Small Craft Advisory 949, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
100 PM AST THU NOV 17 2005

.DISCUSSION...
BOTH GFS AND ETA POSITION OF SURFACE LOW IN THIS MORNINGS RUNS SEEM
TO BE TOO FAR WEST WHEN COMPARED WITH SATELLITE IMAGERY.  GOING WITH
TRACK OF CURRENT SYSTEM MAKING LANDFALL BETWEEN PILOT ROCK AND
WESTERN PWS. PLENTY OF WARM AIR OVER SOUTHCENTRAL THIS
AFTERNOON...EXPECTING PERIODS OF RAIN TO SWITCH OVER TO SNOW THIS
EVENING FOR NORTHERN COOK INLET.  RAIN CONTINUING ALONG THE NORTH
GULF COAST AND INTO SOUTHER COPPER RIVER BASIN TO NIGHT.

TRACK FOR NEXT SYSTEM MOVING OVER KODIAK FRIDAY AFTERNOON SEEMS
REASONABLE ALTHOUGH AS WE KNOW...DETAILS YET TO BE WORKED OUT.

IN THE WEST...CONTINUED HIGH PRESSURE OVER KAMCHATKA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.  BRISTOL BAY AND EASTERN BERING SIMILAR SITUATION FOR THE
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH TODAY.  WESTERN
ALASKA EXPECT PERIODS OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. LOOKS LIKE KING
SALMON AREA MAY STAY BELOW FREEZING ON THIS NEXT SYSTEM IF SYSTEM
TRACKS LIKE SHOWN IN GFS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...SEE CURRENT PACKAGE.
MARINE...SEE CURRENT PACKAGE.

NOV 05