Alert archive / New York / Snow Advisories in 2005

Snow Advisory 2, NWS Albany, NY

December 8, 20058 counties in New York

NWS Albany, NY issued this snow advisory at Dec 8, 2005, 4:14 AM EST for 8 counties in New York. It took effect at Dec 9, 2005, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 8, 2005, 4:14 AM EST (09:14 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 9, 2005, 12:00 AM EST
Expired
Dec 9, 2005, 11:57 AM EST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY

Counties Fulton County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 286 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2005-12-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2005-12-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 87 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156175Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1703 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
73 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KALY 080914
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
414 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005

CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-081700-
/O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0003.051209T0700Z-051209T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KALY.HS.W.0001.051209T0500Z-051209T2300Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...
HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...
CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...
ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...
PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...
ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...
AMENIA...MILLERTON
414 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW
WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST AND CENTRAL CATSKILLS...MID HUDSON
VALLEY...SOUTHERN TACONICS...SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES AND LITCHFIELD
HILLS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL RACE EASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES LATE THIS EVENING. A COASTAL LOW WILL THEN
DEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE QUICKLY
NORTHEAST PASSING SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND AROUND MID DAY FRIDAY AND
THEN MOVE INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY EVENING. WHILE THE STORM
IS A FAST MOVER...IT WILL BRING ENOUGH MOISTURE TO THE AREA TO
PRODUCE 5 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR IN THE SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES AND LITCHFIELD HILLS. THE
HEAVIEST AND STEADIEST SNOW WILL FALL FROM THE MORNING RUSH HOUR
THROUGH MID DAY.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

MAZ001-NYZ032-033-047-051>054-084-VTZ013>015-081700-
/O.NEW.KALY.HS.W.0001.051209T0500Z-051209T2300Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...ATWELL...
BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...
OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...ALTAMONT...
ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
414 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW
WARNING FOR THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...NORTHEAST CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...NORTHERN TACONICS...NORTHERN
BERKSHIRES AND ALL OF SOUTHERN VERMONT...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY.

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL RACE EASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES LATE THIS EVENING. A COASTAL LOW WILL THEN
DEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE QUICKLY
NORTHEAST PASSING SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND AROUND MID DAY FRIDAY AND
THEN MOVE INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY EVENING. WHILE THE STORM
IS A FAST MOVER...IT WILL BRING ENOUGH MOISTURE TO THE AREA TO
PRODUCE 5 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR IN THE NORTHERN BERKSHIRES AND ACROSS SOUTHERN VERMONT. THE
HEAVIEST AND STEADIEST SNOW WILL FALL FROM THE MORNING RUSH HOUR
THROUGH MID DAY.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ038>043-048>050-082-083-081700-
/O.NEW.KALY.SN.Y.0002.051209T0500Z-051209T2300Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN FULTON-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...
AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS
414 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY FOR THE MOHAWK VALLEY...NORTHERN HALF OF THE GREATER 
CAPITAL DISTRICT...THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION AND THE
SOUTHEAST ADIRONDACKS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY.

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL RACE EASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES LATE THIS EVENING. A COASTAL LOW WILL THEN
DEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE QUICKLY
NORTHEAST PASSING SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND AROUND MID DAY FRIDAY AND
THEN MOVE INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY EVENING. WHILE THE STORM
IS A FAST MOVER...IT WILL BRING ENOUGH MOISTURE TO THE AREA TO
PRODUCE 3 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW. THE HEAVIEST AND STEADIEST SNOW
WILL FALL FROM THE MORNING RUSH HOUR THROUGH MID DAY.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$
4 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KALY 081628
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1128 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-047-051>054-058>061-063>066-084-
VTZ013>015-082230-
/O.CON.KALY.HS.W.0001.051209T0500Z-051209T2300Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...
NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...COBLESKILL...
MIDDLEBURGH...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...
BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1128 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY CONTINUES A HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR
THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN HALF OF THE GREATER CAPITAL REGION...MID
HUDSON VALLEY...TACONICS...WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...BERKSHIRES...SOUTHERN
VERMONT AND THE LITCHFIELD HILLS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE QUICKLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND
INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES FRIDAY MORNING. A COASTAL LOW WILL THEN
DEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE TONIGHT...MOVE QUICKLY
NORTHEAST PASSING SOUTH OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND AROUND MID DAY FRIDAY AND
THEN MOVE INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY EVENING. WHILE THE STORM
IS A FAST MOVER...IT WILL BRING ENOUGH MOISTURE TO THE AREA TO
PRODUCE 5 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR IN THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...MID HUDSON VALLEY...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...BERKSHIRES AND LITCHFIELD HILLS. THE HEAVIEST AND
STEADIEST SNOW WILL FALL FROM THE MORNING RUSH HOUR THROUGH MID
DAY.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS.  

