Storm Warning 213, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 150952 AAC
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1030 PM AST MON NOV 14 2005

UPDATED PKZ132 PKZ138 PKZ140 PKZ141

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-151500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW 320 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE ONSHORE NEAR YAKUTAT
AND WEAKEN TO 1003 MB TUESDAY EVENING. A 990 MB LOW 550 NM SOUTH OF
THE ADAK WILL MOVE TO 80 NM EAST OF SAND POINT AND STRENGTHEN TO 969
MB WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ120-151500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE EVENING.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-151500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-151500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-151500-
PASSAGE CANAL
900 PM AST MON NOV 14 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-151500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO E WIND 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-151500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
1030 PM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-151500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
1030 PM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-151500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
1030 PM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-151500-
KACHEMAK BAY
1030 PM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 151248
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-160300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 989 MB LOW 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WILL MOVE ONSHORE NEAR YAKUTAT
AND WEAKEN TO 1004 MB TUESDAY EVENING. A 992 MB LOW 450 NM SOUTHEAST
OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 60 NM NORTHWEST OF KODIAK AND STRENGTHEN TO 985
MB THURSDAY MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-160300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-160300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-160300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-160300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN IN THE
MORNING.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-160300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-160300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT
SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
$$

PKZ138-160300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-160300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT BY AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-160300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO W 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
130 PM AST MON NOV 14 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE DIVERGENT SOLUTIONS THOUGH IT APPEARS
THAT THE TRACK OF THE LOW ENTERING THE GULF TONIGHT. THE GFS
CONTINUES TO HAVE THE MOST CONSISTENT SOLUTION OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS
SO IT IS THE MODEL OF THE DAY. CONFIDENCE IN THE MODELS CONTINUE TO
BE MODERATE TO LOW.

THE MODERATE LOW 300 MILES SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL WEAKEN AS IT
MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA TOWARD YAKUTAT TUESDAY EVENING THEN
WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN CANADA TUESDAY NIGHT. MOST OF THE WIND AND
RAIN FROM THIS STORM WILL MOVE OVER CENTRAL GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST
ALASKA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE TO NEAR SAND
POINT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THEN TURN NORTH INTO THE BRISTOL BAY
THURSDAY. WIND AND RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TUESDAY
THEN SPREAD TO KODIAK TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE REST OF THE GULF AND
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WEDNESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 120, 130, 132 AND 138.
         GALE 125, 140, 141, 150 AND 155.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM NOV 05