Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2005

Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Albany, NY

December 15, 20056 counties in New York

NWS Albany, NY issued this winter storm warning at Dec 15, 2005, 5:29 PM EST for 6 counties in New York. It took effect at Dec 16, 2005, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 13 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 15, 2005, 5:29 PM EST (22:29 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 16, 2005, 12:00 AM EST
Expired
Dec 16, 2005, 1:18 PM EST
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY

Counties Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 54 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2005-12-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2005-12-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 26 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1211 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
26 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KALY 152230
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
529 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

NYZ058-063-161030-
/O.UPG.KALY.WW.Y.0005.051216T0500Z-051216T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0002.051216T0500Z-051216T1700Z/
WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...
NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA
529 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST
FRIDAY WESTERN GREENE AND WESTERN ULSTER COUNTIES. THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION
TO EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. THE PRECIPITATION
WILL START OUT AS SNOWFALL BETWEEN 8 PM AND MIDNIGHT...AS ONE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION...AND
ANOTHER MOVES ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC STATES REGION OVERNIGHT. MOISTURE
WILL OVER RIDE SUB FREEZING AIR TRAPPED AT THE SURFACE FRIDAY
MORNING. SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX WITH THE SNOW TOWARDS
SUNRISE. THE COASTAL LOW WILL MOVE EAST OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER
VALLEY BY NOONTIME ON FRIDAY. COLDER AIR WILL WRAP BACK IN OVER
THE REGION... CHANGING THE PRECIPITATION BACK TO SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE LATE AFTERNOON...AS THE STORM MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MAINE
FRIDAY EVENING.

TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE LOWER CATSKILLS WILL
RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A QUARTER
OF AN INCH. SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 3O MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
MAY BRING SOME TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES DOWN THAT ICE
ACCUMULATES ON.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NYZ032-033-042-082-161030-
/O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0004.051216T0500Z-051216T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0002.051216T0500Z-051216T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD
529 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST
FRIDAY FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS INCLUDING NORTHERN WARREN AND
NORTHERN FULTON COUNTIES. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACK REGION BETWEEN 10 PM
AND 2 AM...AS ONE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN
GREAT LAKES REGION...AND ANOTHER MOVES ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES REGION OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW ON FRIDAY MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME IN THE LATE MORNING...AS
THE LOW MOVES FROM NORTHERN NEW JERSEY TO CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND. SNOWFALL
RATES MAY EXCEED AN INCH AN HOUR DURING THE MID MORNING. TOTAL
SNOWFALL WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

VTZ013>015-161030-
/O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0004.051216T0500Z-051216T2100Z/
/O.EXA.KALY.WW.Y.0005.051216T0500Z-051216T2100Z/
BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
529 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
4 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
4 PM EST FRIDAY FOR SOUTHERN VERMONT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN VERMONT BETWEEN 9 PM AND 1 AM...AS
ONE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION...AND ANOTHER MOVES ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC STATES REGION
OVERNIGHT. MOISTURE WILL OVER RIDE SUB FREEZING AIR TRAPPED AT
THE SURFACE FRIDAY MORNING. THE SNOW ON FRIDAY WILL MIX WITH AND
CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE...AS
THE LOW MOVES FROM NORTHERN NEW JERSEY TO CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND BY
NOONTIME.  

SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WILL OCCUR...WITH THE
GREATER AMOUNTS OVER THE GREEN MOUNTAINS. ALSO...ICE ACCUMULATIONS
OF A TENTH OF AN INCH OR SO WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-083-084-161030-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0005.051216T0500Z-051216T2100Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-
SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...
ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH
529 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY FOR THE CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY...THE LAKE GEORGE
SARATOGA REGION...GREATER CAPITAL REGION...NORTHERN
TACONICS...BERKSHIRES...AND HELDERBERGS...

