Alert archive / Alaska / Flash Flood Warnings in 2005
Flash Flood Warning 6, NWS Fairbanks, AK
NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this flash flood warning at Jul 3, 2005, 3:14 PM AKDT. It was in force for 21 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 3, 2005, 3:14 PM AKDT (23:14 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 4, 2005, 12:30 PM AKDT
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Fairbanks, AK
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Fairbanks, (PFAI), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 76 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -96 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1322 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 11 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 12 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 39 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGAK59 PAFG 040425 FFWAFG AKZ225-041015- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 814 PM ADT SUN JUL 3 2005 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... DENALI AREA OF ALASKA THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF KANTISHNA...SAVAGE RIVER CAMP...IGLOO CAMPGROUND...POLYCHROME PASS...EIELSON VISITOR CENTER...AND WONDER LAKE. * UNTIL 1130 PM ADT * AT 800 PM ADT...ONE INCH OF RAIN WAS REPORTED FROM HEAVY SHOWERS AT THE STAMPEDE AIRSTRIP IN THE LAST 6 HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY HAVE OCCURRED ELSEWHERE IN THE WARNING AREA SINCE 2 PM ADT THIS AFTERNOON. FLOODING IS LIKELY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT ON SMALL STREAMS IN AREAS AFFECTED BY HEAVY SHOWERS. IT IS IMPORTANT TO KNOW WHERE YOU ARE RELATIVE TO STREAMS...RIVERS...OR CREEKS WHICH CAN BECOME KILLERS IN HEAVY RAINS. CAMPERS AND HIKERS SHOULD AVOID STREAMS OR CREEKS SINCE WATER LEVELS COULD RISE RAPIDLY WITH LITTLE WARNING. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE. LAT...LON 6327 15080 6373 14904 6412 14952 6363 15132 $$ RF JUL 05
1 follow-up statement
000 WGAK79 PAFG 040730 FFSAFG AKZ225-040830- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 1130 PM ADT SUN JUL 3 2005 ...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT... RAINFALL HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA AND EASED THE FLASH FLOOD DANGER. RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO WATER LEVELS OVERNIGHT. LAT...LON 6327 15080 6373 14904 6412 14952 6363 15132 $$ TS JUL 05
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 3, 9:30 AM AKDT, 5 hours 44 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 9:30 AM AKDT, 5 hours 44 minutes before
NORTH ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION 230 PM ADT SUN JUL 3 2005 .DISCUSSION...THE ETA AND GFS FORECASTS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT TODAY...THOUGH THE ETA DEEPENS THE TROUGH ALOFT OVER NORTHEAST ALASKA MORE THAN THE GFS BY TUESDAY MORNING. PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS HAVE FORECAST THIS FEATURE TOO STRONGLY ON A CONSISTENT BASIS SO THE GFS LOOKS BETTER IN THIS REGARD. IN ANY CASE...THE WESTERLIES OVER THE SOUTH CHUKCHI SEAS ARE PICKING UP. THE MESO ETA MODEL HAS A SURFACE LOW NEAR BARROW AT 10 PM ADT TUESDAY EVENING WITH CONSIDERABLY MORE DEFINITION THAT THE OTHER MODELS AND IT MAY WELL BE CORRECT. THE MESO ETA SURFACE WINDS TUEDSAY EVENING ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST FROM POINT HOPE TO WAINWRIGHT ARE SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 KNOTS. DUE TO THE LINGERING ICE COVER IN THE CHUKCHI AND THE FAIRLY NARROW AREA OF OPEN WATER FROM ICY CAPE TO NORTH OF BARROW (ONLY 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES WIDE) SURF DOES NOT YET LOOK LIKE IT WILL BE A PROBLEM. BUT THIS WILL BE AN IMPORTANT CHANGE FROM THE UNEVENTFUL WEATHER THAT HAS PREVAILED UP THERE FOR SOME TIME. THE UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER THE INTERIOR WILL PROBABLY BECOME A LITTLE COOLER AND MORE STABLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS WESTERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT BRING IN MARITIME AND MODIFIED MARITIME AIR. WESTERN ALASKA REMAINS UNCHARACTERISTICALLY DRY. FOLLOWING THIS WESTERLY STABILIZATION...THE GFS AND ECMWF MIDDLE RANGE FORECASTS SHOW THE RIDGE ALOFT OVER WEST CANADA REBUILDING OVER THE ALASKA MAINLAND...SUGGESTING TO NO ONES SURPRISE THAT SUMMER AINT OVER YET. .HYDRO...QUIET. RAINS HAVE DIMINISHED. GLACIAL MELT HAS TANANA RIVER ROLLING ALONG PRETTY FAST...BUT WITHIN ITS BANKS. .FIRE WEATHER...SCATTERED SHOWERS/FEW THUNDERSHOWERS...MOSTLY WET. NO STRONG WINDS. .AFG WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT AREAS 210 AND 220. TF JUL 05
The office that day
Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2:52 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFG | 11 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Alaska, 2005Every flash flood warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.