$$

NYZ038>043-048>050-082-083-082230-
/O.CON.KALY.SN.Y.0002.051209T0500Z-051209T2300Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN FULTON-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...
AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS
1128 AM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY CONTINUES A SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE
CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY...NORTHERN HALF OF THE GREATER CAPITAL
DISTRICT...THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION AND THE SOUTHEAST
ADIRONDACKS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY.

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE QUICKLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND
INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES FRIDAY MORNING. A COASTAL LOW WILL THEN
DEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE QUICKLY
NORTHEAST PASSING SOUTH OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND AROUND MID DAY FRIDAY AND
THEN MOVE INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY EVENING. WHILE THE STORM
IS A FAST MOVER...IT WILL BRING ENOUGH MOISTURE TO THE AREA TO
PRODUCE 3 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW.  THE HEAVIEST AND STEADIEST SNOW
WILL FALL FROM THE MORNING RUSH HOUR THROUGH MID DAY.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KALY 082118
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
418 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-047-051>054-058>061-063>066-084-
VTZ013>015-091030-
/O.CON.KALY.HS.W.0001.051209T0500Z-051209T2300Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...
NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...COBLESKILL...
MIDDLEBURGH...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...
BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
418 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY CONTINUES A HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR
THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN HALF OF THE GREATER CAPITAL REGION...MID
HUDSON VALLEY...TACONICS...WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...BERKSHIRES...SOUTHERN
VERMONT AND THE LITCHFIELD HILLS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE MIDWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE
QUICKLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES FRIDAY MORNING. A COASTAL LOW WILL THEN DEVELOP OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE TONIGHT...MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEAST
PASSING SOUTH OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND AROUND MID DAY FRIDAY AND
THEN MOVE INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY EVENING. WHILE THE STORM
IS A FAST MOVER...IT WILL BRING ENOUGH MOISTURE TO THE AREA TO
PRODUCE 5 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR IN THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...MID HUDSON
VALLEY...TACONICS...SOUTHERN VERMONT...BERKSHIRES AND LITCHFIELD
HILLS. 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR OVER THE WESTERN
ADIRONDACKS AND THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GREATER CAPITAL
REGION. THE HEAVIEST AND STEADIEST SNOW WILL FALL FROM THE MORNING
RUSH HOUR INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

$$

NYZ038>043-048>050-082-083-091030-
/O.CON.KALY.SN.Y.0002.051209T0500Z-051209T2300Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN FULTON-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...
AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS
418 PM EST THU DEC 8 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY CONTINUES A SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE
CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY...NORTHERN HALF OF THE GREATER CAPITAL
DISTRICT...THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION AND THE SOUTHEAST
ADIRONDACKS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY.

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE MIDWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL
MOVE QUICKLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES FRIDAY MORNING. A COASTAL LOW WILL THEN DEVELOP OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEAST PASSING
SOUTH OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND AROUND MID DAY FRIDAY AND THEN MOVE
INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY EVENING. WHILE THE STORM IS A FAST
MOVER...IT WILL BRING ENOUGH MOISTURE TO THE AREA TO PRODUCE 3 TO
7 INCHES OF SNOW. THE HEAVIEST AND STEADIEST SNOW WILL FALL FROM
THE MORNING RUSH HOUR THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KALY 090856
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
356 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005