A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION
TO EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION
WILL START OUT AS SNOWFALL BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT...AS ONE
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION...AND ANOTHER MOVES ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC STATE REGION
THIS EVENING. MOISTURE WILL OVER RIDE SUB FREEZING AIR TRAPPED AT
THE SURFACE FRIDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE MORNING COMMUTE. THE COASTAL LOW WILL MOVE EAST OF THE
BERKSHIRES BY NOONTIME ON FRIDAY. ENOUGH WARM AIR MAY CREEP IN AT
THE SURFACE UP TO THE GREATER CAPITAL REGION...TURNING THE ICY MIX
TO RAIN FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME. COLDER AIR WILL WRAP BACK IN OVER
THE REGION... CHANGING THE PRECIPITATION BACK TO SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE LATE AFTERNOON...AS THE STORM MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MAINE
FRIDAY EVENING.

TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE 2 TO 
6 INCHES...WITH 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE HELDERBERGS AND CENTRAL
MOHAWK VALLEY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM A LIGHT COATING
TO A TENTH OF AN INCH WILL BE COMMON...WITH A FEW ISOLATED AREAS
GETTING UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

CTZ001-013-NYZ059>061-064>066-161030-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0005.051216T0500Z-051216T1500Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...
POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...
MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON
529 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY FOR THE MID HUDSON VALLEY...SOUTHERN
TACONICS...AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY CONNECTICUT. 

A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION
TO EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. THE PRECIPITATION
WILL START OUT AS SNOWFALL BETWEEN 8 PM AND 11 PM...AS ONE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION...
AND ANOTHER MOVES ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC STATES REGION THIS
EVENING. MOISTURE WILL OVER RIDE SUB FREEZING AIR TRAPPED AT THE
SURFACE AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IN THE EARLY MORNING AND WILL GRADUALLY
CHANGE TO RAIN...AS TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING TOWARD SUNRISE.

TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4
INCHES...WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A QUARTER INCH POSSIBLE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
6 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KALY 160328
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1028 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

NYZ032-033-042-082-161100-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.051216T0500Z-051216T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD
1028 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY FOR
THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACK REGION BY AROUND
MIDNIGHT...AS ONE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN
GREAT LAKES REGION...AND ANOTHER MOVES ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES REGION OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW ON FRIDAY MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN FOR A PERIOD OF TIME IN THE MORNING...AS THE LOW
MOVES FROM NORTHERN NEW JERSEY TO CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND. SNOWFALL
RATES MAY EXCEED AN INCH AN HOUR DURING THE MID MORNING. TOTAL
SNOWFALL WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NYZ058-063-161100-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.051216T0500Z-051216T1700Z/
WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...
NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA
1028 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST FRIDAY
FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CATSKILLS. 

A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION
TO EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN...OCCASIONALLY MIXED WITH SNOW WILL FALL OVERNIGHT. THE
COASTAL LOW WILL MOVE EAST OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY BY
NOONTIME ON FRIDAY. COLDER AIR WILL WRAP BACK IN OVER THE
REGION... CHANGING THE PRECIPITATION BACK TO SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON...AS THE STORM MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY
EVENING.

TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE LOWER CATSKILLS WILL
RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS A QUARTER TO A
HALF AN INCH. SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 3O MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 40
MPH MAY BRING SOME TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES DOWN THAT ICE
ACCUMULATES ON.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-083-084-VTZ013>015-161100-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0005.051216T0500Z-051216T2100Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-
SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...
ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1028 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
FRIDAY FOR THE MOHAWK VALLEY...THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA
REGION...GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...NORTHERN
TACONICS...HELDERBERGS...BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION
TO EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN BY MIDNIGHT...AS ONE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION...AND ANOTHER MOVES ALONG THE MID
ATLANTIC STATE REGION THIS EVENING. MOISTURE WILL OVER RIDE SUB
FREEZING AIR TRAPPED AT THE SURFACE FRIDAY MORNING. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER
MIDNIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING COMMUTE. THE COASTAL
LOW WILL MOVE EAST OF THE BERKSHIRES BY NOONTIME ON FRIDAY. ENOUGH
WARM AIR MAY CREEP IN AT THE SURFACE UP TO THE GREATER CAPITAL
REGION... TURNING THE ICY MIX TO RAIN FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME.
COLDER AIR WILL WRAP BACK IN OVER THE REGION... CHANGING THE
PRECIPITATION BACK TO SNOW SHOWERS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON...AS THE
STORM MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY EVENING.

TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE 2 TO
5 INCHES...WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

CTZ001-013-NYZ059>061-064>066-161100-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0005.051216T0500Z-051216T1500Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...
POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...
MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON
1028 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
FRIDAY FOR THE MID HUDSON VALLEY...SOUTHERN TACONICS...AND
LITCHFIELD HILLS IN CONNECTICUT.

A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION
TO EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. A MIXTURE OF
SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL FALL THROUGH MIDNIGHT...AS
ONE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION... AND ANOTHER MOVES ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC STATES REGION
THIS EVENING. MOISTURE WILL OVER RIDE SUB FREEZING AIR TRAPPED AT
THE SURFACE AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT AND GRADUALLY CHANGE TO
RAIN...AS TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING TOWARD SUNRISE.

TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO
4 INCHES...WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A QUARTER INCH.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KALY 161011
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
511 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

NYZ032-033-042-082-161730-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD
511 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS.

A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FELL OVERNIGHT AND WILL
CONTINUE THIS MORNING. BY LATE THIS MORNING PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW...BEFORE TAPERING TO SNOW SHOWERS THIS
AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE VARIABLE BUT AVERAGE 4
TO 8 INCHES. SOME AREAS WILL PICK UP A QUARTER INCH OF ICE ON TOP
OF THE SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

NYZ058-063-161700-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...
NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA
511 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY IN
THE SOUTHERN CATSKILLS.
 
SNOW CHANGED TO FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT. FREEZING RAIN WILL BE
HEAVY AT TIMES THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE SLOWLY AND MAY
REACH ABOVE FREEZING FOR A FEW HOURS LATER THIS MORNING. COLDER
AIR WILL WORK BACK IN THIS AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.

ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN AN INCH...BUT UP TO
A HALF INCH OF ICE MAY ACCUMULATE. THE ICE LOAD IN COMBINATION
WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER
LINES. YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR POWER OUTAGES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MAZ001-025-NYZ038>040-047>054-161700-
/O.EXT.KALY.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS
511 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY IN THE MOHAWK VALLEY...THE CAPITAL DISTRICT AND THE
BERKSHIRES.
 
SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN FELL OVERNIGHT WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW
ACCUMULATING. PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO CHANGE TO FREEZING
RAIN THIS MORNING. AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY RISE...THE FREEZING RAIN
MAY CHANGE TO RAIN IN PLACES BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF AROUND NOON. 
COLDER AIR WILL WORK BACK IN THIS AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH ARE LIKELY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NYZ041-043-083-084-VTZ013>015-161730-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-051216T2100Z/
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...
GRANVILLE...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
511 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. 

SNOW WILL CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING.
PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BY MID
AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL AVERAGE 3 TO 6 INCHES
WITH UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE. WINDS WILL GUSTS TO 50 MPH IN
PARTS OF VERMONT WHICH WILL RESULT IN POOR VISIBILITY...AND COMBINE
WITH THE COATING OF ICE RESULT IN DOWNED LIMBS AND POWER LINES.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

CTZ001-013-NYZ059>061-064>066-161500-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-051216T1500Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...
POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...
MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON
511 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING IN THE MID HUDSON VALLEY OF NEW YORK AND NORTHWEST
CONNECTICUT.

SNOW DEVELOPED THURSDAY EVENING AND QUICKLY CHANGED TO FREEZING
RAIN BY MIDNIGHT. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES ROSE SLOWLY AND
PRECIPITATION CHANGED TO RAIN IN SOME AREAS. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE THIS MORNING WITH MOST AREAS ABOVE FREEZING BY 10
AM.  ICE ACCUMULATION WILL BE A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.
       

$$
000 
WWUS41 KALY 161113
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
613 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

NYZ032-033-042-082-161700-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD
613 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS.

