... WHICH WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE FROM THE LEELANAU PENINSULA NORTH THROUGH THE STRAITS OF MACKINAC. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST BY TUESDAY MORNING...WITH SNOWBANDS IMPACTING AREAS NORTH OF M-72. MIZ020-021-061100- /O.UPG.KAPX.LE.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-051206T2300Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-051206T2300Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LELAND...BELLAIRE 904 PM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016-017-019-061100- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-051206T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PELLSTON...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX 904 PM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PRODUCE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 18 INCHES BY TUESDAY EVENING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ015-061100- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-051206T1100Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST IGNACE 904 PM EST MON DEC 5 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL IMPACT AREAS FROM NAUBINWAY... EAST THROUGH ST IGNACE...AND OUT TOWARD CEDARVILLE. ACCUMULATIONS FROM 4 TO AS MUCH AS 9 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ JPB
000 WWUS43 KAPX 060913 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 413 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES TODAY... .WESTERLY FLOW OF VERY COLD AIR OVER LAKE MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY. MIZ015-061015- /O.CAN.KAPX.LE.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-051206T1100Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 413 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL ACCUMULATE 1 TO 3 INCHES TODAY...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE BETWEEN THE STRAITS AND CEDARVILLE. $$ MIZ016-017-019>021-062300- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-051206T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX... NORTHPORT...MANCELONA 413 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PRODUCE A TOTAL DAYTIME ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 10 INCHES TODAY...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ022-062300- /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0007.051206T0913Z-051206T2300Z/ OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GAYLORD 413 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS MORNING...AND TOTAL DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL AVERAGE 2 TO 5 INCHES TODAY. HIGHEST AMOUNTS WILL FALL NORTH OF M-32. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ025-062300- /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0007.051206T0913Z-051206T2300Z/ BENZIE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FRANKFORT 413 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE A TOTAL DAYTIME ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 5 INCHES TODAY...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS NORTH OF US-31. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$
000 WWUS43 KAPX 061657 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1157 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES TODAY... .WESTERLY FLOW OF VERY COLD AIR OVER LAKE MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY. MIZ016-017-019>021-062300- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-051206T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX... NORTHPORT...MANCELONA 1157 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PRODUCE A TOTAL DAYTIME ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 10 INCHES TODAY...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ022-062300- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-051206T2300Z/ OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GAYLORD 1157 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE TOTAL DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES TODAY. HIGHEST AMOUNTS WILL FALL NORTH OF M-32. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ025-062300- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-051206T2300Z/ BENZIE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FRANKFORT 1157 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE A TOTAL DAYTIME ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 5 INCHES TODAY...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS NORTH OF US-31. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$
000 WWUS43 KAPX 062049 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 349 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES TONIGHT... .COLD AIR COUPLED WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT. MIZ022-025-071100- /O.CAN.KAPX.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-051206T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0008.051206T2300Z-051207T1100Z/ OTSEGO-BENZIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAYLORD...FRANKFORT 349 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE A TOTAL NIGHTTIME ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 5 INCHES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ016-017-019>021-071100- /O.EXT.KAPX.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-051207T1100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX... NORTHPORT...MANCELONA 349 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PRODUCE A TOTAL NIGHTTIME ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 7 INCHES TONIGHT...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ018-026-027-071100- /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0008.051206T2300Z-051207T1100Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA 349 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE A TOTAL NIGHTTIME ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 5 INCHES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ008-071100- /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0008.051206T2300Z-051207T1100Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 349 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE A TOTAL NIGHTTIME ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 4 INCHES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$
