Brisk Wind Advisory 79, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTH ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
230 PM AST SUN MAR 13 2005

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER COMPARISON OF MODELS IT APPEARS THAT THE GFS IS HANDLING THE
SYNOPTIC SITUATION MORE APPROPRIATELY.
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EASTWARD
AND BE COMPLETELY ACROSS THE STATE IN LESS THAN 24 HOURS. THE NEXT
TRANSITORY RIDGE WILL POKE UP THROUGH THE STATE AHEAD OF THE LARGE
LOW MOVING OFF OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
RETURN TO MOST OF THE STATE BY 12Z WEDNESDAY. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE MAINLAND. THIS WILL HELP PROVIDE A TRANSPORT FOR
MOISTURE INTO THE INTERIOR.

IN THE LONGER RANGE...IT APPEARS THAT BY THE END OF THE WEEK THE
STATE WILL BE UNDER A STRONG HIGH. THE STATE WILL SEE VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES ALOFT. CONSIDERING THE STATE WILL BE UNDER STRONG
SUBSIDENCE IT IS RATHER UNLIKELY WE WILL HAVE TO DETERMINE WHAT
TYPES OF PRECIPITATION WILL FALL SINCE THERE WILL PROBABLY BE
NONE.

ARCTIC COAST...MODERATING TEMPERATURES AND SOME FLURRIES FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND ON INTO THE NIGHT.

WEST COAST...SNOW AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW BEGINNING MONDAY AND
ENDING TUESDAY MORNING FOR MOST AREAS. FLURRIES THEREAFTER. SOME
SLIGHT COOLING ALOFT THROUGH THE WEEK.

INTERIOR...SOME SNOW LIKELY TONIGHT FOR THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WHILE
THE SOUTHERN SLOPES OF THE BROOKS RANGE SHOULD SEE A FEW INCHES OF
SNOW THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK AS SEVERAL SHOTS OF MOISTURE
ARE TRANSPORTED THROUGH THE INTERIOR.

.AFG WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING...213. BLIZZARD WATCH...214. WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...210.
MARINE...GALE...9A...9B...10A...10B. BRISK WIND
ADVISORY...11A...11B.

CF MAR 05