Small Craft Advisory 113, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000
FZAK52 PAFG 151847 AAA
CWFWCZ

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1047 AM ADT THU SEP 15 2005

UPDATED ALL ZONES

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-160000-
1047 AM ADT THU SEP 15 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 975 MB LOW NEAR SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO 990 MB NEAR
SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND SAT.

$$

PKZ200-160000-
/X.CON.PAFG.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-050916T0000Z/
/X.CON.PAFG.SC.Y.0083.050916T0000Z-050916T1200Z/
NORTON SOUND-
1047 AM ADT THU SEP 15 2005

UPDATED FOR RAIN TODAY

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG.
.FRI...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-160000-
/X.CON.PAFG.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-050916T0000Z/
/X.CON.PAFG.SC.Y.0083.050916T0000Z-050916T1200Z/
DALL POINT TO WALES-
1047 AM ADT THU SEP 15 2005

UPDATED FOR RAIN TODAY

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FOG.
.FRI...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FOG.
.SAT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-160000-
/X.CON.PAFG.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-050916T0000Z/
/X.CON.PAFG.SC.Y.0083.050916T0000Z-050916T1200Z/
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
1047 AM ADT THU SEP 15 2005

UPDATED FOR RAIN TODAY

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-160000-
/X.CON.PAFG.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-050916T0000Z/
/X.CON.PAFG.SC.Y.0083.050916T0000Z-050916T1200Z/
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
1047 AM ADT THU SEP 15 2005

UPDATED FOR RAIN TODAY

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FOG.
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG.
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

ES/RF/DA SEP 05

000
FZAK52 PAFG 152229
CWFWCZ

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
229 PM ADT THU SEP 15 2005

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-161415-
229 PM ADT THU SEP 15 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 972 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL MOVE
NEAR ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AS A 980 MB LOW FRI AND THEN DRIFT
SOUTHEAST AND WEAKEN.


$$

PKZ200-161415-
/X.EXT.PAFG.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-050917T0000Z/
/X.UPG.PAFG.SC.Y.0083.050916T0000Z-050916T1200Z/
NORTON SOUND-
229 PM ADT THU SEP 15 2005

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.FRI...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-161415-
/X.EXT.PAFG.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-050917T0000Z/
/X.UPG.PAFG.SC.Y.0083.050916T0000Z-050916T1200Z/
DALL POINT TO WALES-
229 PM ADT THU SEP 15 2005

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.FRI...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FOG.
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 12 FT. FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FOG.
.SUN...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-161415-
/X.EXT.PAFG.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-050916T1200Z/
/X.UPG.PAFG.SC.Y.0083.050916T0000Z-050916T1200Z/
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
229 PM ADT THU SEP 15 2005

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG.
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-161415-
/X.EXT.PAFG.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-050916T1200Z/
/X.UPG.PAFG.SC.Y.0083.050916T0000Z-050916T1200Z/
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
229 PM ADT THU SEP 15 2005

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FOG.
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SEP 05

NORTH ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
230 PM ADT WED SEP 14 2005

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER AIR...STRONG LOW OVER CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL ROTATE
NORTHEASTWARD TO OVER SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
THE LOW WILL OPEN UP OVER ANVIK BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A RIDGE
FORMING AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL HAVE AXIS SOUTH TO NORTH OVER THE
CENTRAL INTERIOR WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN OVER THE YUKON TERRITORY
OF CANADA FRIDAY MORNING. A SMALLER LOW NEAR POINT BARROW WILL
MOVE EAST OF MACKENZIE BAY BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SURFACE...A 980 MB LOW SOUTHWEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL
DEEPEN TO 974 MB OVER SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
THE LOW WILL REMAIN STATIONARY OVER SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND AND
GRADUALLY WEAKEN TO 980 MB BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL BE
989 MB OVER EMMONAK SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN 997 MB OVER THE NULATO
HILLS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN WILL
PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

NORTH SLOPE...LOW PRESSURE OVER BERING SEA WILL BRING SOME WARMING
AND INCREASING SOUTHEAST WINDS FOR THE NORTH SLOPE THURSDAY TO
THURSDAY NIGHT. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH LOW WILL
BE WEST OF BARROW.

WEST COAST...RAIN WILL DEVELOP MOST AREAS TONIGHT AS FAST MOVING
OCCLUDED FRONT MOVES AHEAD OF SLOW MOVING BERING SEA LOW. RAIN
SHOULD TAPER TO SHOWERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST FRIDAY TO FRIDAY NIGHT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS OVER WILL BE STRONG TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AS A
BERING SEA LOW MOVES NORTHEAST THEN BECOMES STATIONARY OVER SAINT
LAWRENCE ISLAND.

INTERIOR...WESTERNMOST ZONES WILL HAVE RAIN SPREADING OVER THE
AREA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS OCCLUDED FRONT MOVES INLAND. THE EAST
HALF OF THE INTERIOR WILL HAVE LARGE BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER TONIGHT
AS A STRONG RIDGE MOVES EAST AHEAD OF BERING SEA LOW. BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WILL HAVE A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN
THEN RAIN WILL SPREAD OVER MUCH OF THE EAST THURSDAY NIGHT. SOUTH
FLOW OVER THE ALASKA RANGE WILL BLOCK MUCH OF THE RAIN FROM THE
USUAL RAIN SHADOWED AREA DUE NORTH OF THE RANGE AND WILL ALSO
CAUSE STRONGER WINDS THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES.

.HYDRO...WEST COAST ZONES WILL BE MONITORED FOR WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

.FIRE WEATHER...NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES.

.AFG WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY:
            ZONE 210 NORTHERN AND INTERIOR SEWARD PENINSULA
            ZONE 211 SOUTHERN SEWARD PENINSULA COAST
            ZONE 212 EASTERN NORTON SOUND AND NULATO HILLS
            ZONE 214 YUKON DELTA
            ZONE 225 DENALI
            ZONE 226 EASTERN ALASKA RANGE
MARINE...GALE WARNING:
            ZONE 200 NORTON SOUND
            ZONE 210 DALL POINT TO WALES
            ZONE 215 KOTZEBUE SOUND
            ZONE 220 WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY:
            ZONE 225 CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT
            ZONE 230 CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN
            ZONE 235 POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT
            ZONE 240 CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND
            ZONE 245 FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT

DA SEP 05