NYZ032-033-091700-
/O.CAN.KALY.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051209T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KALY.SN.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR
356 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE HEAVY
SNOW WARNING THAT HAD BEEN IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS
UNTIL 6 PM...AND HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTHERN
ADIRONDACKS UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL MOVE TO NEAR WESTERN LAKE
ONTARIO AROUND DAYBREAK WHILE A SECOND CENTER FORMS ALONG THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST. EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THE TWO CENTERS OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL MERGE INTO ONE ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST.
AS IT DRAWS IN ATLANTIC MOISTURE...THE COASTAL LOW PRESSURE WILL
RAPIDLY INTENSIFY CREATING THE HEAVIEST SNOW FROM THE LOWER
CATSKILLS INTO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. EVEN SO...A RESPECTABLE SNOW
COVER OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WILL OCCUR OVER THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS.
THE STORM WILL BE MOVING QUICKLY ACROSS THE REGION...SO THE STEADY
SNOW WILL TAPER TO SNOW SHOWERS AROUND MID AFTERNOON. THE WIND
WILL GUST TO AROUND 30 MILES AN HOUR THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WILL
CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE FRESH SNOW COVER.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ047-051>054-058>061-063>066-084-
VTZ013>015-091700-
/O.EXT.KALY.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051209T2100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-
EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-
EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...ALTAMONT...
ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...
NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...
HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...
JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...
BELLOWS FALLS
356 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING THAT HAD BEEN IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN NEW
YORK AND ADJACENT WESTERN NEW ENGLAND FROM THE CAPITAL DISTRICT
SOUTH AND EAST UNTIL 6 PM...IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON.

A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL MOVE TO NEAR WESTERN LAKE
ONTARIO AROUND DAYBREAK WHILE A SECOND CENTER FORMS ALONG THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST. EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THE TWO CENTERS OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL MERGE INTO ONE ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST.
AS IT DRAWS IN ATLANTIC MOISTURE...THE COASTAL LOW PRESSURE WILL
RAPIDLY INTENSIFY CREATING THE HEAVIEST SNOW FROM THE CATSKILLS INTO
WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. THE STORM WILL BE MOVING QUICKLY ACROSS THE
REGION...SO THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF OR END BY 4 PM. THE STORM WILL
LEAVE 5 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...WITH THE HEAVIEST
SNOWFALL OCCURRING IN A BAND FROM THE LITCHFIELD HILLS AND
SOUTHERN TACONICS NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS
OF VERMONT. SNOW WILL FALL MOST HEAVILY BETWEEN 8 AM AND 2 PM. THE
WIND WILL GUST TO AROUND 30 MILES AN HOUR THIS AFTERNOON WHICH
WILL CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE FRESH SNOW COVER.
ROADWAYS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY DURING THE RUSH HOURS.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

$$

NYZ038>043-048>050-082-083-091700-
/O.EXT.KALY.SN.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2100Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN FULTON-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...
AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS
356 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE SNOW ADVISORY THAT HAD BEEN IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM FROM THE LAKE GEORGE
SARATOGA REGION INTO THE MOHAWK VALLEY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4
PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL MOVE TO NEAR WESTERN LAKE
ONTARIO AROUND DAYBREAK WHILE A SECOND CENTER FORMS ALONG THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST. EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THE TWO CENTERS OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL MERGE INTO ONE ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST.
AS IT DRAWS IN ATLANTIC MOISTURE...THE COASTAL LOW PRESSURE WILL
RAPIDLY INTENSIFY CREATING THE HEAVIEST SNOW FROM THE LOWER
CATSKILLS INTO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. EVEN SO...A RESPECTABLE SNOW
COVER OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WILL OCCUR FROM THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA
REGION WESTWARD INTO THE MOHAWK VALLEY. THE STORM WILL BE MOVING
QUICKLY ACROSS THE REGION...SO THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF OR END BY
MID AFTERNOON. THE WIND WILL GUST TO AROUND 30 MILES AN HOUR THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH WILL CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE FRESH
SNOW COVER. ROADWAYS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY DURING THE
RUSH HOURS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KALY 091657
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1157 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005

NYZ047-051>054-058>061-063>066-084-091800-
/O.CAN.KALY.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051209T2100Z/
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...ALTAMONT...
ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...
NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...
HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH
1157 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE HEAVY
SNOW WARNING. THE SNOW THAT FELL OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING HAS
TAPERED OFF TO A FEW SNOW SHOWERS. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL WILL BE
LIGHT.

$$

NYZ032-033-038>043-048>050-082-083-091800-
/O.CAN.KALY.SN.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051209T2100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-
MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...
DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...NORTHVILLE...
MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS
1157 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW
ADVISORY. THE SNOW THAT FELL OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING HAS
TAPERED OFF TO A FEW SNOW SHOWERS. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL WILL BE
LIGHT.

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-VTZ013>015-091900-
/O.EXT.KALY.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051209T1900Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1157 AM EST FRI DEC 9 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON IN SOUTHERN VERMONT...BERKSHIRE COUNTY MASSACHUSETTS AND
LITCHFIELD COUNTY CONNECTICUT. 
 