A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FELL OVERNIGHT AND WILL
CONTINUE THIS MORNING. BY LATE THIS MORNING PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW...BEFORE TAPERING TO SNOW SHOWERS THIS
AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE VARIABLE BUT AVERAGE
4 TO 8 INCHES. SOME AREAS WILL PICK UP A QUARTER INCH OF ICE ON
TOP OF THE SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY
HAZARDOUS.

$$

NYZ058-063-161700-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...
NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA
613 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY IN
THE SOUTHERN CATSKILLS.

SNOW CHANGED TO FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT. FREEZING RAIN WILL BE
HEAVY AT TIMES THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE SLOWLY AND
MAY REACH ABOVE FREEZING FOR A FEW HOURS LATER THIS MORNING.
COLDER AIR WILL WORK BACK IN THIS AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.

ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN AN INCH...BUT UP
TO A HALF INCH OF ICE MAY ACCUMULATE. THE ICE LOAD IN COMBINATION
WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER
LINES. YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR POWER OUTAGES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY
HAZARDOUS.

$$

MAZ001-025-NYZ038>040-047>054-161700-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS
613 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY IN THE MOHAWK VALLEY...THE CAPITAL DISTRICT...THE NORTHERN
CATSKILLS  AND THE BERKSHIRES.

SNOW CHANGED TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT. IN THE CENTRAL
MOHAWK VALLEY AND NORTHERN CATSKILLS...THE WINTRY MIX WILL CHANGE BACK
TO SNOW THIS MORNING WITH A COATING TO 3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW. FROM
THE CAPITAL DISTRICT TO THE BERKSHIRES... FREEZING RAIN WILL
CONTINUE THIS MORNING. AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY RISE...THE FREEZING
RAIN MAY CHANGE TO RAIN IN PLACES BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF AROUND
NOON. COLDER AIR WILL WORK BACK IN THIS AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH ARE
LIKELY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NYZ041-043-083-084-VTZ013>015-161700-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-051216T2100Z/
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...
GRANVILLE...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
613 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...


A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. 

SNOW WILL CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING.
PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BY MID
AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL AVERAGE 3 TO 6 INCHES
WITH UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE. WINDS WILL GUSTS TO 50 MPH IN
PARTS OF VERMONT WHICH WILL RESULT IN POOR VISIBILITY...AND
COMBINE WITH THE COATING OF ICE RESULT IN DOWNED LIMBS AND POWER
LINES.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

CTZ001-013-NYZ059>061-064>066-161500-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-051216T1500Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...
POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...
MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON
613 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING IN THE MID HUDSON VALLEY OF NEW YORK AND NORTHWEST
CONNECTICUT.

SNOW DEVELOPED THURSDAY EVENING AND QUICKLY CHANGED TO FREEZING
RAIN BY MIDNIGHT. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES ROSE SLOWLY AND
PRECIPITATION CHANGED TO RAIN IN SOME AREAS. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE THIS MORNING WITH MOST AREAS ABOVE FREEZING BY
10 AM.  ICE ACCUMULATION WILL BE A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KALY 161541
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1041 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

NYZ058-063-161645-
/O.CAN.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...
NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA
1041 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR THE LOWER CATSKILLS...

THE MIXED PRECIPITATION IS ENDING OVER THE WARNED AREA. REPORTS OF
3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW OCCURRED WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND A
QUARTER OF AN INCH.

$$

NYZ032-033-042-082-162100-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD
1041 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACK REGION...

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM ONE TO THREE INCHES. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY
HAZARDOUS.

$$

MAZ001-025-NYZ038>040-047>054-161700-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS
1041 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY IN THE CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY...THE CAPITAL DISTRICT...THE
NORTHERN CATSKILLS AND THE BERKSHIRES.

SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO TURN BACK TO SNOW
IN THE LATE MORNING OVER AREA. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL
BE AN INCH OR TWO. ICE ACCUMULATIONS ON UNTREATED SURFACES AND
TREES WILL APPROACH A QUARTER INCH. TOTAL SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE EVENT WILL RANGE FROM TWO TO SIX INCHES.
THE HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE OVER THE CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$


NYZ041-043-083-084-VTZ013>015-162100-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-051216T2100Z/
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...
GRANVILLE...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1041 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. 

SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO TURN BACK TO SNOW
IN THE LATE MORNING OVER THE AREA. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
WILL BE AN INCH OR TWO. ICE ACCUMULATIONS ON UNTREATED SURFACES
AND TREES WILL APPROACH A QUARTER INCH. TOTAL SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE EVENT WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES. WINDS
WILL GUST TO 50 MPH IN PARTS OF VERMONT CAUSING SOME ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KALY 161656
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1156 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

MAZ001-025-NYZ038>040-047>054-161800-
/O.CAN.KALY.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-051216T1700Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS
1156 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE GREATER CAPITAL REGION...BERKSHIRES...
NORTHERN TACONICS...THE NORTHERN CATSKILLS AND THE CENTRAL MOHAWK
VALLEY...

THE SNOW HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. TOTAL SNOWFALL
AND SLEET AMOUNTS RANGED FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES IN THE CAPITAL REGION
AND BERKSHIRES...TO AS MUCH AS 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL
MOHAWK VALLEY. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHERN TACONICS.

$$

NYZ032-033-042-082-162100-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD
1156 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACK REGION...

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
EASTERN ADIRONDACKS. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM ONE TO
TWO INCHES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10
INCHES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY
HAZARDOUS.

$$

NYZ041-043-083-084-VTZ013>015-162100-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-051216T2100Z/
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...
GRANVILLE...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1156 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE AN INCH OR TWO. TOTAL SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE EVENT WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KALY 161818
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
118 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2005


NYZ032-033-042-082-161930-
/O.CAN.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD
118 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACK REGION...

THE SNOW HAS ENDED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...INCLUDING
NORTHERN FULTON AND NORTHERN WARREN COUNTIES...AS THE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE HAS REACHED EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.

$$

NYZ041-043-083-084-VTZ013>015-161930-
/O.CAN.KALY.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-051216T2100Z/
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...
GRANVILLE...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
118 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION AND SOUTHERN
VERMONT.  THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT PRODUCED THE MIXED
PRECIPITATION HAS REACHED EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.  LINGERING SNOW
SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH BEFORE 4 PM...WITH LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 15, 1:23 PM EST, 4 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 1:23 PM EST, 4 hours 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
123 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

.SHORT TERM (REST OF THE AFTERNOON)...
THIS IS A QUICK UPDATE FOR THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES THAT HAVE
BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE
LATEST GFS/NAM RUNS INDICATE A WINTRY MIX IS IN THE WORKS FOR THE
MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA.  THE 12Z GFS HAS THE 1000 MB
SECONDARY LOW TUCKED IN CLOSER THE THE CT RIVER VALLEY/BERKSHIRES BY
18Z...WHILE THE NAM HAS A 1003 MB LOW OVER ERN CT. THIS COULD MAKE A
BIG DIFFERENCE ON THE PTYPE AND THE AMOUNT OF SFC WARMING THAT
OCCURS 06Z-18Z ON FRI.

THE NAM WANTS TO SCOUR OUT THE ARCTIC AIR IN THE
06Z-12Z TIME FRAME FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CAPITAL
REGION CHANGING THE PCPN FROM SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TO ALL RAIN.
THE GFS SHOWS THE BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS WARMING OVER THE MID HUDSON
VALLEY TOO...BUT NOT TO THE SAME EXTREME. ICE LOOKS LIKE A GREATER
ISSUE WITH THIS SUITE OF MODEL RUNS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CAPITAL
REGION...AND WE HAVE MENTIONED AMOUNTS UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH
BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER TO RAIN. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE GFS/NAM
MODEL SOUNDINGS AND CRITICAL PARTIAL THICKNESSES THERE.

