Brisk Wind Advisory 49, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
FZAK59 PAFG 150020
CWFAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-151500-
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR WESTERN ALASKA AND THE ARCTIC COAST...
A 976 MB LOW OVER THE YUKON DELTA WILL MOVE TO NEAR POINT HOPE AS 
A 992 MB LOW TUE AFTERNOON AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN. 

$$

PKZ290-151500-
NORTON SOUND-
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. AREAS OF 
BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ295-151500-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 30 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...NW WINDS 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ200-151500-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WINDS 25 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ205-151500-
WALES TO CAPE LISBURNE-
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.TUE...W WINDS 30 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-151500-
CAPE LISBURNE TO CAPE HALKETT-
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-151500-
CAPE HALKETT TO DEMARCATION POINT-
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

FEB 05

000 
FZAK59 PAFG 151202
CWFAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
400 AM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-160300-
400 AM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR WESTERN ALASKA AND THE ARCTIC COAST...
LOW PRESSURE NEAR CAPE LISBURNE WILL MOVE NORTH THEN DISSIPATE
BY WED AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTH TO THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS WILL BE 968 MB 130 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ADAK AT 3AM AST
WED. THE LOW WILL BE 980 MB 230 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL
ISLAND AT 3AM AST THU.

$$

PKZ290-160300-
NORTON SOUND-
400 AM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ295-160300-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
400 AM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ200-160300-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
400 AM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ205-160300-
WALES TO CAPE LISBURNE-
400 AM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-160300-
CAPE LISBURNE TO CAPE HALKETT-
400 AM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-160300-
CAPE HALKETT TO DEMARCATION POINT-
400 AM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

TS/DA FEB 05

000 
FZAK59 PAFG 152330
CWFAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
400 PM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-161500-
400 PM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR WESTERN ALASKA AND THE ARCTIC COAST...
BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT A 972 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 150 NM SE OF ADAK.
THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL EXTEND OUT FROM THE LOW AND INTO
THE BERING SEA AND THEN DOWN TO NEAR COLD BAY. BY WED AFTERNOON
THE LOW WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY TO 976 MB AND MOVE TO 120 NM NE OF
ADAK. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL EXTEND OUT FROM THE LOW TO
NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND AND LIE ALONG THE WEST COAST SOUTHWARD.

$$

PKZ290-161500-
NORTON SOUND-
400 PM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ295-161500-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
400 PM AST TUE FEB 15 2005


...BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...N WINDS 35 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ200-161500-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
400 PM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE TONIGHT.
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ205-161500-
WALES TO CAPE LISBURNE-
400 PM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

...GALE WARNING FOR TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE
TONIGHT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-161500-
CAPE LISBURNE TO CAPE HALKETT-
400 PM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT BECOMING S AND DECREASING TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-161500-
CAPE HALKETT TO DEMARCATION POINT-
400 PM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

FEB 05

NORTH ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
300 PM AST SUN FEB 13 2005

.DISCUSSION...

THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL FEATURES FOR THE FORECAST AREA INCLUDE A LONG
WAVE TROUGH FROM FAR EASTERN RUSSIA SOUTH THROUGH THE BERING SEA
AND A RIDGE ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE U.S. AND CANADA. THIS
OVERALL UPPER PATTERN WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THE EXTENT OF THE
LONG RANGE FORECAST.

THE TROUGH WILL ALLOW A NUMBER OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS TO
MOVE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ALONG THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS EACH SYSTEM MAKES ITS TREK FROM THE
ALEUTIANS TO THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA...SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE.

FOR THE NEAR TERM FORECAST...A 977 MB LOW OVER THE YUKON DELTA
WILL MOVE DUE NORTH OVER THE NEXT 60 HOURS. AS IT DOES SO IT WILL
HELP FORCE THE ARCTIC FRONT ALL THE WAY TO THE ARCTIC COAST BY
TUESDAY MORNING. THE TAIL OF THE ARCTIC FRONT WILL BE ORIENTED
NORTH TO SOUTH FROM AMBLER TO SCAMMON BAY.

SNOW WILL FALL ALONG THE PATH OF THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE WEST
ZONES THROUGH TUESDAY. WINDS WILL PICK UP TO 20 TO 30 MPH ALONG
THE COAST RESULTING IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING. AS THE LOW MOVES
NORTH TOWARD THE ARCTIC COAST...EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE WHICH
WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW AND SOME FOG.

MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE WIND SPEED APPROACHING 65 KNOTS AT 700 MB
TO MOVE ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RECENT
OBSERVATIONS AROUND THE ALASKA RANGE ZONES INDICATE WINDS
INCREASING INTO THE 40 MPH RANGE ALREADY THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGH
WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALASKA RANGE THROUGH
MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND ACROSS THE INTERIOR WITH THE
CHINOOK EVENT WITH DAYTIME MAXES AT OR BETTER THEN 20 ABOVE
FORECAST THROUGH THIS WEEK.

.AFG WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM MONDAY
           ZONES 201 202 203 AND 205
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM TONIGHT
           ZONE 211
         WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MONDAY
           ZONE 212 AND 216
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM TONIGHT
            ZONES 214 AND 215
         HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 11 AM TUESDAY AND
         BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM TUESDAY
            ZONES 225 AND 226
MARINE...BRISK WIND ADVISORY
           AREAS 9A 9B 10A 10B AND 11A

AT FEB 05

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1047 PM AST SUN FEB 13 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     BLIZZARD         KOTZEBUE                66.89N 162.54W
02/13/2005                                      AK   AWOS

            BLIZZARD 14/04Z-14/06Z 3 CONSECUTIVE HOURLY OBS. VIS 1/4
            MILE. MAX WIND GUST 42 KT.

&&

RF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1049 PM AST SUN FEB 13 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     BLIZZARD         DEERING                 66.07N 162.73W
02/13/2005                                      AK   AWOS

            BLIZZARD 14/00Z-14/03Z. 4 CONSECUTIVE HOURLY OBS. VIS 1/4
            MILE. MAX WIND GUST 43 KT.

&&

RF