VERY HEAVY SNOW HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH MANY
AREAS RECEIVING TO 6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW. HEAVY SNOW WILL TAPER
OFF VERY QUICKLY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS AFTER NOON OF A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS UNTIL MID AFTERNOON SO
USE CAUTION IF YOU ARE TRAVELING.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this snow advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this snow advisory went out at Dec 7, 9:35 PM EST, 6 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 7, 9:35 PM EST, 6 hours 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
935 PM EST WED DEC 7 2005

ISSUED AN OVERNIGHT UPDATE TO REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS.

.UPDATE...RADARS STILL PICKING UP A FEW RETURNS...NOTHING MORE THAN
FLURRIES. LOOKS AS IF THE WINDS HAVE TURNED MORE NORTHERLY AND HAVE
TAPPED SOME MOISTURE OFF LAKE CHAMPLAIN (LAKE CHAMPLAIN AFFECT).
WITH LOWERING SUBSIDENCE AND AN OVER DRY COLUMN...WE EXPECT NOTHING
MORE THAN A FEW FLURRIES (IF THAT) SO THAT IS WHAT WE WILL CALL IT.
ACTUALLY...ANY FLURRIES SHOULD END BY DAYBREAK. WE WILL ENJOY A GOOD
DEAL OF SUNSHINE ON THURSDAY (ALWAYS A GOOD THING THIS TIME OF
YEAR)...BEFORE OUR SNOW EVENT FRIDAY. NO CHANGES TO THAT...IN FACT
NO CHANGES TO MOST OF THE PERIOD. ONLY CHANGES WERE TO REMOVE
EVENING WORDING...ANY MENTION OF POPS (FLURRIES DONT COUNT).
OVERNIGHT TEMPS LOOK RIGHT IN THE BALLPARK FOR NOW.

.AVIATION...SOME LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR HAS BEEN OBSERVED BUT
GENERALLY NOT ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN THE TAFS. NNW WINDS INCREASE TO
ABOUT 30 KTS OFF THE DECK...COMPARED TO WINDS ABOUT 10KTS AT THE
SURFACE. PILOTS SHOULD EXPECT SOME BUMPY LANDINGS UNTIL LATER
OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THURSDAY
WITH FEW (IF ANY SENSIBLE CLOUDS).

&&

PREVIOUS AFD...

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
LAKE EFFECT INCREASED THROUGH THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON AS
UPPER SHORT WAVE MOVES THROUGH.  MODELS FOR PAST FEW DAYS HAVE
DEPICTED A FAIRLY WEAK BUT DETECTABLE ARCTIC BOUNDARY.  FAIRLY TIGHT
4C THERMAL RIBBON NORTH OF BOUNDARY. BOUNDARY HAS FOCUSED SNOW
SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON.  HEFTY BAND OF SNOW SHOWERS ALONG IT
SAGGING SOUTH BUT SNOW SHOWERS WILL STEADILY DECREASE AS SHORT WAVE
MOVES PAST.  AS THIS HAPPENS FLOW  TURNING MORE NORTHWEST WITH
RESULTANT LESS FAVORABLE TRAJECTORY.  INVERSION QUICKLY CLAMPS
DOWN.  WILL LEAVE LEFTOVER EARLY EVENING POPS IN S.  CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DECREASE OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH ONCE LAST SURGE OF CLOUDS
MOVING INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK AT 21Z BUT  SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY
PRETTY LIMITED THERE BASED ON KTYX.  GRADIENT SLACKENS LATE TONIGHT
AND THAT WOULD ALLOW FOR A QUICK DROP IN TEMPERATURE LATE AT
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY WHERE A DECENT SNOW COVER HAS BEEN ESTABLISHED.
WILL LEAN TOWARD LOWER MET MOS.

THURSDAY QUIET...THEN WE DEAL WITH POTENTIAL STORM.   GFS AND NAM
HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT IN THEIR INCONSISTENCIES DURING PAST 24 HOURS.
IF WE DONT CONSIDER THE NAM...THE GFS HAS BEEN ON THE NORTH END OF
THE TRACK ENVELOPS OF THE VARIOUS LONGER RANGE MODELS.  THEN THE
NAM...IS A GOOD DEAL FARTHER NORTH THAN THE GFS. GFS SLIGHTLY DEEPER
WITH H5 LOW INITIALIZATION.  THE 00Z CANADIAN NOGAPS AND UKMET ALL
HAD A TRACK FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO KEEP US ON THE EDGES OF THE
SYSTEM...WITH MAYBE MODERATE SNOWS AT BEST IN SOUTH.  THE 12Z
CANADIAN AND NOGAPS BOTH HAVE A MORE SUPPRESSED TRACK.