THE CAPITAL REGION IS A TOUGH CALL WITH AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SLEET
AND SNOW TO START BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO FREEZING RAIN. THE MODELS
ARE SHOWING AT /60-75 KT/ H850 JET OVER THE REGION...INDICATING
SIGNIFICANT DOWNSLOPING FOR THE CAPITAL REGION AND THE UPPER HUDSON
VALLEY 09Z-18Z.  THIS MAY CUT DOWN ON THE QPF. NORTH AND WEST OF THE
CAPITAL REGION MAY STAY IN THE COLD AIR LONG ENOUGH FOR MAINLY SNOW
AND SLEET WITH A LITTLE FREEZING RAIN. A WATCH REMAINS UP FOR THE
SRN ADIRONDACKS AND SRN VT.

MORE TO COME WITH THE FULL UPDATE LATER ON.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TO 10 AM FRIDAY FOR
     CTZ001-013.
MA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TO 4 PM FRIDAY FOR
     MAZ001-025.
NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT TO 4 PM FRIDAY FOR
     NYZ032-033-42-082.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TO 4 PM FRIDAY FOR
     NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058-063-083-084.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TO 10 AM FRIDAY FOR
     NYZ059>061-064>066.
VT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT TO 4 PM FRIDAY FOR
     VTZ013>015.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 1017 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005)

SHORT TERM (REST OF TODAY)...
CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK FOR THE REST OF THIS MORNING AND THE
EARLY AFTERNOON. A LARGE DOME OF ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
CNTRL QUEBEC CONTINUES TO DAM IN SHALLOW ARCTIC AIR OVER THE FCST
AREA. THIS FRIGID DRY AIR MASS...HAS PRODUCED SUNNY/MOSTLY SUNNY
CONDITIONS THUS FAR. THE VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURE AT 14Z SHOWS THE
CLOUD SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE PAIR OF STORM SYSTEMS THAT WILL
IMPACT THE FORECAST AREA WITH A WINTRY MIX OVERNIGHT INTO FRI EARLY
PM INTO WESTERN NY...CNTRL PA AND CNTRL NJ. MIXED PCPN IS CURRENTLY
OCCURRING OVER WV...AND WRN PA.

WE HAVE TWEAKED THE CLOUD TRENDS...HOURLY TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS. WE
WILL BE ADDRESSING A POTENTIAL WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
NON-WATCH AREAS IN THE ALY FORECAST AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
(AFTER EXAMINING THE 12Z GFS AND OTHER GUIDANCE).

&&

SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE REGION THIS MORNING...WILL DRIFT
NORTHEAST DURING THE DAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM STARTS TO MOVE
NORTHWARD OUT OF THE GULF COAST STATES. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY TRACK
TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THIS EVENING AND EVENTUALLY INTO SOUTHERN
NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND ON FRIDAY. THIS STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO
THE REGION LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MIXING
IN BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...WITH
AN ICY MIX OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE VERY COLD AIRMASS THAT HAS BEEN WITH US THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL
REMAIN IN THE LOWEST LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE AND PROVIDE A WINTRY
MIX OF PRECIP ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SHORT RANGE
MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER LEVEL FEATURES AND SFC
LOW TRACK...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SEVERAL DIFFERENCES WITH REGARDS TO
QPF AND SFC LOW STRENGTH. THE GFS HAS CONSISTENTLY BEEN AROUND 7 MB
DEEPER WITH THE LOWER CENTRAL PRESSURE COMPARED TO THE NAM (997 TO
1004 MB). GFS BEGINS PRECIP SOONER...BUT IT WILL LIKELY TAKE TIME TO
SATURATE COLUMN SO HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH SLIGHTLY SLOWER NAM TIMING.
PRECIP WILL OVERSPREAD AREA FROM SW TO NE...FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT TO
EARLY MORNING FRI.

QPF-WISE...NAM12 SHOWING TERRAIN INDUCED DIFFERENCES WITH A MIN IN
THE HUDSON VALLEY DUE TO DOWNSLOPE FROM SE FLOW...WITH A MAX ACROSS
UPSLOPE AREAS OF SRN ADIRONDACKS/SRN VT/ERN CATSKILLS. WHILE THE NAM
HAS THE RIGHT IDEA...IT IS LIKELY TOO EXTREME WITH THE MAX AND MIN
AMOUNTS. GFS SHOWING MORE UNIFORM FIELD...BUT OVERALL TOTALS SEEM
REASONABLE. FAST MOVEMENT OF STORM WILL YIELD ABOUT 12-15 HRS OF
PRECIP AT MOST. THAT BEING SAID...STRONG FORCING IN FORM OF
ISENTROPIC LIFT ON THE 300K SFC WITH SUPPORTING STRONG 60-70 KT H85
SE JET MOVING OVERHEAD AS WELL. H5 TROF AXIS/VORT MAX RAPIDLY MOVE
THROUGH...WITH H7 LOW NOT CLOSING OFF.

