Gale Warning 8, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
FZAK59 PAFG 090259
CWFAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
600 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

UPDATED AREA 11B

WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-091500-
400 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR WESTERN ALASKA AND THE ARCTIC COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA
AND WESTERN ALASKA THROUGH MONDAY. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT MOVING
EAST ACROSS THE ARCTIC COAST WILL MOVE INTO CANADA BY SUNDAY
MORNING. 

$$

AREA 9A
PKZ290-091500-
NORTON SOUND-
400 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NW 20 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS ICE
FREE AREAS TO 3 FT WITH HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS ICE FREE AREAS 3 FT WITH HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS ICE FREE AREAS 3 FT WITH HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS THEN 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

AREA 9B
PKZ295-091500-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
400 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUN...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SAT NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS TO 25 KT. WINDS LOCALLY 35 KT NEAR THE BERING
STRAIT. SEAS ICE FREE AREAS 6 FT WITH HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS ICE FREE AREAS 8 FT WITH HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

AREA 10A
PKZ200-091500-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
400 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. GUSTS 30 KT EARLY SAT EVENING 
WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

AREA 10B
PKZ205-091500-
WALES TO CAPE LISBURNE-
400 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. GUSTS 30 KT SOUTH OF CAPE KRUSENSTERN
EARLY THIS EVENING WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

AREA 11A
PKZ210-091500-
CAPE LISBURNE TO CAPE HALKETT-
400 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUN...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

AREA 11B
PKZ215-091500-
CAPE HALKETT TO DEMARCATION POINT-
600 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUN...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 50 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...W WINDS 50 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. WINDS STRONGEST EAST OF FLAXMAN
ISLAND. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...W WINDS 30 TO 40 KT DECREASING IN THE AFTERNOON. BLOWING
SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

NORTH ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
230 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

.DISCUSSION...

SHORT AND MEDIUM RANGE PROGS ARE TELLING THE SAME STORY.
UPPER LOW OVER NORTHWEST ARCTIC OCEAN WILL BE DEEPENING
AND MOVING RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST...REACHING NORTHWEST
TERRITORIES NORTHEAST OF GREAT BEAR LAKE BY TUESDAY
MORNING AND DEEPENING TO ABOUT 480 DM. MUCH OF NORTHERN
ALASKA WILL BE TAKING A COLD PLUNGE FOR SEVERAL DAYS
AS NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND THE LOW CENTER BRINGS SOME
GENUINE ARCTIC AIR INTO NORTHERN ALASKA. THE COLDEST
850 MB TEMPERATURES IN NORTHERN ALASKA WILL BE TUESDAY
MORNING...APPROACHING -30C NEAR THE ALCAN BORDER.
850 MB TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE THURSDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY AS RIDGING BUILDS IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

THE STRONG 577 DM HIGH OVER BRISTOL WILL BE SQUASHED
SOUTHWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS AS THE ARCTIC
LOW MOVES SOUTHEAST...TO BE FOLLOWED BY SOME REBUILDING
OF UPPER AIR HEIGHTS WHICH WILL BE MUCH LESS DRAMATIC.

THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST WILL EXPERIENCE A SUPER BLOW AS
A 980 MB SURFACE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEEP ARCTIC
LOW MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE ARCHIPELAGO...SETTING UP
A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE LOW CENTER AND STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WESTERN ARCTIC. THE ISOBAR
ORIENTATION AND GRADIENT...ASSISTED WITH FOCUS BY THE
ALASKA RANGE...WILL PRODUCE STORM FORCE WESTERLIES AND
SEVERE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF AROUND
70 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST.
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL ALSO OCCUR ALONG THE CENTRAL ARCTIC COAST
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS MAXING OUT AT AROUND 50 MPH. WIND
CHILL VALUES WILL APPROACH -60 ALONG THE EASTERN ARCTIC
COAST WHEN THE ARCTIC AIR MASS ARRIVES.

IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN INTERIOR...TEMPERATURES WILL BOTTOM OUT
IN THE 30S BELOW EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH MILDER TEMPERATURES TO
THE WEST UNDER HIGHER UPPER AIR HEIGHTS. A FEW SPOTS IN THE
NORTHERN AND EASTERN INTERIOR MAY SEE SOME READINGS IN
THE 40S BELOW.

.AFG WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...AKZ202...WIND ADVISORY
         AKZ203...WINTER STORM WARNING
         AKZ204...WINTER STORM WARNING
         AKZ218...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR PASSES
         AKZ219...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ABOVE TREE LINE
         AKZ220...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ABOVE TREE LINE
         AKZ221...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ABOVE TREE LINE
         AKZ222...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ABOVE TREE LINE

MARINE...AREA 9A...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING
              9B...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
                   HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING
             11A...BRISK WIND ADVISORY
             11B...GALE WARNING

RF JAN 05