000 WWUS43 KAPX 070158 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 858 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES TONIGHT... .COLD AIR COUPLED WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT. MIZ018-022-025>027-070300- /O.CAN.KAPX.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-051207T1100Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...GAYLORD...FRANKFORT... TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA 858 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS. $$ MIZ016-017-019>021-071100- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-051207T1100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PELLSTON...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX... LELAND...BELLAIRE 858 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PRODUCE A TOTAL NIGHTTIME ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 7 INCHES TONIGHT. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-071100- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-051207T1100Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE MARIE 858 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE TOTAL NIGHTTIME ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW MAINLY ACROSS AREAS NEAR WHITEFISH BAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ JPB
000 WWUS43 KAPX 070914 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 414 AM EST WED DEC 7 2005 ...ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES THIS MORNING... .COLD AIR COUPLED WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING. MIZ016-017-071015- /O.CAN.KAPX.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-051207T1100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN 414 AM EST WED DEC 7 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL TOTAL AN INCH OR TWO AT BEST. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ MIZ008-071015- /O.CAN.KAPX.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-051207T1100Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 414 AM EST WED DEC 7 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF CHIPPEWA COUNTY THROUGH THE DAY. HOWEVER...NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL TOTAL AN INCH OR LESS. THEREFORE...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ MIZ019>021-071700- /O.EXT.KAPX.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-051207T1700Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA 414 AM EST WED DEC 7 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE MORNING...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION. SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$
000 WWUS43 KAPX 071705 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1205 PM EST WED DEC 7 2005 MIZ019>021-071815- /O.EXP.KAPX.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-051207T1700Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA 1205 PM EST WED DEC 7 2005 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LINGERING SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH JUST FLURRIES BY MID AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS...ESPECIALLY OVER LEELANAU COUNTY. $$ JK
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Dec 5, 4:00 AM EST, 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 5, 4:00 AM EST, 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
400 AM EST MON DEC 5 2005
.DISCUSSION...850 MB TEMPS -14C TO -17C AND WEST FLOW OVER LAKE
MICHIGAN CONTINUED TO PRODUCE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH
OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN EARLY THIS MORNING. 850-700 MB RH 50-60%
APPEARED TO BE LIMITING SNOW INTENSITY SOMEWHAT...AS DEPICTED BY
ONLY TRANSIENT/ISOLATED 28+ DBZ CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS. ACROSS THE
EASTERN UP...BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WERE CLIPPING THE NORTHERN TIP OF
WHITEFISH POINT...OTHERWISE MOST SNOW SHOWERS HAD SHIFTED OUT OF THE
REGION. MEANWHILE...PER WATER VAPOR/IR IMAGERY...A MID/UPPER LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER AND ASSOCIATED SHIELD OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE
WERE CENTERED OVER ONTARIO...JUST NORTH OF LAKE SUPERIOR...AND THIS
FEATURE WAS SWINGING S/SW.
PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN THIS MORNING IS POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT
W/WSW FLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
BASIC PARAMETERS...CYCLONIC FLOW...LAKE-850 MB DELTA TS EXCEEDING
20C AND INVERSION HEIGHTS 4-5 KFT...EASILY ENCOMPASSING THE -10C TO
-20C LAYER...WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. WITHOUT ANY
SYNOPTIC CONTRIBUTION TO MOISTURE/ASCENT OR OTHER SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES TO THE ONGOING SCENARIO...LOCAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT 12
HOUR SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WOULD JUSTIFY AN ADVISORY FOR N LOWER
MICHIGAN COUNTIES FAVORED BY A W TO WSW FLOW REGIME. HOWEVER...
THE UPPER LOW NORTH AND ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL MOISTURE NORTH OF LAKE
SUPERIOR THIS MORNING WILL ADVANCE SOUTH THEN EAST ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. WHILE THE GFS/NAM DO NOT DEPICT ANY 700-500
MB QG FORCING TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THIS FEATURE WILL RAISE
INVERSION HEIGHTS AT LEAST INTO THE 6-7 KFT RANGE TONIGHT...AND
PROBABLY ABOVE 7 KFT TUESDAY. ALSO...MID LEVEL COOLING WILL RESULT
IN 850-700 MB DELTA TS INCREASING INTO THE 9-11C RANGE...SUPPORTING
DEEPER/MORE VIGOROUS HORIZONTAL ROLL CONVECTION. FURTHER...MID LEVEL
MOISTURE (AND UPSTREAM REPORTS OF LIGHT SNOW N/NW OF THE LAKES)
SUGGESTS THAT SEEDER-FEEDER PROCESSES WILL ENHANCE SNOWFALL RATES.
