Storm Warning 100, NWS Anchorage, AK

000
FZAK51 PAFC 210519 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
800 PM AST SUN MAR 20 2005

UPDATED AREAS 2B 2C4 AND 3A

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE NORTH SLOPE OF
ALASKA. A 992 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO
JUST OFF KODIAK CITY BY MON AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN
AS IT MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY ON TUE. 
$$

PKZ120-211500-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
800 PM AST SUN MAR 20 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.  
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-211500-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 20 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-211500-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SUN MAR 20 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   

$$

PKZ129-211500-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
800 PM AST SUN MAR 20 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ130-211500-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
800 PM AST SUN MAR 20 2005

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NW WIND 20 KT. W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN   
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-211500-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SUN MAR 20 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-211500-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SUN MAR 20 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-211500-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 20 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
AREAS OF BLOWING DUST. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-211500-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 20 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000
FZAK51 PAFC 211213
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 988 MB LOW 110 NM EAST OF KODIAK WILL WEAKEN TO 1002 MB TUE
AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY.
$$

PKZ120-220300-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22
FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
$$

PKZ121-220300-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
$$

PKZ125-220300-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
$$

PKZ129-220300-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
$$

PKZ130-220300-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
65 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
$$

PKZ132-220300-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
$$

PKZ138-220300-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
$$

PKZ140-220300-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT
SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
$$

PKZ141-220300-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
$$

000
FZAK51 PAFC 211434 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
430 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

AMENDED AREA 4A

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 988 MB LOW 110 NM EAST OF KODIAK WILL WEAKEN TO 1002 MB TUE
AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY.
$$

PKZ120-220300-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22
FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
$$

PKZ121-220300-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
$$

PKZ125-220300-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
$$

PKZ129-220300-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
$$

PKZ130-220300-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
65 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
$$

PKZ132-220300-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
$$

PKZ138-220300-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
$$

PKZ140-220300-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT
SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
$$

PKZ141-220300-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
430 AM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
$$

000
FZAK51 PAFC 220004
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON MAR 21 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 989 MB LOW JUST OFF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY ON TUE.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH SLOPE OF ALASKA WILL WEAKEN AS IT

MOVES INTO NORTHWEST CANADA BY EARLY WED MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-221500-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-221500-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-221500-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-221500-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-221500-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT NORTHWEST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-221500-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-221500-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST MON MAR 21 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-221500-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-221500-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST MON MAR 21 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

000
FZAK51 PAFC 221252
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST TUE MAR 22 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 MB LOW NEAR KODIAK WILL WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES INTO
BRISTOL BAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND STRENGTHEN OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE
CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA WED NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-230300-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST TUE MAR 22 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
$$

PKZ121-230300-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST TUE MAR 22 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
$$

PKZ125-230300-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST TUE MAR 22 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
$$

PKZ129-230300-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST TUE MAR 22 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
$$

PKZ130-230300-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST TUE MAR 22 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT EXCEPT SW 35 KT E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
$$

PKZ132-230300-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST TUE MAR 22 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
$$

PKZ138-230300-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST TUE MAR 22 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
$$

PKZ140-230300-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST TUE MAR 22 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
$$

PKZ141-230300-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST TUE MAR 22 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1130 AM AST SUN MAR 20 2005

.DISCUSSION...
ANALYSIS - A STRONG HIGH OVER LOW BLOCKING PATTERN HAS SET UP ALONG
170W WHICH DRIVES A NORTH FLOW ALOFT OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA.
A SURFACE LOW HAS DEVELOPED IN THE CENTRAL GULF BELOW 999 MB BUT THE
CENTER IS HARD TO SEE ON GOES-10 VISIBLE SO FAR THIS MORNING. A
SURFACE HIGH CELL AT 1056 MB IS N OF BARROW AT 12Z. THE FRONT OVER
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AGAINST THE BLOCK AND A 994
MB LOW HAS DEVELOPED ON THE FRONT NEAR 43N 177E AS PER YESTERDAYS
MODELS. AT 250 MB THE JET UNDERCUTS THIS WHOLE SYSTEM ALONG 30N OR
SO. A NW BRANCH IS OVER THE BARREN ISLANDS THIS MORNING AT AROUND 100
KNOTS. STRONG SURFACE WINDS HAVE BEGUN ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA THIS
MORNING. GOES-10 VISIBLE DOES REVEAL A SECONDARY SURFACE LOW NEAR
ATKA AS OF 20Z BUT IT LOOKS VERY WEAK.

AER FORECASTS - THE 12Z ETA MODEL IS PREFERRED FOR THIS WIND EVENT
BECAUSE OF THE DETAIL IN PLACEMENT OF THE MAIN SURFACE LOW OFF KODIAK
BY 12Z MONDAY. THIS SETS UP MORE OF A LOW LEVEL JET DOWN COOK INLET
FROM WASILLA. TEMPERATURE ADVECTION IS COLD WITH UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT
AND DOWNWARD VERTICAL MOTION FOR A PRETTY GOOD WIND EVENT. DRY
CONDITIONS PLUS BLOWING DUST ARE ALSO CONCERNS. ALL MODELS SHOW
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS PERSISTING THROUGH 12Z TUE FOR CONTINUED
WIND. SERIOUS MODEL DISAGREEMENT OCCURS BEYOND 12Z TUE AS TO WHERE
THE SURFACE LOW CENTER ENDS UP BUT ALL IMPLY WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE
LOW FOR A SWITCH TO ONSHORE LOW LEVEL FLOW IN THE GULF.

ALU FORECASTS - OFFSHORE FLOW PERSISTS FOR MUCH OF SW ALASKA WITH
TEMPERATURES ON THE COLD SIDE EVEN WITH SUNSHINE. THE FRONT OVER THE
WESTERN BERING SEA WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS PER ALL MODELS. THIS
ALLOWS A SURFACE RIDGE TO BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN BERING
SEA AS THE LOW NEAR 43N 177E MOVES SE. THE MARINE CLOUDS OVER DUTCH
AND SAINT PAUL NOW SHOULD RETREAT S AS THIS RIDGE BUILDS. BY TUE THE
GULF LOW IS FORECASTED TO MOVE OVER COLD BAY BY THE GFS-190...BUT
COMPARISONS TO OTHER MODELS MAKES THIS FORECAST LOOK QUITE UNCERTAIN.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 111 131 135.
         WIND ADVSRY 101 141 145 155 161.
MARINE...GALES 120 121 130 138 140. HVY FRZ SPRAY 121 140.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JC MAR 05