Gale Warning 63, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000
FZAK51 PAFG 092133
CWFNSB

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
133 PM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-101245-
133 PM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 987 MB LOW NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND WILL BE 1000 MB NEAR AT 4 ADT AM
SATURDAY THEN WILL DISSIPATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AT 4 PM ADT
SATURDAY A 981 MB LOW WILL BE 500 NM SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL. THE LOW
WILL BE 980 MB 250 NM SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL AT 4 PM ADT SUNDAY.

$$

PKZ225-101245-
/X.CAN.PAFG.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-050910T0000Z/
/X.ROU.PAFG.MA.F.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
133 PM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-101245-
/X.CAN.PAFG.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-050910T1200Z/
/X.EXB.PAFG.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-050911T0000Z/
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
133 PM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-101245-
/X.EXT.PAFG.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-050911T0000Z/
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
133 PM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ240-101245-
/X.EXT.PAFG.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-050911T0000Z/
/X.CAN.PAFG.GL.W.0019.050910T0200Z-050910T1200Z/
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
133 PM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. FOG.
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. FOG.
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ245-101245-
/X.EXT.PAFG.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-050911T0000Z/
/X.CAN.PAFG.GL.W.0019.050910T0200Z-050910T1200Z/
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
133 PM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

RF/JHD SEP 05

NORTH ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
315 PM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

ADDED GALE TO MARINE ZONE 230

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER AIR...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION STILL LOOKS GOOD AS PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN CONTINUES TO ROTATE LOWS NORTHEAST FROM SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS IN A LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA WILL BE THE
PRIMARY DRIVERS OF AREA WEATHER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
CAUSE A PATTERN OF ALTERNATING RIDGES AND TROUGHS OVER NORTHERN
ALASKA. A RIDGE WILL BUILD TODAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW EXPECTED TO
MOVE NORTH ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE TO NEAR CAPE ROMANZOF
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BY SATURDAY MORNING...THE RIDGE WILL BE OVER
THE WESTERN YUKON TERRITORY AND TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM LOW CENTER
OVER CAPE LISBURNE TO THE CENTRAL INTERIOR AND TO THE GULF OF
ALASKA. ANOTHER RIDGE AND LOW COUPLET WILL FOLLOW SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY.

SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY WITH
ANOTHER LOW EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH OF THE PRIBILOFS FRIDAY MORNING
AND WEAKEN AS IT REACHES THE SEWARD PENINSULA BY SATURDAY MORNING.
AN ASSOCIATED OCCLUDED FRONT WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS NORTHERN
ALASKA FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD SATURDAY OVER THE INTERIOR WHILE AT THE SAME TIME ANOTHER
LOW MOVES NORTH OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL BERING SEA. THE LOW WILL BE
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL
COVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR AND WEST COAST AREA WITH ITS EAST HALF.
OVER THE ARCTIC COAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY PERSIST
THROUGH FRIDAY...AFTER WHICH A LOW PRESSURE TROF WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THE BROOKS RANGE WHICH WILL GENERATE A GENEROUS PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND AN INCREASE IN EASTERLY WINDS.

NORTH SLOPE...EAST WINDS WILL REACH SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA ALL
ARCTIC COAST MARINE ZONES FRIDAY AS LOW MOVES NORTH OF NUNIVAK
ISLAND. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SATURDAY THEN PICK UP AGAIN SUNDAY AND
MONDAY AS ANOTHER LOW MOVES NORTH OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. WEATHER
WILL BE DRY THROUGH FRIDAY THEN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY OCCLUDED
FRONTS WHICH MOVE AHEAD OF THE BERING SEA LOWS.

WEST COAST...WEATHER WILL BE COOL AND DRY REMAINDER OF TODAY ...BY
FRIDAY MORNING RAIN WILL BE SPREADING NORTH AS BERING SEA LOW
MOVES NORTH. ON SATURDAY...BUILDING WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER LOW SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. FORMER
TYPHOON NOBI WILL BE OVER EAST BERING SEA ON SUN. FORECAST MODELS
ARE NOW IN CLOSE AGREEMENT ON MOVEMENT AND CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE
LOW WITH GREATEST IMPACT DUE TO WIND EXPECTED MOSTLY SOUTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA...WITH SMALL CRAFT WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT INCREASING
TO GALE FRIDAY IN MARINE ZONE 210.

INTERIOR...ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS BUILDING
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO TRY AND DRY THINGS OUT TONIGHT.
RAIN WILL SPREAD EAST FRIDAY TO FRIDAY NIGHT WITH CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY...WITH SUNDAY POTENTIALLY BEING
DRIER THAN EITHER SATURDAY OR MONDAY. LOCAL WINDS THROUGH
PASSES OF THE DENALI AREA TO THE EASTERN ALASKA RANGE...INCLUDING
THE TANANA FLATS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY AND
CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY.

.HYDRO...RAIN DEVELOPING TONIGHT OVER SOUTHWEST MAINLAND
ALASKA AND SPREADING NORTH AND EAST FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE WIDESPREAD AND UP TO ONE INCH. THIS WILL
SATURATE THE GROUND AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW ON SUNDAY.

.FIRE WEATHER...NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES.

.AFG WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY ZONE 223 225 226 FRIDAY
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ZONE 200 210 220 TONIGHT
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ZONE 225 235 240 FRIDAY
         GALE WARNING ZONE 210 230 FRIDAY MORNING

JHD/DA SEP 05