ALL TOLD...THE UPPER LOW WILL ALTER THE ENVIRONMENT SUFFICIENTLY TO
PRODUCE WARNING CRITERIA SNOW ACCUMULATION TODAY (ESPECIALLY THIS
AFTERNOON...AS MEAN 850-700 MB RH STARTS TO INCREASE...TO AROUND 75%
BY 0Z) THROUGH TUESDAY. THE MAIN UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS EVENT
CENTERS ON THE MEAN 1000-850 MB WIND DIRECTION...AND ON LAND BREEZE
INFLUENCES. OVERALL...THE GFS AND THE NAM SUGGEST THAT...IN ADVANCE
OF THE UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER...THE 1000-850 MB FLOW WILL
BACK TO SOME DEGREE FROM DUE WEST...PERHAPS TO WSW...THIS AFTERNOON
AND AT LEAST THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. GIVEN PRESSURE
FALLS/BACKING SURFACE WINDS FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE N MS
RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING...THIS APPEARS TO BE A REASONABLE SCENARIO.
HOWEVER...THE DEGREE OF BACKING...CRUCIAL FOR SNOW ACCUMULATION
POTENTIAL ACROSS LEELANAU...ANTRIM...OTSEGO...PRESQUE ISLE AND
MACKINAC COUNTIES...REMAINS UNCLEAR. FOR COUNTIES ALREADY UNDER A
WATCH...CHARLEVOIX...EMMET AND CHEBOYGAN...FOR EITHER A W OF WSW LOW
LEVEL FLOW...A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS JUSTIFIED FOR TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY (WILL STAR WARNING THIS MORNING GIVEN ONGOING SNOW
SHOWERS...ALTHOUGH BEST ACCUMULATION POTENTIAL FOR START THIS
AFTERNOON). INTERESTINGLY...THE 0Z ETA12 SURFACE FORECAST DEPICTS
THE INTERESTING COMBINATION OF A PLUME OF SUBTLY WARMER AIR (THETA E
275-276K) AND MASS CONVERGENCE FOCUSED ACROSS EMMET/CHEBOYGAN
COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY...PERHAPS SUGGESTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A DOMINANT LES BAND ACROSS THAT AREA. FOR SURROUNDING
COUNTIES OF N LOWER MI ALREADY MENTIONED...A LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ADVISORY IS JUSTIFIED FOR TODAY/TONIGHT (WILL NOT YET PUSH HEADLINES
INTO THE 3RD PERIOD...TO ALLOW SOME FLEXIBILITY FOR LATER CHANGES IF
NEEDED)...BUT CANNOT YET JUSTIFY WARNINGS FOR THESE COUNTIES...BASED
ON TYPICAL LIMITED COVERAGE OF HEAVIEST SNOW ACROSS LEELANAU AND
ANTRIM COUNTIES (USUALLY LIMITED TO FAR NORTHERN SECTIONS OF BOTH
COUNTIES) WITHIN W/WSW FLOW REGIME...AND DUE TO POTENTIAL FOR WSW
FLOW (AND PERHAPS LAND BREEZE COMPONENT) TO PUSH HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS
COMPLETELY OUT OF OTSEGO AND PRESQUE ISLE COUNTIES FOR OVER 50% OF
THE EVENT. HOWEVER...IF THE 1000-850 MB FLOW REMAINS DUE
WEST...GIVEN ENHANCEMENT POTENTIAL OF UPPER LOW...LATER SHIFTS MAY
NEED TO EXPAND WARNINGS FARTHER SOUTH/EAST INTO ADVISORY
COUNTIES...AND ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED ACCORDINGLY.
WHERE W/WSW FLOW REGIMES COINCIDE...ACROSS WARNING COUNTIES OF
CHARLEVOIX...EMMET AND CHEBOYGAN...COMBINATION OF OUTSTANDING
INSTABILITY...ENHANCEMENT POTENTIAL...LONGEST FETCH LENGTH (100
MILES) AND RELATIVELY STABLE LOW LEVEL WIND DIRECTION (LIKELY
CHANGING BY NO MORE THAN 20 DEGREES OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS) SUGGESTS
THE POTENTIAL FOR IMPRESSIVE EVENT TOTAL SNOW SNOWFALL...PERHAPS
LOCALLY IN THE 1-2 FOOT RANGE...ESPECIALLY DOWNWIND OF LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY...BY TUESDAY EVENING.
MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE EASTERN UP...THE LAND BREEZE HAS ALREADY
PUSHED
LES BANDS NORTH OF WHITEFISH POINT...AND THIS REGIME SHOULD PERSIST
(AIDED BY BACKING WINDS AHEAD OF UPPER LOW) TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING. FARTHER SOUTH...NEAR THE STRAITS...SCENARIO WILL STRADDLE A
FINE LINE BETWEEN SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AND FLURRIES...DEPENDING ON
HOW MUCH THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKS...AND DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF
THE LAND BREEZE. THIS FORECAST WILL ALLOW A PERIOD OF SNOW SHOWERS
AROUND ST IGNACE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN FEEL THAT WEST FLOW AND COLD
INTERIOR TEMPS WILL ENHANCE THE LAND BREEZE...PUSHING MOST/ALL SNOW
SHOWERS SOUTH OF THE STRAITS TONIGHT. THUS...WILL NOT ISSUE ANY
HEADLINES FOR MACKINAC COUNTY.
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT...THE UPPER LOW WILL OPEN AND
LIFT TOWARD THE NE...PULLING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. THIS
BOUNDARY SHOULD PRODUCE SUFFICIENT FORCING TO SUPPORT NUMEROUS TO
WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...ACROSS THE
EASTERN UP DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING...THEN ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER
MI TUESDAY NIGHT. IN FACT...AS THE LOW LEVEL TROUGH PUSHES SOUTH OF
THE STRAITS AND INTERACTS WITH ONGOING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...AN
INTENSE BAND OF SNOW MAY SETTLE SOUTH AND MAY PRODUCE SEVERAL INCHES
OF NEW SNOW ACROSS MANY N/W COUNTIES OF N LOWER MICHIGAN WITHIN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. THEN...IN THE WAKE OF THIS BOUNDARY...THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL VEER TOWARD THE N/NNE ACROSS THE EASTERN UP/FAR N
LOWER MI...PUSHING MOST LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS OUT OF THAT
REGION...AND TOWARD THE NNW/N ACROSS NW LOWER MICHIGAN...SUPPORTING
LES SNOW SHOWERS WEST OF US-131. HOWEVER...COLD TEMPS/LAND BREEZE IN
THE WAKE OF THE BOUNDARY MAY PUSH THESE SNOW SHOWERS TO THE LM
COAST...OR EVEN OFFSHORE...SO THERE REMAINS MUCH UNCERTAINTY
CONCERNING ACCUMULATION POTENTIAL IN WAKE OF FROPA OVERNIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT.
NO CHANGES TO FORECASTS FOR WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND...AS THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWER REGIME SHOULD PERSIST INTO AT LEAST THURSDAY.
ROWLEY
&&
.APX...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...MIZ016-017-019.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...TODAY AND
TONIGHT...MIZ018-020>022.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 4, 10:54 PM EST, 5 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1054 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2005 MIZ008-015>036-041-042-LSZ321-322-LMZ323-341-342-344-345- LHZ345>349-051100- ALCONA-ALPENA-ANTRIM-ARENAC-BENZIE-CHARLEVOIX-CHEBOYGAN-CHIPPEWA- CRAWFORD-EMMET-GLADWIN-GRAND TRAVERSE-IOSCO-KALKASKA-LEELANAU- MACKINAC-MANISTEE-MISSAUKEE-MONTMORENCY-OGEMAW-OSCODA-OTSEGO- PRESQUE ISLE-ROSCOMMON-WEXFORD...INCLUDING THE ADJACENT WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON...AND LAKE SUPERIOR 1054 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE AROUND PARADISE AND WHITEFISH POINT IN EXTREME NORTHWEST CHIPPEWA COUNTY OVERNIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR FROM ANTRIM AND OTSEGO COUNTIES NORTH TO THE STRAITS...MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. SEE ONGOING WATCHES FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS...PLEASE RELAY SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING URL: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD (ALL LOWER CASE) ADAM/AJS/JPB
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 4:30 AM EST | Lake Effect Snow Advisory | APX | Antrim, Leelanau, Otsego, Presque Isle | 24 hr |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Michigan, 2005Every lake effect snow warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.