Brisk Wind Advisory 3, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTH ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
230 PM AST SUN JAN 2 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THE DEEP 952 MB LOW SOUTH OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND IS BRINGING A
MIXED BAG OF ACTIVE WEATHER TO WESTERN ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON.
MODELS ARE A BIT SHALLOW WITH THE CENTRAL PRESSURE AND HAVE
POSITIONED THE CENTER TOO FAR WEST. IN ANY CASE...GFS SEEMS TO
HAVE A BETTER HANDLE WITH DEPTH AND PRESSURE...BUT FORECASTED
WINDS HAVE BEEN BUMPED UP IN ORDER TO REFLECT REALITY.

THIS SUCKER HAS PUSHED ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES NORTH OF CAPE
LISBURNE AND MIXED RAIN AND SNOW IS BEING REPORTED AT MANY COASTAL
STATIONS. HEAVY SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO THE WESTERN INTERIOR AS THE
FRONT MOVES INLAND OVERNIGHT...WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS WORKING INTO
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE MONDAY. WITH THE WARM AIR ADVECING
INLAND THERE IS A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN AS FAR WEST AS NENANA
INTO MONDAY MORNING. STRONG WINDS WILL ASLO CONTINUE TO CREATE
LOCAL BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE WEST COAST INTO TONIGHT AS
WELL.

THIS STORM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA
ON MONDAY AND INTO THE BEAUFORT SEA MONDAY NIGHT. AS IT MOVES
NORTH THOUGH...WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL INCREASE ALONG THE
CENTRAL ACTIC COAST LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

.AFG WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WARNING...201..202..205..207-211..213..214
         HEAVY SNOW WARNING...215..216..217-219
         WINTER STORM WATCH...226
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...ZONE 202..206..212
         WIND ADVISORY...ZONE 225..226
MARINE...STORM WARNING...AREA 9B TONIGHT..10A..10B..11A
         GALE WARNING...AREA 9A..9B..
         BRISK WIND ADVISORY...AREA 11B

EWP JAN 05