18Z NAM SIMILAR TO 12Z RUN.  WHILE HAVE DISCOUNTED THE NAM IT IS A
LITTLE SCARY. SOME PRETTY BIG 3-HR PRECIP IN BAND OF STRONG
FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING AND STRONG H8-H7 DEFORMATION...0.90 N OF
KBOS 18-21Z FRI AND 1.2 IN GULF OF ME NEXT 3 HOURS.   NAM WOULD ALSO
GET 1300 M H8-H5 THICKNESS CLOSE TO SE BOUNDARY OF CWA.  THAT
SAID...WILL FOLLOW THE GFS WHICH INDICATES POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
SNOWFALL FOR SOUTHERN THIRD OF CWA AND WILL BE ISSUING A WINTER
STORM WATCH THERE.  ELSEWHERE WILL UPDATE THE HWO FOR POTENTIAL
MODERATE SNOWFALL.

IN WAKE OF LOWS PASSAGE FRIDAY NIGHT FLOW INITIALLY TOO NW FOR
MUCH LAKE EFFECT...BUT AS FRIDAY NIGHT WEARS ON AND LOW RACES OFF TO
THE ENE...FLOW BACKS AND BECOMES MORE FAVORABLE.  H8 TEMPS DOWN TO
-10/-11.  HOWEVER...INVERSIONS REMAINS LOW DURING PERIOD OF LAKE
EFFECT AND THAT WILL MUTE INTENSITY.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...FLOW DEAMPLIFIES SOME...AT
LEAST FOR A WHILE... DURING EXTENDED PERIOD.  EARLIER IN THE WEEK
THE GFS HAD FORECAST SIGNIFICANT LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT IN THE
EAST. WITH WEAKER SYSTEMS TIMING BECOMES LESS CERTAIN. 12Z GFS DID
REVERT BACK SOMEWHAT TO EARLIER SOLUTIONS WITH A FAIRLY SHARP
NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH INDUCING RAPID DEVELOPMENT WELL SOUTHEAST
OF CAPE COD. WHILE EVEN THE CHANGED GFS SOLUTION IS A MISS FOR
US...IT DOES CHANGE THE OVERALL PATTERN NEGATING THE WARMUP THE GFS
HAD INDICATED ON LAST NIGHTS RUNS.

&&

.AVIATION...SURFACE TROF SWINGS THROUGH AND UPPER TROF MOVES OFF TO
EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. HEIGHTS RISE ALOFT
TONIGHT WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN. INVERSION DROPS THIS
EVENING AND LAKE EFFECT SNOWS END. OVERALL...QUIET AND COLD NIGHT.
RIDGING DOMINATES THURSDAY. VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH PERIOD WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF MVFR IN SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED IFR WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOWS IN THE MOHAWK
VALLEY. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY WITH PASSAGE OF SURFACE TROUGH INTO THE
EARLY EVENING...THEN THEY WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT.
&&

.HYDROLOGY...WITH AIR TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING THE MOISTURE
LOCKED UP IN THE GROUND WILL BEGIN TO FREEZE. THE COLD CONDITIONS
WILL ALLOW FRAZIL ICE TO DEVELOP.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WS WATCH CTZ001 LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
MA...WS WATCH MAZ025 LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
NY...WS WATCH NYZ058>061-063>066 LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
VT...NONE.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 7, 4:28 PM EST, 11 hours 46 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
428 PM EST WED DEC 7 2005

CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-081200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
428 PM EST WED DEC 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN CATSKILLS AND MID
HUDSON VALLEY OF NEW YORK...AS WELL AS FOR NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
AND THE SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

WINTER STORM WATCH FOR LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. SEE LATEST
WINTER WEATHER STATEMENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

MAZ001-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-082>084-VTZ013>015-081200-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
428 PM EST WED DEC 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHERN CATSKILLS...THE
CAPITAL DISTRICT...THE MOHAWK VALLEY...THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS
AND LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION OF NEW YORK AS WELL AS FOR
SOUTHERN VERMONT AND THE NORTHERN BERKSHIRES.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 8, 4:14 AM ESTHeavy Snow WarningALYAlbany, Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Hamilton, Herkimer and 4 more34 hr

Nearby

Snow Advisories in New York, 2005Every snow advisory in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.