Gale Warning 89, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000
FZAK52 PAFG 182101
CWFWCZ

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
101 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-191215-
101 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 978 MB LOW OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
THROUGH THU AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN TO 990 MB. A 978 MB LOW BETWEEN
NUNIVAK ISLAND AND SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE
YUKON KUSKOKWIM DELTA WED NIGHT AND DISSIPATE. A NEW 975 MB LOW WILL
BE OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ200-191215-
NORTON SOUND-
101 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. 
.THU...SE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-191215-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
101 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-191215-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
101 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-191215-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
101 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

RF/ES OCT 05

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
313 PM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

.DISCUSSION...THE LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA PERSISTS
THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN PROGRESSES EAST OVER THE ALASKA MAINLAND
ON THE WEEKEND. THIS MEANS MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE
TO BRING A SERIES OF RAPIDLY MOVING SHORT WAVES AND ASSOCIATED
SURFACE FRONTS/WINDS/WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN ALASKA. CONDITIONS
WILL COOL OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE LONG WAVE MOVES INLAND.

IN THE SHORTER RANGE...
A 960 MB LOW OVER THE YUKON DELTA IS NOW FULLY WRAPPED BY COLD AIR
AND WILL START TO WEAKEN. IT WILL MOVE TO PAKK BY 4AM TUE AS A 973
MB LOW...TO PAVL BY 4PM TUE AS A 977 MB LOW...AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKENS.
MODERATE TO STRONG EAST WINDS AND SNOW TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW
ARE CAUSING LOW VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE COAST. HEAVY
SNOW IS OCCURRING OVER INLAND AREAS OF THE WEST COAST AND THE WESTERN
INTERIOR, ESPECIALLY ALONG SOUTH FACING SLOPES. MIXED RAIN AND
SNOW IS OCCURRING EAST OF THE LOW AND SOUTH OF GALENA. NW WINDS OF
30- 50KT ARE OCCURRING IN THE VERY TIGHT GRADIENT ON THE WEST AND
SOUTH SIDES OF THE LOW. THIS WILL CAUSE LOW VISIBILITY AS RAIN
CHANGES BACK TO SNOW TONIGHT IN COLD ADVECTION SOUTH OF THE LOW,
BUT VISIBILITY SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DUE TO THE
WARM TEMPS. THE WINDS WILL ALSO CAUSE HEAVY SURF OVER THE YUKON
DELTA THIS EVENING THROUGH TUE AM AND OVER THE NORTON SOUND COAST
TUE. WINDS AND PRECIP AMOUNTS WILL START TO DECREASE TONIGHT AND
DECREASE FURTHER ON TUE AS THE LOW WEAKENS.

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH OF THE LOW WILL MOVE OVER
THE Y-K DELTA TONIGHT AND AND THEN EAST ACROSS THE INTERIOR ON
TUE. MORE SNOW WILL SPREAD EAST WITH THIS FRONT WITH AMOUNTS
DECREASING AS THE FRONT MOVES FURTHER INLAND. CHINOOK WINDS OVER
THE ALASKA RANGE WILL DECREASE A BIT TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES
NORTH AND WEAKENS...AND THEN END TUE AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

ANOTHER LOW MOVES INTO THE EASTERN BERING TUE PM...AND TO THE
BERING STRAIT WED PM. THIS WILL SPREAD MORE RAIN AND SNOW TO THE
WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR, WITH HEAVIER SNOW AMOUNTS AGAIN
OVER SOUTH SLOPES NORTH OF KALTAG TUE NIGHT AND WED. THIS WILL
DEVELOP ANOTHER CHINOOK WINDS ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE WED AS WELL.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ225-AKZ226.

HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR AKZ212-AKZ214.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ216-AKZ217-AKZ219.

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FOR AKZ209.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.
&&

JB OCT 05