FROM NAM BUFKIT PROFILES...OPTIMAL SNOW GROWTH REGION WILL BE
DISPLACED ABOVE STRONGEST OMEGA WHICH WILL HELP TO CREATE LOWER SNOW
TO LIQUID RATIOS. LOOKS LIKE RATIOS WILL BE AROUND 10/1 EARLY...THEN
LOWERING TO 7/1 BY FRI MORNING. SLEET MIXING IN WILL YIELD EVEN
LOWER VALUES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. WARM LAYER ALOFT
SURGING IN WILL ALLOW MIXED PRECIP TO CHANGE TO RAIN ACROSS MID
HUDSON VALLEY FRI MORNING. HOWEVER...ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATION
AREAS OF THE ADIRONDACKS/SRN VT/CATSKILLS/BERKSHIRES...THERE WILL A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF MIXED SNOW/IP AND EVEN ZR FURTHER SOUTH. WILL
LIKELY NEED ADVISORIES FOR MANY AREAS...BUT SINCE WE HAVE A WATCH
OUT FOR SOME AREAS WE WILL MENTION HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS IN THE
HWO...WITH PLENTY OF TIME FOR THE DAY SHIFT TO UPGRADE WATCHES/ISSUE
ADVISORIES.

BY FRI EVENING...THE STORM WILL BE EXITING THE MAINE COAST LEAVING
WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS ERN NY/WRN NENG. WITH GREAT LAKES STILL AROUND
+4-5C...LAKE EFFECT WILL LIKELY DEVELOP WITH -10 TO -12C H85 TEMPS
ADVECTING IN FRI NIGHT INTO SAT. RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS LIKE NORTHERN
HERKIMER/HAMILTON HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW. MOST
LOCALS IN OUR FORECAST AREA WILL NOT SEE SNOW.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
NO CHANGES TO FORECAST WERE MADE BEYOND SATURDAY. UPPER LEVEL TROF
TO REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS THE ERN CONUS...WITH A FEW WEAK SHORT
WAVES PASSING THRU FROM TIME TO TIME. THIS WILL YIELD SOME SNOW
SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH BELOW AVERAGE TEMPS
CONTINUING.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY. ONE
EXCEPTION WILL BE ISOLATED LOW STRATUS/FOG. HIGH CLOUDS WILL
GRADUALLY THICKEN AND LOWER DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. A
WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL OVERSPREAD THE CWA FROM ABOUT 01Z
TO 07Z WITH CONDITIONS BECOMING IFR. IFR CONDITIONS CONTINUING
FRIDAY MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY IMPROVING.

HYDROLOGY...
NO HYDRO PROBLEMS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MIXED
PRECIPITATION EVENT FOR LATER TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.  PRECIPITATION MAY
BE  HEAVY AND COULD CHANGE TO RAIN IN FAR SOUTH FOR A SHORT TIME.
HOWEVER MOST OF EVENT WILL BE FREEZING OR FROZEN. EVEN WHERE RAIN
DOES TO FALL ...WARMUP BARELY ABOVE FREEZING AND SNOW PACK WOULD
ABSORB RAIN.

