Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2005

Storm Warning 11, NWS Fairbanks, AK

December 15, 2005

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this storm warning at Dec 15, 2005, 9:30 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 15, 2005, 9:30 PM AKST (06:30 UTC)
Expired
Dec 16, 2005, 9:55 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
FZAK52 PAFG 161130
CWFWCZ

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
230 AM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-170430-
230 AM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 977 MB LOW NEAR DILLINGHAM WILL MOVE TO NEAR POINT HOPE AS A
1005 MB LOW BY 3PM SAT PM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE
THE ARCTIC.

$$

PKZ200-170430-
NORTON SOUND-
230 AM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT.
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-170430-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
230 AM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT...

.TODAY...N WINDS 50 KT. GUSTS 65 KT NEAR THE BERING STRAIT.
BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-170430-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
230 AM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT.
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SW. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-170430-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
230 AM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...N WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

RF/CF DEC 05
3 follow-up statements
000
FZAK52 PAFG 161133
CWFWCZ

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
233 AM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-162345-
233 AM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 977 MB LOW NEAR DILLINGHAM WILL MOVE TO NEAR POINT HOPE AS A
1005 MB LOW BY 3PM SAT PM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE
THE ARCTIC.

$$

PKZ200-162345-
NORTON SOUND-
233 AM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT.
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-162345-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
233 AM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT...

.TODAY...N WINDS 50 KT. GUSTS 65 KT NEAR THE BERING STRAIT.
BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-162345-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
233 AM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT.
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SW. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-162345-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
233 AM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...N WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

RF/CF DEC 05
000
FZAK52 PAFG 162306
CWFWCZ

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
206 PM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-171530-
206 PM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 978 MB OVER THE YUKON DELTA WILL MOVE TO NEAR POINT HOPE AS A
1005 MB LOW SAT NIGHT AND TO BARROW AS 1018 MB LOW BY 3PM SUN.
ANOTHER STRONG LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA SUN. 


$$

PKZ200-171530-
NORTON SOUND-
206 PM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT. SNOW.
.SAT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING N. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-171530-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
206 PM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 55 KT DECREASING TO 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.SAT...N WINDS 40 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 40 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-171530-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
206 PM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT BECOMING E. SNOW.
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-171530-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
206 PM AST FRI DEC 16 2005

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 55 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.SAT...N WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

DEC 05
000
FZAK52 PAFG 171155
CWFWCZ

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
255 AM AST SAT DEC 17 2005

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-180100-
255 AM AST SAT DEC 17 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...A 989 MB LOW OVER THE SEWARD
PENINSULA WILL MOVE TO POINT LAY 3AM SUN AND WEAKEN TO 1010 MB.
SEVERAL LOW PRESSURE CENTERS WILL MOVE FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC TO
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS SUN THROUGH MON.

$$

PKZ200-180100-
NORTON SOUND-
255 AM AST SAT DEC 17 2005

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT.
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-180100-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
255 AM AST SAT DEC 17 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT.
.SUN...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-180100-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
255 AM AST SAT DEC 17 2005

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT.
.SUN...S WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NE. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-180100-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
255 AM AST SAT DEC 17 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT.
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

RF/JL DEC 05

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Dec 15, 9:30 AM AKST, 12 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 9:30 AM AKST, 12 hours before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
230 PM AST THU DEC 15 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT ONLY OUT TO ABOUT 3AM
SAT. THERE ARE NOTICEABLE DISCREPANCIES AFTER 3 AM FRI...WHICH BECOME
INCREASINGLY SIGNIFICANT...AND AGREEMENT IS POOR BY 3 PM SUN. NEED WE
SAY THAT THERE IS LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECASTS AFTER SAT?

IN THE SHORTER TERM...THE 972 MB LOW SOUTH OF KODIAK IS EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR BETHEL AT 3AM FRIDAY WITHOUT WEAKENING MUCH. WE PREFER THE
GFS THEREAFTER...WITH THE CENTER DECELERATING TO BE OVER EASTERN
NORTON SOUND AT 3AM SAT (RATHER THAN THE ETAS FASTER MOVEMENT).

WE CLEARLY HAVE A FULL BLOWN CHINOOK DEVELOPING TONIGHT. EXPECT SOME
PROBLEMS WITH FREEZING RAIN OVER THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR WITH THE
FRONT ALOFT COMING THROUGH.

LOTS OF MAINLY WIND-RELATED ADVISORIES OUT TONIGHT. THESE WILL BE
TAKEN DOWN (FROM THE SOUTH) BEGINNING ON FRIDAY. EXPECT THEM TO
PERSIST THROUH FRIDAY NIGHT OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ223-AKZ225-AKZ226.

BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FOR AKZ209-AKZ217-AKZ219.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ206-AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ210-AKZ211-
AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214-AKZ215-AKZ216-AKZ218.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

DJH DEC 05

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 15, 9:30 PM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG12 hr
Dec 15, 9:40 PM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG11 hr
Dec 16, 9:03 AM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG13 hr
Dec 16, 9:03 AM AKSTGale WarningAFG13 hr
Dec 16, 9:06 AM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG13 hr
Dec 16, 9:06 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFG13 hr
Dec 16, 10:07 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFG17 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2005Every storm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.