&&

SHORT TERM UPDATE...WASULA
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 15, 1:09 PM EST, 4 hours 20 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
109 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058-063-083-084-161200-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-
SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-
WESTERN ULSTER-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-
109 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MOHAWK VALLEY...CAPITAL
DISTRICT...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...EASTERN CATSKILLS AND
NORTHERN TACONICS OF NEW YORK...AND FOR BERKSHIRE COUNTY
MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...SNOW DEVELOPING BETWEEN ABOUT 9 PM
AND 2 AM TONIGHT...WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MIXING IN BY
MORNING. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT THROUGH 400 PM FRIDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FRIDAY THROUGH 400 PM. MIXED
PRECIPITATION FRIDAY MORNING WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO JUST RAIN FOR A WHILE...
ESPECIALLY IN VALLEY LOCATIONS SOUTH OF ALBANY. POOR ROAD
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE. TOTAL ACCUMULATION
OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL BE IN THE 2 TO 6 INCH RANGE...WITH 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER THE EASTERN CATSKILLS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. SNOWFALL AND ICING
REPORTS SHOULD BE RELAYED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NYZ032-033-042-082-VTZ013>015-161200-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
109 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS OF NEW
YORK AND EXTREME SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...WINTER STORM WATCH LATE TONIGHT.
SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WINTER STORM
WATCH FRIDAY THROUGH 4 PM. SNOW MAY CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN FOR A WHILE...BEFORE TAPERING OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. SEE LATEST WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. SNOWFALL AND ICING
REPORTS SHOULD BE RELAYED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

CTZ001-013-NYZ059>061-064>066-161200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-
109 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN
TACONICS OF NEW YORK...AND FOR LITCHFIELD COUNTY CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...SNOW DEVELOPING BETWEEN ABOUT 8 PM
AND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
OVERNIGHT. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT THROUGH 1000 AM FRIDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FRIDAY THROUGH 1000 AM. FREEZING
RAIN AND SLEET WILL BE CHANGING TO RAIN AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE. POOR ROAD CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE.
TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL BE IN THE 1 TO 4 INCH
RANGE...WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A QUARTER INCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. SNOWFALL AND ICING
REPORTS SHOULD BE RELAYED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 15, 12:37 PM EST, 4 hours 52 minutes before
NEW YORK STATEWIDE POLICE INFORMATION NETWORK

TROOP A

1235PM     THU DEC 15 2005

#1 0000001 000

AWRC WLSR AHQT

01421    FILE 28   SP LOCKPORT     NY1310200                 DEC 15-05

TO       SP BATAVIA

 ROAD & WEATHER REPORT FOR NIAGARA COUNTY

 EASTERN NIAGARA COUNTY

      WEATHER: CLEAR

      ROADS: DRY SOME SLIPPERY SPOTS

 WESTERN NIAGARA COUNTY, I-190 & ROBERT MOSES PARKWAY

      WEATHER: LIGHT DRIZZLE

      ROADS: DRY, SLICK SPOTS

             I-190: DRY, SLICK SPOTS

AUTH SGT HEISER
Local storm report, Dec 15, 4:27 PM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
NEW YORK STATEWIDE POLICE INFORMATION NETWORK

TROOP A

0424PM     THU DEC 15 2005

#1 0000001 000

ASSO WLSR

00473    FILE 28   SSA/OIG OFFICE OF INVESTIGATIONS          DEC 15-05

TO       DESTINATION(S) AGENCY TITLE

AUTH
Local storm report, Dec 15, 4:51 PM EST, 38 minutes before
NEW YORK STATEWIDE POLICE INFORMATION NETWORK

TROOP A

0448PM     THU DEC 15 2005

#1 0000001 000

AWRC WLSR AHQT

01427    FILE 28   SP LOCKPORT     NY1310200                 DEC   -05

TO       SP BATAVIA

 ROAD & WEATHER REPORT FOR NIAGARA COUNTY

 EASTERN NIAGARA COUNTY

      WEATHER: FREEZING RAIN

      ROADS: SLIPPERY

 WESTERN NIAGARA COUNTY, I-190 & ROBERT MOSES PARKWAY

      WEATHER: FREEZING RAIN

      ROADS: VERY SLIPPERY

             I-190: VERY SLIPPERY

AUTH TROOPER JACOB RUDNICK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 15, 5:01 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Warren12 hr
Dec 15, 12:30 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryALYAlbany, Columbia, Dutchess, Fulton, Greene, Herkimer and 8 more25 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2005Every winter storm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.